Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probability: BMW Championship

Win probability: BMW Championship

It is a star-studded first page of the leaderboard through two rounds at the BMW Championship. This should come as no surprise to anyone, given the strength of this field. Here are the top 10 win probabilities according to our model: Rose and Schauffele lead the way with 16 and 15 percent chances of winning, respectively. The model estimates Rose to be about 1 stroke better per round than Schauffele, and therefore we expect Rose to cover the 2 stroke deficit he currently faces. Sitting just outside this top 10 is Tiger Woods, who we estimate to have a 2.9 percent chance at victory. It is likely surprising to many readers that our model is giving Finau a slightly higher win probability than Woods. However, take a look at their respective finish probabilities for a Top 20 and Top 5 finish: Tiger has a significantly higher probability of finishing in the top 20 than Finau. Our model actually rates Tiger slightly better than Finau in terms of expected score, but Tiger has been incredibly consistent this year (i.e. he has had a low standard deviation in scores). As a result, the model gives Tiger slightly less upside than Finau. It’s worth noting that we don’t allow for big differences across players in their predicted standard deviations (because past standard deviation only weakly predicts future standard deviation), but Woods has been a big outlier over the past year. Finally, here is a strokes-gained breakdown of Tiger’s round on Friday: It was an abysmal day on the greens for Woods; he finished last in the field of 69 on Friday in strokes-gained: putting. Despite the disappointing second round, Woods is still in excellent shape to advance to the season-ending TOUR Championship: our model estimates his chances at 97 percent. NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The BMW Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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2nd Round 3 Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Rio Takeda+140
Jin Young Ko+145
Lauren Coughlin+275
2nd Round 3 Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda+105
Mao Saigo+175
Maja Stark+320
3rd Round 3 Ball - C. Phillips v R. Hisatsune
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Ryo Hisatsune-120
Chandler Phillips+130
Tie+750
3rd Round Score - Ludvig Aberg
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 67.5-135
Under 67.5+105
3rd Round Score - Thomas Detry
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-145
Under 68.5+110
3rd Round Score - Matt McCarty
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-150
Under 68.5+115
3rd Round Score - Shane Lowry
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 67.5-150
Under 67.5+115
3rd Round Score - A. Putnam
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-165
Under 68.5+125
3rd Round Score - V. Perez
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-150
Under 68.5+115
3rd Round Score - Thorbjorn Olesen
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-125
Under 68.5-105
3rd Round Score - Sam Burns
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 67.5-150
Under 67.5+115
3rd Round Score - Jake Knapp
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-135
Under 68.5+105
3rd Round Score - Cameron Champ
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 69.5+100
Under 69.5-130
3rd Round Score - Richard Lee
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 69.5-165
Under 69.5+125
3rd Round Score - Nick Taylor
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5+100
Under 68.5-130
3rd Round Match Up - C. Conners v L. Aberg
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg-115
Corey Conners-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - L. Aberg v T. Detry
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg-175
Thomas Detry+190
Tie+750
American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bjorn/Clarke+275
Green/Hensby+750
Cejka/Kjeldsen+1000
Jaidee/Jones+1400
Bransdon/Percy+1600
Cabrera/Gonzalez+1600
Els/Herron+1600
Stricker/Tiziani+1800
Kelly/Leonard+2000
Appleby/Wright+2200
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3rd Round 2 Ball - J. Lower v D. Riley
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Davis Riley-115
Justin Lower+125
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Roy v H. Norlander
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Henrik Norlander-105
Kevin Roy+115
Tie+750
3rd Round Six Shooter - L. Aberg / S. Lowry / T. Pendrith / S. Burns / C. Conners / N. Taylor
Type: 3rd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg+350
Shane Lowry+400
Corey Conners+425
Sam Burns+425
Taylor Pendrith+425
Nick Taylor+550
3rd Round 2 Ball - C. Conners v S. Fisk
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners-160
Steven Fisk+175
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - P. Peterson v A. Schenk
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Adam Schenk-125
Paul Peterson+135
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - R. Hoey v M. Anderson
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Rico Hoey-145
Matthew Anderson+160
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - A. Hadwin v P. Fishburn
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Adam Hadwin+100
Patrick Fishburn+110
Tie+750
3rd Round Six Shooter - M. Hughes / C. Young / R. Hojgaard / R. Fox / W. Clark / BH An
Type: 3rd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Cameron Young+400
Mackenzie Hughes+400
Rasmus Hojgaard+425
Ryan Fox+425
Wyndham Clark+425
Byeong Hun An+475
3rd Round Match Up - W. Clark v BH An
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Wyndham Clark-115
Byeong Hun An-105
3rd Round Match Up - P. Malnati v J. Suber
Type: Request - Status: OPEN
Jackson Suber-145
Peter Malnati+120
3rd Round 2 Ball - J. Suber v W. Clark
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Wyndham Clark-150
Jackson Suber+170
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Mitchell v BH An
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell-110
Byeong Hun An+120
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - M. Hughes v T. Olesen
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes-115
Thorbjorn Olesen-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - L. Hodges v M. Hughes
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes-115
Lee Hodges+125
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - J. Svensson v B. Hossler
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Beau Hossler+105
Jesper Svensson+105
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - J. Pak v T. Mullinax
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Trey Mullinax-130
John Pak+110
3rd Round 2 Ball - D. Skinns v T. Mullinax
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Trey Mullinax-115
David Skinns+125
Tie+750
Bryson DeChambeau
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-500
Top 10 Finish-1600
Top 20 Finish-10000
Jon Rahm
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-250
Top 10 Finish-800
Top 20 Finish-5000
Joaquin Niemann
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-200
Top 10 Finish-600
Top 20 Finish-3300
Tyrrell Hatton
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+200
Top 20 Finish-225
Patrick Reed
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+150
Top 10 Finish-190
Top 20 Finish-900
Carlos Ortiz
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+200
Top 20 Finish-225
Cameron Smith
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+130
Top 20 Finish-335
3rd Round Match Up - K. Yu v V. Perez
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Victor Perez-115
Kevin Yu-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Yu v P. Malnati
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Kevin Yu-165
Peter Malnati+180
Tie+750
Brooks Koepka
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+250
Top 20 Finish-175
3rd Round Match Up - C. Young v R. Hojgaard
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Cameron Young-115
Rasmus Hojgaard-105
3rd Round Match Up - S. Lowry v T. Pendrith
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Shane Lowry-110
Taylor Pendrith-110
3rd Round 2 Ball - T. Pendrith v C. Young
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith-115
Cameron Young+125
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - M. McCarty v J. Pak
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Matt McCarty-135
John Pak+150
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - M. Manassero v D. Willett
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Matteo Manassero-135
Danny Willett+115
3rd Round 2 Ball - D. Willett v R. Hojgaard
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Rasmus Hojgaard-145
Danny Willett+160
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - C. Iwai / P. Tavatanakit / A. Iwai
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Chisato Iwai+115
Akie Iwai+150
Patty Tavatanakit+325
3rd Round Match Up - S. Burns v N. Taylor
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns-120
Nick Taylor+100
3rd Round 2 Ball - S. Burns v M. Manassero
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns-170
Matteo Manassero+185
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - J. Thitikul / M. Sagstrom / L. Strom
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul-160
Madelene Sagstrom+240
Linnea Strom+450
2nd Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / P. Mickelson / M. Kaymer
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau-225
Phil Mickelson+320
Martin Kaymer+475
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / L. Oosthuizen / B. Campbell
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Tyrell Hatton+105
Louis Oosthuizen+200
Ben Campbell+275
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Johnson / A. Ancer / D. Lee
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Dustin Johnson+120
Abraham Ancer+165
Danny Lee+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Rahm / J. Niemann / A. Lahiri
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Jon Rahm+115
Joaquin Niemann+135
Anirban Lahiri+400
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Leishman / T. Pieters / G. McDowell
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Marc Leishman+135
Thomas Pieters+160
Graeme McDowell+250
2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Reed / B. Watson / P. Uihlein
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Patrick Reed+110
Bubba Watson+220
Peter Uihlein+240
3rd Round 2 Ball - S. Lowry v C. Del Solar
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Shane Lowry-240
Cristobal Del Solar+275
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - H. Shibuno / A. Valenzuela / A. Corpuz
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Allisen Corpuz+140
Hinako Shibuno+170
Albane Valenzuela+225
3rd Round Six Shooter - T. Olesen / J. Knapp / A. Putnam / V. Perez / R. Lee / C. Champ
Type: 3rd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Thorbjorn Olesen+350
Jake Knapp+375
Andrew Putnam+400
Victor Perez+400
Richard Lee+500
Cameron Champ+600
3rd Round Match Up - A. Putnam v J. Knapp
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Andrew Putnam-110
Jake Knapp-110
3rd Round 2 Ball - R. Fox v J. Knapp
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Ryan Fox-110
Jake Knapp+120
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - J. Kupcho / J.H. Im / A. Buhai
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Jin Hee Im+160
Ashleigh Buhai+165
Jennifer Kupcho+200
3rd Round 2 Ball - N. Taylor v V. Perez
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Nick Taylor-115
Victor Perez+125
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - C. Champ v R. Lee
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Richard Lee-115
Cameron Champ-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - T. Olesen v R. Lee
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Thorbjorn Olesen-130
Richard Lee+145
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - C. Champ v A. Putnam
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Andrew Putnam-115
Cameron Champ+125
Tie+750
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Rory McIlroy+1000
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

Related Post

Q&A: Miller’s last majorQ&A: Miller’s last major

The unknown teenager from the Continent impressed with a game that was equal parts erratic and electric. The American, known for unmatched iron play that allowed him to rival the great man named Nicklaus, was seeking a second major title to complement a historic victory. These storylines intersected more than four decades ago at Royal Birkdale. It was a year before the famed “Duel in the Sun,” but the 1976 Open Championship also saw two future World Golf Hall of Famers go head-to-head over 36 holes on a links course baked out by an unseasonably warm summer. Johnny Miller and Seve Ballesteros were the two who took center stage in ’76. But unlike Watson vs. Nicklaus, this wasn’t a showdown between longtime rivals that went down to the final hole. The 19-year-old Ballesteros was a new face on the major stage, playing in just his second Open Championship. Miller, on the other hand, was arguably the greatest player on the globe, having won 19 PGA TOUR titles since his win in the 1973 U.S. Open, where he shot the round that would define his career. Not one of those post-Oakmont wins had come in a major, though. Ballesteros was two shots ahead of Miller after two rounds, and maintained that advantage into the final day. The Spaniard’s lead quickly disappeared because of his wayward tee shots and another one of Miller’s stellar final rounds in a major. It wasn’t quite the 63 he produced three years earlier, but Miller’s 66 at Royal Birkdale was the low round of the week. Ballesteros’ final-round 74 dropped him into a tie for second with Jack Nicklaus. They finished six shots behind Miller, who celebrated the United States’ bicentennial by taking the Claret Jug across the Atlantic to the New World. Miller was just 29 years old when he won at Birkdale, but he called the victory the “capper” of his career. The 1976 Open was his final victory in a major, and his last PGA TOUR win for nearly four years. A growing family, and his well-documented putting struggles, kept him out of the winner’s circle until March 1980.    While Miller’s time as one of the game’s elite was coming to an end, Ballesteros’ career was just beginning. He’d win his first Open Championship three years later, eventually claiming the Claret Jug three times and winning the Masters twice. Miller will be back at Birkdale this week to call this year’s Open Championship for NBC/Golf Channel. At 9 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday, Golf Channel will air an hour-long film, entitled “Summer of ‘76â€�, recounting Miller and Ballesteros’ memorable week. He recently spoke to PGATOUR.COM about his victory and the venue for the 2017 Open Championship. (Note: Interview shortened for brevity.) PGATOUR.COM: What should we expect from Royal Birkdale? MILLER: It’s a great piece of property. For years, it didn’t get as much glamour as the Scottish (courses), but actually it’s pretty darned tough. When (Padraig) Harrington won there in 2008, there were only 21 rounds in the 60s all week. You have to play from the fairway, and the fairways are not that wide. If you hit it wild there, it’s pretty tough. That’s what happened to Seve that last round when I beat him. The first hole is one of the hardest opening holes in championship golf. PGATOUR.COM: What stands out when you reflect on your win there? MILLER: My caddie really won it for me. I can’t say that too often. I usually go with my decision. My caddie was a furniture mover from right there in Southport, Ted Halsall. He was a good player, about a 4 handicap, and he was good at reading the greens. He knew all the nuances of the golf course. He played it all the time. They’d been having a drought, and it was running super fast and firm. In fact, it was probably the firmest major championship in modern history. He just said, ‘You’re not going to hit your driver.’ He saw how well I was hitting that Slazenger 1-iron that I had. I can’t remember ever missing a fairway with that 1-iron. It won me the championship because it let my irons finish it off, and my mid- to short-irons were maybe the best in golf at that time.  PGATOUR.COM: Were there any similarities between your 66 at Birkdale and the 63 at Oakmont? MILLER: It was a pretty flawless tee-to-green round. I’ll bet you 90 percent of the tournaments I won I was No. 1 in greens hit that week. That’s just the way I won golf tournaments, by hitting it close enough that a few putts were going to go in. I didn’t do it with great putting. The only really good putting I had was in 1973, ’74 and ’75. Before that it wasn’t too good, and after that it was really not good. By ’76, I was getting yippy enough that I took my wife’s red fingernail polish and put a dot right on the bottom of the grip below my right thumb. When I putted, I would just watch the little red dot go one-two, one-two. PGATOUR.COM: That was your last major, and your last win for four years. What caused you to fall into a slump after winning at Birkdale? MILLER: We had babies in 1970, ’72, ’74 and ’76, so by 1976 — my son, Scott, was born May 12 — I put a really high priority on being home a lot for my young family. And then we had two more kids in ’78 and ’80. If I would have had any brains after that Open, I would have taken at least six months off of the game. I wouldn’t have played the first half of ’77. I had done pretty much all that I wanted, and I wasn’t practicing. I just wanted to be home. It was a great run, but it was a lot of years of hard golf. That one (the 1976 Open Championship) was sort of the capper. I gained 20 pounds of muscle in the fall of 1976, working on that first ranch that I bought. I couldn’t even feel the club. It felt like a pretzel in my hands. I had never had a slump in my life until ’77. I played terribly. I didn’t practice, I didn’t play very many tournaments. I wanted to play a little bit, but I should have taken some time off. That would have quieted my nerves probably a lot. 1976 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP LEADERBOARD 1. Johnny Miller, 72-68-73-66 (-9) T2. Seve Ballesteros, 69-69-73-74 (-3) T2. Jack Nicklaus, 74-70-72-69 (-3) 4. Raymond Floyd, 76-67-73-70 (-2) PGATOUR.COM: What shot stands out for the week? MILLER: The chip-in for eagle on 15, the par-5, in the final round. That gave me a five-shot lead, and then Seve remembers that I got real friendly after that. He said, ‘He didn’t talk to me for two days and now all of a sudden he’s talking Spanish to me.’ He exaggerated a little, but I knew just a little bit of Spanish from school. Yeah, I can get friendly when I have a five-shot lead with three holes to go. PGATOUR.COM: How familiar were you with Seve before the week? MILLER: I didn’t know who Seve Ballesteros was. Neither did hardly anybody else. He was just a 19-year-old, good-looking guy with a big swing who played super aggressively. You could feel his confidence and feel his determination and his drive and his passion. I know he had a really good hand action down at the bottom of the swing, but he was slightly over the plane when he came down. If he released it, it would go left. And then he would undercut it to the right sometimes. I knew he was a little bit askew with the driver. He didn’t hit them exactly where he was aiming too often. But he was very confident, very proud, and he had a calmness. He was a great putter. He had a big backswing on his putter, and sort of a gliding follow-through, a lot like Ben Crenshaw. Just a real long, smooth, gorgeous putting stroke. You could definitely see he was going to be a super, super player. PGATOUR.COM: Your housemate that week was Sam Snead, who was 64 years old at the time. The Sports Illustrated story from your victory says that he lectured you after the third round, when you slammed your visor to the ground and kicked it in disgust. He told you, ‘You don’t throw your cap to the ground, son. That’s not you. Hit golf shots is what you do best.’ How did you guys end up rooming together? MILLER: That was totally cool. Ed Barner of Uni Managers International had a bunch of players like Grier Jones, Jerry Heard, Jim Simons, Ed Sneed, J.C. Snead, Billy Casper and myself. He was good friends with Sam, being his manager, and so — I can’t believe Sam was even playing in that British Open — it was a hoot staying with him all week.  That was one of the greatest memories of that win, just watching him kick the top of the doorjamb at his age. (Note: Snead was competing to celebrate the 30th anniversary of his win in the 1946 Open Championship. He shot 79-75 and missed the cut in 1976.) PGATOUR.COM: You’ll be at Birkdale this year to commentate on The Open Championship. What do you miss about calling the U.S. Open, and what do you enjoy about your new role? MILLER: As a young boy, my dad just instilled that (the U.S. Open) was going to be the one he was going to work with me towards winning. Everything was groomed towards winning the U.S. Open. There’s a time and a season for everything, and I miss it, but I’m proud that I was given the opportunity to cover our national championship. It’s changed a lot. I grew up with narrow fairways at the U.S. Open and long rough, and honestly it’s been really tough for me to see the changes in the U.S. Open for the last several years. It’s just a more gentle championship off the tee than it used to be. I miss the long rough and I miss the rough around the greens where you had to chop it out. It’s hard for me to see the direction the U.S. Open is going. I guess I’ve just got to get with it and accept it. But I’d like to see it go back to where really accuracy is rewarded, not scrambling. Last year’s Open was probably one of the greatest majors in the history of golf, with Phil shooting 65 and Stenson shooting 63. It was just a great, great day of golf. The history of The Open is one thing, and it really is the world’s championship.

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Chase Koepka receives spot in 2021 Travelers ChampionshipChase Koepka receives spot in 2021 Travelers Championship

Monday qualifier Chase Koepka will get to play in the Travelers Championship after all. He’ll just be playing in 2021. Tournament Director Nathan Grube confirmed Thursday that Koepka – who Monday qualified for this year’s Travelers only to later withdraw for precautionary reasons related to the coronavirus – has a standing invitation to play in next year’s tournament. “It is 100% confirmed,” Grube said. “I called Chase this morning and I said, ‘Listen, I don’t know if you’ll even need it next year, but if you need a spot, we have you covered. We were so excited for you, so looking forward to see you play, and we know you’re disappointed. But you’re here (next year). You’ve got a spot.’” Reached at home as he watched the first round of the Travelers, Koepka, 26, said, “I was ecstatic when I got the call this morning. I obviously didn’t know something like that would happen.” Koepka shot 67 and survived a five-for-two playoff in the Travelers qualifier at Ellington Ridge Country Club on Monday. His older brother Brooks, the former world No. 1, watched him come up the 18th hole and in the playoff, and they celebrated afterward. It seemed like a nice story. Then everything got flipped. Chase’s plans for this week changed after the caddies for brother Brooks and Graeme McDowell tested positive for the virus. Koepka and McDowell, although they tested negative, withdrew out of an abundance of caution. Chase also tested negative but also withdrew as a precautionary measure, having played a practice round with Brooks and McDowell (and their caddies) early in the week. “I feel as if this is the best decision to keep all other players, caddies and volunteers safe,” Chase Koepka said. Brooks and others praised his selflessness; from the outside, it looked like a tough blow for a guy trying to establish a foothold in the professional game. Chase played on Europe’s Challenge Tour last season, and has status on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2020. He had been looking forward to making his third PGA TOUR start this season at the Travelers – his best career result is a fifth-place finish with Brooks at the 2017 Zurich Classic of New Orleans – and trying to make the most of his hard-earned start. Now he’ll get that start after all. “It makes me feel so great that they saw what I did,” he said. “Hopefully I don’t need the start and can find a way to earn my PGA TOUR card for next year.”

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