Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

Win probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, End of Round 1. Top 10 win probabilities: Jon Rahm (1, -8, 31.5%) Patrick Cantlay (T2, -5, 12.3%) Hideki Matsuyama (T2, -5, 8.4%) Justin Rose (T13, -3, 4.1%) Bubba Watson (T2, -5, 2.8%) Bryson DeChambeau (T13, -3, 2.7%) Rory McIlroy (T24, -1, 2.7%) Tyrrell Hatton (T7, -4, 2.6%) Justin Thomas (T18, -2, 2.6%) Brooks Koepka (T18, -2, 2.6%) Top strokes-gained performances: Putting: Jon Rahm +5.2 Around-the-green: Shugo Imahira +2.63 Approach: Justin Thomas +3.26 Off-the-tee: Dustin Johnson +2.16 Total: Jon Rahm +7.48 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Van Driel / E. Chacarra / N. Von Dellingshausen
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Eugenio Chacarra+140
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen+185
Darius Van Driel+200
2nd Round 3-Balls - L. Canter / F. Molinari / H. Li
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Haotong Li+145
Laurie Canter+160
Francesco Molinari+230
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Campillo / M. Schneider / K. Nakajima
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Keita Nakajima+150
Marcel Schneider+175
Jorge Campillo+200
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Kinhult / J. Dean / R. Neergaard
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen+110
Marcus Kinhult+210
Joe Dean+240
2nd Round 3-Balls - W. Besseling / A. Del Rey / S. Bairstow
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sam Bairstow+125
Alejandro Del Rey+175
Wil Besseling+250
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Luiten / J. Parry / G. Miggliozzi
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Joost Luiten+125
John Parry+185
Guido Migliozzi+225
ShopRite LPGA Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda+550
Jeeno Thitikul+700
Jin Young Ko+1100
Rio Takeda+1200
Miyu Yamashita+1400
Ayaka Furue+1600
Chisato Iwai+1600
Mao Saigo+1600
Somi Lee+2200
Jin Hee Im+2500
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American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Alker/Langer+550
Cejka/Kjeldsen+750
Kelly/Leonard+1000
Bjorn/Clarke+1100
Cabrera/Gonzalez+1100
Cink/Toms+1400
Stricker/Tiziani+1400
Allan/Chalmers+1600
Green/Hensby+1800
Wi/Yang+1800
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Virginia
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+450
Jon Rahm+550
Joaquin Niemann+700
Tyrrell Hatton+1200
Patrick Reed+1800
Carlos Ortiz+2200
Lucas Herbert+2200
Cameron Smith+2500
David Puig+2500
Sergio Garcia+2500
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1st Round 3-Balls - D. Burmester / B. Grace / C. Schwartzel
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Dean Burmester+120
Charl Schwartzel+170
Branden Grace+275
1st Round 3-Balls - S. Garcia / L. Oosthuizen / M. Kaymer
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sergio Garcia+105
Louis Oosthuizen+145
Martin Kaymer+400
1st Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / T. McKibbin / C. Surratt
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Tyrrell Hatton+105
Tom McKibbin+200
Caleb Surratt+260
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Herbert / M. Leishman / M. Jones
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Lucas Herbert+100
Marc Leishman+170
Matt Jones+350
1st Round 3-Balls - B. Koepka / D. Johnson / C. Smith
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Cameron Smith+150
Brooks Koepka+175
Dustin Johnson+200
1st Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / J. Rahm / J. Niemann
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+150
Jon Rahm+170
Joaquin Niemann+210
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group A - B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton / J. Rahm / P. Reed / J. Niemann / C. Ortiz
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+280
Jon Rahm+320
Joaquin Niemann+375
Tyrrell Hatton+500
Patrick Reed+600
Carlos Ortiz+700
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group B - C. Smith / S. Garcia / L. Herbert / D. Burmester / S. Munoz / B. Koepka
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Cameron Smith+375
Lucas Herbert+375
Sebastian Munoz+425
Brooks Koepka+450
Dean Burmester+450
Sergio Garcia+450
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group C - T. Gooch / P. Casey / C. Tringale / M. Leishman / D. Johnson / R. Bland
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Talor Gooch+350
Cameron Tringale+400
Dustin Johnson+400
Marc Leishman+450
Paul Casey+450
Richard Bland+475
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Tom McKibbin+400
Bubba Watson+425
Charl Schwartzel+425
Thomas Pieters+425
Harold Varner III+450
Louis Oosthuizen+450
Bryson DeChambeau
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-135
Top 10 Finish-350
Top 20 Finish-1200
Jon Rahm
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-115
Top 10 Finish-300
Top 20 Finish-1200
Joaquin Niemann
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+100
Top 10 Finish-250
Top 20 Finish-900
Tyrrell Hatton
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+180
Top 10 Finish-150
Top 20 Finish-600
Patrick Reed
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+290
Top 10 Finish+105
Top 20 Finish-400
Carlos Ortiz
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+310
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-400
Lucas Herbert
Type: Lucas Herbert - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+310
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-400
Cameron Smith
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
Top 20 Finish-350
David Puig
Type: David Puig - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
Top 20 Finish-350
Sergio Garcia
Type: Sergio Garcia - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
Top 20 Finish-350
Brooks Koepka
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+140
Top 20 Finish-300
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Collin Morikawa+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Brooks Koepka+4000
Hideki Matsuyama+4000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Emergency 9: Fantasy golf advice for Genesis OpenEmergency 9: Fantasy golf advice for Genesis Open

Here are nine tidbits from the second round of the Genesis Open that gamers can use tomorrow, this weekend or down the road. Be looking for the Emergency 9 shortly after the close of play of each round of the tournament. PAIN OR GAIN These were the top-five picked golfers in the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO: With 15 players stranded, Round 2 will not be completed until tomorrow morning. The cut is not official yet and neither will be the places used in the descriptions below. I’ll use the current suspended leaderboard as a point of reference with the understanding it can change tomorrow. As it stands, all five above will be playing the weekend with Mickelson leading the group at T26. Yikes. Hey, at least DJ rallied and made the cut! There’s hope! You See, L.A.! Former UCLA Bruin and Southland native Patrick Cantlay looks to add win No. 2 to the season as he shares the clubhouse lead after his first two rounds. The Shriners champion pointed out today that when he was at UCLA they practiced at Bel-Air Country Club and didn’t play Riviera much. He’s looking to join John Merrick (2013) as the only Los Angelinos to win this event. He’s leading the field in strokes-gained: approach-the-green and putts per GIR. Gee, Mac! Last week after round two at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, I wrote about Graeme McDowell shooting 80 at Spyglass after 71 on Pebble Beach. He opened this week with 69 and followed it with 66 to currently share the lead in the clubhouse on 135 (-7). He opened         69-70 last year before 71-77 on the weekend (67th). He also shot 66 in 2009 en route to T41, his best finish in five tries before this year. Best of luck to both of you who played him this week in the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO. Not Finished Yet Sam Saunders continues to pique the interest of gamers for a second year in a row at Riviera Country Club. The first-round leader from 2017 has three more holes to tame Saturday morning that could see him possibly lead after 36 holes this year. He’s tied with Cantlay and McDowell currently even with a double on his card Friday. His 11 birdies over his first 33 holes have been impressive. … Scott Stallings backed up his even-par round Thursday with a monster Friday, as he’s currently five-under-par with two holes remaining. He’s been trending properly (T23, 7th) the last two weeks and is rewarding gamers who have jumped on board. Momentum Rafael Cabrera-Bello, making his first start at the Genesis Open, rattled off six birdies in his first seven holes on Friday. The Spaniard moved up 50 places to T11 after signing for 67 (-4). He keeps reinforcing his class regardless of prior course knowledge. … German Martin Kaymer is on his debut as well as posted a bogey-free 67 (-4) to move up 71 spots to T15. … One of my favorite fantasy players, Austin Cook, is following suit of the Ryder Cuppers above. He moved up 90 spots after a magnificent 66 (-5) that included a whopping seven birdies against two bogeys. Quick learners! Night Shift Top 10 selections in the PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO Daniel Berger and Marc Leishman are going home early regardless of what happens early Saturday morning. Berger, the sixth-most popular selection and Leishman, No. 10, need to be subbed out if they are currently occupying a spot in your live, line up. Berger now has MC in two starts in this event while Leishman continues his all-or-nothing run with his fourth MC in nine tries. Berger will get another long look from gamers next week at PGA National. He lost in a playoff to Padraig Harrington in his first try in 2015. Streakers K.J. Choi had never missed a cut here in 17 previous tries in his career. His 74-74 this week ends that marvelous streak. … Southern California native Cameron Tringale was perfect in seven tries with five checks cashed for T25 or better. He’ll join Choi in traffic after 74-73. … Brendan Steele snuck in the back door (72-71) for his seventh weekend in a row at Riviera. … Brian Gay’s streak of top-10 finishes ends at two weeks in a row with 74-75. Wood You? Tiger Woods checked in at No. 15 in the most-selected player department in the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO. He was also the 13th-most selected in the PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO. His only stat category inside the top 50 this week was two-hole driving distance. He made bogey on 12 of his 36 holes and also recorded a double. This course doesn’t have any water but PGA National does and that’s where he’s heading next week. He’s never won that event either. Study Hall Jim Herman is shutting it down for a while, according to this tweet. Weekly and season-long gamers also read some interesting news today about Stewart Cink: Nicholas Lindheim WD during round 1 with an illness. It’s his second in-tournament WD this season. He also withdrew at Shriners after round one last November. … Jim Furyk returned to competition and MC after 73-73.

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Numbers to Know: Sony Open in HawaiiNumbers to Know: Sony Open in Hawaii

Cameron Smith won the Sony Open in Hawaii on Sunday for his second PGA TOUR title, and first individual win. He also won the 2017 Zurich Classic of New Orleans with Jonas Blixt. Smith, 26, moved to fifth in the FedExCup after defeating Brendan Steele in a one-hole playoff a Waialae. RELATED: Sony Open win means ‘that little bit more’ | Winner’s Bag | International Team announces Australian bushfire relief donation  Here’s a closer look at the best stats from Smith’s win in Hawaii: 1. BOUNCE BACK: Two holes into the tournament, Smith didn’t look destined for the winner’s circle. He bogeyed his first hole Thursday, then made a triple-bogey 7 on the next hole. He is the first player since at least 2003 to win after playing the first two holes in 4 over. ShotLink, which began in 2003, records the starting hole for each round. 2. ON A ROLL: Smith played his next 16 holes in 4 under to shoot 70 in the first round. His putter helped him dig out of that early hole. He gained +4.8 strokes on the greens Thursday. He went 4 for 5 from 10-15 feet – TOUR players made 30% of putts from that range last season — and sank putts of 21 and 15 feet. It was the second-best Strokes Gained: Putting round of Smith’s career, surpassed only by the +5.0 he gained in the second round of this season’s Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Contrast that to the final three rounds this week, when Smith didn’t sink a single putt from outside 10 feet. He did hole nine of 11 attempts from 7-10 feet in the final three rounds, though. That’s a 82% make percentage. 3. STEELE’S SUNDAY: Steele started the final round with a three-shot lead and looked to have the tournament in hand after holing a bunker shot on the par-3 11th. He played the final seven holes in 2 over, though. He bogeyed 13 and 17 to sign for a final-round 71. Steele led the field in Strokes Gained: Putting through three rounds but was last in the field in that statistic Sunday. He was just 1 for 5 from 4-8 feet in the final round and didn’t make a putt outside 6 feet. 4. WEBB’S CLOSE CALL: Webb Simpson could have joined the playoff with a birdie at the par-5 finishing hole, but he missed the fairway right and couldn’t reach the green. It was another close call for Simpson. In his last 11 starts, he has four runner-up finishes and this third-place finish. His worst finish in that stretch is T30. Simpson’s worst finish in three starts this season is T7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He finished runner-up in his previous start, losing a playoff to Tyler Duncan at The RSM Classic. Simpson is fourth in Strokes Gained: Approach this season and 12th in Strokes Gained: Putting. Since the RBC Canadian Open – the start of this 11-event stretch – Simpson has been the second-best putter on TOUR and fourth in Strokes Gained: Approach. 5. MORE TO COME FROM MORIKAWA: Simpson finished runner-up to Rory McIlroy at RBC Canadian Open. That’s where Collin Morikawa arrived on the scene as well, finishing T14 in his pro debut. There are some other similarities between the two. Both are strong iron players who have shown a penchant for going low. Morikawa is second on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Approach since the RBC Canadian Open (see above). Their shared consistency also is worth noting. They’ve both made 16 consecutive cuts, the second-longest active streak on TOUR (Tommy Fleetwood leads that category with 31 in a row). Morikawa finished T21 this week but he held the first-round lead with an impressive 65 in tough conditions. It was his 18th round of 66 or lower since turning pro at the RBC Canadian Open. That’s two more than anyone else on TOUR in that span. Simpson is second in that category.

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