Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: Vivint Houston Open

Win probabilities: Vivint Houston Open

2021 Houston Open, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Sam Burns (1, -7, 20.6%) 2. Jason Day (T2, -5, 13.6%) 3. Dustin Johnson (T14, -2, 7.7%) 4. Carlos Ortiz (T2, -5, 6.7%) 5. Corey Conners (T4, -4, 6.4%) 6. Adam Scott (T9, -3, 5.1%) 7. Tony Finau (T14, -2, 4.6%) 8. Aaron Wise (T4, -4, 4.1%) 9. Brandt Snedeker (T4, -4, 3.9%) 10. Talor Gooch (T9, -3, 2.9%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Francesco Molinari +3.6 Around the Green: Troy Merritt +3.0 Approach the Green: Matthew NeSmith +3.3 Off-the-tee: Bo Hoag +1.7 Total: Sam Burns +6.3 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live "Make Cut", "Top 20", "Top 5", and "Win" probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Vivint Houston Open, or to see how each golfer's probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model's home page.

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+450
Bryson DeChambeau+900
Justin Thomas+1800
Collin Morikawa+2200
Jon Rahm+2200
Xander Schauffele+2200
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Joaquin Niemann+3000
Brooks Koepka+4000
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AdventHealth Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Kensei Hirata+2000
Mitchell Meissner+2200
SH Kim+2200
Neal Shipley+2500
Seungtaek Lee+2800
Hank Lebioda+3000
Chandler Blanchet+3500
Pierceson Coody+3500
Rick Lamb+3500
Trey Winstead+3500
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Regions Tradition
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Stewart Cink+550
Steve Stricker+650
Ernie Els+700
Steven Alker+750
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1200
Bernhard Langer+1400
Jerry Kelly+1600
Alex Cejka+1800
Retief Goosen+2500
Richard Green+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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PGA Championship tee times, Rounds 1 & 2PGA Championship tee times, Rounds 1 & 2

The PGA Championship may have moved to a May date, but it is retaining one of its traditional pairings. Just as it did in August, the event has paired the past three major winners. That means Masters champion Tiger Woods will be play alongside defending champion Brooks Koepka and Open champion Francesco Molinari. Koepka and Molinari both finished runner-up to Woods at Augusta National in April. Here’s a look at some of the headlining pairings for the year’s second major, which will be held next week at Bethpage State Park. One spot in the field remains to be filled. The winner of this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson, if not already exempt for the PGA, will play alongside Adam Long and Craig Bowden. (Note: FedExCup ranking in parentheses) 7:40 a.m. off No. 10: Sergio Garcia (41), Justin Thomas (12), Adam Scott (38): Garcia has finished in the top 10 in three of the four PGA TOUR events at Bethpage Black (two U.S. Opens, two NORTHERN TRUSTs). This group features two of the game’s longtime headliners, who are both pushing 40, along with one of its young stars. Thomas won the 2017 PGA Championship en route to that season’s FedExCup. 7:51 off No. 10: Charley Hoffman (54), Louis Oosthuizen (51), Patrick Reed (62): Reed and Oosthuizen both finished runner-up to Thomas at the 2017 PGA Championship. Reed went on to win his first major at the 2018 Masters, while Oosthuizen won the 2010 Open Championship. Reed won the 2016 THE NORTHERN TRUST, the opening event of the FedExCup Playoffs, at Bethpage Black. 8:02 a.m. off No. 10: Rickie Fowler (6), Bubba Watson (56), Justin Rose (11): Rose, the reigning FedExCup champion, and Fowler both have victories this year. Watson is a 12-time PGA TOUR winner. 8:13 a.m. off No. 10: Xander Schauffele (2), Hideki Matsuyama (43), Alex Noren (133): Schauffele already has two wins this season, as well as a runner-up finish at the Masters. Matsuyama is seeking his first win since 2017. 8:24 a.m. off No. 10: Brooks Koepka (8), Francesco Molinari (15), Tiger Woods (17): These are the last three major champions, and all three have wins this season, as well. Koepka won THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES, while Molinari won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Koepka is trying to become the first player since Woods to win back-to-back PGAs. Woods won the 2002 U.S. Open here after winning the Masters earlier that year. 1:16 p.m. off No. 1: Jon Rahm (7), Dustin Johnson (5), Jordan Spieth (153): Spieth is trying to complete the career Grand Slam at Bethpage Black, while Rahm is looking for his first major. Rahm recently won the Zurich Classic of New Orleans with teammate Ryan Palmer. Johnson won earlier this year at the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. 1:38 p.m. off No. 1: Rory McIlroy (3), Phil Mickelson (18), Jason Day (32): This group features three players who have been victorious in both THE PLAYERS and the PGA Championship. McIlroy won at TPC Sawgrass earlier this year. Mickelson was runner-up in both the U.S. Opens at Bethpage Black (2002, ’09). Here are the full first and second round tee times for the 101st PGA Championship. (* Denotes 10th Tee Start) FIRST ROUND 6:45 A.M. ET Rob Labritz Beau Hossler J.J. Spaun 6:45 A.M. ET* Ben Cook Scott Piercy Brian Gay 6:56 A.M. ET Sam Burns Jeffrey Schmid Keith Mitchell 6:56 A.M. ET* Thomas Pieters Patton Kizzire Adam Hadwin 7:07 A.M. ET Byeong Hun An Jason Caron Andrew Putnam 7:07 A.M. ET* Brandt Snedeker Kiradech Aphibarnrat Max Homa 7:18 A.M. ET John O’Leary Harold Varner III Kyle Stanley 7:18 A.M. ET* Henrik Stenson David Lipsky Richard Sterne 7:29 A.M. ET Mike Lorenzo-Vera Justin Harding Sam Ryder 7:29 A.M. ET* Shane Lowry Erik Van Rooyen Tommy Fleetwood 7:40 A.M. ET Vijay Singh Jason Dufner Jimmy Walker 7:40 A.M. ET* Sergio Garcia Justin Thomas Adam Scott 7:51 A.M. ET Graeme McDowell Chez Reavie Brendan Jones 7:51 A.M. ET* Charley Hoffman Louis Oosthuizen Patrick Reed 8:02 A.M. ET Tyrrell Hatton Russell Knox Haotong Li 8:02 A.M. ET* Rickie Fowler Bubba Watson Justin Rose 8:13 A.M. ET Lee Westwood Shaun Norris Charles Howell III 8:13 A.M. ET* Xander Schauffele Hideki Matsuyama Alex Noren 8:24 A.M. ET J.B. Holmes Lucas Bjerregaard Troy Merritt 8:24 A.M. ET* Brooks Koepka Francesco Molinari Tiger Woods 8:35 A.M. ET Joost Luiten Brian Mackey Matt Wallace 8:35 A.M. ET* Aaron Wise Ryan Fox Shugo Imahira 8:46 A.M. ET Casey Russell Luke List Abraham Ancer 8:46 A.M. ET* Julian Suri Marty Jertson Martin Trainer 8:57 A.M. ET Craig Bowden Adam Long AT&T Byron Nelson 8:57 A.M. ET* Lucas Herbert Cory Schneider Sungjae Im 12:10 P.M. ET Michael Thompson Danny Lee Justin Bertsch 12:10 P.M. ET* Ryan Vermeer Adrian Otaegui Jason Kokrak 12:21 P.M. ET Cameron Champ Rich Berberian, Jr. Lucas Glover 12:21 P.M. ET* Alex Björk Rod Perry Ross Fisher 12:32 P.M. ET Emiliano Grillo Daniel Berger Paul Casey 12:32 P.M. ET* Eddie Pepperell Branden Grace Ryan Palmer 12:43 P.M. ET Tony Finau Billy Horschel Ian Poulter 12:43 P.M. ET* Ryan Moore Joel Dahmen Thorbjørn Olesen 12:54 P.M. ET Matt Fitzpatrick Rafa Cabrera Bello Gary Woodland 12:54 P.M. ET* Y.E. Yang Rich Beem John Daly 1:05 P.M. ET Padraig Harrington Martin Kaymer Keegan Bradley 1:05 P.M. ET* Steve Stricker Brian Harman Patrick Cantlay 1:16 P.M. ET Jon Rahm Dustin Johnson Jordan Spieth 1:16 P.M. ET* Sung Kang Shaun Micheel Alex Beach 1:27 P.M. ET Pat Perez Kevin Kisner Bryson DeChambeau 1:27 P.M. ET* C.T. Pan Kevin Na Ryan Armour 1:38 P.M. ET Rory McIlroy Phil Mickelson Jason Day 1:38 P.M. ET* Danny Willett Webb Simpson Zach Johnson 1:49 P.M. ET Satoshi Kodaira Matt Kuchar Cameron Smith 1:49 P.M. ET* Kevin Tway Brandon Stone Bronson Burgoon 2:00 P.M. ET Corey Conners Jim Furyk Marc Leishman 2:00 P.M. ET* Si Woo Kim Danny Balin Tom Lewis 2:11 P.M. ET Jorge Campillo Stuart Deane Chesson Hadley 2:11 P.M. ET* Jazz Janewattananond Tyler Hall Michael Kim 2:22 P.M. ET Dylan Frittelli Andrew Filbert Kurt Kitayama 2:22 P.M. ET* Mikko Korhonen Craig Hocknull Jhonattan Vegas SECOND ROUND 6:45 A.M. ET* Michael Thompson Danny Lee Justin Bertsch 6:45 A.M. ET Ryan Vermeer Adrian Otaegui Jason Kokrak 6:56 A.M. ET* Cameron Champ Rich Berberian, Jr. Lucas Glover 6:56 A.M. ET Alex Björk Rod Perry Ross Fisher 7:07 A.M. ET* Emiliano Grillo Daniel Berger Paul Casey 7:07 A.M. ET Eddie Pepperell Branden Grace Ryan Palmer 7:18 A.M. ET* Tony Finau Billy Horschel Ian Poulter 7:18 A.M. ET Ryan Moore Joel Dahmen Thorbjørn Olesen 7:29 A.M. ET* Matt Fitzpatrick Rafa Cabrera Bello Gary Woodland 7:29 A.M. ET Y.E. Yang Rich Beem John Daly 7:40 A.M. ET* Padraig Harrington Martin Kaymer Keegan Bradley 7:40 A.M. ET Steve Stricker Brian Harman Patrick Cantlay 7:51 A.M. ET* Jon Rahm Dustin Johnson Jordan Spieth 7:51 A.M. ET Sung Kang Shaun Micheel Alex Beach Pat Perez Kevin Kisner Bryson DeChambeau 8:02 A.M. ET C.T. Pan Kevin Na Ryan Armour 8:13 A.M. ET* Rory McIlroy Phil Mickelson Jason Day 8:13 A.M. ET Danny Willett Webb Simpson Zach Johnson 8:24 A.M. ET* Satoshi Kodaira Matt Kuchar Cameron Smith 8:24 A.M. ET Kevin Tway Brandon Stone Bronson Burgoon 8:35 A.M. ET* Corey Conners Jim Furyk Marc Leishman 8:35 A.M. ET Si Woo Kim Danny Balin Tom Lewis 8:46 A.M. ET* Jorge Campillo Stuart Deane Chesson Hadley 8:46 A.M. ET Jazz Janewattananond Tyler Hall Michael Kim 8:57 A.M. ET* Dylan Frittelli Andrew Filbert Kurt Kitayama 8:57 A.M. ET Mikko Korhonen Craig Hocknull Jhonattan Vegas 12:10 P.M. ET* Rob Labritz Beau Hossler J.J. Spaun 12:19 P.M. ET Ben Cook Scott Piercy Brian Gay 12:21 P.M. ET* Sam Burns Jeffrey Schmid Keith Mitchell 12:21 P.M. ET Thomas Pieters Patton Kizzire Adam Hadwin 12:32 P.M. ET* Byeong Hun An Jason Caron Andrew Putnam 12:32 P.M. ET Brandt Snedeker Kiradech Aphibarnrat Max Homa 12:43 P.M. ET* John O’Leary Harold Varner III Kyle Stanley 12:43 P.M. ET Henrik Stenson David Lipsky Richard Sterne 12:54 P.M. ET* Mike Lorenzo-Vera Justin Harding Sam Ryder 12:54 P.M. ET Shane Lowry Erik Van Rooyen Tommy Fleetwood 1:05 P.M. ET* Vijay Singh Jason Dufner Jimmy Walker 1:05 P.M. ET Sergio Garcia Justin Thomas Adam Scott 1:16 P.M. ET* Graeme McDowell Chez Reavie Brendan Jones 1:16 P.M. ET Charley Hoffman Louis Oosthuizen Patrick Reed 1:27 P.M. ET* Tyrrell Hatton Russell Knox Haotong Li 1:27 P.M. ET Rickie Fowler Bubba Watson Justin Rose 1:38 P.M. ET* Lee Westwood Shaun Norris Charles Howell III 1:38 P.M. ET Xander Schauffele Hideki Matsuyama Alex Noren 1:49 P.M. ET* J.B. Holmes Lucas Bjerregaard Troy Merritt 1:49 P.M. ET Brooks Koepka Francesco Molinari Tiger Woods 2:00 P.M. ET* Joost Luiten Brian Mackey Matt Wallace 2:00 P.M. ET Aaron Wise Ryan Fox Shugo Imahira 2:11 P.M. ET* Casey Russell Luke List Abraham Ancer 2:11 P.M. ET Julian Suri Marty Jertson Martin Trainer 2:22 P.M. ET* Craig Bowden Adam Long AT&T Byron Nelson 2:22 P.M. ET Lucas Herbert Cory Schneider Sungjae Im  

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Branden Grace-Justin Harding a potential International Team duo?Branden Grace-Justin Harding a potential International Team duo?

AVONDALE, La. – Branden Grace wanted to make something very clear – he’s actually younger than Justin Harding, his partner this week at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Evidently, there’s a perception that Grace, who turns 31 next month, is the grizzled veteran compared to the boyish-looking Harding, who turned 33 in February. “I just want to state that,� Grace said. “A lot of people are asking me. He seems too young.� And so is their partnership that’s in prime contention entering Sunday’s final round of Foursomes at TPC Louisiana. A third-round 61 in Four-balls (the low score of the round) moved them to 22 under, just one shot off the lead shared by Jon Rahm/Ryan Palmer and Scott Stallings/Trey Mullinax. Although the two South Africans have known each other for many years, having played against each other as juniors, this week is the first time they’ve competed with each other. Grace, of course, has teamed with Louis Oosthuizen as one of the International Team’s most productive duos at the Presidents Cup. Harding, meanwhile, has never made a Presidents Cup team, and is making his first start at the Zurich Classic, as he plays mostly on the European Tour. “This might be the first time we’ve actually played together as a team or as a partnership,� Harding said. “We tend to play against each other more.� Grace and Ooosthuizen were partners at TPC Louisiana in 2017, finishing T-24. They were supposed to play together last year, but Grace withdrew to be his wife as she delivered their first child. Related: Tee times | Rahm/Palmer an unusual partnership that works | Day/Scott team misses cut at TPC Louisiana This year, Oosthuizen played another South African star, Charl Schwartzel, thus leaving Grace with Harding. While Oosthuizen-Schwartzel missed the cut, Grace-Harding have a chance to win with a big showing in Sunday’s Foursomes. “I got fired, so I had to look for a new partner,� Grace joked. “Obviously I made a good pick.� So why has it worked with this first-time duo? Well, obviously the talent is there. So is the South African kinship and camaraderie. “Look, both of our games are similar. We’re a good match,� Harding said. “We like to keep each other quite jovial out there on the golf course, lots of jokes and some banter – which probably shouldn’t be shared – but it’s good fun.� Added Grace: “He’s a better putter than I am. I get streaky but he is definitely better. We have fun out there. We give each other hell, as well, and we take it the right way.� It’s obviously working this week – and it’ll likely give International Team Captain Ernie Els something to think about in December when he decides on his pairings at Royal Melbourne. Of all the partnerships involving players from International Team countries, Grace-Harding have by far been the best. For once, they’re finally on the same side of the battle.

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Best stats of the fall swingBest stats of the fall swing

The fall portion of this PGA TOUR season was not without its share of milestones, drama or interesting finishes. Strong fields dotted the schedule. Seven of the nine winners had already laid claim to a PGA TOUR victory in their careers. The roster of champions included established names like Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama and Max Homa, along with rising stars such as Sam Burns, Sungjae Im and Viktor Hovland. Players went remarkably low to get to those trophies: the final-round scoring average for the winners this fall was 65.6. Over the previous five PGA TOUR seasons, winners have averaged 67.2 on Sundays. Here are the top numbers to know from the fall portion of the season: RELATED CONTENT: Five things from the fall season | Talor Gooch wins RSM to take FedExCup lead | Twenty First Group 62 At the Shriners Children’s Open, Sungjae Im put on a stellar display of approach play, hitting 62 of 72 greens in regulation on his way to a four-shot victory. Since 1990, only 4% of PGA TOUR winners have hit at least 86% of their greens in regulation for the week. Incredibly, it was the second week in a row that it happened! The previous week, Sam Burns lit up the Country Club of Jackson with 63 of 72 greens hit as he picked up his second PGA TOUR title. +1.78 Speaking of Burns, he careens into the new year sitting in second place in the FedExCup standings. Burns is averaging a whopping 1.78 Strokes Gained: Ball Striking (combining performance off-the-tee and on approach), a full quarter-of-a-stroke better than anyone else with at least eight measured rounds this fall. Now in the top 15 of the Official World Golf Ranking for the first time in his young career, Burns has not finished worse than T-21 in any event around the world since July 19. 68.85 With four consecutive top-20 finishes, another young star positioning himself for a successful 2022 is Matthew Wolff. The 22-year-old Oklahoma State product leads the PGA TOUR in scoring average and ranks fourth in Strokes Gained: Total. One intriguing figure within Wolff’s stat sheet is his increased club head speed. At 125.11 MPH, Wolff led all measured players this fall, and sits nearly 11 MPH above the TOUR average. 20 At THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT, Rory McIlroy made two eagles and 13 birdies on the weekend to win by one stroke over a surging Collin Morikawa. At age 32, the victory was McIlroy’s 20th on the PGA TOUR, making him the second-youngest player born outside the United States to achieve this milestone. Harry Cooper, born in England in 1904, is credited with his 20th PGA TOUR title at age 31. Since 1960, McIlroy is one of just seven players to reach 20 official PGA TOUR titles before age 33. The others are a list of historical luminaries: Arnold Palmer, Billy Casper, Jack Nicklaus, Tom Watson, Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. 1 McIlroy found the winner’s circle in an unconventional manner for him: with an incredible week on the greens. He led the field in Strokes Gained: Putting for the week, just the second time in his career he has done that over the entirety of a PGA TOUR event. The other instance came at the 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, which he also won. It was just the seventh time McIlroy finished a PGA TOUR event ranked in the top five in the statistic; he’s won four of those seven instances, and never finished outside the top five when ranking in the top five in Strokes Gained: Putting for the week. -3.58 McIlroy’s terrific putting and usual stellar performance off the tee masked a below-average statistical performance with his approach play at Summit Club. For the week, McIlroy wound up with -3.58 Strokes Gained: Approach, ranking 67th of 77 players in the field. Of the nearly 700 PGA TOUR events officially tracked by ShotLink all-time, it is the worst Strokes Gained: Approach performance by a player in a victory. 3 At the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba, Viktor Hovland became the first player to successfully defend a title on the PGA TOUR since Brooks Koepka won back-to-back PGA Championships in 2018 and 2019. Hovland picked up his third TOUR win at 24 years, 1 month, 20 days old, making him just the fourth international player in the last 40 years to win three times that young. The others: McIlroy, Sergio Garcia and Adam Scott. Hovland capped off his 2021 with an unofficial win at the Hero World Challenge last week to rise to a career-best seventh in the Official World Golf Ranking. He’s now the second-ranked European in the world, behind only No. 1 Jon Rahm. 31.8 Was this the most impressive collection of PGA TOUR winners we have ever seen in the fall? The numbers suggest so. The average World Ranking of the nine official tournament winners this fall was 31.8, by far the best since wrap-around scheduling began in 2013-14. For comparison’s sake, the average World Ranking of winners in fall 2020 was 169.8! Every winner this fall was ranked in the top 60 of the OWGR at the time of his victory. Only one other fall stretch can even boast an average under 60 (2013, 53.2). 19 The United States trounced Europe at the Ryder Cup, posting the largest margin of victory (19-9, 10 points) by either side in the modern era. The Americans dominated the par-5s for the week, winning 34 holes to Europe’s 14. Every American player won at least one match before Singles even began. Dustin Johnson was a flawless 5-0-0, becoming the first American since Larry Nelson in 1979 to win five matches in a single Ryder Cup. U.S. rookies posted a combined record of 14-4-3, the highest points per match average (0.74) for any group of rookies in the modern era.

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