Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: Travelers Championship

Win probabilities: Travelers Championship

2021 Travelers Championship, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Jason Day (1, -9, 10.7%) 2. Bubba Watson (T2, -8, 9.7%) 3. Russell Henley (T4, -7, 7.0%) 4. Patrick Cantlay (T11, -6, 7.0%) 5. Scottie Scheffler (T11, -6, 5.0%) 6. Kramer Hickok (T2, -8, 3.8%) 7. Patrick Reed (T20, -5, 3.6%) 8. Kevin Kisner (T4, -7, 3.4%) 9. Bryson DeChambeau (T20, -5, 3.4%) 10. Justin Rose (T4, -7, 3.1%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Kevin Kisner +4.2 Around the Green: Brandon Hagy +2.7 Approach the Green: Stephen Stallings Jr. +3.5 Off-the-tee: Carlos Ortiz +2.3 Total: Jason Day +6.9 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Travelers Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Nelly Korda+1000
Lydia Ko+1400
Jin Young Ko+2000
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Ayaka Furue+2500
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Lauren Coughlin+2500
Minjee Lee+2500
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Nicolai Hojgaard / Rasmus Hojgaard+2500
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Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
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Stewart Cink+700
Padraig Harrington+800
Ernie Els+1000
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1200
Alex Cejka+2000
Bernhard Langer+2000
Stephen Ames+2000
Richard Green+2200
Freddie Jacobson+2500
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Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
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Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
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Jon Rahm+450
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Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Justin Thomas+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
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Late surge lifts Koepka to major triumphLate surge lifts Koepka to major triumph

ERIN, Wis. – News and observations from Sunday’s final round of the U.S. Open where Brooks Koepka shot a final-round 67 for a four-shot victory over Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman. For more of what unfolded at Erin Hills on Sunday, click here to read the Daily Wrap-up. KOEPKA SLAMS THE DOOR Brooks Koepka may be known for mashing drives like American League MVP Mike Trout, but it was his shortest club that separated him from the field on Sunday’s back nine. Koepka one-putted four consecutive holes to take a white-knuckled grip on the U.S. Open trophy. It started with a 9-foot par save at the par-3 13th that kept him tied for the lead. He then made birdie putts of 6 feet, 10 feet and 17 feet to reach 16 under and put the tournament out of reach. “That was kind of the meat of the tournament,â€� said Koepka’s instructor, Claude Harmon. Koepka parred the final two holes to tie the U.S. Open’s 72-hole scoring record (in relation to par). He finished four shots ahead of Hideki Matsuyama and 54-hole leader Brian Harman. The victory moved Koepka from 19th to fifth in the FedExCup standings. Koepka, who led the field in strokes gained: approach-to-the-green, finished third in both strokes gained: off-the-tee and strokes gained: putting. He started the final round one shot back of Harman but birdied the first two holes to take the lead. Koepka added another birdie with a 33-foot putt at the eighth hole. He lost his one-shot lead with a bogey at No. 10 and then parred the next two holes. Koepka missed his only green of the day at the par-3 13th and made what he called a “massiveâ€� par save. “The par save on 13, that built some confidence,â€� Koepka said. “That was kind of the changing point of the round for me.â€� Koepka got up-and-down from a greenside bunker for birdie at the par-5 14th, then hit his 150-yard approach shot at No. 15 to 10 feet. He called it one of his best shots of the week. The birdie at the par-3 17th ended any uncertainty about the tournament’s final result. “He birdied 14, 15, 16, and that was kind of lights out,â€� Harman said. “He went and won the golf tournament on the back nine.â€� ANOTHER BIG STAGE Koepka’s U.S. Open victory came with an added benefit. It likely clinched his first appearance in The Presidents Cup. Koepka jumped from ninth to fifth in the United States’ team standings. The top 10 on Sept. 4 will earn automatic selections for the team, which will compete against the International Team on Sept. 26-Oct. 1 at Liberty National. Koepka played his first Ryder Cup last year, going 3-1-0 in the United States’ victory at Hazeltine. He went 2-0 with Brandt Snedeker, winning a foursomes and four-ball match, then lost a four-ball match with Dustin Johnson. Koepka beat Masters champion Danny Willett, 5 and 4, in Sunday singles. Harman jumped from 13th to ninth in the standings after finishing T2 at Erin Hills. He’s never represented the United States in a professional competition, but he did play in the United States’ victories in the 2005 and 2009 Walker Cups. TWO PATHS TO T2 Hideki Matsuyama shot Sunday’s low round, while Harman couldn’t keep pace with Brooks Koepka’s late birdies. Matsuyama and Harman started Sunday separated by six shots, but ended the day tied for second at 12 under. Harman shot even-par 72 after starting the final round with a one-shot lead. He struggled from the tee, though, hitting just eight of 14 fairways. “I just wish I would have been able to put a little more pressure on the course. I didn’t drive it as well as I would’ve liked,â€� he said. It was his first top- 25 in eight majors. He’d missed the cut in five of his previous seven starts in golf’s Grand Slam events. His lack of prior success in these events provided little solace, though. “I don’t believe in moral victories. I had an opportunity today and I didn’t get it done,â€� said Harman, who beat Dustin Johnson to win the recent Wells Fargo Championship. Harman is No. 10 in the FedExCup. Matsuyma teed off more than an hour before the final group, and made birdie on five of his final eight holes to shoot 66 put pressure on the leaders. It was too little too late after starting the final round six shots off the lead, though. “I learned that I have to put four good rounds together,â€� said Matsuyama, who moved to No. 2 in the FedExCup. “I played two good rounds, but it wasn’t enough.â€� In addition to Sunday’s 66, he also fired a 65 in the second round. He was a combined 1 over in the other two rounds, firing a first-round 74 and a 71 on Saturday. BEST OF SOCIAL MEDIA ROOKIES BOOK RETURN TRIPS Xander Schauffele survived a sudden-death playoff just to earn a spot at Erin Hills. He made the most of the opportunity, finishing fifth in his first major championship. It not only matched the best finish of his PGA TOUR career, but earned him a return to this tournament. The top 10 finishers at Erin Hills earned exemptions into the 2018 U.S. Open. He broke par in three of four rounds to finish at 10-under 278 (66-73-70-69). That result catapulted him from No. 135 to No. 107 in the FedExCup. “I couldn’t be happier. I shot 3 under on my last seven holes,â€� Schauffele said. “There is no better way to finish a tournament than that.â€� The U.S. Open’s Father’s Day finish was special for Schauffele, whose father, Stefan, is his coach. Stefan Schauffele played semi-pro soccer and was a competitive decathlete in Germany who moved to San Diego at age 23 after being hit head-on by a drunk driver. The accident left him blind in his left eye and ended his athletic career. He took up golf and became a scratch golfer within two years. Schauffele wasn’t the only PGA TOUR rookie to finish in the top 10. Trey Mullinax finished ninth after making birdies on the final three holes to fire 68. His top-10 at the U.S. Open came one week after he finished T18 at the FedEx St. Jude Classic. He credited a motivational talk from his father, Chip, with helping him have two successful weeks. “(I was) just kind of in a bad spot, down in the dumps a little bit,â€� Mullinax said. “Me, my dad and coach and agent and everybody got together and surrounded me. (We) went back to the drawing board and went back to what I do well.â€� Mullinax moved from 139th to 123rd in the FedExCup. NOTES • Justin Thomas shot 75 on Sunday, 12 shots higher than his record-setting 63 in the third round. He made his only birdie of the day at No. 10. Thomas fell to T9, but still collected his first top-10 in his eighth major championship. “It wasn’t going to be like yesterday,â€� said Thomas, who hit half the greens in regulation Sunday. • Si Woo Kim, winner of THE PLAYERS Championship, finished T13. It was his third major start, and the first time he made the cut. Kim, who shot 75 on Sunday, finished at 6-under 282. This was just his second start since his victory at THE PLAYERS Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass. Kim ranks 25th in the FedExCup. • Bill Haas’ T5 finish was his first top-20 in nine U.S. Open starts and just his second top-10 in a major. This was Haas’ 31st start in a major. • Brandt Snedeker’s T9 finish was his seventh top-20 in his past nine U.S. Open starts. He’s finished in the top 10 five times in that span. • University of Texas senior Scottie Scheffler finished T27 to earn low-amateur honors by a stroke over Texas A&M senior Cameron Champ, the long hitter who was in the top 10 through two rounds. Scheffler shot 1-under 287 (69-74-71-73). “I was trying to compete and see if I could win the golf tournament,â€� said Scheffler, who missed the cut at last year’s U.S. Open after shooting a first-round 69. “I thought it would be pretty cool winning the U.S. Open as an amateur, and that was my goal coming in. Coming into today, I realized I didn’t really have a shot anymore, but I still wanted to play my best golf and see what I could do.â€� Champ finished T32 at even-par 288 (70-69-73-76).

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Russell Henley’s guitar playing provides outlet from stress on TOURRussell Henley’s guitar playing provides outlet from stress on TOUR

Russell Henley knows better than to quit his day job. Even so, he has enjoyed occasionally getting up on stage and playing his guitar with the likes of Keith Urban, Darius Rucker and the alternative rock band, O.A.R. over the years. “I was nervous,” the three-time PGA TOUR champion admits. “But I was excited to play – I probably had some false confidence.” Henley’s first jam session came courtesy of a bet made with Rucker during the pro-am of what is now known as the RSM Classic in 2014. When the TOUR pro won, he soon found himself on stage after the tournament, playing the Hootie & The Blowfish classic “Wagon Wheel.” “I just said, hey, do you want to play a match today, and he said, sure,” Henley recalls. “And by like the 12th hole, he said, you win. And so, I just asked him if I could play a song with him, and he nicely enough said yes.” Then at The Genesis Invitational in 2015, Henley played three songs with O.A.R. during a free concert on the range at historic Riviera Country Club. And Peter Jacobsen, who once had his own band on TOUR called Jake Trout and the Flounders, set up a date with Urban at the CVS Charity Classic later that year. These days, though, Henley’s spare time is spent with his two kids, 3-year-old Robert and Ruth, who’s 2. Besides, he says the real talent in the family belongs to his wife, Teil Duncan, an accomplished artist whose impressionistic paintings and prints are sold all over the world. “I think it’s amazing that she’s brought her business to where it is,” he says. “To where it’s just something that everybody can appreciate, whether you’re an artist or just somebody like me who doesn’t know much about art and can just say, I like the way that looks on that wall.” Henley, who is self-taught, has played guitar since he was 8 years old. His best friend and brother-in-law – they actually married sisters — always seemed to be in a band, and Henley loved music, too, particularly newer country music and anything from the ‘90s. “There was a time in my life, early to mid-twenties where I traveled with my guitar and played a lot,” Henley recalls, adding that his caddie did the same. Just don’t ask him to sing, though. “I’m terrible at singing,” Henley says. Duncan, who studied art at Auburn, wasn’t in the audience for Henley’s performances with Urban, Rucker or O.A.R. But she does remember her husband playing for her when they started dating after meeting at the wedding of her sister and his best friend. “Probably the first time we hung out, he would pull his guitar out,” she says. “So, he would just sing, like there was not a shy bone in his body. I was kind of laughing to myself because I was like, I can’t believe this. The guy’s just singing in front of me. “He just doesn’t even care, but it really put me at ease because I just knew that he didn’t care. He wasn’t nervous. So, it made me not nervous.” Just as Henley shared his music with her, Duncan made art a part of their relationship, too. She would do a sketch of her husband on the front of his birthday card every year. “And then I was like thinking to myself, I’m going to do this as a tradition every year,” Duncan recalls. “But then you know, kids happen. And so maybe one day we’ll pick that back up again.” Although she says she was “flying by the seat of her pants,” Duncan already had her business up and running when she met Henley. Rather than hanging her paintings in a gallery with limited exposure, she had utilized Facebook and Instagram to build a much broader audience. She paints – usually acrylics, watercolors and some oils – in a backyard studio at their home in Columbus, Georgia. Duncan’s style is distinctive, a delightful and colorful mix of reality and the abstract. “I’ll work on one collection at a time and produce about 15 paintings,” she explains. “And about every other month, I’ll say this beach collection is available July 6th at 11 a.m. They all become available on my website and people buy in from all over the country.” Her past collections include animals, pool scenes, flowing dresses and portraits. She has done coffee table books, stationary, notecards and wrapping paper, as well as collaborations with nationally known retailers like Crate and Barrel, One Kings Lance and Anthropologie. The couple’s two children often make “appearances” in her paintings of beach scenes or settings by the pool. One day, she plans to do their portraits. For now, her favorite painting at their home is the large abstract figure hanging in the “manly” room where Henley’s golf memorabilia are displayed. “This job is just so ridiculously wonderful,” Duncan says. “I feel like I get to go play in my backyard and have this amazing hobby, but I also get to make a living out of it. And it doesn’t demand a ton of time out of me. It’s okay if I take time away. “And then if I do, like during the pandemic, Russ for the first time ever could say, oh, I don’t have to practice. There’s literally nothing coming up. So, he watched the kids a ton. I got to paint a ton and it’s just, it’s always there. I can go back to it when it when I can and I can step away from it whenever. And it’s fine.” Henley enjoys seeing how others react to Duncan’s paintings. He says sometimes he’s too close to it to fully appreciate the artwork she creates. “I know it’s impressive,” Henley says. “And I should probably just look at it the same way she thinks about my job. They’re both very difficult. They’re very cool, interesting jobs, but they both require time and to practice it and figure out how to do it. “People seem to always love it and want to check it out. We have a studio we built for her in our backyard in Columbus and they’ll come over and just want to walk around it and look at it and see how, how does this happen? What’s going on here? “She always has some work she’s been working on, on the wall and it’s just paint everywhere. It’s all over the floor. It’s everywhere. And it’s a cool spot to come check out and people always love seeing it.” Duncan estimates that several dozen TOUR players or their wives have purchased her artwork. So, does she ever get the urge to paint golfers or golf courses? “People ask me that all the time,” she says. “And I never really have only because I’m kind of more drawn to an unmanicured landscape, but I’m not totally closed minded to it. “I really am surprised it hasn’t happened to be honest.” Not to worry. Golf is Henley’s job.

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Sleeper Picks: Fantasy golf advice for the Desert ClassicSleeper Picks: Fantasy golf advice for the Desert Classic

Anirban Lahiri … With his success abroad and now in his fourth season with a PGA TOUR card, the 31-year-old should be a darling of this weekly grouping in the way that the likes of Chez Reavie, Lucas Glover, Russell Knox, David Hearn and others have presented themselves repeatedly in previous seasons. Certainly, there are worse things than plying one’s craft with elevated expectations, but therein lies the rub. Sleepers can’t be stationary. They either rise into regular contenders or, well, they don’t. There’s no such thing as a make-or-break season in professional golf, at least not for talent projected to play for years to come, but it’s time for him to take that next step on this circuit. The Desert Classic is as good a place as any as he recorded a top 30 in both of his previous appearances. His last three starts worldwide in 2018 included a T10 at Mayakoba and a T20 in Indonesia. Harold Varner III … Maybe the fourth time’s the charm. He’s 0-for-3 in the Desert Classic despite beginning two of the three third rounds inside the 54-hole cut line. Even worse, he’s a combined 5-for-12 with zero top 25s in his career on the West Coast Swing. It’s an odd trend on the wrong side of the ledger given he’s enjoyed success on all types of grass. But again, perhaps this is the year he turns it around given he already has three top 15s among four top 25s this season and ranks 18th in adjusted scoring for which 16 of his 18 rounds were under par. He also placed T16 at the Australian PGA Championship in early December. Dylan Frittelli … A Sleeper du jour for all of 2018-19, the 28-year-old from South Africa has opened his first season with membership with three cuts made in as many starts. Baked in between, he closed out the 2018 European Tour season with a pair of top 25s, competed in the World Cup of Golf and opened the 2019 European Tour season with a pair of top 15s in three starts. Finished 12th on that circuit last year in scoring average and T8 in par-5 scoring. While he’s a debutant at the Desert Classic, his confidence and recent form serve as a potent combo. Plan on it to be a recurring theme. Dominic Bozzelli … Commanded attention among hardcore fans at the Sony Open in Hawaii where he was burning the last start on a medical extension. He started the final round on the bubble to fulfill its terms but closed with 3-over 73 to finish T33. The bright side is two-fold. First, he already had secured conditional status as a safety net in the fall, so he opened the 2019 portion of the season near the top of that category from which he’ll play for the remainder. Second, he arrived at the Desert Classic free of the shackles of pressure to play out from under the medical. In that vacuum, it can’t go overlooked that he’s riding a modest consecutive cuts-made streak of four. He also placed fifth in his debut here in 2017. George Cunningham … The 23-year-old product of the University of Arizona took a pass on what would have been his debut as a Web.com Tour rookie in The Bahamas in favor of a sponsor exemption into the Desert Classic. He secured Web.com Tour status when he finished second on the Order of Merit on the Mackenzie Tour-PGA TOUR Canada in 2018 with a win and three more podium finishes among six top 10s. He also slotted second in scoring average. Already 2-for-2 in PGA TOUR competition, including a T36 earlier this season at the Shriners where he ranked third in fairways hit and co-led in par-5 scoring. Two weeks later, he shared 13th place at the Dunlop Phoenix in Japan, leading the field in total driving and finishing T3 in greens in regulation. NOTE: Sleepers is a relative term, so Rob uses unofficial criteria to determine who qualifies. Each of the following usually is determined to be ineligible for this weekly staple: Winners of the tournament on the current host course; winners in the same season; recent major champions; top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking; recent participants of team competitions.

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