Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: The RSM Classic

Win probabilities: The RSM Classic

2021 The RSM Classic, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Robert Streb (1, -14, 21.1%) 2. Harris English (T5, -10, 19.2%) 3. Patton Kizzire (T3, -11, 6.4%) 4. Camilo Villegas (2, -12, 6.3%) 5. Bronson Burgoon (T3, -11, 6.2%) 6. Kyle Stanley (T5, -10, 5.4%) 7. Zach Johnson (7, -9, 5.3%) 8. Kevin Kisner (T8, -8, 5.0%) 9. Emiliano Grillo (T8, -8, 2.2%) 10. Joel Dahmen (T11, -7, 1.8%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2 (Seaside course only): Putting: Beau Hossler +4.1 Around the Green: James Hahn +2.8 Approach the Green: Joel Dahmen +3.2 Off-the-tee: Keegan Bradley +1.8 Total: Joel Dahmen +7.7 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live "Make Cut", "Top 20", "Top 5", and "Win" probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The RSM Classic, or to see how each golfer's probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model's home page.

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The Chevron Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul+900
Nelly Korda+1000
Lydia Ko+1400
Jin Young Ko+2000
A Lim Kim+2200
Ayaka Furue+2500
Charley Hull+2500
Haeran Ryu+2500
Lauren Coughlin+2500
Minjee Lee+2500
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Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry+350
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama+1100
J.T. Poston / Keith Mitchell+1800
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre+1800
Billy Horschel / Tom Hoge+2000
Aaron Rai / Sahith Theegala+2200
Ben Griffin / Andrew Novak+2200
Wyndham Clark / Taylor Moore+2200
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman+2500
Nicolai Hojgaard / Rasmus Hojgaard+2500
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Mitsubishi Electric Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Steven Alker+700
Stewart Cink+700
Padraig Harrington+800
Ernie Els+1000
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1200
Alex Cejka+2000
Bernhard Langer+2000
Stephen Ames+2000
Richard Green+2200
Freddie Jacobson+2500
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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Justin Thomas+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Tony Finau is doing just fineTony Finau is doing just fine

Tony Finau knows what you're thinking. He knows because he has had the same thought, or the same question: When is the size of his trophy cabinet going to match up to the size of his talent? As he prepares for this week's The American Express, where he shot a career-low 62 and finished T14 last year, all he can tell you is what anyone in his position would tell you: He's working on it. "I've got to get a little bit better to win, that's just the reality of it," Finau says, a nod to his 34 top-10 finishes but no victories since his first PGA TOUR win at the 2016 Puerto Rico Open. "I get a lot of credit for being on international teams, and I think I got a great future ahead of me, but at the end of the day, I've got to get a little bit better to win again. It's a challenge I have to relish." Finau's friends know what you're thinking. They know because Finau comes across as one of the nicest guys on TOUR, and it's a short leap from there to too nice, which is adjacent to Finau just doesn't want it bad enough. "What I love about Tony is just how kind he is to everybody," says Danny Ainge, Boston Celtics President of Basketball Operations and a friend of Finau's since the latter was 14, when they met at Utah's Thanksgiving Point Golf Club. "He's so approachable and easy to be around whether you're an 18 handicapper or just in the group to keep score. He's one of the nicest guys I've met. "But what I think a lot of people don't understand is how deep-down competitive he is," Ainge continues. "He works so hard at his game. He's driven. He's motivated. He wants it." At 31, Finau's career earnings have recently surpassed $20 million, but good luck finding signs of complacency. He split with longtime caddie Greg Bodine last summer, and, inspired by Bryson DeChambeau, began experimenting with ball speed, reaching 206 mph. He has tinkered with putting and putters, studied the statistics. After finishing T38 at the Masters in November, he and his coach, Boyd Summerhays, took a hard look at why he'd felt unprepared. "You can't sugar-coat it," says Summerhays, Director of Instruction at McDowell Mountain Golf Club in Scottsdale, Arizona. "The second one hasn't come as quick as he or we thought, that's just the truth, and it does build a bit, not winning for a few years. But he's doing the right things. He's determined. People would be surprised how much it means to him, how bad he wants it." Pull back a bit, and we should all have such problems as Tony Finau. The first-ever TOUR pro of Samoan and Tongan descent, he has gone from the fringes (Golf Channel's largely forgotten "Big Break Disney" in 2009) to a top-20 player in the world. He made his fourth straight TOUR Championship last season, and has a big, beautiful and growing family (four kids). He's also well-liked. Brooks Koepka, with whom Finau partnered to go 1-1 at the otherwise disastrous 2018 Ryder Cup in France, couldn't say enough nice things about him, and they had discussed getting the band back together again for the 2019 Presidents Cup at Royal Melbourne until Koepka pulled out with an injury. (Finau boosted the U.S. Team with three crucial ties and went 0-1-3.) Fans love him. He's a cut-up on Instagram. All of which made last season's Waste Management Phoenix Open so gut-wrenching. Finau, who had just moved his family to Scottsdale (they go back and forth between there and Utah), birdied 12 and 13, playing partner Webb Simpson bogeyed 15, and it felt like Finau's time. And then it all changed. He missed two birdie putts inside 10 feet. At the par-4 17th hole, where TOUR players can reach the green with a 3-wood, he fanned his tee shot into the brutal, no-go fairway bunker, and did well to make par. Meanwhile, Simpson birdied 17 and 18 to force a playoff, which he won with a birdie. He called the result "hard" and slightly bittersweet. "I hope he doesn't feel bad about today because he played great," he said of his Presidents Cup teammate. Jraice, Finau's oldest boy, sobbed just off the 18th green. "This one is going to hurt," Summerhays said. Ever the gentleman, Finau congratulated the winner and gathered his crew to go home and watch a quiet Super Bowl. He was T3 in the 3M Open in July, three shots behind winner Michael Thompson, after shooting 68 on a low-scoring day at TPC Twin Cities. And Finau finished fourth in the PGA Championship. He has seven top-10s in the last 11 majors. Most recently, he shot a front-nine 31 to charge into contention in the final round of the Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN. He shot 1 over on the final nine, including bogeys at 16 and 17, to finish five back of winner Viktor Hovland. To be sure, he is just one or two puzzle pieces from being a complete player. He was 129th in final-round scoring average (70.75) last season, and 102nd in 2019. There are positive signs. Last season, Finau improved from 125th to 69th in Strokes Gained: Putting. "He's rolling it really nicely," says Summerhays. "He's a great lag putter; last year he went 333 holes without a three-putt. He's got great hands, great touch. He's worked hard at it." Finau admits Phoenix hurt - he will play in the Saudi International and miss the Waste Management this year - and "a tough pill to swallow." His 2018 playoff loss to Xander Schauffele - who birdied his last three holes - at the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in China also hurt. They all hurt. But he will be back, Finau adds quickly. He'll win that second one and then a third for Jraice and the rest of the family. For his friend Ainge, who jokingly laments having lost out of Finau's fan rights to new Utah Jazz owner Ryan Smith, a mutual friend, despite some very nice lunches at Chipotle. For Summerhays, who says win No. 2 could very well open up the floodgates. Most of all, for himself. I just feel like he's on the verge. He's still a very young man. Says Summerhays: "You're talking about a guy who took seven years to get to the Korn Ferry Tour; that's a guy who has a lot of determination and will and competitiveness. And you've seen what he did at the Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup. The guy is a winner." Adds Steve Stricker, an assistant captain on Finau's Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup teams: "He's got so much talent. He's starting to putt the ball a lot better, I think. I think that was an issue for him for a while. When you have that much length like he does, and a good iron player and a good head on his shoulders - it's going to happen for him." Having honed his game in part by bashing balls into an old mattress in the garage, the cheapest club membership on earth, Finau knows not to take the journey for granted. At the 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach, he stayed with Jazz owner Smith at his house on the 18th hole, hanging with Ainge, NBA star Andre Iguodala and actor Michael Peña. And at the recent Sentry Tournament of Champions at Kapalua, Maui, he and new caddie Mark Urbanek made an Instagram post in which they jokingly teach the average golfer how to hit a drive 400 yards. It's a good life. "At times I think I've accomplished more than I ever thought I would," Finau says, "but in others I think I could do better. It's a lot of noise in the media, how many wins I should have or shouldn't have. I've been a top 20 player in the world for almost four years now, so I'm quite proud of the consistency. "My great golf's got to get a little bit better," he continues, "to where when I get hot, I jump out in front and nobody can catch me. I think most guys peak in their 30s, and kudos to the younger guys for reaching those heights so fast, but for me, I'm playing the long game. Hopefully I'll be out here another 15 or 20 years. I feel like I'm just getting started."

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The First Look: The Genesis InvitationalThe First Look: The Genesis Invitational

Tiger Woods is back in action at the newly-dubbed Genesis Invitational, where J.B. Holmes defends. Woods isn’t just the host. He’s also seeking a record-breaking 83rd victory. RELATED: Inside The Field FIELD NOTES: This is the first year that the tournament will be played as an invitational. The field is now 120 players, and the winner receives a three-year exemption, putting the Genesis on par with the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard and Jack Nicklaus’ Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide. … Rory McIlroy makes his fourth start at Riviera. He finished T4 a year ago. McIlroy, the reigning FedExCup champion, is expected to regain the top spot in the world ranking Monday. It will be the first time since 2015 that he has held that position. … All of the top five players in the world (as of Feb. 7) will be in the field including McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Dustin Johnson… Thomas had the 54-hole lead a year ago before shooting a 4-over 75 in the final round to finish runner-up. Thomas is currently the FedExCup leader as he seeks to join Woods and McIlroy as the only two-time FedExCup champs. … Joseph Bramlett received the 2020 Charlie Sifford Memorial exemption and will be in the field. Bramlett, who received the same honor in 2011, is the first two-time recipient. He shot 75-74 in 2011 to miss the cut. Since then, Bramlett completely re-built his swing after suffering an annular tear to his L4 and L5 discs. FEDEXCUP: Winner receives 500 FedExCup points COURSE: Riviera Country Club, 7,322 yards, par 71. A long-time PGA TOUR host club, Riviera will be the site of the 2028 Olympic events. STORYLINES: This will be Woods’ third start of the season. He won THE ZOZO Championship to tie Sam Snead’s PGA TOUR wins record of 82, then finished T9 at the Farmers Insurance Open. Woods finished T15 here a year ago. This year will mark the 11th time that he tees it up at the venerable Riviera, a course that’s had his number throughout his career. It’s the only course Woods has played more than four times in his career where he hasn’t won. … Bubba Watson, who has two-straight top-10’s to begin 2020, returns to Riviera where he’s a three-time winner. Watson won in 2014, 2016, and 2018 and if history is any indication, these ‘even’ years have treated him well. … Stay tuned for the results of the Collegiate Showcase on Monday. The low collegiate golfer after the 18-hole earns a spot in the tournament. Past winners include 2019 Korn Ferry Tour Player of the Year Scottie Scheffler. … A great finish that catapults a golfer into the top-10 of the FedExCup standings will mean earning a late spot into the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship.   72-HOLE RECORD: 264, Lanny Wadkins (1985). 18-HOLE RECORD: 61, George Archer (3rd round, 1983 at Rancho Park GC), Ted Tryba (3rd round, 1999 at Riviera CC). LAST TIME: It was a brutal Sunday a year ago at Riviera as cold temperatures and gusty winds impacted the scoring. While Thomas fell down the leaderboard after a 4-over 75, it was Holmes – who played 33 holes on the final day – who came out on top. Thomas made three bogeys in his first five holes in the final round while Holmes was 2 under through that same stretch. That was ultimately the turning point as Holmes ended at 1 under for the day and won – for the fifth time on TOUR – by a shot. He was able to hold off a hard-charging Si Woo Kim, whose 5-under 66 was the round of the day. Kim finished third while Marc Leishman and McIlroy finished T4. HOW TO FOLLOW Television: Thursday-Friday, 2 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday, 1 p.m.-2:45 p.m. (Golf Channel). Saturday, 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (CBS). Sunday, 3 p.m.-6:30 p.m. (CBS).   PGA TOUR LIVE: Thursday-Friday, 9:45 a.m.-6 p.m. Saturday, 11 a.m.-6 p.m. Sunday, 11:15 a.m.-6:30 p.m. (Featured Groups and Featured Holes) Radio: Thursday-Friday, 12 p.m.-6 p.m. Saturday, 1 p.m.-6 p.m. Sunday, 1 p.m.-6:30 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.com/liveaudio).

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