Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: THE PLAYERS Championship

Win probabilities: THE PLAYERS Championship

2021 THE PLAYERS Championship, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Matthew Fitzpatrick (2, -8, 17.1%) 2. Sergio Garcia (T3, -7, 11.1%) 3. Lee Westwood (1, -9, 9.3%) 4. Bryson DeChambeau (T5, -6, 9.2%) 5. Chris Kirk (T3, -7, 8.8%) 6. Sungjae Im (T5, -6, 7.4%) 7. Jon Rahm (T14, -4, 5.1%) 8. Brian Harman (T5, -6, 4.0%) 9. Doug Ghim (T5, -6, 3.4%) 10. Denny McCarthy (T5, -6, 2.8%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Lee Westwood +4.4 Around the Green: Robert MacIntyre +3.2 Approach the Green: Patton Kizzire +4.2 Off-the-tee: Chris Kirk +2.0 Total: Chris Kirk +7.0 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live "Make Cut", "Top 20", "Top 5", and "Win" probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of THE PLAYERS Championship, or to see how each golfer's probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model's home page.

Click here to read the full article

Do you like other ways of online slots and want to learn about their volatility? WHAT IS SLOT VOLATILITY AND WHY IS IT IMPORTANT? will answer all your questions!

Veritex Bank Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Hank Lebioda+2000
Johnny Keefer+2000
Alistair Docherty+2500
Kensei Hirata+2500
Neal Shipley+2500
Rick Lamb+2500
S H Kim+2500
Trey Winstead+2500
Zecheng Dou+2500
Seungtaek Lee+2800
Click here for more...
The Chevron Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul+900
Nelly Korda+1000
Lydia Ko+1400
A Lim Kim+2000
Jin Young Ko+2000
Angel Yin+2500
Ayaka Furue+2500
Charley Hull+2500
Haeran Ryu+2500
Lauren Coughlin+2500
Click here for more...
Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry+350
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama+1200
J.T. Poston / Keith Mitchell+1600
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre+1800
Billy Horschel / Tom Hoge+2000
Aaron Rai / Sahith Theegala+2200
Nicolai Hojgaard / Rasmus Hojgaard+2200
Wyndham Clark / Taylor Moore+2200
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman+2500
Ben Griffin / Andrew Novak+2800
Click here for more...
Tournament Match-Ups - R. McIlroy / S. Lowry vs C. Morikawa / K. Kitayama
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry-230
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama+175
Tournament Match-Ups - J.T. Poston / K. Mitchell vs T. Detry / R. MacIntyre
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
J.T. Poston / Keith Mitchell-130
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre+100
Tournament Match-Ups - J. Svensson / N. Norgaard vs R. Fox / G. Higgo
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Ryan Fox / Garrick Higgo-125
Jesper Svensson / Niklas Norgaard-105
Tournament Match-Ups - N. Hojgaard / R. Hojgaard vs N. Echavarria / M. Greyserman
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Nicolai Hojgaard / Rasmus Hojgaard-120
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman-110
Tournament Match-Ups - M. Fitzpatrick / A. Fitzpatrick vs S. Stevens / M. McGreevy
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Sam Stevens / Max McGreevy-120
Matt Fitzpatrick / Alex Fitzpatrick-110
Tournament Match-Ups - W. Clark / T. Moore vs B. Horschel / T. Hoge
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Billy Horschel / Tom Hoge-130
Wyndham Clark / Taylor Moore+100
Tournament Match-Ups - N. Taylor / A. Hadwin vs B. Garnett / S. Straka
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Nick Taylor / Adam Hadwin-120
Brice Garnett / Sepp Straka-110
Tournament Match-Ups - A. Rai / S. Theegala vs B. Griffin / A. Novak
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Aaron Rai / Sahith Theegala-120
Ben Griffin / Andrew Novak-110
Tournament Match-Ups - J. Highsmith / A. Tosti vs A. Smalley / J. Bramlett
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Joe Highsmith / Alejandro Tosti-130
Alex Smalley / Joseph Bramlett+100
Tournament Match-Ups - A. Bhatia / C. Young vs M. Wallace / T. Olesen
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Akshay Bhatia / Carson Young-120
Matt Wallace / Thorbjorn Olesen-110
Mitsubishi Electric Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Steven Alker+700
Stewart Cink+700
Padraig Harrington+800
Ernie Els+1000
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1200
Alex Cejka+2000
Bernhard Langer+2000
K J Choi+2000
Retief Goosen+2000
Stephen Ames+2000
Click here for more...
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
Click here for more...
PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Justin Thomas+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
Click here for more...
US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Click here for more...
The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
Click here for more...
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

Related Post

Best stats of the fall swingBest stats of the fall swing

The fall portion of this PGA TOUR season was not without its share of milestones, drama or interesting finishes. Strong fields dotted the schedule. Seven of the nine winners had already laid claim to a PGA TOUR victory in their careers. The roster of champions included established names like Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama and Max Homa, along with rising stars such as Sam Burns, Sungjae Im and Viktor Hovland. Players went remarkably low to get to those trophies: the final-round scoring average for the winners this fall was 65.6. Over the previous five PGA TOUR seasons, winners have averaged 67.2 on Sundays. Here are the top numbers to know from the fall portion of the season: RELATED CONTENT: Five things from the fall season | Talor Gooch wins RSM to take FedExCup lead | Twenty First Group 62 At the Shriners Children’s Open, Sungjae Im put on a stellar display of approach play, hitting 62 of 72 greens in regulation on his way to a four-shot victory. Since 1990, only 4% of PGA TOUR winners have hit at least 86% of their greens in regulation for the week. Incredibly, it was the second week in a row that it happened! The previous week, Sam Burns lit up the Country Club of Jackson with 63 of 72 greens hit as he picked up his second PGA TOUR title. +1.78 Speaking of Burns, he careens into the new year sitting in second place in the FedExCup standings. Burns is averaging a whopping 1.78 Strokes Gained: Ball Striking (combining performance off-the-tee and on approach), a full quarter-of-a-stroke better than anyone else with at least eight measured rounds this fall. Now in the top 15 of the Official World Golf Ranking for the first time in his young career, Burns has not finished worse than T-21 in any event around the world since July 19. 68.85 With four consecutive top-20 finishes, another young star positioning himself for a successful 2022 is Matthew Wolff. The 22-year-old Oklahoma State product leads the PGA TOUR in scoring average and ranks fourth in Strokes Gained: Total. One intriguing figure within Wolff’s stat sheet is his increased club head speed. At 125.11 MPH, Wolff led all measured players this fall, and sits nearly 11 MPH above the TOUR average. 20 At THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT, Rory McIlroy made two eagles and 13 birdies on the weekend to win by one stroke over a surging Collin Morikawa. At age 32, the victory was McIlroy’s 20th on the PGA TOUR, making him the second-youngest player born outside the United States to achieve this milestone. Harry Cooper, born in England in 1904, is credited with his 20th PGA TOUR title at age 31. Since 1960, McIlroy is one of just seven players to reach 20 official PGA TOUR titles before age 33. The others are a list of historical luminaries: Arnold Palmer, Billy Casper, Jack Nicklaus, Tom Watson, Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. 1 McIlroy found the winner’s circle in an unconventional manner for him: with an incredible week on the greens. He led the field in Strokes Gained: Putting for the week, just the second time in his career he has done that over the entirety of a PGA TOUR event. The other instance came at the 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, which he also won. It was just the seventh time McIlroy finished a PGA TOUR event ranked in the top five in the statistic; he’s won four of those seven instances, and never finished outside the top five when ranking in the top five in Strokes Gained: Putting for the week. -3.58 McIlroy’s terrific putting and usual stellar performance off the tee masked a below-average statistical performance with his approach play at Summit Club. For the week, McIlroy wound up with -3.58 Strokes Gained: Approach, ranking 67th of 77 players in the field. Of the nearly 700 PGA TOUR events officially tracked by ShotLink all-time, it is the worst Strokes Gained: Approach performance by a player in a victory. 3 At the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba, Viktor Hovland became the first player to successfully defend a title on the PGA TOUR since Brooks Koepka won back-to-back PGA Championships in 2018 and 2019. Hovland picked up his third TOUR win at 24 years, 1 month, 20 days old, making him just the fourth international player in the last 40 years to win three times that young. The others: McIlroy, Sergio Garcia and Adam Scott. Hovland capped off his 2021 with an unofficial win at the Hero World Challenge last week to rise to a career-best seventh in the Official World Golf Ranking. He’s now the second-ranked European in the world, behind only No. 1 Jon Rahm. 31.8 Was this the most impressive collection of PGA TOUR winners we have ever seen in the fall? The numbers suggest so. The average World Ranking of the nine official tournament winners this fall was 31.8, by far the best since wrap-around scheduling began in 2013-14. For comparison’s sake, the average World Ranking of winners in fall 2020 was 169.8! Every winner this fall was ranked in the top 60 of the OWGR at the time of his victory. Only one other fall stretch can even boast an average under 60 (2013, 53.2). 19 The United States trounced Europe at the Ryder Cup, posting the largest margin of victory (19-9, 10 points) by either side in the modern era. The Americans dominated the par-5s for the week, winning 34 holes to Europe’s 14. Every American player won at least one match before Singles even began. Dustin Johnson was a flawless 5-0-0, becoming the first American since Larry Nelson in 1979 to win five matches in a single Ryder Cup. U.S. rookies posted a combined record of 14-4-3, the highest points per match average (0.74) for any group of rookies in the modern era.

Click here to read the full article

From triple-bogey to trophy: A look at the last 10 players to win after making triple in the first roundFrom triple-bogey to trophy: A look at the last 10 players to win after making triple in the first round

It's not how you start. It's how you finish. Cameron Smith showed that at last year's Sony Open in Hawaii. Smith won despite playing his first two holes in 4 over par, including a triple-bogey on his second hole of the tournament. Smith is the only player in the ShotLink era (since 2003) to win after playing his first two holes in 4 over par. He's also one of just 10 players since 1990 to win after making a triple-bogey (or worse) in the opening round. Smith is in strong company, as Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Rory McIlroy, Greg Norman, Davis Love III and Sergio Garcia have also done it. It may come as no surprise that Mickelson is the only player on the list twice. It makes sense that this group includes many of the best players from the past 30 years. It's hard to win after spotting the field three shots on a single hole. Let's look at the last 10 players to win after making a triple (or worse) in the opening round and how they recovered from such a tough start. Cameron Smith 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii – 2nd hole No winner in the ShotLink era has gotten off to a worse start. Smith bogeyed his opening hole at Waialae, then tripled the next one. Smith had to hole a 14-footer just to save bogey on his first hole. Then he hit "maybe the worst shot I've ever hit on TOUR." His tee shot on the second hole, a 425-yard, par-4, was "the biggest, quickest snap hook you've ever seen in your life," he said. It traveled just 177 yards. He had to lay up, then knocked his 110-yard third shot over the green. He chunked a chip, hit his next one to 7 feet and missed the putt. Smith birdied three of his final four holes to shoot 70, then shot of 65-66-68 before winning a playoff with Brendan Steele. "There's no point in worrying about what you've just done," Smith said, "You may as well be focused on what you can do." Rory McIlroy 2016 Deutsche Bank Championship – 12th hole It had been more than a year since his last win, and there was nothing about his start to the 2016 Deutsche Bank Championship that made it look like his drought would come to an end this week. He bogeyed his second hole of the tournament and was facing a 14-footer for triple on the next one. He made it, then went bogey-free on his next 15 holes to salvage an even-par 71. He started the final round six back, but shot 65 in cool, windy conditions to beat Paul Casey by two. "It’s just incredible, this game, how quickly things can change and how quickly things can turn around," McIlroy said. "It’s been a great lesson for me this week not to get down on myself, to stay patient. After three holes on Friday, there was so much going through my head and none of those things involved sitting beside a trophy at the end of the week." McIlroy won the TOUR Championship two weeks later to claim his first FedExCup. His season had gone from mediocre to memorable in a matter of weeks. Phil Mickelson 2009 TOUR Championship – 14th hole Mickelson was cruising along at 1 under par for his first 13 holes of the 2009 TOUR Championship. Then he arrived at the 442-yard, downhill 14th hole (now East Lake's fifth hole). The trouble didn't come off the tee. Mickelson blasted a 321-yard tee shot into the middle of the fairway, leaving himself just 125 yards to the hole. He dumped that approach shot into the front greenside bunker, however. It took him six strokes to hole out from there. He bladed the bunker shot over the green, then hit his next shot back into the same bunker. He left the next shot in the sand before blasting out to 8 feet and two-putting. His first-round 73 left him seven shots off the lead. He played the next three rounds in 12 under par, six strokes better than anyone else in the field. His final-round 65 was the best of the day by two strokes. Adam Scott (2016 Honda Classic) is the only player since to win after making a quadruple-bogey. Phil Mickelson 2007 Deutsche Bank Championship – 9th hole What a week it was. Before the tournament, he visited Kennebunkport, Maine, for golf with President George H.W. Bush. After the second round, Mickelson watched the Red Sox' Clay Buchholz throw a no-hitter at Fenway Park. Then Mickelson won the second event of the inaugural FedExCup Playoffs. Mickelson, who was paired with Tiger Woods and Vijay Singh in the opening round, had a birdie and an eagle in his first four holes. He gave it all back on the ninth hole, though. "I certainly made a big mistake on 9," he said. "It was just a sloppy swing. I felt like there was so much fairway out there. I just didn’t give it the attention it needed. I hit just a terrible shot and ended up making triple." It was his only over-par hole of his first-round 70, and one of just three he had for the event. He shot 64-68-66 in the final three rounds to finish two ahead of Woods, Arron Oberholser and Brett Wetterich. Mark Calcavecchia 2007 Valspar Championship – 17th hole Calcavecchia had just birdied the opening hole of the Snake Pit to get back to even par in the first round of the 2007 Valspar Championship. Then he got bit. On the 208-yard 17th, his tee shot came to rest nearly 50 yards left of the hole. He hit his next shot into a greenside bunker and blasted out. But three putts from 14 feet left him with a triple-bogey. He bogeyed 18 for a first-round 75 that left him 10 shots off the lead and tied for 112th place. Calcavecchia, 46, charged into a share of the 54-hole lead with a Saturday 62 that tied the course record. He missed a 5-foot par putt on the 72nd hole, but still won after Heath Slocum missed his 4-footer for par. It was the last of Calcavecchia's 13 wins, which includes the 1989 Open Championship. His 75 tied the highest first-round score by a winner in the last 30 years. Only two players since have won after shooting 75 in the first round (Jon Rahm, 2020 BMW Championship; Brooks Koepka, 2018 U.S. Open). Vijay Singh 2004 RBC Canadian Open – 11th hole This win came during the finest season of Singh's career, when he won a career-high nine times. He broke the heart of a nation at Glen Abbey, beating native son Mike Weir in a playoff. Singh won despite making TWO triple-bogeys on the same hole, Glen Abbey's 11th, that week. He signed for 7s on the 452-yard hole in both the first and third rounds. He was 7 over par on the 11th hole that week and 16 under par on the other 68 holes. He is the only player since 1983 (when the TOUR started keeping hole-by-hole stats) to win while making multiple scores of triple-bogey or worse. An incredible comeback in the first round made this win possible. He played a seven-hole stretch on his back nine in 7 under par, shooting 28 on that side en route to a first-round 68. Davis Love III 2003 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – 2nd hole A week earlier, a fellow TOUR player asked Love if he'd ever double-hit a chip shot. He hadn't. "So, of course, the next round I play, I double-hit a chip and it cost me a triple." It was part of a topsy-turvy first round for Love at Poppy Hills. He eagled his opening hole but was 3 over after 15 holes. He birdied his final three holes to salvage an even-par round. "You forget about it and move on," Love said. "Unfortunately, I've made a lot of triples." He played his final 54 holes in 14 under par to beat Tom Lehman by one. Sergio Garcia 2002 Sentry Tournament of Champions – 13th hole Garcia shared some big goals at the start of the season-opening event. Woods had completed the Tiger Slam less than a year earlier but Garcia wasn't afraid to express his desire to win the money list on both sides of the Atlantic. "That's the expectations," Garcia said in his pre-tournament press conference. "You've got to try to take them as high as you can so you're able to reach the closest to that goal." Garcia's season got off to a topsy-turvy start, however. He made five birdies and an eagle in the first round but also had a triple and four bogeys. His 73 beat just six players in the 32-man field and was 10 shots behind leader Mike Weir. Garcia shot 9-under 64 in the final round to force a playoff with David Toms. Garcia holed a 10-foot birdie putt on the final hole of regulation, then did it again on the first playoff hole. It was Garcia's third win in his last 11 PGA TOUR starts. "I'm leading the money list," Garcia said. "When I get old I can say to my nephews, ‘I was the money leader - for at least one week.'" Tiger Woods 2001 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard – 8th hole A month before completing the Tiger Slam, Woods had to answer questions at Bay Hill about a slump. He'd won 17 times in the previous two seasons, but had gone a whopping five starts in 2001 without a victory. "I’m scoring better than I did last year," Woods said. "The only problem is I just haven’t got the right breaks at the right time, and you need to have that in order to win." He got one on the final hole of the tournament. First, he had to overcome a mistake on his second-to-last hole of the opening round. Woods made triple on his 17th hole Thursday, hitting his approach into the pond that fronts Bay Hill's eighth green. He knocked his next shot into a bunker behind the green. With a bad lie in the sand, he couldn't find the green with that shot either. He finally chipped to 4 feet before one-putting for a 7. He shot 71 in the first round, then fired 67-66 in the next two rounds to take a one-shot lead over Sergio Garcia into the final round. When Woods arrived at 18 on Sunday, he was tied atop the leaderboard with Mickelson. Woods pulled his tee shot left of the fairway. His ball was headed towards the OB before bouncing off the neck of spectator Tony DeKroub. Woods took advantage of the good fortune, hitting his 195-yard approach to 15 feet and sinking the birdie putt to nip Mickelson. Woods won THE PLAYERS and the Masters in his next two starts. Greg Norman 1990 Doral-Ryder Open – 3rd hole Norman's career was defined by Sunday struggles and clutch shots that denied him titles. Not this week. On the final day of the 1990 Doral-Ryder Open, he shot a course record before chipping in on the first hole of a playoff. Norman had eight birdies in his first-round 68. He also made triple-bogeyat the third hole after hooking his tee shot into the water. "It was ugly," he said. "It wasn't too far in and I started to go in the water to hit it. I took my shoes and socks off but before I knew it, I was up to my knees in mud. I figured I'd better take a drop." He was still just three shots behind leader Jim Gallagher, Jr. Norman fell seven off the pace after shooting 73-70 in the next two rounds, however. He made a Sunday charge with a course-record 62 on Sunday before winning his playoff with Paul Azinger, Mark Calcavecchia and Tim Simpson. The first paragraph of Sports Betting News said it all. "Greg Norman, who has discovered so many remarkable methods of losing golf tournaments, finally found an equally spectacular way to win one on Sunday," it read. David Frost 1990 USF&G Classic – 15th hole Unfortunately, it wasn't long before Norman faced more heartbreak. Three weeks after Doral, Robert Gamez holed a 7-iron on Bay Hill's 18th hole to beat Norman. Then Frost clipped Norman by a shot in New Orleans after holing a bunker shot on the 72nd hole. Norman shot a final-round 65, the lowest score of the tournament. He finished eagle-birdie-bogey-birdie, hitting his approach on 18 to 9 inches. He looked like he was headed for at least a playoff, if not a victory, after Frost found the bunker off the tee and by the green. Then he sank his sand shot to cap off a back-nine 31. "What can you say? He hit a great shot," Norman said. Frost won despite a triple on the par-5 15th in the first round. His 71 was still just two shots off the lead.

Click here to read the full article