Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: RBC Heritage

Win probabilities: RBC Heritage

2021 RBC Heritage, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Stewart Cink (1, -16, 46.9%) 2. Corey Conners (2, -11, 13.2%) 3. Collin Morikawa (T4, -9, 6.9%) 4. Emiliano Grillo (3, -10, 6.5%) 5. Cameron Smith (T4, -9, 4.8%) 6. Sungjae Im (T4, -9, 4.4%) 7. Billy Horschel (T4, -9, 3.9%) 8. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T11, -7, 2.1%) 9. Abraham Ancer (T11, -7, 1.7%) 10. Will Zalatoris (T11, -7, 1.2%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Matt Fitzpatrick +4.9 Around the Green: Alex Noren +2.8 Approach the Green: Abraham Ancer +4.3 Off-the-tee: Sergio Garcia +2.1 Total: Stewart Cink +7.2 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the RBC Heritage, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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2nd Round 3 Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Rio Takeda+140
Jin Young Ko+145
Lauren Coughlin+275
2nd Round 3 Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda+105
Mao Saigo+175
Maja Stark+320
3rd Round 3 Ball - C. Phillips v R. Hisatsune
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Ryo Hisatsune-120
Chandler Phillips+130
Tie+750
3rd Round Score - Ludvig Aberg
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 67.5-135
Under 67.5+105
3rd Round Score - Thomas Detry
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-145
Under 68.5+110
3rd Round Score - Matt McCarty
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-150
Under 68.5+115
3rd Round Score - Shane Lowry
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 67.5-150
Under 67.5+115
3rd Round Score - A. Putnam
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-165
Under 68.5+125
3rd Round Score - V. Perez
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-150
Under 68.5+115
3rd Round Score - Thorbjorn Olesen
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-125
Under 68.5-105
3rd Round Score - Sam Burns
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 67.5-150
Under 67.5+115
3rd Round Score - Jake Knapp
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-135
Under 68.5+105
3rd Round Score - Cameron Champ
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 69.5+100
Under 69.5-130
3rd Round Score - Richard Lee
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 69.5-165
Under 69.5+125
3rd Round Score - Nick Taylor
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5+100
Under 68.5-130
3rd Round Match Up - C. Conners v L. Aberg
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg-115
Corey Conners-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - L. Aberg v T. Detry
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg-175
Thomas Detry+190
Tie+750
American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bjorn/Clarke+275
Green/Hensby+750
Cejka/Kjeldsen+1000
Jaidee/Jones+1400
Bransdon/Percy+1600
Cabrera/Gonzalez+1600
Els/Herron+1600
Stricker/Tiziani+1800
Kelly/Leonard+2000
Appleby/Wright+2200
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3rd Round 2 Ball - J. Lower v D. Riley
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Davis Riley-115
Justin Lower+125
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Roy v H. Norlander
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Henrik Norlander-105
Kevin Roy+115
Tie+750
3rd Round Six Shooter - L. Aberg / S. Lowry / T. Pendrith / S. Burns / C. Conners / N. Taylor
Type: 3rd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg+350
Shane Lowry+400
Corey Conners+425
Sam Burns+425
Taylor Pendrith+425
Nick Taylor+550
3rd Round 2 Ball - C. Conners v S. Fisk
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners-160
Steven Fisk+175
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - P. Peterson v A. Schenk
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Adam Schenk-125
Paul Peterson+135
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - R. Hoey v M. Anderson
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Rico Hoey-145
Matthew Anderson+160
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - A. Hadwin v P. Fishburn
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Adam Hadwin+100
Patrick Fishburn+110
Tie+750
3rd Round Six Shooter - M. Hughes / C. Young / R. Hojgaard / R. Fox / W. Clark / BH An
Type: 3rd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Cameron Young+400
Mackenzie Hughes+400
Rasmus Hojgaard+425
Ryan Fox+425
Wyndham Clark+425
Byeong Hun An+475
3rd Round Match Up - W. Clark v BH An
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Wyndham Clark-115
Byeong Hun An-105
3rd Round Match Up - P. Malnati v J. Suber
Type: Request - Status: OPEN
Jackson Suber-145
Peter Malnati+120
3rd Round 2 Ball - J. Suber v W. Clark
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Wyndham Clark-150
Jackson Suber+170
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Mitchell v BH An
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell-110
Byeong Hun An+120
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - M. Hughes v T. Olesen
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes-115
Thorbjorn Olesen-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - L. Hodges v M. Hughes
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes-115
Lee Hodges+125
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - J. Svensson v B. Hossler
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Beau Hossler+105
Jesper Svensson+105
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - J. Pak v T. Mullinax
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Trey Mullinax-130
John Pak+110
3rd Round 2 Ball - D. Skinns v T. Mullinax
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Trey Mullinax-115
David Skinns+125
Tie+750
Bryson DeChambeau
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-500
Top 10 Finish-1600
Top 20 Finish-10000
Jon Rahm
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-250
Top 10 Finish-800
Top 20 Finish-5000
Joaquin Niemann
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-200
Top 10 Finish-600
Top 20 Finish-3300
Tyrrell Hatton
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+200
Top 20 Finish-225
Patrick Reed
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+150
Top 10 Finish-190
Top 20 Finish-900
Carlos Ortiz
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+200
Top 20 Finish-225
Cameron Smith
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+130
Top 20 Finish-335
3rd Round Match Up - K. Yu v V. Perez
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Victor Perez-115
Kevin Yu-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Yu v P. Malnati
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Kevin Yu-165
Peter Malnati+180
Tie+750
Brooks Koepka
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+250
Top 20 Finish-175
3rd Round Match Up - C. Young v R. Hojgaard
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Cameron Young-115
Rasmus Hojgaard-105
3rd Round Match Up - S. Lowry v T. Pendrith
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Shane Lowry-110
Taylor Pendrith-110
3rd Round 2 Ball - T. Pendrith v C. Young
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith-115
Cameron Young+125
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - M. McCarty v J. Pak
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Matt McCarty-135
John Pak+150
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - M. Manassero v D. Willett
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Matteo Manassero-135
Danny Willett+115
3rd Round 2 Ball - D. Willett v R. Hojgaard
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Rasmus Hojgaard-145
Danny Willett+160
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - C. Iwai / P. Tavatanakit / A. Iwai
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Chisato Iwai+115
Akie Iwai+150
Patty Tavatanakit+325
3rd Round Match Up - S. Burns v N. Taylor
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns-120
Nick Taylor+100
3rd Round 2 Ball - S. Burns v M. Manassero
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns-170
Matteo Manassero+185
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - J. Thitikul / M. Sagstrom / L. Strom
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul-160
Madelene Sagstrom+240
Linnea Strom+450
2nd Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / P. Mickelson / M. Kaymer
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau-225
Phil Mickelson+320
Martin Kaymer+475
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / L. Oosthuizen / B. Campbell
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Tyrell Hatton+105
Louis Oosthuizen+200
Ben Campbell+275
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Johnson / A. Ancer / D. Lee
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Dustin Johnson+120
Abraham Ancer+165
Danny Lee+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Rahm / J. Niemann / A. Lahiri
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Jon Rahm+115
Joaquin Niemann+135
Anirban Lahiri+400
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Leishman / T. Pieters / G. McDowell
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Marc Leishman+135
Thomas Pieters+160
Graeme McDowell+250
2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Reed / B. Watson / P. Uihlein
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Patrick Reed+110
Bubba Watson+220
Peter Uihlein+240
3rd Round 2 Ball - S. Lowry v C. Del Solar
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Shane Lowry-240
Cristobal Del Solar+275
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - H. Shibuno / A. Valenzuela / A. Corpuz
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Allisen Corpuz+140
Hinako Shibuno+170
Albane Valenzuela+225
3rd Round Six Shooter - T. Olesen / J. Knapp / A. Putnam / V. Perez / R. Lee / C. Champ
Type: 3rd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Thorbjorn Olesen+350
Jake Knapp+375
Andrew Putnam+400
Victor Perez+400
Richard Lee+500
Cameron Champ+600
3rd Round Match Up - A. Putnam v J. Knapp
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Andrew Putnam-110
Jake Knapp-110
3rd Round 2 Ball - R. Fox v J. Knapp
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Ryan Fox-110
Jake Knapp+120
Tie+750
2nd Round 3 Balls - J. Kupcho / J.H. Im / A. Buhai
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls - Status: OPEN
Jin Hee Im+160
Ashleigh Buhai+165
Jennifer Kupcho+200
3rd Round 2 Ball - N. Taylor v V. Perez
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Nick Taylor-115
Victor Perez+125
Tie+750
3rd Round Match Up - C. Champ v R. Lee
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Richard Lee-115
Cameron Champ-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - T. Olesen v R. Lee
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Thorbjorn Olesen-130
Richard Lee+145
Tie+750
3rd Round 2 Ball - C. Champ v A. Putnam
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Andrew Putnam-115
Cameron Champ+125
Tie+750
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Rory McIlroy+1000
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

Related Post

Lessons learned two years ago pay off for KangLessons learned two years ago pay off for Kang

DALLAS – In many ways, Sung Kang’s performance this week at the AT&T Byron Nelson resembled his play two years ago – and 230 miles south down Interstate 45 – at the Houston Open. He tied the course record in the second round. He separated himself from the field entering the weekend. And he went into Sunday a little bit fatigued and facing an early tee time, all the while wearing a target on his back. It did not go well two years ago. Kang played conservative those last 36 holes, watched Russell Henley make 10 birdies in the final round, and had to settle for second place. It was his best result on the PGA TOUR, but the lesson was a cruel one. And yet oh so valuable. What Kang learned two years ago, he put into action Sunday at Trinity Forest. RELATED: Final leaderboard | Winner’s bag | Updated FedExCup standings Knowing the scores were going to be low in the soft, windless conditions making this course defenseless, Kang knew he could not play conservative. And knowing it would be a long day – thanks to Saturday’s rain delay, he woke up early Sunday to play the remaining nine holes of his third round, followed by 18 more in the final round – Kang was determined to prevent fatigue (both mentally and physically) from impacting his score. So he asked caddie Jason Shortall to keep the between-shot banter light, to “just keep telling me about the funny things and that I can laugh and forget about the golf for awhile,â€� said the 31-year-old South Korean. The payoff came on the back nine, as Kang eventually broke away from playing partners Matt Every and Scott Piercy to win his first TOUR event in 159 career starts, shooting a final-round 4-under 67 to win by two. That victory moves Kang to 21st in the FedExCup standings and also improves his resume as a potential International Team member for this year’s Presidents Cup. “Dream come true,â€� said Kang, who lives in Coppell, Texas, about 30 minutes from Trinity Forest. “When I just started playing golf, I really dream about this, winning PGA TOUR event and it finally happened.â€� Kang set up his victory after tying the course record with a 61 on Friday. Two years ago, he shot a second-round 63 that tied the course record at the Golf Club of Houston and gave him a six-shot lead. But he shot 71-72 that weekend. Anything in the 70s this weekend in South Dallas would not be good enough. So Kang started the back nine of his third round Sunday morning with three birdies in his first five holes, leading to a 68 that gave him a three-shot lead over Every and five on Piercy and Brooks Koepka. Once the leaders teed off in the final round, it didn’t take long for Kang to be caught. Piercy birdied six of his first eight holes; Every was 4 under on his first six holes. Meanwhile, Kang was even par on his first seven holes and lost the lead. This time, he was determined not to be left in the dust. He rolled in an 8-foot birdie putt at the eighth, nearly holed his approach shot at the ninth, then birdied the 10th with a 14-footer to reclaim the lead. A poor tee shot at the par-3 12th left him in thick rough, and he hacked out into a greenside bunker. But he bounced back from that bogey with another three-birdie run, starting with a two-putt birdie at the par-5 14th and a 22-1/2 foot birdie putt at the par-4 15th. Piercy had a similar line on a longer putt, and Shortall raced over to check it once Piercy struck the ball. When Every bogeyed, Kang led by two. “I knew that was going to be the most important putt for this week,â€� Kang said. “… I had a read from him and I was really going to make this one in. This probably will give me the trophy. I really focused. I just saw the picture and went in.â€� It was the par-4 16th where Kang then put the tournament away. He and Every both had approach shots inside 100 yards from the same side of the fairway. Kang stuck his to 7 feet, setting up his third straight birdie; Every could not match, finishing 28 feet from the pin. “I kind of gassed it a little coming in on 15,â€� Every said. “Couple of those left pins, I like to fade it, wind off to the left, just disaster left, which is not a good set-up for me. I could have hit better shots.â€� But Every, looking for his first TOUR victory since his second consecutive Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard victory in 2015, was impressed by what he saw from Kang. They were paired for all 72 holes this week. “Sung played really good,â€� Every said. “It would have been tough to beat him.â€� Kang now becomes the 10th different Korean player to win on the PGA TOUR. The best of them, K.J. Choi, an eight-time winner, gave Kang a call going into the weekend. His advice? “Just play your game. Don’t change anything,â€� Kang recalled. Things, however, will change now. They always do for first-time TOUR winners.

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