Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: John Deere Classic

Win probabilities: John Deere Classic

2022 John Deere Classic, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. J.T. Poston (1, -15, 45.4%) 2. Denny McCarthy (2, -11, 10.6%) 3. Emiliano Grillo (T3, -10, 5.0%) 4. Maverick McNealy (T7, -9, 3.9%) 5. Chris Gotterup (T3, -10, 3.9%) 6. Matthias Schwab (T3, -10, 3.8%) 7. Scott Stallings (T7, -9, 3.3%) 8. C.T. Pan (T7, -9, 3.2%) 9. Taylor Moore (T7, -9, 1.8%) 10. Vaughn Taylor (T7, -9, 1.7%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Kelly Kraft +5.2 Around the Green: Morgan Hoffmann +2.8 Approach the Green: C.T. Pan +3.3 Off-the-tee: Matthias Schwab +2.3 Total: Kelly Kraft +6.1 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the John Deere Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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KLM Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Joakim Lagergren+375
Ricardo Gouveia+650
Connor Syme+850
Francesco Laporta+1200
Andy Sullivan+1400
Richie Ramsay+1400
Oliver Lindell+1600
Jorge Campillo+2500
Jayden Schaper+2800
David Ravetto+3500
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American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bjorn/Clarke+275
Green/Hensby+750
Cejka/Kjeldsen+1000
Jaidee/Jones+1400
Bransdon/Percy+1600
Cabrera/Gonzalez+1600
Els/Herron+1600
Stricker/Tiziani+1800
Kelly/Leonard+2000
Appleby/Wright+2200
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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Matt Fitzpatrick, Xander Schauffele thrive in the worst half of the draw at Genesis Scottish OpenMatt Fitzpatrick, Xander Schauffele thrive in the worst half of the draw at Genesis Scottish Open

NORTH BERWICK, Scotland – The calmest winds that Matt Fitzpatrick has faced at this week’s Genesis Scottish Open came towards the end of his second round. It was as if the weather wanted to rub it in, only confirming what Fitzpatrick already knew. RELATED: Tee times dictate scoring in opening round | Smith, caddie win cars after ace in Scotland “It’s safe to say we got the worse half of the draw,” he said after shooting a 66 that was Friday morning’s second-best score. The luck of the draw is an inherent part of links courses, where a seven-day forecast inspires about as much confidence as an American driving on the left side for the first time. Thursday’s afternoon wave averaged about three strokes higher than the other half of the field. Those same players seemed to face the toughest conditions Friday even though it was their turn to tee off early. The lowest 36-hole score from the late-early starters was 3-under 137. Four players shot that score, including two of the TOUR’s most recent winners, but they were six shots behind leader Cameron Tringale, who had yet to start his second round, when they signed their cards. U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick, Travelers winner Xander Schauffele, rookie Kurt Kitayama and DP World Tour member Jordan L. Smith were all tied as the top players from the tougher conditions. Schauffele started his day by making eagle on the par-5 10th. His second shot was an 8-iron from 225 yards that he hit to 15 feet. His 65 was the low round from Friday’s early starters. “It wasn’t that (the wind) was constant. It was that it was kind of coming in and out and pretty strong breezes,” said Schauffele, who’s ranked eighth in the FedExCup after his recent win at the Travelers Championship. “I enjoy the challenge.” Fitzpatrick shot 66 on Friday after bogeying his last two holes. Kitayama, a TOUR rookie who’s won twice on the DP World Tour, shot a 66 on Thursday that was the low round from the afternoon. Smith made a hole-in-one on the par-3 17th as part of his second-round 69, winning cars for both himself and his caddie, a childhood friend. He is one of just two players from this half of the draw to shoot under par in each of the first two rounds. Rickie Fowler, who shot 69-69, is the other. Plenty of the game’s biggest names did not fare as well. Despite those two closing bogeys, Fitzpatrick finished eight shots ahead of playing partners Collin Morikawa and Will Zalatoris, who both shot 71-74. Hideki Matsuyama was 7 over par for 36 holes, while PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas finished 10 over, matching the second-worst 36-hole score of his career in relation to par. It was just the second missed cut in 17 starts this season for Thomas. This is Fitzpatrick’s first start since he won the U.S. Open. He welcomed getting back to work after the whirlwind weeks that followed his win in Brookline. “It’s just been busy with all sorts of stuff so I’m toward get back into regular scheduling,” said Fitzpatrick, who’s 11th in the FedExCup. That includes late tee times on weekends, even when he faces the worst of the weather.

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Bryson DeChambeau leads 3M Open after career-low 62Bryson DeChambeau leads 3M Open after career-low 62

BLAINE, Minn. — Bryson DeChambeau figured a score well into the double digits below par could win the inaugural 3M Open. He’s already there, halfway through. DeChambeau dominated the second round, racking up nine birdies to finish Friday at a career-low 62 and vault into the lead with a 14-under-par score halfway through the first-time PGA TOUR event at the TPC Twin Cities. The 25-year-old DeChambeau hit greens in regulation on 17 of 18 holes. He sank four putts from 20-plus feet, including the No. 7 and No. 8 holes during a commanding surge on his second nine. “You’re not going to be perfect, but I can keep driving it well just like I have been, and become more and more confident, that’s the Bryson we saw last year,” said DeChambeau, who went bogey-free over the first two days for the first time in his career. Adam Hadwin arrived in the clubhouse in second place at 12-under, after five birdies in a steely performance on the back nine amid an on-and-off drizzle during the afternoon. Hadwin, who finished sixth a month ago at the RBC Canadian Open in his native country, shot a 66 to follow up his first-round 64. He was well aware when he teed off exactly how far he’d have to come to pull within striking distance of DeChambeau. “I am the quintessential leaderboard watcher. I know almost at any point where everybody is at, even at 9 a.m. on Thursday morning,” Hadwin said. “I knew. I obviously knew that low scores were available today, but at the same time you still have to be patient. You still have to let it come.” Scott Piercy, who opened a two-stroke lead with a 62 in the first round Thursday, started on No. 10 and sputtered through the windless, muggy morning with five bogeys on his first nine to offset an eagle. Piercy still came in at 10-under. He was joined by Sam Burns, Brian Harman and Sam Saunders in a four-way tie for third place. DeChambeau played with Keegan Bradley and Charles Howell III, who used two eagles to shoot 66 and reach the weekend at 8-under. Tony Finau joined Howell in that large group by chipping in for eagle on the 18th. Just ahead of them, in a smaller bunch tied for seventh at 9-under, was Arjun Atwal, a 46-year-old from India who became one of four late qualifiers Monday for the 156-player field by shooting a 62. Brooks Koepka had another quiet day, finishing at 3-under. The biggest name to miss the cut was Phil Mickelson, who has failed to reach the weekend in four of his last six events. After taking a triple bogey on his way to a 74 in the first round, Mickelson shot a 73 to finish 2-over. DeChambeau entered the event tied for just 133rd on the TOUR in greens in regulation. His previous best round on the TOUR, which he joined in 2017, was a 63 he posted three times. The most recent one was at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January, when he finished tied for 10th. The first high-profile player to commit to this tournament at the Arnold Palmer-designed, 19-year-old course about 20 miles north of downtown Minneapolis, DeChambeau has four top-10 finishes this season. That includes the fifth TOUR victory of his career at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in Las Vegas in November. After finishing third in the FedExCup standings in 2018, DeChambeau entered the week in 25th place on the strength of his tied-for-eighth finish at the Travelers Championship in Connecticut two weeks ago. He missed the cut in three straight starts this spring, including the PGA Championship. The 3M Open was attractive to DeChambeau for more than just the potential boost toward a top-10 FedExCup finish and the momentum heading into the final major of the year at the Open Championship in two weeks. The former physics major at SMU who’s fondly known on TOUR as the “Mad Scientist” for his exceptional interest in and knowledge of swing mechanics and other intricacies of the sport, DeChambeau eagerly paid a visit this week to 3M world headquarters in Maplewood about 25 miles from the course in Blaine. He checked out some of the innovative projects in the works by the manufacturing giant best known for Post-It notes. Wearing his usual newsboy-style, classic white golf cap in tribute to Ben Hogan, DeChambeau doffed it often as he walked confidently around the course. The sure sign this was his day came as he wrapped up at the daunting ninth hole, a 502-yard par-4. His second shot landed slightly beyond the rough between the green and one of the many water hazards lurking at the course, about 50 feet from the pin and out of danger. He left his first putt just 3 feet short, leaving an easy tap to save par. “That was the only time I was nervous today,” DeChambeau said. “Everything else felt like just a pure rhythm.”

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