Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: 3M Open

Win probabilities: 3M Open

2020 3M Open, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: Tony Finau (T3, -11, 22.9%) Michael Thompson (T1, -12, 15.9%) Richy Werenski (T1, -12, 14.5%) Talor Gooch (T3, -11, 11.6%) Matthew Wolff (T6, -9, 6.2%) Xinjun Zhang (5, -10, 5.4%) Cameron Davis (T6, -9, 3.4%) Harris English (T12, -7, 2.9%) Patrick Rodgers (T8, -8, 2.8%) Ryan Moore (T12, -7, 2.2%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Arjun Atwal +3.6 Around the Green: Brian Harman +2.2 Approach the Green: Wes Roach +5.6 Off-the-tee: Charles Howell III +2.5 Total: Scott Stallings +6.7 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the 3M Open or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+850
Justin Thomas+1800
Jon Rahm+2000
Xander Schauffele+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Patrick Cantlay+4000
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Rory McIlroy
Type: Rory McIlroy - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-105
Top 10 Finish-200
Top 20 Finish-450
Top 30 Finish-650
Top 40 Finish-900
Scottie Scheffler
Type: Scottie Scheffler - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+100
Top 10 Finish-190
Top 20 Finish-425
Top 30 Finish-600
Top 40 Finish-850
Bryson DeChambeau
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+175
Top 10 Finish-120
Top 20 Finish-275
Top 30 Finish-375
Top 40 Finish-550
Justin Thomas
Type: Justin Thomas - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+300
Top 10 Finish+140
Top 20 Finish-170
Top 30 Finish-210
Top 40 Finish-320
Collin Morikawa
Type: Collin Morikawa - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+375
Top 10 Finish+170
Top 20 Finish-140
Top 30 Finish-175
Top 40 Finish-250
Jon Rahm
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+375
Top 10 Finish+170
Top 20 Finish-140
Top 30 Finish-190
Top 40 Finish-280
Xander Schauffele
Type: Xander Schauffele - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+375
Top 10 Finish+170
Top 20 Finish-140
Top 30 Finish-190
Top 40 Finish-280
Ludvig Aberg
Type: Ludvig Aberg - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+190
Top 20 Finish-130
Top 30 Finish-175
Top 40 Finish-250
Joaquin Niemann
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+500
Top 10 Finish+225
Top 20 Finish+100
Top 30 Finish-130
Top 40 Finish-200
Brooks Koepka
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+120
Top 30 Finish+100
Top 40 Finish-150
Hideki Matsuyama
Type: Hideki Matsuyama - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+120
Top 30 Finish-120
Top 40 Finish-175
Patrick Cantlay
Type: Patrick Cantlay - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+120
Top 30 Finish-120
Top 40 Finish-180
Tommy Fleetwood
Type: Tommy Fleetwood - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+115
Top 30 Finish-120
Top 40 Finish-180
Jordan Spieth
Type: Jordan Spieth - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+700
Top 10 Finish+325
Top 20 Finish+125
Top 30 Finish+100
Top 40 Finish-150
Tyrrell Hatton
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+700
Top 10 Finish+300
Top 20 Finish+125
Top 30 Finish-110
Top 40 Finish-165
Sepp Straka
Type: Sepp Straka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+350
Top 20 Finish+140
Top 30 Finish+100
Top 40 Finish-140
Shane Lowry
Type: Shane Lowry - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+350
Top 20 Finish+140
Top 30 Finish-110
Top 40 Finish-165
Viktor Hovland
Type: Viktor Hovland - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+350
Top 20 Finish+140
Top 30 Finish-110
Top 40 Finish-165
Corey Conners
Type: Corey Conners - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1000
Top 10 Finish+425
Top 20 Finish+170
Top 30 Finish+115
Top 40 Finish-130
Patrick Reed
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+500
Top 20 Finish+190
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-115
Russell Henley
Type: Russell Henley - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+500
Top 20 Finish+190
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-120
Daniel Berger
Type: Daniel Berger - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+210
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-115
Jason Day
Type: Jason Day - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+210
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-110
Sungjae Im
Type: Sungjae Im - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+210
Top 30 Finish+135
Top 40 Finish-110
Akshay Bhatia
Type: Akshay Bhatia - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Justin Rose
Type: Justin Rose - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1400
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+230
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Keith Mitchell
Type: Keith Mitchell - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+160
Top 40 Finish+110
Min Woo Lee
Type: Min Woo Lee - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1400
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+230
Top 30 Finish+140
Top 40 Finish-110
Wyndham Clark
Type: Wyndham Clark - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1400
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+230
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Cameron Smith
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Keegan Bradley
Type: Keegan Bradley - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+200
Top 40 Finish+130
Maverick McNealy
Type: Maverick McNealy - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Max Homa
Type: Max Homa - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Rickie Fowler
Type: Rickie Fowler - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+220
Top 40 Finish+140
AdventHealth Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Kensei Hirata+1800
Mitchell Meissner+2200
SH Kim+2200
Neal Shipley+2500
Seungtaek Lee+2800
Hank Lebioda+3000
Adrien Dumont De Chassart+3500
Chandler Blanchet+3500
Pierceson Coody+3500
Rick Lamb+3500
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Robert MacIntyre
Type: Robert MacIntyre - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Sam Burns
Type: Sam Burns - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Si Woo Kim
Type: Si Woo Kim - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Tony Finau
Type: Tony Finau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Aaron Rai
Type: Aaron Rai - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+2200
Top 10 Finish+900
Top 20 Finish+340
Top 30 Finish+200
Top 40 Finish+130
Andrew Novak
Type: Andrew Novak - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+125
Regions Tradition
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Stewart Cink+550
Ernie Els+700
Steve Stricker+700
Steven Alker+750
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1100
Jerry Kelly+1400
Bernhard Langer+1600
Alex Cejka+1800
Retief Goosen+2500
Richard Green+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

Related Post

Featured Groups: Desert ClassicFeatured Groups: Desert Classic

Reigning FedExCup champion Justin Rose will make his first PGA TOUR start of the 2019 calendar year and his first here since 2010 at this week’s 60th playing of the Desert Classic in La Quinta, California. Defending champion Jon Rahm, meanwhile, seeks to become the first back-to-back winner since Johnny Miller (1975-’76). Arnold Palmer won the first Desert Classic in 1960, his first of 62 TOUR titles. He also won for the last time there, in ’73, as the tournament bookended one of the most celebrated careers in the history of the game. The Desert Classic is one of four tournaments played on multiple courses, along with the Farmers Insurance Open, AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and The RSM Classic. The Golf Channel will carry primetime coverage starting at 11:30 a.m. ET Thursday and Friday, running until 7 p.m. each day. Watch on Twitter from 11:30 a.m. to approximately 12:30 p.m. PGA TOUR Radio’s coverage is 1-7 p.m. in the first three rounds; 2-7 p.m. for Sunday’s final round. PGA TOUR LIVE also returns for 2019 with expanded coverage. Here’s a look at some of the Featured Groups (current FedExCup ranking in parentheses): THURSDAY Russell Knox (181) – A two-time TOUR winner, Knox is coming off a season in which he was 89th in the FedExCup. He finished T43 at the Sony Open in Hawaii. Jhonattan Vegas (128) – Pride of Venezuela broke through with his first win in the desert way back in 2011, and has since tacked on two more victories, both at the RBC Canadian Open. This will be his first start since he finished T38 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in November. Round 1 tee time at PGA WEST Stadium Course: 11:40 a.m. ET (8:40 a.m. local) Chesson Hadley (24) – He didn’t play in Hawaii, but in five starts this season he already has a T2 (CIMB Classic) and T7 (Shriners Hospitals for Children Open). Bill Haas (83) – A former FedExCup champion (2011) and Desert Classic winner (2015), Haas is one of four players in the last five years who have won this tournament and gone all the way to the season-ending TOUR Championship at East Lake. Round 1 tee time: 12:10 p.m. ET off 1 at PGA WEST Stadium Course (9:10 a.m. local) Justin Rose (40) – This will mark Rose’s fifth start in the Desert Classic, but his first since 2010, when he missed the cut. As with most other courses on TOUR, though, the Englishman has enjoyed plenty of success here: 3rd in 2007 and T10 in 2006. Zach Johnson (100) – He slipped to 58th in the FedExCup with just two top-10 finishes in 25 starts last season, and is coming off a missed cut at the Sony Open in Hawaii. The good news: He finished T7 not long ago, at The RSM Classic in the fall. Round 1 tee time at La Quinta Country Club: 11:40 a.m. ET (8:40 a.m. local) Phil Mickelson (136) – World Golf Hall of Famer and two-time Desert Classic winner is coming off a season in which he broke a lengthy win drought at the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. Making his 16th start in the desert. Finished T17 at the Safeway Open last fall. Aaron Wise (60) – Rookie of the Year in 2018, when he won the AT&T Byron Nelson, Wise is making his third start in the Desert Classic. He won the NCAA individual title as a freshman at Oregon in 2016, and played the Mackenzie Tour and Web.com Tour before making it to the big TOUR. Round 1 tee time: 12:10 p.m. ET off 1 at La Quinta Country Club (9:10 a.m. local) FRIDAY Charles Howell III (5) – One of the great comeback stories of 2018, when he won The RSM Classic at the outset of the ’18-2019 TOUR season, Howell looks to keep the momentum going after finishing T8 at the Sony Open in Hawaii and T14 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Sean O’Hair (185) – Trying to get back on track after a rough start to the season with three missed cuts in five starts. Round 2 tee time: 11:40 a.m. ET off 1 at PGA WEST Stadium Course (8:40 a.m. local) Brendan Steele (116) – Three-time TOUR winner hasn’t played since a missed cut at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in the fall, but he did finish T14 at THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES. Jason Dufner (122) – Has played a robust early schedule with seven starts already, best among them a T21 with a final-round 64 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic last fall. Round 2 tee time: 12:10 p.m. ET off 1 at PGA WEST Stadium Course (9:10 a.m. local) Phil Mickelson/Aaron Wise Round 2 tee time: 11:40 a.m. ET off 10 at PGA WEST Nicklaus Tournament Course (8:40 a.m. local) Justin Rose/Zach Johnson Round 2 tee time: 1:20 p.m. ET off 10 at PGA WEST Nicklaus Tournament Course (10:20 a.m. local).

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Masters roundtable: Previewing an unprecedented MastersMasters roundtable: Previewing an unprecedented Masters

The Masters is finally here. It's been a long 19 months since Tiger Woods completed one of the game's most historic wins. As always, there are plenty of storylines surrounding this year's Masters. Let's discuss some of the top ones before the final major of a trying year. 1. As it's been for many, 2020 has been one to forget for Tiger Woods. He is coming off a T72 in his title defense at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD and a missed cut at the U.S. Open at Winged Foot. What do we expect from our defending champion? BEN EVERILL: Rocks and diamonds. After seeing what he was able to do in 2019, I won't be dismissing the notion of another win anytime soon, but I get the feeling this time a few mistakes will do enough damage to pull him out of the mix. Without the roars and energy to help him float around the pines Woods will finish somewhere in the ballpark of 25th. CAMERON MORFIT: As we know from Jack Nicklaus, Fred Couples, Bernhard Langer and others, people who learn how to play Augusta National don't just suddenly unlearn it. Woods hasn't looked right in 2020, his speed is down, and I STILL think he'll be in the mix for at least a couple rounds. Even he doesn't really know what he has when he shows up to tournaments these days, but so what? I'd argue that was the case at the TOUR Championship, Masters and ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP, his last three wins. SEAN MARTIN: He hasn't missed a Masters cut since his sophomore season at Stanford, so I think that's out of the question. He has 14 top-10s in 20 Masters starts as a pro. Familiarity with Augusta National goes a long way, but it also can't overcome physical limitations. I agree with Ben. I think a T25 is in the offing. 2. Good times for the oldies lately, with 40-somethings Stewart Cink (Safeway), Sergio Garcia (Sanderson Farms) and Brian Gay (Bermuda) picking up wins. Martin Laird, 37, also won at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Which wily veterans are on your radar at Augusta? EVERILL: Woods has the capacity to be what we saw multiple times from the likes of Jack Nicklaus, Fred Couples and Bernhard Langer but if we are using 40 as the barrier to veteran status I'll also put in a vote for Adam Scott. He had decent form through the Vivint Houston Open to show his bout with COVID-19 hasn't hampered him too much. MORFIT: He's still just 37, but Francesco Molinari is starting to play well again just in time for another Masters. He'll want to make a new memory after his painful wreck on 12 (on the way to a T5) that opened the door for Tiger last year. And you'll think I'm crazy, but 2007 champion Zach Johnson, 44, is starting to show something again with a T8 at the U.S. Open and top-25s at the Sanderson Farms Championship and Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. If Augusta plays fast and bouncy and cool, I could see a top-10 finish from him. MARTIN: Paul Casey's form has been a bit off since, but he did finish runner-up at the PGA Championship. Combine that with the fact that he had four straight top-15s at the Masters from 2015-18, including three finishes of sixth or better in that span. 3. Adam Scott, the 2013 Masters champion, had a nice showing at the Vivint Houston Open. Anyone else from the last 10 years of winners we should be keeping an eye on? EVERILL: As noted above, I see Scott having a good crack at another title but if I have to shove away from my Aussie mate, I'll say Bubba Watson is a serious sleeper for a third Masters win. He's been showing flashes of form in recent weeks and he can curve the ball around the joint better than most. MORFIT: I agree that Watson is trending in a nice direction with a T4 at the ZOZO and T7 at THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK. I'd also throw Sergio Garcia in there after watching him win the Sanderson. As much as I'd like to say to keep an eye on Phil Mickelson, I just can't. Patrick Reed would be a better bet. MARTIN: I'll have to give another mention of Watson because of his good form and the fact that he has made steps to work on the anxiety that can hamper him. He admitted in a Golfweek story that his drastic weight loss a few years ago was caused by anxiety but he has been getting help and doing breathing exercises. Watson has all the physical gifts in the world. If his mental game is improving, as well, that could be a dangerous combination. 4. Much of the attention since golf returned in June has been on Bryson DeChambeau. He won the U.S. Open on a course that many didn't think would suit him, and now heads to Augusta, which as Jordan Spieth said recently should suit him perfectly. Is Bryson the clear favorite? EVERILL: Short answer, yes. While he hasn't putted well at Augusta before this new and improved Bryson is much steadier on the greens and he will be hitting wedges on most holes so his putts will all be shorter anyway. While finishing off a Masters win is very difficult, the fact no patrons will be in attendance will also limit the pressure. MORFIT: He's the clear favorite. We forget that in 2016 then-amateur DeChambeau was just one off the lead as he stood on the 18th tee Friday, but triple-bogeyed the hole and finished 21st. He likes the course, and this will showcase the aspect of his game that remains underrated, his putting. MARTIN: How quickly we forget about the No. 1 player in the world, a guy who has finished in the top 10 in the last four Masters. And it wasn't long ago we were calling HIM unbeatable because of his dominant run to the FedExCup. Johnson has figured out how to play Augusta National and has the physical skills to boot. I give Johnson the edge because of his history at Augusta National. 5. This Masters will be played seven months later than usual. Will it still be the same? EVERILL: No. But that's OK. We will all miss the roars and atmosphere we've become accustomed to but hopefully it's a one-off and can be one of those things you can talk about well into the future. Remember the 2020 Masters when we could see the entire course without grandstands? Remember how pure the product looked on tv? It was like being right in the middle of the action yourself. And how about that epic finish when Jason Day, Adam Scott Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman all made the playoff. MORFIT: Not exactly. One of the oddities of this Masters has been the qualification criteria, which didn't account for hot players since the PGA TOUR came back in June. So there's no Daniel Berger, no Stewart Cink. That feels odd. No fans will feel odd. The weather will be cooler, and that, too, will feel odd. So no, it most assuredly won't be the same. That said, it will feel good to be there again soaking up all that history amid the pines. Kudos to Augusta National for even finding a way to have the tournament. MARTIN: I'm OK with the field being frozen from April. Those other players will get their chance in 2021, as it's always been. It would be weird to me if a player won this year's Masters who was only in the field because the tournament was moved by a pandemic. To me, that would be more unfair. The biggest adjustment will be the two-tee start and early weekend finishes. It will be interesting to see how, if at all, these new tee times will impact the tournament.

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