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Who’s feeling confident at Glen Abbey

If there’s one thing that can zap the confidence from any golfer without notice and without mercy, it’s an injury. Brandt Snedeker withdrew from the RBC Canadian Open on Monday. He was an early WD from last week’s Open Championship due to soreness in a rib that “didn’t respond to treatment as I had hoped,” he tweeted on Wednesday, July 19. This leaves the event in Ontario, Canada, without its all-time earnings leader at Glen Abbey Golf Club. In three appearances, he’s won (2013) and finished T5 twice (2009, 2016). Of course, this also means that opportunity is even greater for the 156 in the field who are able to compete. Glen Abbey is a fan-friendly venue on which golfers often struggle to find fairways and greens, but they know going in that par-breaker chances are everywhere. At least they should know. The par 72 with three par 5s on the inward nine connects with both angles as a putting contest. Either pile up the greens in regulation or sink it from everywhere with fewer looks. Do both and you’ll be raising that gorgeous trophy. Beginning with Snedeker in 2013, the last three winners at Glen Abbey dutifully step into formation. Glen Abbey is embraced by all who enter, not to mention a host country that continues to return to it for its national open – this will be the fourth time in five years that the RBC Canadian Open has been held here – but the Jack Nicklaus design checks all of the boxes from our analytical perspective as well. Fairness of the test translates into equity in the box scores. Last year’s field leaders in distance of all drives (Dustin Johnson), fairways hit (Steve Wheatcroft), greens in regulation (Martin Laird), proximity to the hole (Jon Rahm) and scrambling (Ricky Barnes) all finished inside the top 10 on the leaderboard. Now, because wind influenced higher scoring in the first two rounds, to get a fairer observation of the value of strokes gained: putting, it’s better to review the 2015 edition when only 16/100ths of a stroke separated the lowest round (first, 71.13) from the highest (third, 71.29). Not surprisingly, six of the top 10 on the leaderboard ranked inside the top 10 in the stat, including field pacesetter David Hearn. However, to avoid confusion by mixing and matching editions, all of the groupings in the identifiers below apply to 2016. Golfers in this week’s field inside the top 10 in the following categories in last year’s RBC Canadian Open: * – Currently inside the top 50 on the PGA TOUR in the stat. (Golfers who haven’t logged enough rounds are not tagged.) Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green Rank  Golfer (Tournament Finish) 1  Cameron Percy (T26) 2  *Jhonattan Vegas (Win) 5  Alex Cejka (T5) 6  Ricky Barnes (T5) 8  Hudson Swafford (T14) 9  Geoff Ogilvy (T9) 10  *Dustin Johnson (T2) Greens in Regulation Rank  Golfer (Tournament Finish) T3  Ricky Barnes (T5) T3  *Hudson Swafford (T14) T3  Jhonattan Vegas (Win) T8  *Chez Reavie (T14) T8  Johnson Wagner (T43) Strokes Gained: Putting Rank  Golfer (Tournament Finish) 2  Jared du Toit (T9) 5  *Steve Wheatcroft (T5) 6  Chris Kirk (T14) 7  K.J. Choi (T38) Par-5 Scoring Rank  Golfer (Tournament Finish) 1  *Dustin Johnson (T2) 2  Alex Cejka (T5) T3  Matt Kuchar (T9) T3  *Luke List (T14) T10  Ben Crane (T9) T10  Ken Duke (T49) T10  *Whee Kim (T38) T10  Geoff Ogilvy (T9) T10  Chez Reavie (T14) T10  *Hudson Swafford (T14) T10  Vaughn Taylor (T43) While Glen Abbey has undergone more than its fair share of modernizations in recent years, the historical line of demarcation as it concerns relevant course history occurred between 2000 and 2004 when a major renovation took place. So, the data below takes into account results from only 2004, 2008, 2009, 2013, 2015 and 2016. NOTE: The groups below are comprehensive to assist in data mining. Inclusion doesn’t imply automatic endorsement in every fantasy game as all decisions are specific to your situation. CONFIDENCE MEN Selected golfers with multiple cuts made sorted by rank on the tournament’s money list. BUILDING CONFIDENCE Sorted by best finish, selected golfers who are either finally finding form on the course or are still relatively new to the tournament but have enjoyed some success. OTHER SIGNS OF CONFIDENCE Sorted by most recent top 10s, selected golfers for whom it’s been a few years since their last.

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KLM Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Joakim Lagergren+375
Ricardo Gouveia+650
Connor Syme+850
Francesco Laporta+1200
Andy Sullivan+1400
Richie Ramsay+1400
Oliver Lindell+1600
Jorge Campillo+2500
Jayden Schaper+2800
David Ravetto+3500
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Cameron Champ
Type: Cameron Champ - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-120
Top 10 Finish-275
Top 20 Finish-750
Nick Taylor
Type: Nick Taylor - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+135
Top 10 Finish-175
Top 20 Finish-500
Shane Lowry
Type: Shane Lowry - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+140
Top 10 Finish-175
Top 20 Finish-500
Thorbjorn Olesen
Type: Thorbjorn Olesen - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-115
Top 10 Finish-250
Top 20 Finish-625
Andrew Putnam
Type: Andrew Putnam - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+140
Top 10 Finish-165
Top 20 Finish-500
Sam Burns
Type: Sam Burns - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+150
Top 10 Finish-155
Top 20 Finish-455
Taylor Pendrith
Type: Taylor Pendrith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+250
Top 10 Finish+105
Top 20 Finish-275
Ryan Fox
Type: Ryan Fox - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+250
Top 10 Finish+110
Top 20 Finish-275
Jake Knapp
Type: Jake Knapp - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+260
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-250
Rasmus Hojgaard
Type: Rasmus Hojgaard - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+175
Top 20 Finish-165
ShopRite LPGA Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Akie Iwai+650
Ayaka Furue+650
Rio Takeda+850
Elizabeth Szokol+900
Jeeno Thitikul+900
Mao Saigo+1200
Chisato Iwai+1800
Ashleigh Buhai+2200
Miyu Yamashita+2200
Wei Ling Hsu+2800
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American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bjorn/Clarke+275
Green/Hensby+750
Cejka/Kjeldsen+1000
Jaidee/Jones+1400
Bransdon/Percy+1600
Cabrera/Gonzalez+1600
Els/Herron+1600
Stricker/Tiziani+1800
Kelly/Leonard+2000
Appleby/Wright+2200
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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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International Team ready to shock the worldInternational Team ready to shock the world

CHARLOTTE, N.C. – Eyerolls. Laughter. Derision. You come to expect such things as a proud and parochial International Team fan ahead of the Presidents Cup. Captain Trevor Immelman and his players have heard it, as well. Apparently, they can’t win. BetMGM Sportsbook has the U.S. Team as a 6.5-point favorite in a 30-point contest, and if you listen to most pundits in the media center at Quail Hollow, it’s not enough. There’s even conjecture that the Americans could finish this off by Saturday. RELATED: Meet the teams Far from having his feelings hurt, Immelman and his players welcome the loose talk. “I let them read all the stuff that you guys are writing,” he said. “That’s where I start.” He knows the U.S. Team is 11-1-1 all-time, and unbeaten at home. At Liberty National in 2017 the 19-11 score probably flattered the Internationals. This year’s U.S. Team has 76 career PGA TOUR wins compared to 33 for the Internationals (22 of which come from just two players). The U.S. Team had 19 combined wins just last season (and Max Homa just won the new season opener) compared to five for the Internationals. What’s more, the average U.S. Team world ranking is 11.6 compared to a 48.9 for the Internationals. U.S. Captain Davis Love III has nine top-15 players, the most on any Presidents Cup team, while Immelman’s team has none. Eight Americans were ranked inside the top 15 of Strokes Gained: Total for the 2021-22 TOUR season compared to just one International. The list goes on and on and on. “It’s quite clear that we’re the underdogs,” Immelman said. “We generally have been in this competition over the years so it’s a tag that we’re used to. “There’s massive amounts of respect for the American team,” he added. “All of these guys compete week in and week out, and all of us know exactly how good they are.” And yet the matches are not played on paper, and underdogs do win. Nick O’Hern did beat Tiger Woods in his prime – twice. In 1983 a ragtag bunch of Australians took on the mighty U.S. in the Americas Cup yacht race in Newport, Rhode Island. The historic trophy had been in American hands for 132 years – the most dominant reign in sporting history – and yet the Australians won. The 1980 U.S. Olympic ice hockey team beat the mighty Soviet Union. And in 1990 a 42-to-1 underdog, Buster Douglas, KO’d undefeated, undisputed heavyweight champion Mike Tyson. All of which is to say Immelman and his men certainly don’t see losing as a foregone conclusion. They see this week as an epic opportunity to create history, as a win would rank up there with some of the biggest sporting achievements of all time. And that is a carrot worth chasing. “What excites us is the opportunity to see just how good we are,” Immelman said. The Internationals have eight first-timers in the team, another point some are using against them, but veterans Adam Scott and Hideki Matsuyama, and Immelman and his assistant captains, see it as a positive. They had seven newcomers in Melbourne and fed off their youthful exuberance. “It’s worked out quite well that we’ve got eight rookies here because they are just so excited,” Immelman said. “Everything is new and fresh, and they’re seeing everything for the first time. It’s kind of like Christmas morning when you can’t wait to open your presents up. That’s what I’m seeing from these kids walking into the team room for the first time.” Immelman has a blueprint to how his squad can prevail, but he’s keeping it to himself. One thing is for sure, though: He intends to unleash the rookies with a no-holds-barred mentality. The theory is to push the U.S. they’ll need to take risks and assert pressure early. It’s understood the players have been given the green light to throw caution to the wind. If they can have the U.S. players thinking about being part of losing the unlosable… they have a chance. “If you look at our record in this tournament and you look at our world rankings versus their world rankings, we have absolutely nothing to lose,” Immelman said. “We can go out there and play absolutely as free as we want, free as we can, and see if we can match up with the crazy good skills the Americans have.” It has the new guys counting down the minutes until go time. “There’s no reason to play safe or do anything like that,” said rookie Cam Davis of Australia. “We’re doing match play. We play aggressive. The golf course is set up to play aggressive. We’re really, really excited to get started. We all really want to win this thing. We all feel that all of us playing well, there’s more than a chance to get that done.” The International Team has momentum of a sort from 2019. Captain Ernie Els eradicated cliques and relied heavily on data to make pairings. He introduced a new shield logo and uniform to get behind. And it all worked for three days as Els’ team, with Immelman as an assistant, led heading to Singles for the first time since 2003 before the U.S. came back to win 16-14. “There was a clear line in the sand drawn for ’19 in our team,” said veteran Scott, who makes a record 10th appearance for the Internationals this week. “Things looked good there. So much changed. The direction of this team changed there, and that’s carried over. “Trevor has embraced that a lot and done an incredible job,” he continued. “We’re going to see that continue no matter what the result and I’m … optimistic that we have a shot this week. These guys are incredibly talented, and relatively unknown maybe compared to the stars of the United States, but they’ve now been given a platform to show off this week, and I hope they do.” Immelman has stats guru Duncan Carey dissecting the numbers, course setup and other factors to help provide him with optimal pairings and gameplan. Asked bluntly why he thinks his team can win, the captain didn’t hold back. “They’re all elite athletes,” he said, “and they got to elite level playing on the PGA TOUR. You don’t get here by accident, man, I can promise you. “You put a ton of work in,” he added. “You dedicate your life to it. You make sacrifice after sacrifice, investing time and money and blood, sweat, and tears to get to this level. You don’t just wake up one morning and get onto the PGA TOUR. These players are legit.” Legit they are. And they’re ready to show it.

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Storms plague Barbasol Championship, push final round into MondayStorms plague Barbasol Championship, push final round into Monday

NICHOLASVILLE, Kentucky — Heavy rain that rendered parts of Keene Trace Golf Club unplayable early in the afternoon, coupled with severe weather later in the day, has forced the Barbasol Championship into a Monday finish. There were a total of three suspensions of play with the final one coming at 7:31 p.m. ET as a thunderstorm rolled through the area. The final four groups had yet to hit their opening tee shots. “Hard to explain,â€� PGA TOUR Tournament Director Steve Carman said with thunder rumbling in the distance on Sunday night. “Mother Nature is just not giving us very much to deal with. “Golf course is saturated, so any kind of rain makes it unplayable.â€� Play will resume at 7:30 a.m. ET on Monday. Robert Streb, Hunter Mahan, Tom Lovelady and Troy Merritt are tied for the lead at 18 under and will tee off in the final two groups at 7:50 a.m. and 8 a.m., respectively. Ben Silverman was making the biggest move up the leaderboard when play was halted for the day, taking advantage of the wet  conditions and playing his first 10 holes in 7-under. He birdied his last five holes before the delay and will return to the 11th tee on Monday. Carman said Nos. 1, 2, 12 and 17 are the problem holes. The biggest concerns are the fairways, although several bunkers had to be pumped because there was nowhere in them to give relief. The first delay came at 12:40 p.m. on Sunday when areas on the course became too wet to continue play. Once the course was ready, play resumed at 4:28, but was suspended again 12 minutes later. The weather eventually cleared and play resumed at 5:59 p.m. But thunder and lightning returned to the area and prompted officials to suspend play for the day 92 minutes later. Carman said about four-and-a-half hours of golf remain to be played. With any luck – and no delays – a champion could be crowned before noon. “If we get suspended, then we’ve got until dark to get it in,â€� Carman said. “The goal is 72 holes, and that includes on Monday.â€� Severe weather also delayed the second round on Friday. After an early morning delay, play got underway at 9:30 a.m. and continued until 3:25 p.m. It was eventually called for the day but the second round was completed and the third round finished on Saturday. The Monday finish is the second this year on the PGA TOUR. But the one at the Farmers Insurance Open only involved two players and a single hole as Jason Day beat Alex Noren with an 18-inch birdie putt on the sixth hole of sudden death. Storms are expected overnight but the weather forecast for Monday is more favorable with just a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.

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Win probabilities: FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipWin probabilities: FedEx St. Jude Championship

2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Cameron Smith (T5, -8, 11.6%) 2. J.J. Spaun (1, -11, 11.6%) 3. Troy Merritt (T2, -10, 9.6%) 4. Tony Finau (T5, -8, 7.9%) 5. Denny McCarthy (4, -9, 6.2%) 6. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T17, -6, 4.7%) 7. Sepp Straka (T2, -10, 4.3%) 8. Justin Thomas (T17, -6, 4.2%) 9. Brian Harman (T5, -8, 4.0%) 10. Will Zalatoris (T17, -6, 2.8%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Tyler Duncan +3.7 Around the Green: Seamus Power +2.9 Approach the Green: Joaquin Niemann +2.9 Off-the-tee: Hayden Buckley +2.0 Total: Will Zalatoris +6.4 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the FedEx St. Jude Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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