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Wacky weather bites at Torrey Pines

SAN DIEGO - Rain, hail and shine. And add wind too. Torrey Pines showcased it all in Friday's second round of the Farmers Insurance Open. When Lanto Griffin buried a 15-foot eagle putt to take the outright lead late in his round, the sun was trying to break through some scattered cloud around the cliffs of the iconic coastal venue. Twenty minutes later he was trying to pick pieces of hail off the par-3 8th green that were interfering with his line and as such could be forgiven for a three-putt that saw him drop a shot. Schizophrenic weather conditions certainly played their part as Viktor Hovland - a Norwegian who is used to the cold - forged his way to the 36-hole lead in "sunny" Southern California. Initial forecasts had set a bleak tone for Friday's second round, but heavy overnight rain actually let up at sunrise. Play began as scheduled with bright sunshine and picturesque views of the Pacific Ocean with hang gliders soaring overhead. But while there was some sun, there was no warmth, as temperatures settled in the low 50s. And as play continued the winds started to lift and squalls found their way onto the course, particularly the coastal adjacent holes. "The last couple weeks I’ve been in Oklahoma and it’s been really cold, so I’ve had probably three, four layers on practicing and I think that’s helped me for this week," the young Hovland said with his now trademark wide grin after he capped off a brilliant 7-under 65 on the tougher South Course. "It got really cold and obviously raining and hail, so being Norwegian, I think that also helps." Coupled with his 2-under 70 from Thursday on the North Course, Hovland sits out front at 9-under par. But there are a bevy of big names ready for a weekend chase after they also survived the wacky weather. Griffin is one of those at 8-under (66-70). "It was every type of weather, we had it all today. Started out like kind of windy and chilly and then it got warm and then it started hailing and then stopped hailing and then started hailing," Griffin said. "It was one of those days you kind of just have to embrace it." Australian Adam Scott - at home amongst the eucalyptus trees but certainly not in the chilly temps – ripped his 9-iron hard into the breeze from 136 yards on the par-4 2nd hole. It only went 125 yards and spun back off the green such was the power of the mini storm he encountered during that portion of his 3-under 69 on the South that also had him at 8-under. "The wind wasn’t violent, but the temperature going down just makes that wind so heavy and the ball goes so short. It’s really hard to adjust perfectly to that on the fly," Scott said as he looks to go one better than his only other Farmers Insurance Open appearance - a runner up in 2019. He found himself humming the Australian classic song - Four Seasons in One Day - by Crowded House at times. "You’ve already played nine holes, then the temperature drops and all of a sudden trying to gauge that a 9‑iron’s only going to go 125 is a hard call to make. You're just doing your best and trying not to make a big error, but it’s hard to all of a sudden see that the ball’s going 30 yards shorter than normal." When Jordan Spieth tried to line up his putt on the 17th hole caddie Michael Greller huddled over him with an umbrella to deflect the hail, and seemingly get as close to another body as possible for some warmth. After making eagle on the par-5 6th early in his round Spieth was in good shape to buck the trend of poor results he's suffered of late. But as things got tougher, he started to leak shots. When he returned after a near one hour suspension of play, he faced needing to birdie the par-5 18th to make the weekend. But par was all he could muster. His Texan buddy Ryan Palmer had no such trouble. For the fourth year running Palmer set himself up through 36 holes. He led at this stage in 2018 and 2020, was T3 in 2019 and T2 this week. Now he needs to arrest the trend that has seen him fade on weekends at the venue. "It was beautiful this morning, I couldn’t believe it when we got out here," Palmer said. "The first five, six holes we had to go out and try to get something going … then I realized you could feel the winds coming up, you could see the rain out in the distance, and I knew it was going to get tougher and tougher, so I just kind of told myself, let’s just stay steady and shoot a couple under par and we’ll be in a good position." Palmer's mate Jon Rahm - with whom he combined to win the Zurich Classic of New Orleans in 2019 - joined him at 8-under after also getting the benefit of playing the easier North Course Friday. He wasn't a fan of getting hit by sideways stinging rain at times. "Those fairways are narrow enough as it is. When you start adding the side wind, it’s just not fun. I can’t really stress how hard it can get," Rahm said after a 67. "North is easier. South today is brutal, I mean absolutely brutal. Every shot counts out there. Even being on the fairway some shots are not easy and with this wind and rain coming in and out, for those who played the North today, we should feel really fortunate." Fortune, they say, favors the brave. Robby Shelton was brave. He played without extra layers. A jacket-free 8-under 64 on the North featured nine birdies and puts the two-time Korn Ferry Tour winning 25-year-old just two shots back. "I just don’t swing well in a jacket. I tried to stay a little freer today even though I was a little cold, but I was fine." Lucky for him the sun is set to return for a weekend shootout.

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3rd Round 2-Balls - J. Highsmith / N. Dunlap
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Joe Highsmith-165
Nick Dunlap+140
3rd Round 2-Balls - M. Pavon / A. Hadwin
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Adam Hadwin-130
Matthieu Pavon+110
3rd Round 2-Balls - T. Pendrith / W. Zalatoris
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith-115
Will Zalatoris-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Stevens / P. Rodgers
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Patrick Rodgers-115
Sam Stevens-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - M.W. Lee / B. Cauley
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Min Woo Lee-125
Bud Cauley+105
3rd Round 2-Balls - M. Homa / S. Theegala
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sahith Theegala-125
Max Homa+105
3rd Round 2-Balls - A. Eckroat / M. Kim
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Michael Kim-135
Austin Eckroat+115
3rd Round 2-Balls - T. Finau / B. Hun An
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Tony Finau-120
Byeong Hun An+100
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Conners / J.J. Spaun
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners-145
J J Spaun+120
3rd Round 2-Balls - E. Cole / T. Hoge
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Tom Hoge-135
Eric Cole+115
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Straka / D. Thompson
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sepp Straka-135
Davis Thompson+115
3rd Round 2-Balls - N. Taylor / C. Bezuidenhout
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Nick Taylor-115
Christiaan Bezuidenhout-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Young / L. Aberg
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg-230
Cameron Young+190
3rd Round 2-Balls - G. Woodland / J. Bridgeman
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jacob Bridgeman-135
Gary Woodland+115
3rd Round 2-Balls - R. MacIntyre / J. Rose
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Robert MacIntyre-125
Justin Rose+105
3rd Round Match-Ups - A. Bhatia v J. Rose
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Akshay Bhatia-120
Justin Rose+100
3rd Round Match-Ups - R. MacIntyre vs A. Rai
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Aaron Rai-110
Robert MacIntyre-110
3rd Round 2-Balls - R. Fowler / H. English
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Harris English-125
Rickie Fowler+105
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Lowry / L. Glover
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Shane Lowry-135
Lucas Glover+115
3rd Round Match-Ups - S. Lowry vs J. Spieth
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Shane Lowry-115
Jordan Spieth-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - A. Scott / S. Im
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sungjae Im-155
Adam Scott+130
3rd Round Match-Ups - D. McCarthy vs S. Im
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Sungjae Im-115
Denny McCarthy-105
3rd Round Match-Ups - A. Scott vs S. Burns
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns-120
Adam Scott+100
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Burns / A. Bhatia
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Akshay Bhatia-115
Sam Burns-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Kirk / A. Rai
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Aaron Rai-165
Chris Kirk+140
3rd Round 2-Balls - R. Hisatsune / T. Detry
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Thomas Detry-115
Ryo Hisatsune-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - J. Spieth / D. Berger
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Daniel Berger-120
Jordan Spieth+100
3rd Round 2-Balls - D. McCarthy / V. Hovland
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Viktor Hovland-115
Denny McCarthy-105
3rd Round Match-Ups - X. Schauffele vs V. Hovland
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Xander Schauffele-130
Viktor Hovland+110
3rd Round 2-Balls - X. Schauffele / M. Kuchar
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Xander Schauffele-185
Matt Kuchar+150
3rd Round 2-Balls - M. Greyserman / B. Horschel
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Billy Horschel-125
Max Greyserman+105
3rd Round 2-Balls - J. Day / S. Jaeger
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jason Day-140
Stephan Jaeger+120
3rd Round Match-Ups - J. Day vs W. Clark
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Jason Day-125
Wyndham Clark+105
3rd Round 2-Balls - A. Baddeley / R. Hoey
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Rico Hoey-200
Aaron Baddeley+220
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - M. Fitzpatrick / P. Cantlay
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Patrick Cantlay-175
Matt Fitzpatrick+145
3rd Round Match-Ups - P. Cantlay vs J. Thomas
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Patrick Cantlay-115
Justin Thomas-105
3rd Round Match-Ups - J.T. Poston vs M. Fitzpatrick
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
J.T. Poston-120
Matt Fitzpatrick+100
3rd Round 2-Balls - B. Martin / C. Ramey
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Chad Ramey+100
Ben Martin+110
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Valimaki / K. Bradley
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Keegan Bradley-140
Sami Valimaki+120
3rd Round Match-Ups - S.W. Kim vs K. Bradley
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Si Woo Kim-115
Keegan Bradley-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - H. Hall / A. Tosti
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Harry Hall-110
Alejandro Tosti+120
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Davis / B. Campbell
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Brian Campbell-110
Cam Davis-110
3rd Round Match-Ups - R. Gerard vs B. Campbell
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Ryan Gerard-120
Brian Campbell+100
3rd Round Match-Ups - K. Vilips vs C. Davis
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Cam Davis-130
Karl Vilips+110
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Power / R. Hoshino
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Seamus Power-125
Rikuya Hoshino+135
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - D. Skinns / Z. Blair
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Zac Blair-110
David Skinns+120
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - K. Vilips / R. Gerard
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ryan Gerard-135
Karl Vilips+115
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Morikawa / M. McNealy
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Collin Morikawa-170
Maverick McNealy+145
3rd Round Match-Ups - M. McNealy vs B. Harman
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Brian Harman-110
Maverick McNealy-110
3rd Round Match-Ups - S. Scheffler vs C. Morikawa
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler-145
Collin Morikawa+120
3rd Round 2-Balls - W. Chandler / M. Wallace
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Matt Wallace-185
Will Chandler+210
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - J.T. Poston / B. Harman
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
J.T. Poston-115
Brian Harman-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - K. Mitchell / M. NeSmith
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell-170
Matt NeSmith+185
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - S. Scheffler / W. Clark
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler-240
Wyndham Clark+195
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Kim / D. Wu
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Chan Kim-135
Dylan Wu+150
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - T. Fleetwood / M. Hughes
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Tommy Fleetwood-155
Mackenzie Hughes+130
3rd Round Match-Ups - R. Henley vs T. Fleetwood
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Russell Henley-115
Tommy Fleetwood-105
3rd Round Match-Ups - A. Novak vs M. Hughes
Type: 3rd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Andrew Novak-115
Mackenzie Hughes-105
3rd Round 2-Balls - C. Hoffman / M. Thorbjornsen
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Charley Hoffman+105
Michael Thorbjornsen+105
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - R. Henley / A. Novak
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Russell Henley-170
Andrew Novak+145
3rd Round 2-Balls - J. Dahmen / G. Higgo
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Joel Dahmen+100
Garrick Higgo+110
Tie+750
3rd Round 2-Balls - J. Thomas / S.W. Kim
Type: 3rd Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Justin Thomas-150
Si Woo Kim+125
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Brooks Koepka+700
Justin Thomas+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Justin Thomas+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Viktor Hovland+2000
Justin Thomas+2500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Caddie Hulka hauls a big load for TOUR playersCaddie Hulka hauls a big load for TOUR players

That 2-hour drive from Palm Harbor, Florida, to Orlando earlier this week was like “crossing the streetâ€� for Steve Hulka. Maybe not for you and me. But Hulka, who had recently finished a three-day, coast-to-coast drive hauling a 24-foot trailer filled with eight tons of luggage and golf gear, has a little different perspective. The longtime PGA TOUR caddie started a business in the fall of 2002 called HOPE — which is an acronym for Hulka’s Overland Players Express. His regular clients have grown from six pros at the start to over 50 this year with the assorted Sunday night walk-ups welcome, too. Since starting the business, Hulka is on his fourth Chevy Silverado, a brand new 2018 model, as well as his fifth trailer. The first was a 16-footer but the demand increased so much that Hulka had to go to one that’s 8 feet longer several years ago. In an average year, Hulka drives about 45,000 miles, making the total entering this year right around 675,000. No word on how many times he’s changed the oil in the truck – that’s what Hulka was doing recently when he broke for a telephone interview — or had the tires rotated. That recent trip from Los Angeles to West Palm Beach is the longest of the year. Three days and 2,700 miles later – including driving through what Hulka calls a “Biblical stormâ€� – the truck was unloaded. Without fail by Tuesday, though, anxious players started calling to see how close their overland express was. “One of those players that called looking for us on Tuesday, I go, so do you have to make a Target run for socks and underwear?â€� Hulka says with a smile. “He left all his suitcases with us thinking, you know, OK. But to, his defense, he took three weeks off prior to that. So he wasn’t really thinking (about how far it was.)â€� The idea for his business was hatched in the immediate aftermath of 9/11. Hulka was traveling back from his aunt’s funeral and he was struck by the increased security he encountered at the airport. “I could not fathom the fact that our army were standing there with M-16s and there was a 2-hour line and all I had was the backpack,â€� Hulka recalls. “I was like, how are the players going to get their gear with their wives and their children and their clubs and their suitcases and everything … if this is how the landscape for flying has changed so drastically.â€� Hulka was caddying for Pat Bates at the time. Over the next 10 months or so, he and Bates and Ben Crane, Jonathan Byrd and Paul Stankowski often brainstormed how they might make travel easier. Stankowski finally suggested that Hulka rent a truck from Ryder, which at the time sponsored the tournament at Doral. Hulka eventually decided the best way would be to buy a truck and a trailer. He called Henry Hughes, who was then an executive vice president at the PGA TOUR, and pitched the idea. Turns out, a caddie on what is now called PGA TOUR Champions had a similar plan. So within 24 hours, Hulka wrote an eight-page business plan and sent it to Hughes. “I figured, OK, the first guy that gets his business plan to Henry’s is going to get this opportunity,â€� Hulka recalls. “So I made sure I was first. And Henry called me a day later and he said, Hulka, we love your plan. You’ve covered all your bases and you are good to go.â€� Hulka’s six original clients quickly grew. The word of mouth was overwhelmingly positive and it wasn’t long before Hulka realized that he and Stankowski and the rest were right — HOPE filled a niche for TOUR players who average 20-25 weeks on the road a year. Hulka’s wife Mary, who was his graveyard shift driver for many years, found stackable, 55-gallon rolling bins at the Container Store. The pros buy those and pack away children’s toys, rain gear and other supplies, essentially giving them an extra locker, and then Hulka loads them on the truck and hauls them to the next event. “They’re pretty sturdy and they’re big enough to hold lots of stuff,â€� he says. “And some of them weigh hundred pounds because those girls can pack.â€� Hulka has also transported exercise bikes, training tables and motorcycles — even a mattress that a player uses when the one at the hotel or home he’s renting isn’t comfy enough. And don’t forget the new golf towels that the caddies get every week – including some very specific brands, such as AT&T for Jordan Speith and RBC for their six-man team. “We’ve got four different towels on our truck trailer, just boxes of towels,â€� Hulka says. “They get shipped out to us. In fact when you called me, I was on my way to the laundromat to wash the dirty ones because we keep a supply of rewashes for the rainy days.â€� It hasn’t all been smooth sailing, er, driving, though. One year, as Hulka drove through the Florida Panhandle near Bubba Watson’s home in Bagdad, he heard two loud booms and realized both tires on the passenger side had blown. “We actually had to sleep in the trailer because it happened at 3 o’clock in the morning,â€� Hulka says. “Well, I got one spare not two … but that one spare we put it on, we jacked up the trailer, put it on, and we limped down the highway another 30 miles to Baghdad. And we, we waited until 7 for this tire store to open up so we could get some new tires.â€� The truck lost an entire wheel assembly in Sharon, Pennsylvania, on Monday night during another drive from Boston to St. Louis during the FedExCup Playoffs. Hulka had to rent another trailer, re-pack and leave his own to be fixed. He arrived at the Ritz-Carlton in St. Louis at 7 p.m. on Tuesday night. “I heard later from (TOUR official) Ross Berlin that Geoff Ogilvy walked out on the range in tee shirt shorts and flip flops,â€� Hulka chuckles. “And he goes, Geoff, what are you doing? He goes, ‘Oh, you haven’t heard about the Hulkas?’ They’re back in Pennsylvania. They had a breakdown. I don’t have any luggage. “And we never lost a beat other than we were half a day late getting into St. Louis. That’s been the only really set back that we’ve had in the 16 years of the business where we were actually late. I guess that’s a pretty good fielding percentage.â€� For many years, Hulka’s wife Mary helped shoulder the driving and packing duties, literally, as well as figuratively. “Boy, could she schlepp luggage,â€� Hulka says, noting his wife often loaded the truck herself on Sunday night while he finished his caddying duties. Then they’d hit Cracker Barrel and head out for the next tournament stop. He’d take the first shift while she slept and then they’d trade places. Mary has now gone into “semi-retirement,â€� as her husband puts it, and spends most of her time back home in Phoenix being a grandmother. Their son, Ben, who was the manager of the football team at Arizona and later spent four years working for the Seattle Seahawks, has now joined the family business. “He puts stickers on Nick Foles’ helmets (at Arizona),â€� Hulka says. “Isn’t that something? Now here’s Nick Foes, Super Bowl MVP.â€� Oh, and the Seahawks won the Super Bowl the first year Ben worked for the NFL team. “So he really had a great four years, met the love of his life and now he’s working for us,â€� Hulka says. The biggest difference between having Mary and Ben on the road with him? Now he eats at Chipotle on Sunday night. “This millennial thing,â€� Hulka says good-naturedly. “Cracker Barrel’s too grandma, grandpa and they got to do Chipotle so we can get going a little quicker.â€� Hulka, who is 65, thinks he has another three years or so before he retires and Ben takes the business over. Hulka will caddie this year for Chad Collins, starting with next week’s Chitimacha Louisiana Open and then moving full-time to the PGA TOUR. “(I’d like to) get him to the top and then walk off into the sunset,â€� Hulka says. Or, he can always drive.

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Cut prediction: Desert ClassicCut prediction: Desert Classic

2019 Desert Classic, End of Round 1: Course scoring averages: LaQuinta CC (LQ): -2.58 strokes per round Nicklaus Tournament Course (NT): -2.29 Stadium Course (SC): -1.12 Current cutline: 69 players at -3 or better (T53rd position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines (3 round cut): 7 under par: 17.4% 8 under par: 16.1% 6 under par: 16.0% Top 5 win probabilities: Phil Mickelson (1, -12, LQ) : 19.7% Jon Rahm (T8, -6, LQ) : 11.0% Adam Hadwin (T4, -7, SC) : 7.5% Justin Rose (T31, -4, LQ) : 7.4% Patrick Cantlay (T18, -5, NT) : 6.3% NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Desert Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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