Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Thomas: ‘It’s going to be tough’ starting TOUR Championship with two-shot lead

Thomas: ‘It’s going to be tough’ starting TOUR Championship with two-shot lead

ATLANTA – Justin Thomas had won nine times on the PGA TOUR before last week’s BMW Championship. He started the final round at Medinah Country Club with a comfy six-shot cushion. Despite his experience withstanding Sunday pressure, and the distance between himself and the rest of the field, Thomas admitted that he was “really nervous� at the start of the day. Thomas’ lead was whittled down to just two strokes with eight holes left, but he birdied half of the remaining holes to win for the first time in more than a year. How did he right the ship? He told himself, “Hey, you have a two-shot lead standing on the 11th tee on Sunday.� “If I have a two-shot lead with eight holes left, I feel confident I can pull it off.� Related: How it works: TOUR Championship | Power Rankings | TOUR Championship experts roundtable Last week’s win vaulted Thomas to the top of the FedExCup standings. He has another two-shot lead, but now there are 72 holes remaining. Thomas has technically led the TOUR Championship since Sunday, giving him four extra nights to sleep on the lead. “It’s going to be tough,� said Thomas, the 2017 FedExCup champion. “I think (Thursday) I’ll kind of feel it for the first time.� That’s when this new TOUR Championship finally gets underway. There has been much discussion over the past year, and especially in the last three days, about how players will handle the season finale’s new staggered start. Players agree that the best way to handle this new format is to not think about it. “I’m just going to have to try to play another golf tournament and act like everyone’s staring at zero and try to shoot the lowest 72 holes,� said Thomas, who will start the final round with a two-stroke lead over Patrick Cantlay. Thomas is five shots ahead of Rory McIlroy, who’s fifth in the FedExCup, and 10 shots ahead of the last five players to qualify for the TOUR Championship. When McIlroy won both the FedExCup and TOUR Championship three years ago, he made up three shots in the final three holes before winning in a playoff. The lowest score in relation to par, including the starting strokes, wins both titles this week. McIlroy has a target score, not Thomas, at the front of his mind. The winning score at East Lake has been between 11 and 13-under-par in four of the last five years (it was 9 under in the other year). “If I was in JT’s position, it would be, OK, I’m just going to set myself a target for the week. … You say, ‘OK, I’m going to go out and shoot 67 every day. No one should beat me if I do that,’� McIlroy said. “I think you have to just control what you can.� Thomas is the pacesetter, so he controls how this week transpires. A strong start could eliminate most of the field, while some early struggles may bring most of the 30-man field into the mix. The rough is thick this week at East Lake, making it harder for someone to run away from the field. Cantlay said he’d want some odds if Thomas asked for two shots in a match at home in Jupiter, Florida, even if it was 72 holes. Like Thomas, Cantlay also has a win this season. Cantlay overcame a large deficit in the final round of his victory at the Memorial, while Thomas watched his lead get whittled away. Cantlay was four shots behind 54-hole leader Martin Kaymer entering the final round at Muirfield Village Golf Club. Cantlay’s 64 was the low final round by a winner in tournament history. He beat Kaymer by eight on that day. “I felt like I was always chasing that day,� Cantlay said. This week, his pursuit begins Thursday. He will play in the shadow of Thomas in Thursday’s final group. Thomas will control the tournament when he steps to the tee. “There isn’t a person on the planet that’s experienced this before, for the stakes it’s for,� Thomas said. “I’m just going to try to deal with it the best I can.�

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RBC Canadian Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+400
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Corey Conners+2000
Robert MacIntyre+2500
Shane Lowry+2500
Sam Burns+3000
Sungjae Im+3000
Taylor Pendrith+3000
Harry Hall+3500
Luke Clanton+3500
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Virginia
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+450
Jon Rahm+550
Joaquin Niemann+650
Tyrrell Hatton+1200
Patrick Reed+1600
Cameron Smith+2000
Carlos Ortiz+2000
Lucas Herbert+2200
Brooks Koepka+2500
David Puig+2500
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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+800
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Collin Morikawa+2200
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Justin Thomas+2800
Brooks Koepka+3500
Viktor Hovland+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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SAN DIEGO — Southern California native Max Homa came from five shots off the lead to win the Farmers Insurance Open by two strokes over Keegan Bradley on Saturday at Torrey Pines, where Jon Rahm imploded early and missed a shot at winning his third straight start and moving to No. 1 in the world. Homa reeled in Sam Ryder, who was trying for a wire-to-wire win, and then held off Bradley and Collin Morikawa for his sixth PGA TOUR win and fourth in his home state. He took The Genesis Invitational at Riviera in 2021 and has won the Fortinet Championship in Napa in consecutive years. Homa closed with a 6-under 66 to finish at 13-under 275. He made a 4-foot birdie putt on No. 18 and pumped his right fist before greeting wife Lacey and infant son Cam just off the green. Bradley also shot a 66 on the South Course. Morikawa shot 69 and finished at 10 under. Ryder shot 75, his worst round of the week, and tied for fourth with Sahith Theegala (70) and Sungjae Im (70) at 9 under. Rahm shot a 74, his worst round of the week, and tied for seventh at 8 under with Jason Day (68), a two-time Farmers winner. Rahm got his first PGA TOUR win here in 2017 and then won the U.S. Open in 2021 at the municipal course that overlooks the Pacific Ocean. Rahm won The American Express at PGA West last weekend and at the Sentry Tournament of Champions three weekends ago at Kapalua. Homa, playing in the group ahead of Ryder, Rahm and Tony Finau, took the lead at 12 under by curling in a 16-foot birdie putt on the par-3 16th after a 226-yard tee shot. Ryder had a double-bogey 6 on the 15th to drop to 10 under. Ryder, who eagled his first hole of the tournament, was in a three-way tie for first after the opening round and had sole possession of the lead after the second and third rounds. After making an impressive run up the leaderboard on Friday to move into sole possession of second place, two shots behind Ryder, Rahm bogeyed No. 1 and missed a birdie putt by inches on No. 4 before his round fell apart on the par-4 No. 5. Rahm drove into a fairway bunker and then flew the green into the thick rough. It took him three shots to chop his way out of the rough and by the time he sank a nine-foot putt, he had tumbled into a tie for fifth.

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Stanley leads TOUR Championship after 6-under 64Stanley leads TOUR Championship after 6-under 64

ATLANTA — Kyle Stanley and Jordan Spieth are off to strong starts in the Tour Championship with different goals in mind. Stanley ran off four straight birdies on the front nine, and then added two more late in his round on a steamy Thursday afternoon at East Lake for a 6-under 64. He had a two-shot lead. Spieth had a 67, which was just fine with him. No one among the top five seeds in the FedExCup had a lower score, so that kept Spieth on track in his bid to join Tiger Woods as the only two-time winner of the season-long competition and its $10 million bonus. Stanley is the No. 22 seed. He needs to win and have Spieth finish toward the bottom third of the 30-man field to claim the FedExCup.

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Fantasy Insider: Fantasy golf advice for the Mayakoba Golf ClassicFantasy Insider: Fantasy golf advice for the Mayakoba Golf Classic

Segment 1 of PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO concludes with the Mayakoba Golf Classic and The RSM Classic. Neither utilizes ShotLink (for fantasy purposes), but because fantasy scoring doesn’t rely on it as much as in previous iterations, its absence doesn’t influence lineup decisions like the old days. If you haven’t stumbled upon my advice until now, the fantasy game is all about making cuts and the long game. There are prizes for every Segment, but those are bonuses in the construct of long-range planning. Focus on avoiding missed cuts by loading up on predictable value in a given week. The 132-man field at El Camaleón Golf Club is chock full of horses for the course. This is exactly what’s expected on a ball-striker’s par 71 measuring just 6,987 yards. Fellow fantasy contributor Mike Glasscott and I will go into more detail on this during our live show on Twitter on Wednesday. Please keep an eye on our promotion for it in real time as the start time varies. The RSM Classic presents the last chance for Web.com Tour graduates to hang up a crooked number in their category before it reorders at the conclusion of the tournament. The entire class will qualify for the 156-man competition. Remarkably, only two who are currently exempt no higher than the category – Joey Garber and Hank Lebioda – and not on a medical extension have yet to make a cut this fall. (Sangmoon Bae also has a spot and hasn’t made a cut, but he’s still officially playing out of the Major Medical category.) If you’re in a higher-stakes, full-season league that allows drop-adds, you’re probably inching your finger to the trigger to make a move or two once the dust settles at Sea Island. If you’re not already familiar with the Reshuffle that I maintain weekly, click here. It should be self-explanatory, but fire away with any questions on that page, beneath this column or on Twitter. As the PGA TOUR plays this fortnight before the annual holiday break, the European Tour is wrapping its 2018 season. Most importantly, the top 20 in the final Race to Dubai standings (on Nov. 18) will earn an exemption into the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship in February. The top 30 will punch a ticket to play Royal Portrush for The Open Championship in July. Knowledge of this playing time sometimes yields motivation to apply for a sponsor exemption or two in advance or after these events. For season-long gamers – salary or otherwise – it can make a difference in the short- and long-term. Bookmark my Qualifiers and check back often if you already don’t. PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO My roster for the Mayakoba Golf Classic (in alphabetical order): Tony Finau Rickie Fowler Emiliano Grillo Charles Howell III J.J. Spaun Gary Woodland You’ll find my starters in Expert Picks. Others to consider for each category (in alphabetical order): Scoring: Abraham Ancer; Billy Horschel; Zach Johnson; Si Woo Kim; Martin Laird; Danny Lee; Keith Mitchell; Sam Ryder; J.J. Spaun; Aaron Wise Driving: Abraham Ancer; Billy Horschel; Beau Hossler; Sungjae Im; Ryan Moore; Joaquin Niemann; Scott Piercy; Chez Reavie; Sam Ryder; J.J. Spaun; Kevin Streelman; Aaron Wise Power Rankings Wild Card Zach Johnson … Based on profile alone, he belonged in the Power Rankings, but in the context of what-has-he-done-for-us-lately, he was bumped. Walked off his debut here last year with an eight-birdie 64 to place T23. It was the low round of the finale. Hasn’t competed since a forgettable Playoffs after finishing the Regular Season with six straight top 20s. Draws Sam Ryder … Boy, did he turn a corner in July with consecutive top 10s to save his job, and he hasn’t missed since. All told, he’s survived eight consecutive cuts, most recently on the back of a 62 to close out a solo third at the Shriners. The PGA TOUR sophomore also opened the season with a T4 at Silverado. His confidence is evident, so continue to ride this horse. Pat Perez … No one can sustain a high level of performance every week, but he has only two top-30 finishes in the last six months. Despite the recent regression in form, he still makes cuts and he gets the benefit of the doubt at Mayakoba because he’s 5-for-6 with a victory (2016) and another pair of top 20s. Brian Gay … The 2008 champ hasn’t missed a cut at El Camaleón in eight appearances. He’s totaled four top 25s, including a T25 last year, and recorded a scoring average of 68.94 in 32 rounds. He’s also coming off a terrific 2017-18 during which he matched career highs in top 10s (six) and top 25s (12). Ideal in all formats. Sungjae Im … Suffice it to say that he’s transitioned wonderfully to the PGA TOUR with a T4 at Silverado and T15 at TPC Summerlin early on. Expectations remain up there at Mayakoba because he’s so balanced throughout his bag. And obviously, inexperience on every course he’s played since flourishing as a rookie on the Web.com Tour in 2018 hasn’t posed a challenge. Kevin Streelman … Presents the same approach as last week’s “guaranteed” cut made at TPC Summerlin (where he placed T51). He’s perfect in five tries at El Camaleón with a pair of top fives and a scoring average of 68.35. Line him up as a safety net in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO. Billy Horschel … This endorsement rests almost entirely on his recent form that extends back several months with four top-three finishes among seven top 20s over 12 starts. It’s also a bonus for gamers in that he’s appeared only once at Mayakoba since it was shifted into the fall (MC, 2016). Bill Haas … Fell short of meeting the terms of his medical extension and will play with conditional status for the remainder of the season, but he’s a lock to receive sponsor exemptions. It begins with one for his third appearance at Mayakoba (but first in nine years). Opened 2018-19 with a pair of top 15s, and that was after he finally had surgery on his right knee after tearing his ACL last December. Brian Stuard … After the Zurich Classic of New Orleans where he was the last individual champion in 2016, the Mayakoba Golf Classic registers second among tournaments at which he’s earned the most money. He’s 5-for-5 with a solo second in 2014, a T9 last year and a scoring average of 68.55. Slide him into position in DFS. Harris English Beau Hossler Martin Laird Danny Lee Keith Mitchell Patrick Rodgers Harold Varner III Jhonattan Vegas Fades Patton Kizzire … In each of his first three years on the PGA TOUR, he’s stormed out of the gates in the fall, but given his tailspin over the last nine months, it’s not surprising to see him open 2018-19 with but a T23 in South Korea and a solo 67th in China. Charley Hoffman … At best a contrarian because he makes most cuts, but he has only one top 25 in his last seven events worldwide (T20, THE NORTHERN TRUST). It’s also been 15 months since his last top 10 in official competition. And he’s 0-for-3 without a sub-70 at Mayakoba since prevailing here in 2014. It’s also his only top 30 in six trips. Graeme McDowell … This is relative to the expectations as a former champion (2015). He’s cashed in the last three editions and averaged 68.08 in those 12 rounds, but save as a back-end complement in DFS at best. The 39-year-old has managed only one top-35 finish in his last 11 starts worldwide. Kevin Kisner … First start in two months. Concluded last season with only three top-35 finishes in his last 13 starts. While still a threat to contend everywhere, he’s worth passing even in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO due to a 1-for-3 slate at Mayakoba where he hasn’t appeared in five years. Kevin Chappell … As a taut ball-striker, he should be a short-lister at El Camaleón, but it hasn’t panned out with just two red numbers in six rounds. He’s also too inconsistent over time to attach usable analytics to a higher expectation this week. Brian Harman … Continues to scuffle as he cashes checks, but his last top-35 finish was a T6 at the Travelers Championship in late June. And since Mayakoba hopped into the fall, he’s just 2-for-4, also without a top 35. John Huh … Something will give because the 2012 champ who’s a collective 5-for-6 with a scoring average of 68.86 in 22 rounds at El Camaleón has missed his last five cuts upon arrival. The field is deep enough to snag something on the line elsewhere. Chris Stroud … Once upon a time, he was an automatic at El Camaleón thanks to a 7-for-7 record from 2008-2014 that included three straight top fives among five top 25s. However, those halcyon days are long gone. Since 2015, he’s made only one cut and averaged 71.25 in eight rounds. His recent form is suspect as well as he’s gone five starts without a top 50. Russell Henley … Making his tournament debut with only a T50 (PGA Championship) and T58 (Dell Technologies Championship) as cuts made in the last three months. Chris Kirk Matt Kuchar Luke List Jamie Lovemark Returning to Competition Andrew Landry … Rested since a T66 at the Safeway Open. He withdrew early from both the CIMB Classic and THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES. While counterintuitive given the promise of FedExCup points and getting paid in those no-cut invitationals, he’s fully exempt through 2019-20. He also became a first-time father early this year, so the tug of staying home is stronger than ever. He’s 0-for-2 at Mayakoba. D.A. Points … Making his first start of 2018-19 for which he’s fully exempt due to his win at the Puerto Rico Open in 2017. Hasn’t played since a T4 at the Wyndham Championship in August. When asked how he was feeling on Twitter later in the month, the 41-year-old replied, “Physically I feel fine. I just have frequent numbness in my right hand and fingers. Trying to find a good solution for the fix.” Notable WDs Padraig Harrington … Sticking with his commitment to the Nedbank Golf Challenge in South Africa. The 47-year-old has come on strong of late to position himself 88th in the Race to Dubai. He’s fully exempt on the PGA TOUR this season via the top-50 career earnings exemption. Power Rankings Recap – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Power Ranking  Golfer  Result 1  Gary Woodland  T10 2  Tony Finau  T36 3  Rickie Fowler  T4 4  Patrick Cantlay  2nd 5  Webb Simpson  T15 6  Ryan Moore  T36 7  Aaron Wise  T15 8  Scott Piercy  T10 9  Austin Cook  MC 10  Cameron Champ  T28 11  Jordan Spieth  T55 12  Beau Hossler  T23 13  Sam Burns  MC 14  Bryson DeChambeau  Win 15  Bronson Burgoon  MC Wild Card  Martin Laird  T28 Sleepers Recap – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Golfer  Result Harris English  T36 Alex Prugh  T57 J.J. Spaun  T15 Kevin Streelman  T51 Martin Trainer  MC Birthdays among active golfers on the PGA TOUR November 6 … Scott Piercy (40) November 7 … Joaquin Niemann (20) November 8 … Troy Matteson (39); Francesco Molinari (36) November 9 … David Duval (47); Ted Potter, Jr. (35); Nicholas Lindheim (34) November 10 … Jon Rahm (24) November 11 … Robert Garrigus (41); Joel Dahmen (31) November 12 … Lucas Glover (39); Chez Reavie (37); Jason Day (31); C.T. 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