Short of winning any tournament, it’s arguable that emerging as one of the 30 at East Lake in Atlanta is the hardest objective on the PGA TOUR. Of the 35 unique winners this season, 15 didn’t advance to the finale of the FedExCup Playoffs. Identifying the most confident golfers at the TOUR Championship isn’t too hard. Just read the field. Reaching the summit is one reason why each qualifier is treated to exemptions into the first three majors of 2018 as well as spots in the first two World Golf Championships. It’s nothing short of a life-changing achievement for the eight first-timers in the field. The other lane of confidence isn’t as smooth and fluid, but it matters more when making decisions for your fantasy lineups. This is where you determine who deserves the attention and your faith as a fit at East Lake. Billy Horschel caught such a blazing heater in 2014 that a kneejerk reaction would be to ignore how he prevailed by three strokes in the TOUR Championship. However, upon closer inspection, his formula for success was no more out of the ordinary than the two champions since. Horschel, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy showcased the complete game en route to their titles. All four identifiers below align with what worked for them and what projects to work for this week’s champion. East Lake’s putting surfaces average 6,200 square feet and could touch 12-and-a-half feet on the Stimpmeter, but they are not dastardly, devilish or diabolical. From just about every metric, they’re easier on average to solve and they are fair. With that accepted component factored in, we can widen our focus to use bogey avoidance as the catchall for short game and putting. In a nutshell, that explains why East Lake is a ball-striker’s paradise. Something to keep in mind as your watch, listen to and/or read about the tournament, since Tiger Woods won the FedExCup without winning the TOUR Championship in 2009, which was the inaugural year of the first iteration of the current points structure, every champion at East Lake also captured the FedExCup. NOTE: Golfers inside the top 20 in each statistic in the FedExCup Playoffs are listed only if they are scheduled to compete in the TOUR Championship. * – Finished inside the top 10 at the TOUR Championship in 2014, 2015 and/or 2016. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee 1 Â *Dustin Johnson 2 Â Jon Rahm 3 Â *Rickie Fowler 4 Â *Jordan Spieth 5 Â Brooks Koepka 6 Â Xander Schauffele T7 Â *Kevin Chappell T7 Â Charley Hoffman 9 Â Tony Finau 11 Â Jhonattan Vegas 12 Â *Paul Casey 15 Â *Justin Rose 16 Â *Justin Thomas 18 Â Patrick Cantlay Greens in Regulation T2 Â Patrick Cantlay T2 Â *Jordan Spieth 4 Â *Gary Woodland 5 Â Marc Leishman 7 Â *Justin Rose 8 Â Jon Rahm T9 Â *Sergio Garcia T9 Â *Dustin Johnson 13 Â *Rickie Fowler T16 Â *Matt Kuchar 19 Â *Paul Casey T20 Â Pat Perez T20 Â Kyle Stanley Proximity to the Hole 1 Â *Dustin Johnson 4 Â *Justin Rose T6 Â *Jason Day 10 Â *Jordan Spieth T11 Â Russell Henley T13 Â Daniel Berger 16 Â Jon Rahm 19 Â Brian Harman Bogey Avoidance 1 Â Patrick Cantlay 2 Â *Jordan Spieth 3 Â *Justin Rose T4 Â Pat Perez T4 Â Jon Rahm 6 Â *Dustin Johnson T8 Â *Justin Thomas 10 Â Marc Leishman T11 *Rickie Fowler T13 Â *Sergio Garcia T15 Â Daniel Berger T15 Â *Paul Casey T15 Â Webb Simpson T19 Â *Jason Day With only 30 in the field, the usual groupings below are sparsely populated, but half of the field is still represented. Jordan Spieth (2015) is the only prior winner of the TOUR Championship back this week. NOTE: The groups below are comprehensive to assist in data mining. Inclusion doesn’t imply automatic endorsement in every fantasy game as all decisions are specific to your situation. CONFIDENCE MEN Selected golfers with multiple cuts made sorted by rank on the tournament’s money list. BUILDING CONFIDENCE Sorted by best finish, selected golfers who are either finally finding form on the course or are still relatively new to the tournament but have enjoyed some success. OTHER SIGNS OF CONFIDENCE Sorted by most recent top 10s, selected golfers for whom it’s been a few years since their last.
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| 2nd Round Match-Ups - B. Hossler vs H. Norlander | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Beau Hossler | -110 |
| Henrik Norlander | -110 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - J. Lower vs N. Hojgaard | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | -120 |
| Justin Lower | +100 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - B. Hossler / H. Norlander / R. Sloan | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Henrik Norlander | +135 |
| Beau Hossler | +165 |
| Roger Sloan | +240 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Lower / N. Hojgaard / D. Wu | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Justin Lower | +165 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | +165 |
| Dylan Wu | +200 |
| Virginia | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +400 |
| Jon Rahm | +550 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +700 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
| Patrick Reed | +1800 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +2200 |
| Lucas Herbert | +2200 |
| Cameron Smith | +2500 |
| David Puig | +2500 |
| Sergio Garcia | +2500 |
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| Tournament Match-Ups - P. Casey v T. McKibbin | |
| Type: Requests - Status: OPEN | |
| Paul Casey | -115 |
| Tom McKibbin | -115 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - D. Burmester / B. Grace / C. Schwartzel | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Dean Burmester | +120 |
| Charl Schwartzel | +170 |
| Branden Grace | +275 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - S. Garcia / L. Oosthuizen / M. Kaymer | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Sergio Garcia | +105 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | +145 |
| Martin Kaymer | +400 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / T. McKibbin / C. Surratt | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +105 |
| Tom McKibbin | +200 |
| Caleb Surratt | +260 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - L. Herbert / M. Leishman / M. Jones | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Lucas Herbert | +100 |
| Marc Leishman | +170 |
| Matt Jones | +350 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - B. Koepka / D. Johnson / C. Smith | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Cameron Smith | +150 |
| Brooks Koepka | +175 |
| Dustin Johnson | +200 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / J. Rahm / J. Niemann | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +150 |
| Jon Rahm | +170 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +210 |
| 1st Round Six-Shooter - Group A - B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton / J. Rahm / P. Reed / J. Niemann / C. Ortiz | |
| Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +280 |
| Jon Rahm | +320 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +375 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +500 |
| Patrick Reed | +600 |
| Carlos Ortiz | +700 |
| 1st Round Six-Shooter - Group B - C. Smith / S. Garcia / L. Herbert / D. Burmester / S. Munoz / B. Koepka | |
| Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
| Cameron Smith | +375 |
| Lucas Herbert | +375 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +425 |
| Brooks Koepka | +450 |
| Dean Burmester | +450 |
| Sergio Garcia | +450 |
| 1st Round Six-Shooter - Group C - T. Gooch / P. Casey / C. Tringale / M. Leishman / D. Johnson / R. Bland | |
| Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
| Talor Gooch | +350 |
| Cameron Tringale | +400 |
| Dustin Johnson | +400 |
| Marc Leishman | +450 |
| Paul Casey | +450 |
| Richard Bland | +475 |
| 1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner | |
| Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
| Tom McKibbin | +400 |
| Bubba Watson | +425 |
| Charl Schwartzel | +425 |
| Thomas Pieters | +425 |
| Harold Varner III | +450 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | +450 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | |
| Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | -135 |
| Top 10 Finish | -350 |
| Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
| Jon Rahm | |
| Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | -115 |
| Top 10 Finish | -300 |
| Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
| Joaquin Niemann | |
| Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +100 |
| Top 10 Finish | -250 |
| Top 20 Finish | -900 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | |
| Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +180 |
| Top 10 Finish | -150 |
| Top 20 Finish | -600 |
| Patrick Reed | |
| Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +290 |
| Top 10 Finish | +105 |
| Top 20 Finish | -400 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Ramey / A. Putnam / R. Hoey | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Rico Hoey | +125 |
| Andrew Putnam | +175 |
| Chad Ramey | +250 |
| Carlos Ortiz | |
| Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +310 |
| Top 10 Finish | +115 |
| Top 20 Finish | -400 |
| Lucas Herbert | |
| Type: Lucas Herbert - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +310 |
| Top 10 Finish | +115 |
| Top 20 Finish | -400 |
| Cameron Smith | |
| Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +350 |
| Top 10 Finish | +125 |
| Top 20 Finish | -350 |
| David Puig | |
| Type: David Puig - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +350 |
| Top 10 Finish | +125 |
| Top 20 Finish | -350 |
| Sergio Garcia | |
| Type: Sergio Garcia - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +350 |
| Top 10 Finish | +125 |
| Top 20 Finish | -350 |
| Brooks Koepka | |
| Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +400 |
| Top 10 Finish | +140 |
| Top 20 Finish | -300 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Weir / C. Kim / B. Silverman | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Ben Silverman | +125 |
| Chan Kim | +130 |
| Mike Weir | +375 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Ghim / H. Buckley / M. Meissner | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Doug Ghim | +125 |
| Mac Meissner | +190 |
| Hayden Buckley | +225 |
| 2nd Round Six Shooter - R. McIlroy / L. Aberg / S. Burns / SJ Im / L. Clanton / M. Homa | |
| Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
| Rory McIlroy | +240 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +350 |
| Sam Burns | +400 |
| Sungjae Im | +550 |
| Luke Clanton | +600 |
| Max Homa | +700 |
| 2nd Round Six Shooter - T. Pendrith / N. Taylor / M. Hughes / D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland | |
| Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
| Taylor Pendrith | +275 |
| Nick Taylor | +350 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | +400 |
| Davis Riley | +475 |
| Lee Hodges | +550 |
| Gary Woodland | +700 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - S. Burns vs T. Pendrith | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Sam Burns | -110 |
| Taylor Pendrith | -110 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - H. Hall vs D. Riley | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Harry Hall | -125 |
| Davis Riley | +105 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Homa vs S. Im | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Sungjae Im | -125 |
| Max Homa | +105 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - S. Burns / M. Homa / S. Im | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Sam Burns | +120 |
| Sungjae Im | +210 |
| Max Homa | +220 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Davis Riley | +150 |
| Lee Hodges | +175 |
| Gary Woodland | +200 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Hughes vs N. Taylor | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Nick Taylor | -120 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | +100 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Taylor / T. Pendrith / M. Hughes | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Taylor Pendrith | +130 |
| Nick Taylor | +180 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | +230 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Pavon / A. Svensson / A. Wise | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Matthieu Pavon | +125 |
| Adam Svensson | +135 |
| Aaron Wise | +350 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Jin Young Ko | +135 |
| Rio Takeda | +160 |
| Lauren Coughlin | +240 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - L. Aberg vs R. McIIroy | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Rory McIlroy | -130 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +110 |
| 2nd Round Match-Ups - K. Mitchell vs T. Detry | |
| Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
| Keith Mitchell | -120 |
| Thomas Detry | +100 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - R. McIIroy / L. Aberg / L. Clanton | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Rory McIlroy | +125 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +165 |
| Luke Clanton | +275 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Detry / K. Mitchell / B. Hun An | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Keith Mitchell | +145 |
| Thomas Detry | +170 |
| Byeong Hun An | +225 |
| 1st Round 3-Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo | |
| Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Nelly Korda | -110 |
| Mao Saigo | +200 |
| Maja Stark | +320 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - H. Hall / T. Moore / K. Kitayama | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Harry Hall | +145 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +180 |
| Taylor Moore | +200 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Villegas / E. Grillo / N. Hardy | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Emiliano Grillo | +105 |
| Nick Hardy | +180 |
| Camilo Villegas | +300 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Lashley / A. Smalley / V. Perez | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Alex Smalley | +120 |
| Victor Perez | +165 |
| Nate Lashley | +300 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Dahmen / P. Rodgers / C. Young | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Patrick Rodgers | +135 |
| Carson Young | +180 |
| Joel Dahmen | +220 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Onishi / M. Creighton / M. Anderson | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Matthew Anderson | +140 |
| Myles Creighton | +185 |
| Kaito Onishi | +210 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Rosenmueller / M. Andersen / J. Goldenberg | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Thomas Rosenmueller | +100 |
| Matthew Anderson | +170 |
| Josh Goldenberg | +340 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Velo / B. Thornberry / W. Heffernan | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Kevin Velo | +110 |
| Braden Thornberry | +145 |
| Wes Heffernan | +375 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Peterson / P. Knowles / H. Thomson | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Hunter Thomson | +135 |
| Paul Peterson | +140 |
| Philip Knowles | +300 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Norgaard / G. Sargent / J. Keefer | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Johnny Keefer | +110 |
| Niklas Norgaard | +120 |
| Gordon Sargent | +550 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Rozner / V. Covello / W. Wang | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Antoine Rozner | -230 |
| Vince Covello | +400 |
| Wei-Hsuan Wang | +425 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / T. Cone / A.J. Ewart | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Takumi Kanaya | -110 |
| A J Ewart | +250 |
| Trevor Cone | +250 |
| 2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Goodwin / Y. Cao / B. Botha | |
| Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Noah Goodwin | +110 |
| Barend Botha | +200 |
| Yi Cao | +250 |
| Major Specials 2025 | |
| Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +500 |
| Jon Rahm | +750 |
| Collin Morikawa | +900 |
| Xander Schauffele | +900 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1000 |
| Justin Thomas | +1100 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +1400 |
| Shane Lowry | +1600 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +1800 |
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| US Open 2025 | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Scottie Scheffler | +275 |
| Rory McIlroy | +650 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +700 |
| Jon Rahm | +1200 |
| Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +2200 |
| Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
| Justin Thomas | +3000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +3500 |
| Shane Lowry | +3500 |
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| The Open 2025 | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
| Rory McIlroy | +500 |
| Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
| Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
| Jon Rahm | +1600 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
| Shane Lowry | +2500 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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| Ryder Cup 2025 | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| USA | -150 |
| Europe | +140 |
| Tie | +1200 |