Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Stats Report: The RSM Classic, Round 1

Stats Report: The RSM Classic, Round 1

After the first round of The RSM Classic there are 86 players at Even par or better (T65th position). Here is how our live model is projecting Friday’s cutline: Even par: 27 percent 1 under par: 26 percent 1 over par: 17 percent The RSM Classic is played on two courses for the first 36 holes of the tournament: the Seaside course (SS) and Plantation (PL) course at Sea Island Resort. Historically, the Plantation course has played significantly easier than the Seaside course. Thursday’s first round was no different: here are the respective course scoring averages: Seaside: +1.05 Plantation: -0.95 This difference in course difficulty obviously has important implications for estimating finish probabilities. Roughly speaking, we could add 2 strokes to everyone’s score who played the Plantation course in the first round to obtain the “effective� current leaderboard. Here are the current top 10 win probabilities, factoring in the course rotation: Despite just 2 of the top 15 scores on Thursday coming from players on the Seaside course, 7 of the top 15 win probabilities belong to Thursday Seaside players. Of course, implicit in these estimates is the assumption that the scoring discrepancy between the two courses will persist in Friday’s second round. NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The RSM Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Turkish Airlines Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Brandon Robinson-Thompson+140
Haotong Li+450
Jorge Campillo+750
Jordan Smith+1100
Robin Williams+1200
Martin Couvra+1400
Matthew Jordan+1400
Joost Luiten+2500
Ewen Ferguson+3500
Mikael Lindberg+3500
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Final Round 2-Balls - J. Guerrier / O. Lindell
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Julien Guerrier-110
Oliver Lindell+120
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - W. Nienaber / Y. Paul
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Yannik Paul+100
Wilco Nienaber+110
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - E. Molinari / R. Langasque
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Romain Langasque-105
Edoardo Molinari+115
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Southgate / M. Kinhult
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Marcus Kinhult+100
Matthew Southgate+110
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - T. Clements / T. Christensen
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Todd Clements-175
Tiger Christensen+190
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - E. Ferguson / J. Luiten
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Joost Luiten-110
Ewen Ferguson+120
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Couvra / M. Lindberg
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Martin Couvra-135
Mikael Lindberg+150
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Jordan / J. Smith
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jordan Smith-110
Matthew Jordan+120
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - H. Li / R. Williams
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Haotong Li-175
Robin Williams+190
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Campillo / B. Robinson
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jorge Campillo+100
Brandon Robinson-Thompson+110
Tie+750
Mizuho Americas Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul+100
Nelly Korda+335
Celine Boutier+400
Andrea Lee+850
Yealimi Noh+1400
Carlota Ciganda+3000
Rio Takeda+7000
Lydia Ko+17500
Kristen Gillman+30000
Somi Lee+35000
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Final Round 2-Balls - M. Katsu / J. Shin
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Minami Katsu+100
Jenny Shin+110
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Bae / J. Kupcho
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jennifer Kupcho-145
Jenny Bae+165
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Lee / H. Naveed
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Minjee Lee-180
Hira Naveed+200
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Kyriacou / L. Duncan
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Lindy Duncan+105
Stephanie Kyriacou+105
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - P. Tavatanakit / A. Yubol
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Patty Tavatanakit-130
Arpichaya Yubol+145
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - R. Yin / A. Kim
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ruoning Yin-160
Auston Kim+180
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - L. Ko / S. Lee
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Lydia Ko-135
Somi Lee+150
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Lopez / E. Szokol
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Elizabeth Szokol-105
Julia Lopez Ramirez+115
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - R. Takeda / K. Gillman
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Rio Takeda-200
Kristen Gillman+225
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - Y. Noh / C. Ciganda
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Yealimi Noh-105
Carlota Ciganda+115
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - N. Korda / A. Lee
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda-145
Andrea Lee+160
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Thitikul / C. Boutier
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul-135
Celine Boutier+150
Tie+750
Myrtle Beach Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Carson Young+275
Mackenzie Hughes+425
Harry Higgs+600
Ryan Fox+1200
Danny Walker+1400
Victor Perez+1400
Alex Smalley+2500
Norman Xiong+2500
Davis Shore+2800
Ben Silverman+4500
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Final Round 3-Balls - J. Svensson / A. Svensson / M. Manassero
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jesper Svensson+150
Adam Svensson+180
Matteo Manassero+200
Final Round 3-Balls - S. Fisk / J. Bramlett / A. Rozner
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Antoine Rozner+175
Joseph Bramlett+175
Steven Fisk+175
Final Round 3-Balls - T. Humphrey / M. McGreevy / H. Springer
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Max McGreevy+130
Hayden Springer+145
Theo Humphrey+300
Final Round 3-Balls - C. Hadley / B. Silverman / W. Chandler
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ben Silverman+130
Chesson Hadley+200
Will Chandler+210
Final Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / B. Haas / A. Albertson
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Takumi Kanaya+100
Anders Albertson+230
Bill Haas+240
Final Round 3-Balls - F. Molinari / G. Duangmanee / L. List
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Luke List+130
Francesco Molinari+170
George Duangmanee+250
Final Round 3-Balls - N. Xiong / D. Walker / A. Smalley
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alex Smalley+125
Danny Walker+185
Norman Xiong+230
Final Round 3-Balls - V. Perez / R. Fox / D. Shore
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Victor Perez+135
Ryan Fox+145
Davis Shore+280
Final Round 3-Balls - A. Putnam / A. Tosti / M. Feuerstein
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alejandro Tosti+120
Andrew Putnam+140
Michael Feuerstein+350
Final Round 3-Balls - C. Young / H. Higgs / M. Hughes
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes+110
Carson Young+190
Harry Higgs+260
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+450
Bryson DeChambeau+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Collin Morikawa+2200
Jon Rahm+2200
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Brooks Koepka+4000
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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How to watch The Genesis Invitational, Round 3: Featured Groups, live scores, tee times, TV timesHow to watch The Genesis Invitational, Round 3: Featured Groups, live scores, tee times, TV times

Round 3 of The Genesis Invitational begins Saturday and The Riviera Country Club is once again the site for one of the most challenging weeks of competition. Joaquin Niemann at 16-under 126, set a tournament 36-hole record with Cameron Young, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Adam Scott all looking to catch the 23-year-old. Here’s everything you need to know to follow the action, including Featured Groups for PGA TOUR LIVE and newly expanded and extended coverage on ESPN+. Click here for more details. Leaderboard Full tee times HOW TO FOLLOW Television: Thursday-Friday, 4 p.m.-8 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday, 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (CBS). Sunday, 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6:30 p.m. (CBS) Radio: Thursday-Friday, 2–8 p.m. ET. Saturday, 2–7 p.m. Sunday, 1-6:30 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.com/liveaudio) For outside of the U.S., click here for GOLFTV powered by the PGA TOUR PGA TOUR LIVE PGA TOUR Live is available exclusively on ESPN+ • Main Feed: primary tournament-coverage featuring the best action from across the course • Marquee Group: new “marquee group” showcasing every shot from each player in the group • Featured Groups: traditional PGA TOUR LIVE coverage of two concurrent featured groups • Featured Holes: a combination of par-3s and iconic or pivotal holes FEATURED GROUPS Marquee Group Rory McIlroy, Carlos Ortiz, K.H. Lee Featured Groups Xander Schauffele, Sergio Garcia, Erik van Rooyen Paul Casey, Will Zalatoris, Emiliano Grillo MUST READS Leader Joaquin Niemann breaks 36-hole record at The Genesis Invitational Viktor Hovland’s unconventional method tames tough 15th at Riviera The details behind Dustin Johnson’s Wayne Gretzky-inspired shoes Adam Scott’s putter switch is paying off at Riviera Riviera Romance – Stars align as Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas and big names start well in LA Experience the Genesis of Tiger Woods Inside My Swing: Max Homa Five Things to Know: The Riviera Country Club

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Rough times ahead at Harding ParkRough times ahead at Harding Park

SAN FRANCISCO – Just how rough is rough supposed to be? For some at the PGA Championship this week it is going to be a rough time indeed as officials have tried to protect the shorter TPC Harding Park from the power of the modern day player. RELATED: Tee times | Nine things to know: TPC Harding Park | Tiger not concerned about lack of reps For the thousands of everyday golfers who make the trek around this public gem the natural defenses are cold temperatures and fog that combine to make the ball travel shorter distances in the air and on the ground and the cypress trees that line and shape the routing. The rough is usually a minor inconvenience. But not so this week. Officially the mix of Poa, Bent and Rye grass that flanks the pristine (and narrow) fairways will be three and a half inches long to start the 102nd PGA Championship. But from the first tee shot on they may not touch it at all. The official line is it will be “cut as needed.” Traditionally Harding Park has been a happy hunting ground for the bombers. At the 2005 World Golf Championship – American Express Championship Tiger Woods would battle John Daly for the title in a playoff. At the WGC – Dell Technologies Match Play in 2015 Rory McIlroy played Gary Woodland in the final. In those weeks the rough was not as lush as it is now. At 7,251 yards this is the shortest PGA Championship since 2013 when Oak Hill measured out at 7,163 yards. There are a mix of shorter and longer par 4s this week as they play it to a par 70 leaving players with the decision of just bombing away as far as they can and hoping any miss into the long stuff is nullified by being able to use a short iron or wedge, or to dial back a little and ensure accuracy. The prevailing talk around the course during the practice rounds is there will be a big element of luck when it comes to lies in the rough. It is patchy, meaning within a foot or less you could get lucky and have the ball sit up or you could find your ball buried. Ian Poulter gave a nice tutorial on his Twitter feed. Tony Finau explained after his first look. “It’s about a 50/50 chance as far as the lie. I’ve had two lies yesterday on Hole 12 that were three feet apart. One I could easily get a 7-iron on and the other one I was just trying to hack out 40, 50 yards,” Finau said. “It’s almost luck of the draw when you hit it in the rough. I think you’re going to see some guys get fortunate and hit it on to the green and I think you’ll see some guys hack it out and not hit it anywhere.” Louis Oosthuizen was spotted on the par-4 ninth, a 505-yard brute usually played as a par-5 for the public, trying his luck from the rough in practice. He had a few cracks at it with a fairway wood and at best could only trundle it down the fairway with a flight common to us weekend warriors who top their fairway woods, from great lies, more often than not. “There will be plenty of times where guys will not be able to reach the green. They will probably be able to give it enough of a go to get close-ish, but that’s usually where you get in a right mess when you try to force it to go for it,” six-time major winner now CBS analyst Sir Nick Faldo said. “That only comes to discipline of when to go for it from the rough and when to really lay up and take your medicine. It’s narrow; narrow with firm greens, that’s as good as it gets.” Woods knows all about discipline on this track from not just his professional success but also his amateur and college career. “It’s not as long numbers-wise, but the ball never goes very far here. It plays very long, even though it’s short on numbers,” 82-time PGA TOUR winner Woods says. “This golf course in particular, the big holes are big and the shorter holes are small. It can be misleading. They have; pinched in the fairways a little bit and the rough is thick; it’s lush. With this marine layer here and the way it’s going to be the rest of the week, the rough is only going to get thicker, so it’s going to put a premium on getting the ball in play.” So Woods says it’s about getting it in play. Long and straight will always work. But Bryson DeChambeau, who has taken golf by storm with his new hulked up frame and 400 yard drives has other ideas. “This golf course suits a bomber if you can hit it straight … I’d say it’s pretty straightforward to be honest with you and there’s not really too much to it if you could just keep it in the fairway out here this week,” DeChambeau stated. “But as the rough stands right now I think the risk is definitely worth the reward. if you do hit it into the rough I still think you can get to the front of the green and from the front edge on these greens you can kind of get to any pin. So for me as of right now I’m going to be hitting it up there as far as I can and hopefully wedging it close and making some putts this week.” Dissecting the course then becomes the when and where you might rev things up and when you might step back. “There’s a lot of long irons into these par 4s … I hit three long irons on the back nine and obviously it’s a little cooler, a little windy. But still at the same time if you’re in that rough, there’s no chance you’re hitting 4- or 5-iron into these greens,” two-time defending champion Brooks Koepka says. “You have to drive it well and put it into the fairway. The rough out here is pretty thick. You can get some pretty juicy lies and not advance it very far. But it all depends. Is it going to be wet? I think it will be, especially in the mornings, so it could be quite tough to control your distance, spin, things like that. But I don’t think it’s overly bad right now. Come Sunday it might be different. Might grow two inches, who knows, an inch. Anything could make a big difference.” You can comfortably claim the first hole is open slather at just 371 yards and dead straight. The second has more meat at 449 and a slight curve to the right but still invites a bomb. The fourth is the first par-5 and it turns sharply to the left meaning cutting the corner means taking on cypress trees. “It’s going to be a test, with the overhang of these cypress trees there may be a couple lost balls here; cut a corner and ball hangs up there, that could happen very easily here and has happened and I’m sure will this week as well,” Woods adds. Adam Scott, who with Woods is one of just three to have played in 2005, 2015 and the 2009 Presidents Cup at the course, adds it’s not just the hungry branches to watch out for. “Those trunks can be thick and there’s plenty of them. If you get a deep lie behind one you won’t have an angle to the green. You need to factor that in also,” Scott says. The fifth is another straight and short hole at 417 yards but those trees are framing both sides. Six, at 459 yards has a little protection from a dogleg to the left, seven is just 322 yards. But the ninth is tough as Oosthuizen would attest. Finau tried to wind up here in practice despite the dangers and saw his ball sail way left. His reload split the fairway though and was very long. “I am going to open up a little bit more this week. This golf course allows to you do that. Last week, not so much. But this golf course is a big course. I have seen a few holes where I can go ahead and give it extra and try and attack this golf course that way,” Finau says. “Distance is a big key this week, and we talked about the rough, you’ve got to hit the fairways. But if I am going to miss a fairway, I want to miss it as far up as I can to give myself a chance to still hit the green.” The 10th is a par-5 allowing for aggressiveness off the tee, the 12th at 485 yards might ask for some conservation. The 13th is 468 yards and has a turn to the right before the green comes back in on the left. A miss to the left off the tee here would spell trouble with OB, rough and tree issues. From that point comes the lake holes as Lake Merced frames the left side of the run home. The 14th at 461 yards invites a whack, as might the 403-yard 15th. The 16th is just 331 yards but the cypress trees wait on the right and the penalty area sits left. Finally 18 brings a forced carry over the water on the 466-yard finisher that turns sharp left after the tee shot. “Here’s a tip,” an anonymous caddie said while mapping the course. “Watch a lot of guys aim near or at the fairway bunkers on a bunch of holes knowing a good shot will find the fairway but a slightly off one with find the sand instead of the rough. The bunkers will be helping players this week. They won’t be the hazard.” When that’s the case things are rough indeed.

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