Current cutline: 75 players at -1 or better (T52nd position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines: 1 under par: 28.9% Even par: 22.4% 2 under par: 21.9% Notable players below the cutline: Jordan Spieth (+3, 24.0% Made Cut probability) Gary Woodland (+1, 62.0%) Paul Casey (+2, 41.1%) Top 5 win probabilities: Andrew Putnam (2, -8) : 16.0% Matt Kuchar (3, -7) : 12.4% Justin Thomas (T17, -3) : 9.9% Adam Svensson (1, -9) : 5.2% Chez Reavie (T4, -5) : 4.8% NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Sony Open in Hawaii, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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ShopRite LPGA Classic | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | +550 |
Jeeno Thitikul | +700 |
Jin Young Ko | +1100 |
Rio Takeda | +1200 |
Miyu Yamashita | +1400 |
Ayaka Furue | +1600 |
Chisato Iwai | +1600 |
Mao Saigo | +1600 |
Somi Lee | +2200 |
Jin Hee Im | +2500 |
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American Family Insurance Championship | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Alker/Langer | +550 |
Cejka/Kjeldsen | +750 |
Kelly/Leonard | +1000 |
Bjorn/Clarke | +1100 |
Cabrera/Gonzalez | +1100 |
Cink/Toms | +1400 |
Stricker/Tiziani | +1400 |
Allan/Chalmers | +1600 |
Green/Hensby | +1800 |
Wi/Yang | +1800 |
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Virginia | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +450 |
Jon Rahm | +550 |
Joaquin Niemann | +700 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
Patrick Reed | +1800 |
Carlos Ortiz | +2200 |
Lucas Herbert | +2200 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
David Puig | +2500 |
Sergio Garcia | +2500 |
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1st Round Six-Shooter - Group A - B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton / J. Rahm / P. Reed / J. Niemann / C. Ortiz | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +280 |
Jon Rahm | +320 |
Joaquin Niemann | +375 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +500 |
Patrick Reed | +600 |
Carlos Ortiz | +700 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group B - C. Smith / S. Garcia / L. Herbert / D. Burmester / S. Munoz / B. Koepka | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | +375 |
Lucas Herbert | +375 |
Sebastian Munoz | +425 |
Brooks Koepka | +450 |
Dean Burmester | +450 |
Sergio Garcia | +450 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group C - T. Gooch / P. Casey / C. Tringale / M. Leishman / D. Johnson / R. Bland | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Talor Gooch | +350 |
Cameron Tringale | +400 |
Dustin Johnson | +400 |
Marc Leishman | +450 |
Paul Casey | +450 |
Richard Bland | +475 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Tom McKibbin | +400 |
Bubba Watson | +425 |
Charl Schwartzel | +425 |
Thomas Pieters | +425 |
Harold Varner III | +450 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +450 |
Bryson DeChambeau | |
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | -135 |
Top 10 Finish | -350 |
Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
Jon Rahm | |
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | -115 |
Top 10 Finish | -300 |
Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
Joaquin Niemann | |
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +100 |
Top 10 Finish | -250 |
Top 20 Finish | -900 |
Tyrrell Hatton | |
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +180 |
Top 10 Finish | -150 |
Top 20 Finish | -600 |
Patrick Reed | |
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +290 |
Top 10 Finish | +105 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Carlos Ortiz | |
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +310 |
Top 10 Finish | +115 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Lucas Herbert | |
Type: Lucas Herbert - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +310 |
Top 10 Finish | +115 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Cameron Smith | |
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
David Puig | |
Type: David Puig - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
Sergio Garcia | |
Type: Sergio Garcia - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
Brooks Koepka | |
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +400 |
Top 10 Finish | +140 |
Top 20 Finish | -300 |
Major Specials 2025 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +750 |
Collin Morikawa | +900 |
Xander Schauffele | +900 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1000 |
Justin Thomas | +1100 |
Joaquin Niemann | +1400 |
Shane Lowry | +1600 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1800 |
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US Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +275 |
Rory McIlroy | +650 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +700 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2500 |
Justin Thomas | +3000 |
Brooks Koepka | +4000 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +4000 |
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The Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Jon Rahm | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Shane Lowry | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -150 |
Europe | +140 |
Tie | +1200 |