Current cutline: 75 players at -1 or better (T52nd position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines: 1 under par: 28.9% Even par: 22.4% 2 under par: 21.9% Notable players below the cutline: Jordan Spieth (+3, 24.0% Made Cut probability) Gary Woodland (+1, 62.0%) Paul Casey (+2, 41.1%) Top 5 win probabilities: Andrew Putnam (2, -8) : 16.0% Matt Kuchar (3, -7) : 12.4% Justin Thomas (T17, -3) : 9.9% Adam Svensson (1, -9) : 5.2% Chez Reavie (T4, -5) : 4.8% NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Sony Open in Hawaii, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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Turkish Airlines Open | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Brandon Robinson-Thompson | +140 |
Haotong Li | +450 |
Jorge Campillo | +750 |
Jordan Smith | +1100 |
Robin Williams | +1200 |
Martin Couvra | +1400 |
Matthew Jordan | +1400 |
Joost Luiten | +2500 |
Ewen Ferguson | +3500 |
Mikael Lindberg | +3500 |
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Final Round 2-Balls - J. Guerrier / O. Lindell | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Julien Guerrier | -110 |
Oliver Lindell | +120 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - W. Nienaber / Y. Paul | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Yannik Paul | +100 |
Wilco Nienaber | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - E. Molinari / R. Langasque | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Romain Langasque | -105 |
Edoardo Molinari | +115 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Southgate / M. Kinhult | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Marcus Kinhult | +100 |
Matthew Southgate | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - T. Clements / T. Christensen | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Todd Clements | -175 |
Tiger Christensen | +190 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - E. Ferguson / J. Luiten | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Joost Luiten | -110 |
Ewen Ferguson | +120 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Couvra / M. Lindberg | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Martin Couvra | -135 |
Mikael Lindberg | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Jordan / J. Smith | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Smith | -110 |
Matthew Jordan | +120 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - H. Li / R. Williams | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Haotong Li | -175 |
Robin Williams | +190 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Campillo / B. Robinson | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jorge Campillo | +100 |
Brandon Robinson-Thompson | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Mizuho Americas Open | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Jeeno Thitikul | +100 |
Nelly Korda | +335 |
Celine Boutier | +400 |
Andrea Lee | +850 |
Yealimi Noh | +1400 |
Carlota Ciganda | +3000 |
Rio Takeda | +7000 |
Lydia Ko | +17500 |
Kristen Gillman | +30000 |
Somi Lee | +35000 |
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Myrtle Beach Classic | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Carson Young | +275 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +425 |
Harry Higgs | +600 |
Ryan Fox | +1200 |
Danny Walker | +1400 |
Victor Perez | +1400 |
Alex Smalley | +2500 |
Norman Xiong | +2500 |
Davis Shore | +2800 |
Ben Silverman | +4500 |
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Final Round 3-Balls - J. Svensson / A. Svensson / M. Manassero | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jesper Svensson | +150 |
Adam Svensson | +180 |
Matteo Manassero | +200 |
Final Round 3-Balls - S. Fisk / J. Bramlett / A. Rozner | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Antoine Rozner | +175 |
Joseph Bramlett | +175 |
Steven Fisk | +175 |
Final Round 3-Balls - T. Humphrey / M. McGreevy / H. Springer | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Max McGreevy | +130 |
Hayden Springer | +145 |
Theo Humphrey | +300 |
Final Round 3-Balls - C. Hadley / B. Silverman / W. Chandler | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Ben Silverman | +130 |
Chesson Hadley | +200 |
Will Chandler | +210 |
Final Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / B. Haas / A. Albertson | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Takumi Kanaya | +100 |
Anders Albertson | +230 |
Bill Haas | +240 |
Final Round 3-Balls - F. Molinari / G. Duangmanee / L. List | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Luke List | +130 |
Francesco Molinari | +170 |
George Duangmanee | +250 |
Final Round 3-Balls - N. Xiong / D. Walker / A. Smalley | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Alex Smalley | +125 |
Danny Walker | +185 |
Norman Xiong | +230 |
Final Round 3-Balls - V. Perez / R. Fox / D. Shore | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Victor Perez | +135 |
Ryan Fox | +145 |
Davis Shore | +280 |
Final Round 3-Balls - A. Putnam / A. Tosti / M. Feuerstein | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Alejandro Tosti | +120 |
Andrew Putnam | +140 |
Michael Feuerstein | +350 |
Final Round 3-Balls - C. Young / H. Higgs / M. Hughes | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Mackenzie Hughes | +110 |
Carson Young | +190 |
Harry Higgs | +260 |
Major Specials 2025 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +160 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +350 |
Xander Schauffele | +350 |
Ludvig Aberg | +400 |
Collin Morikawa | +450 |
Jon Rahm | +450 |
Justin Thomas | +550 |
Brooks Koepka | +700 |
Viktor Hovland | +700 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +800 |
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PGA Championship 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +450 |
Scottie Scheffler | +450 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1100 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1800 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2200 |
Jon Rahm | +2200 |
Joaquin Niemann | +3500 |
Brooks Koepka | +4000 |
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US Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1200 |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
Jon Rahm | +1400 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
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The Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +550 |
Xander Schauffele | +1100 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Jon Rahm | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Shane Lowry | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -150 |
Europe | +140 |
Tie | +1200 |