Top 10 win probabilities: Dustin Johnson (T2, -6) : 24.3% Justin Thomas (T2, -6) : 16.6% Gary Woodland (T2, -6) : 11.1% Bryson DeChambeau (T6, -4) : 7.0% Marc Leishman (5, -5) : 6.2% Jon Rahm (T12, -3) : 5.3% Kevin Tway (1, -7) : 5.3% Jason Day (T6, -4) : 4.9% Rory McIlroy (T6, -4) : 4.5% Webb Simpson (T12, -3) : 3.0% 10 biggest movers in terms of win probability Moved up: Dustin Johnson (+10.9%) Justin Thomas (+8.9%) Gary Woodland (+6.3%) Kevin Tway (+4.4%) Marc Leishman (+2.8%) Moved Down: Brooks Koepka (-7.1%) Francesco Molinari (-3.0%) Xander Schauffele (-2.8%) Keegan Bradley (-2.7%) Jon Rahm (-2.7%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The RSM Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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| KLM Open | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Connor Syme | -145 |
| Joakim Lagergren | +300 |
| Francesco Laporta | +1800 |
| Ricardo Gouveia | +2800 |
| Richie Ramsay | +2800 |
| Fabrizio Zanotti | +5000 |
| Jayden Schaper | +7000 |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | +7000 |
| David Ravetto | +12500 |
| Andy Sullivan | +17500 |
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| Final Round 3-Balls - P. Pineau / D. Ravetto / Z. Lombard | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| David Ravetto | +120 |
| Zander Lombard | +185 |
| Pierre Pineau | +240 |
| Final Round 3-Balls - G. De Leo / D. Frittelli / A. Pavan | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Andrea Pavan | +130 |
| Dylan Frittelli | +185 |
| Gregorio de Leo | +220 |
| Final Round 3-Balls - J. Schaper / D. Huizing / R. Cabrera Bello | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Jayden Schaper | +105 |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | +220 |
| Daan Huizing | +240 |
| Final Round 3-Balls - S. Soderberg / C. Hill / M. Schneider | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Marcel Schneider | +150 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | +170 |
| Calum Hill | +210 |
| Final Round 3-Balls - F. Zanotti / R. Gouveia / R. Ramsay | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Fabrizio Zanotti | +150 |
| Ricardo Gouveia | +185 |
| Richie Ramsay | +185 |
| Final Round 3-Balls - O. Lindell / M. Kinhult / J. Moscatel | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Oliver Lindell | +125 |
| Marcus Kinhult | +150 |
| Joel Moscatel | +300 |
| Final Round 3-Balls - F. Laporta / J. Lagergren / C. Syme | |
| Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
| Francesco Laporta | +125 |
| Joakim Lagergren | +200 |
| Connor Syme | +210 |
| ShopRite LPGA Classic | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Ayaka Furue | +250 |
| Mao Saigo | +250 |
| Jennifer Kupcho | +400 |
| Elizabeth Szokol | +900 |
| Chisato Iwai | +1000 |
| Ilhee Lee | +1200 |
| Miyu Yamashita | +1200 |
| Rio Takeda | +1800 |
| Jeeno Thitikul | +2500 |
| Jin Hee Im | +2500 |
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| Ryan Fox | |
| Type: Ryan Fox - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | -150 |
| Top 10 Finish | -400 |
| Top 20 Finish | -2000 |
| Matteo Manassero | |
| Type: Matteo Manassero - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +105 |
| Top 10 Finish | -275 |
| Top 20 Finish | -1100 |
| Kevin Yu | |
| Type: Kevin Yu - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +120 |
| Top 10 Finish | -225 |
| Top 20 Finish | -900 |
| Matt McCarty | |
| Type: Matt McCarty - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +130 |
| Top 10 Finish | -200 |
| Top 20 Finish | -900 |
| Lee Hodges | |
| Type: Lee Hodges - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +140 |
| Top 10 Finish | -200 |
| Top 20 Finish | -850 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | |
| Type: Mackenzie Hughes - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +185 |
| Top 10 Finish | -150 |
| Top 20 Finish | -625 |
| Jake Knapp | |
| Type: Jake Knapp - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +220 |
| Top 10 Finish | -120 |
| Top 20 Finish | -455 |
| Andrew Putnam | |
| Type: Andrew Putnam - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +280 |
| Top 10 Finish | -105 |
| Top 20 Finish | -455 |
| Cameron Young | |
| Type: Cameron Young - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +400 |
| Top 10 Finish | +140 |
| Top 20 Finish | -250 |
| Byeong Hun An | |
| Type: Byeong Hun An - Status: OPEN | |
| Top 5 Finish | +400 |
| Top 10 Finish | +150 |
| Top 20 Finish | -250 |
| American Family Insurance Championship | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Bjorn/Clarke | -125 |
| Stricker/Tiziani | +450 |
| Flesch/Goydos | +1000 |
| Els/Herron | +1200 |
| Alker/Langer | +1800 |
| Bransdon/Percy | +2000 |
| Green/Hensby | +2500 |
| Cabrera/Gonzalez | +4000 |
| Duval/Gogel | +4000 |
| Caron/Quigley | +5000 |
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| Major Specials 2025 | |
| Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +500 |
| Jon Rahm | +750 |
| Collin Morikawa | +900 |
| Xander Schauffele | +900 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1000 |
| Justin Thomas | +1100 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +1400 |
| Shane Lowry | +1600 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +1800 |
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| US Open 2025 | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Scottie Scheffler | +275 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +700 |
| Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
| Jon Rahm | +1200 |
| Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +2200 |
| Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
| Justin Thomas | +3000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +3500 |
| Shane Lowry | +3500 |
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| The Open 2025 | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
| Rory McIlroy | +500 |
| Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
| Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
| Jon Rahm | +1600 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
| Shane Lowry | +2500 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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| Ryder Cup 2025 | |
| Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
| USA | -150 |
| Europe | +140 |
| Tie | +1200 |