Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Sleeper picks: A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier

Sleeper picks: A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier

Brendon Todd … Even if you didn’t pay any attention to the Korn Ferry Tour Finals, you may have caught glimpses of him during the PGA TOUR season that preceded it. The one-time TOUR winner connected for four top 25s among seven cuts made in just 11 starts via Past Champion status. He was off the scene in earnest for three seasons battling the yips off the tee (block long irons right). With the issue having subsided, the 34-year-old has a new lease on his career and results to support reason to remain confident. He opened the Finals with a co-runner-up finish to solidify his return to the PGA TOUR. The timing of Greenbrier as the season opener is serendipitous given he finished a respective T4 and T6 in his last two trips in 2014 and 2015, before his game went sideways, literally and figuratively. Sebastián Muñoz … Thanks to a two-part surge in the second half, the 26-year-old from Colombia is fully exempt and north of the reshuffle category for the first time in his three seasons on the PGA TOUR. Only nine of his last 36 scores in stroke-play competition weren’t red numbers. Relatively balanced throughout his bag, and now riding the mild heater, he returns to The Old White TPC where he spun a career-low 61 to open the 2017 edition. His bid for a wire-to-wire victory was upended by a closing 72 to finish T3, so he’s also seeking redemption. Denny McCarthy … With virtually no wind expected and welcoming bentgrass greens that could be soft due to persistent rain, the PGA TOUR’s leader in Strokes Gained: Putting last season deserves attention at The Old White TPC. He’s unlikely to lead the field in greens in regulation, but even if he threatens the field average, he’ll give himself as good a chance as any to break through for his first title on the circuit. En route to eight top 25s in 2018-19, he ranked fifth in conversion percentage inside 10 feet, first in the putts of 15-20 feet, sixth in putting: birdies-or-better and T7, T43 and T10 in par-3, par-4 and par-5 scoring, respectively. Also signed for four rounds of par or better for a T39 in his debut at Greenbrier in 2018. Lanto Griffin … Back in the big leagues after another consistently strong season on the Korn Ferry Tour, there’s an ease about him that accompanies his talent. He’s also a good fit for The Old White TPC after finishing fourth on the 2019 KFT in both putts per GIR and putting: birdies-or-better. En route to a T7 at the KFT Championship, he ranked fourth in putts per GIR and led the field in par-5 scoring. In his last trip to Greenbrier, he recorded a T26 in 2018. It matched his second-best showing of his rookie season on the PGA TOUR. Harry Higgs … You’re going to enjoy getting to know the 27-year-old product of SMU where he was teammates with Bryson DeChambeau, also in this week’s field. Higgs has enjoyed a brilliant 11 months leading up to his rookie debut on the PGA TOUR at Greenbrier. After finishing atop the Order of Merit on PGA TOUR Latinoamérica (by $64) in 2018, he went on to record a win, a T2, a T3 and a pair of T9s in his first season on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2019. He finished the season slotted third in putts per GIR, fifth in putting: birdies-or-better, fourth in par-5 scoring and sixth in the all-around. After opening the Finals with a pair of top 25s, he’s sat out the finale, so he’s both in form and rested. NOTE: Sleeper is a relative term, so Rob uses unofficial criteria to determine who qualifies. Each of the following usually is determined to be ineligible for this weekly staple: Winners of the tournament on the current host course; winners in the same season; recent major champions; top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking; recent participants of team competitions.

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Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman-110
Tournament Match-Ups - M. Fitzpatrick / A. Fitzpatrick vs S. Stevens / M. McGreevy
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Tiger Woods rested and ready for Farmers Insurance OpenTiger Woods rested and ready for Farmers Insurance Open

SAN DIEGO –  This year, the Rules of Golf, not his surgically-repaired back, are the biggest source of uncertainty for Tiger Woods. That shows how far he’s come in the past 12 months. When he arrived at last year’s Farmers Insurance Open, he didn’t know if he’d make it to the Florida Swing. He wasn’t accustomed to hitting out of the thick rough found at PGA TOUR tournaments. Woods isn’t one for moral victories, but he was proud of his 23rd-place finish here last year. Yes, it was four months ago, but Woods is coming off a win in his previous official start. “I know what I can do, I know what I’m feeling, so now it’s about finishing a little bit better and winning some events this year,â€� he said. Woods described the new knee-high drops as “really weird.â€� He hopes, of course, that he won’t have to make many of them. And, like most players, he will leave the flagstick in the hole in select situations. “It might be more advantageous when we get on faster greens, a little bit more slope, i.e., Augusta, (to) have that sense of security on a 3-, 4-footer down the hill. You can just take a cut at it,â€� Woods said. “But here the greens are going to be a little bit bouncy, a little bit bumpy, so who knows.â€� Not that he’s had any problem with the poa annua greens on the California coast. Torrey Pines has played an outsized role in his career. Ten percent of his 80 PGA TOUR wins have come at the course. He was undefeated here over a four-year span from 2005-08, winning this tournament four times, as well as the U.S. Open. He’s 170 under par in 17 starts at the Farmers Insurance Open. He’s won trophies at Torrey Pines since his junior days and attended his first PGA TOUR event here. Woods will tackle the South Course first, teeing off at 10:40 a.m. off No. 1. He’s paired with FedExCup leader Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau. It’s the first time Woods has played with either player. They know what to expect, though. “It’s going to be a little bit bigger of a zoo than I’m used to, but I … just sort of block it all out,â€� Schauffele said. “I’ve already prepped with my caddie when Tiger taps in, people will be running around just to get as close to him on the next tee shot.â€� A win here would pull Woods within one of Sam Snead on the all-time wins list. “It’s cool to see him back,â€� said defending champion Jason Day. “It’s just interesting to see how he’ll go this year because obviously last year you’re just trying to build and build and build. … Is he going to come back out and start saying that he’s competing and playing and, ‘I’m going to win every week,’ because that’s kind of the old Tiger that I knew.â€� As expected, Woods used the offseason to get stronger. He was worn out at the end of last season, after his success caused his schedule to quickly fill up with big events. “My legs are where they need to be, which they weren’t at the end of the season,â€� he said. He also reflected on his win at the TOUR Championship. He said the replay “gives me chills almost every time I see it.â€� Because it came at the end of the season, Woods was able to reflect on this victory more than any other in his professional career. “I got a chance to be around my friends and my family, to hear some of the stories of how nervous they were and how emotional they were,â€� he said. “That was touching to me because I didn’t really expect that because I’m inside the ropes. I know what it took for me, but I didn’t know it would have affected anyone else like that.â€� His pursuit of another PGA TOUR title resumes this week on familiar territory.

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