Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Sleeper picks: A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier

Sleeper picks: A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier

Brendon Todd … Even if you didn’t pay any attention to the Korn Ferry Tour Finals, you may have caught glimpses of him during the PGA TOUR season that preceded it. The one-time TOUR winner connected for four top 25s among seven cuts made in just 11 starts via Past Champion status. He was off the scene in earnest for three seasons battling the yips off the tee (block long irons right). With the issue having subsided, the 34-year-old has a new lease on his career and results to support reason to remain confident. He opened the Finals with a co-runner-up finish to solidify his return to the PGA TOUR. The timing of Greenbrier as the season opener is serendipitous given he finished a respective T4 and T6 in his last two trips in 2014 and 2015, before his game went sideways, literally and figuratively. Sebastián Muñoz … Thanks to a two-part surge in the second half, the 26-year-old from Colombia is fully exempt and north of the reshuffle category for the first time in his three seasons on the PGA TOUR. Only nine of his last 36 scores in stroke-play competition weren’t red numbers. Relatively balanced throughout his bag, and now riding the mild heater, he returns to The Old White TPC where he spun a career-low 61 to open the 2017 edition. His bid for a wire-to-wire victory was upended by a closing 72 to finish T3, so he’s also seeking redemption. Denny McCarthy … With virtually no wind expected and welcoming bentgrass greens that could be soft due to persistent rain, the PGA TOUR’s leader in Strokes Gained: Putting last season deserves attention at The Old White TPC. He’s unlikely to lead the field in greens in regulation, but even if he threatens the field average, he’ll give himself as good a chance as any to break through for his first title on the circuit. En route to eight top 25s in 2018-19, he ranked fifth in conversion percentage inside 10 feet, first in the putts of 15-20 feet, sixth in putting: birdies-or-better and T7, T43 and T10 in par-3, par-4 and par-5 scoring, respectively. Also signed for four rounds of par or better for a T39 in his debut at Greenbrier in 2018. Lanto Griffin … Back in the big leagues after another consistently strong season on the Korn Ferry Tour, there’s an ease about him that accompanies his talent. He’s also a good fit for The Old White TPC after finishing fourth on the 2019 KFT in both putts per GIR and putting: birdies-or-better. En route to a T7 at the KFT Championship, he ranked fourth in putts per GIR and led the field in par-5 scoring. In his last trip to Greenbrier, he recorded a T26 in 2018. It matched his second-best showing of his rookie season on the PGA TOUR. Harry Higgs … You’re going to enjoy getting to know the 27-year-old product of SMU where he was teammates with Bryson DeChambeau, also in this week’s field. Higgs has enjoyed a brilliant 11 months leading up to his rookie debut on the PGA TOUR at Greenbrier. After finishing atop the Order of Merit on PGA TOUR Latinoamérica (by $64) in 2018, he went on to record a win, a T2, a T3 and a pair of T9s in his first season on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2019. He finished the season slotted third in putts per GIR, fifth in putting: birdies-or-better, fourth in par-5 scoring and sixth in the all-around. After opening the Finals with a pair of top 25s, he’s sat out the finale, so he’s both in form and rested. NOTE: Sleeper is a relative term, so Rob uses unofficial criteria to determine who qualifies. Each of the following usually is determined to be ineligible for this weekly staple: Winners of the tournament on the current host course; winners in the same season; recent major champions; top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking; recent participants of team competitions.

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3rd Round Score - Thorbjorn Olesen
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Under 68.5-130
Over 68.5+100
3rd Round Match Up - C. Champ v R. Lee
Type: 3rd Round Match Up - Status: OPEN
Richard Lee-115
Cameron Champ-105
3rd Round 2 Ball - T. Olesen v R. Lee
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Thorbjorn Olesen-130
Richard Lee+145
Tie+750
3rd Round Score - A. Putnam
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 68.5-155
Under 68.5+120
3rd Round Score - Cameron Champ
Type: 3rd Round Score - Status: OPEN
Over 69.5+115
Under 69.5-150
3rd Round 2 Ball - C. Champ v A. Putnam
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN
Andrew Putnam-115
Cameron Champ+125
Tie+750
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Rory McIlroy+1000
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Davis Love III focused on winning at The RSM ClassicDavis Love III focused on winning at The RSM Classic

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Xander Schauffele finding new mindset to get winning againXander Schauffele finding new mindset to get winning again

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Short of winning any tournament, it’s arguable that emerging as one of the 30 at East Lake in Atlanta is the hardest objective on the PGA TOUR. Of the 35 unique winners this season, 15 didn’t advance to the finale of the FedExCup Playoffs. Identifying the most confident golfers at the TOUR Championship isn’t too hard. Just read the field. Reaching the summit is one reason why each qualifier is treated to exemptions into the first three majors of 2018 as well as spots in the first two World Golf Championships. It’s nothing short of a life-changing achievement for the eight first-timers in the field. The other lane of confidence isn’t as smooth and fluid, but it matters more when making decisions for your fantasy lineups. This is where you determine who deserves the attention and your faith as a fit at East Lake. Billy Horschel caught such a blazing heater in 2014 that a kneejerk reaction would be to ignore how he prevailed by three strokes in the TOUR Championship. However, upon closer inspection, his formula for success was no more out of the ordinary than the two champions since. Horschel, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy showcased the complete game en route to their titles. All four identifiers below align with what worked for them and what projects to work for this week’s champion. East Lake’s putting surfaces average 6,200 square feet and could touch 12-and-a-half feet on the Stimpmeter, but they are not dastardly, devilish or diabolical. From just about every metric, they’re easier on average to solve and they are fair. With that accepted component factored in, we can widen our focus to use bogey avoidance as the catchall for short game and putting. In a nutshell, that explains why East Lake is a ball-striker’s paradise. Something to keep in mind as your watch, listen to and/or read about the tournament, since Tiger Woods won the FedExCup without winning the TOUR Championship in 2009, which was the inaugural year of the first iteration of the current points structure, every champion at East Lake also captured the FedExCup. NOTE: Golfers inside the top 20 in each statistic in the FedExCup Playoffs are listed only if they are scheduled to compete in the TOUR Championship. * – Finished inside the top 10 at the TOUR Championship in 2014, 2015 and/or 2016. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee 1  *Dustin Johnson 2  Jon Rahm 3  *Rickie Fowler 4  *Jordan Spieth 5  Brooks Koepka 6  Xander Schauffele T7  *Kevin Chappell T7  Charley Hoffman 9  Tony Finau 11  Jhonattan Vegas 12  *Paul Casey 15  *Justin Rose 16  *Justin Thomas 18  Patrick Cantlay Greens in Regulation T2  Patrick Cantlay T2  *Jordan Spieth 4  *Gary Woodland 5  Marc Leishman 7  *Justin Rose 8  Jon Rahm T9  *Sergio Garcia T9  *Dustin Johnson 13  *Rickie Fowler T16  *Matt Kuchar 19  *Paul Casey T20  Pat Perez T20  Kyle Stanley Proximity to the Hole 1  *Dustin Johnson 4  *Justin Rose T6  *Jason Day 10  *Jordan Spieth T11  Russell Henley T13  Daniel Berger 16  Jon Rahm 19  Brian Harman Bogey Avoidance 1  Patrick Cantlay 2  *Jordan Spieth 3  *Justin Rose T4  Pat Perez T4  Jon Rahm 6  *Dustin Johnson T8  *Justin Thomas 10  Marc Leishman T11 *Rickie Fowler T13  *Sergio Garcia T15  Daniel Berger T15  *Paul Casey T15  Webb Simpson T19  *Jason Day With only 30 in the field, the usual groupings below are sparsely populated, but half of the field is still represented. Jordan Spieth (2015) is the only prior winner of the TOUR Championship back this week. NOTE: The groups below are comprehensive to assist in data mining. Inclusion doesn’t imply automatic endorsement in every fantasy game as all decisions are specific to your situation. CONFIDENCE MEN Selected golfers with multiple cuts made sorted by rank on the tournament’s money list. BUILDING CONFIDENCE Sorted by best finish, selected golfers who are either finally finding form on the course or are still relatively new to the tournament but have enjoyed some success. OTHER SIGNS OF CONFIDENCE Sorted by most recent top 10s, selected golfers for whom it’s been a few years since their last.

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