Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Roundtable: Surprises, analysis from Friday at THE PLAYERS

Roundtable: Surprises, analysis from Friday at THE PLAYERS

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. — The second round of THE PLAYERS Championship finished as darkness settled over TPC Sawgrass. PGATOUR.COM’s writers weigh in on their observations after Friday’s play on the Stadium Course. Do we make too much of the English drought or jinx at TPC Sawgrass? BEN EVERILL: No. They can certainly get a life of their own having sat through many an Australian Masters heartache before Adam Scott rescued a nation. But as Scotty showed… droughts are meant to be broken at some point. Plus, Fleetwood and Poulter are studs. Perhaps now is the time. MIKE McALLISTER: Yes. As Fleetwood said, it’s mere coincidence. But given the fact that Sunday is St. Patrick’s Day, maybe the stars are aligning for an (Northern) Irish winner. JIM McCABE: Methinks yes, big time. It hasn’t been that long in history that this tournament factored into the plans for the best of England – Lee Westwood, for instance, didn’t play here a half-dozen times between 1998 and 2016. RELATED: Tiger hits two in the water on 17 | A day in the life of the Island Green | Furyk goes low in Round 2 CAMERON MORFIT:  A drought like that is just a quirk. We all used to say no Englishman had won the U.S. Open since Tony Jacklin, and then Justin Rose won.  HELEN ROSS: I think so. It’s a numbers game. Take this year. Of the 144 players in the starting field, only 10 are from England – and two of them are playing in the tournament for the first time (which is a whole ‘nother kind of jinx.) Those just aren’t good odds. ANDREW TURSKY: No matter what country a player was born in, TPC Sawgrass requires steely nerves and steady ball striking throughout the week, particularly on Sunday. If you want to argue that the target-style course doesn’t set up well for certain players, I can get on board with that. But I don’t think the ponds and slopes around the Stadium Course are biased.  Speaking of droughts, locals have often struggled at THE PLAYERS. Has Furyk finally uncovered the secrets of TPC Sawgrass after shooting 64 on Friday? EVERILL: Ask me again tomorrow. As awesome as the veteran played today in hitting every fairway … I can’t imagine he will back that up.  McALLISTER: From an historical standpoint, Furyk has shown that when he’s on, nobody on TOUR can go lower (hello Mr. 58/59). And he does seem to have a comfort level here now that he didn’t have before. Whether the 48-year-old can sustain that for another 36 holes is the big question. McCABE: Hope David Duval and Fred Funk don’t take offense, but Furyk’s record here was always something difficult to comprehend. He seemed so suited to the place. Would be great to see him stick around and continue to contend. MORFIT: Furyk said he used to be too conservative and not pick his spots to be aggressive. It’s not like his PLAYERS record is that terrible, with a runner-up in 2014 and three other top-10 finishes. He now has to take inspiration from Fred Funk, another local who was 48 when he won here in 2005. ROSS: If ever a guy deserves to win THE PLAYERS, it’s Furyk. He’s playing in the tournament for the 23rd time and he’s such a huge part of this community. But it’s one round, and just his 10th in the 60s at TPC Sawgrass. He’ll need more this weekend to win. TURSKY: t’s no secret that Sawgrass isn’t Furyk’s favorite layout of all time, but his game of late has suggested he’d play well this week. Furyk hits fairways, hits greens, and with a new armlock-style of putting, is making putts too. That’s a good recipe for success around here.   Which player who missed the cut surprises you the most, and why? EVERILL: Xander Schauffele: The FedExCup leader was runner up at TPC Sawgrass last season and clearly is in form again this season. But now he faces the prospect of losing his spot atop the Wyndham Rewards Top-10. McALLISTER: Paul Casey, who had two seconds and a third among his last four starts. I didn’t expect an opening 78 from the world’s 15th-ranked player. McCABE: Jordan Spieth would be the popular answer. But Xander Schauffele had finished first, T-25, T-10, T-15 and T-15 since January and when he opened the tournament with three birdies in five holes it looked so promising for the guy who tied for second in his PLAYERS debut a year ago. MORFIT: I’m surprised any time Jordan Spieth misses a cut, even though he’s trying to dig his way out of a slump.  ROSS: It’s hard to look past Xander Schauffele, who tied for second last year in his PLAYERS debut. After all, he’s the FedExCup leader and has already won twice this season. TURSKY: Paul Casey finished second at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, he tied for third at the WGC-Mexico Championship, and then he nearly finished in last place (T136, 8-over) at THE PLAYERS? There’s a head-scratcher for you. Maybe the English jinx is real!  Pick a sleeper at 8 under or worse and make the argument why he’ll win on Sunday. EVERILL: Jason Day. The 2016 PLAYERS Champion knows what it takes around TPC Sawgrass to get it done and is rested after last week’s WD. But Day is not really a “sleeperâ€� so keep an eye on Keith Mitchell. The Honda Classic champion was called a no-name recently… if he wins this week everyone will know his name. McALLISTER: Not sure if Keith Mitchell qualifies as a sleeper anymore (and of course, he’s certainly not a no-name, despite what some headlines might say). But geez, he’s playing great right now, and he loves these Florida greens. McCABE: Keith Mitchell. Aggressive, on a roll, and terrific kid. A nice combination. MORFIT: Keep an eye on Luke List at 7 under. He absolutely crushes the ball, which could be big if the weather gets blustery, and also doesn’t mind a bit of water as he showed at The Honda Classic a few years ago.  ROSS: If you consider his record at TPC Sawgrass, Dustin Johnson – who has never had a top 10 in 10 starts here – could be a sleeper at 7 under.  But in lieu of the No. 1 player in the world, I’ll pick Keith Mitchell, who has a win and a tie for sixth in his last two starts and a 65 on his scorecard today TURSKY: Luke List at 7-under, given how far he hits the ball (he’s averaging 303 yards off the tee this week and ranks No. 3 in Driving Distance in 2019) has the fire power to make up ground with an eagle or three over the weekend. To prove this point, he made an eagle on No. 16 today. 

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Draws & Fades: Farmers Insurance OpenDraws & Fades: Farmers Insurance Open

Only one thing can bump the lede this week – another reminder that the Farmers Insurance Open is scheduled to begin on Wednesday. As a result, the roster deadline for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf is 9:00 a.m. PT. That’s noon on the East Coast. Adjust accordingly. All right, hopefully you arrived here without too much trouble. Whatever your experience, thank you for making the effort and, as always, for your loyalty. Indeed, the Fantasy Insider now is Draws & Fades. RELATED: Five Things to Know: Torrey Pines | How to watch Wednesday start That’s it. Nothing else changes. It’s just a rebranding. Everything you’ve come to expect from this space remains, well, except for my lineup at PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. That’s over in Expert Picks where it always has been. Once ShotLink was removed from scoring, it became redundant to park it here, too. I’d ask for you to tell the others of the name change, but I learned long ago in this business that the more I help you, the less you share it. As a result of that, it’s still a strange feeling when any gamer spreads the word, but, and of course, it’s always appreciated. With that message out of the way, you know what to do at the Farmers Insurance Open. As noted in Monday’s Power Rankings, the North Course at Torrey Pines will surrender much lower scores in comparison to the South, so exploit it. With the North co-hosting the first and second rounds, PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf gamers can map out a maximum of six starts on it. Weather conditions should be similar in both rounds, so it won’t matter if you load up with four in either round or split it into three per. POWER RANKINGS WILD CARD Scottie Scheffler (+110 for a Top 20) … Consider him as an extension of the Power Rankings proper. Paid off sneaking inside the cut line at The American Express with a Sunday 67 and a T25. You love to see it. He’s 0-for-2 at the Farmers but connected for a T7 at the 2021 U.S. Open, so he deserves our trust. DRAWS Daniel Berger (+200 for a Top 10) … It took him a while but he finally got over on Torrey Pines for a T7 at the 2021 U.S. Open. He’s been dynamite just about everywhere for two years, so it’s fair to say that he’s a snub from the Power Rankings. Jordan Spieth (+160 for a Top 20) … He’s never contended at Torrey Pines – last year’s T19 in the U.S. Open equaled his best finish in six Farmers starts (2014) – but this is as simple as being able to trust in him again. His last missed cut anywhere was here last year, but that’s a long time ago. The site is a coincidence. Dustin Johnson (+100 for a Top 20) … This is just his second start of the season and first in over three months since a T45 at THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT. It’s especially hard to believe given the time of year because he didn’t qualify for the Sentry TOC, but don’t let that fool you into a no-play. He’s logged 30 rounds in this tournament where he’s 6-for-9 with three top 20s (albeit it’s been six years since his most recent) and another four en route to a T19 at the 2021 U.S. Open. Go ahead and let this dog eat. Brooks Koepka (+150 for a Top 20) … He never makes it easy on us, but I believe his rhetoric about wanting to perform consistently stronger in non-majors. He wouldn’t put himself out there if that wasn’t the case. A T4 in last year’s U.S. Open is his only top 40 among two paydays in four appearances at Torrey Pines, so he’s had success here. Yeah, yeah, that was a major, but the stage showcases the best for a reason. Joaquin Niemann (+275 for a Top 20) … His 3-for-3 record at Torrey Pines is highlighted by a T31 at the 2021 U.S. Open, but he closed out his first two Farmers with an 80 and a 75, respectively. So, as every touring professional can attest, it’s just a matter of putting four rounds together. Although he closed out the fall with a pair of missed cuts, he’s battled for paydays at an exponentially higher rate than even gamers realize. Keegan Bradley Corey Conners Talor Gooch Billy Horschel Sungjae Im Matt Jones Maverick McNealy J.T. Poston Brandt Snedeker Matthew Wolff Odds sourced on Monday, January 24 at 5 a.m. ET. For live odds visit betmgm. FADES Hudson Swafford … It’s not wrong to label The American Express as a putting contest, but only when you accept that those putts better be for par breakers. He averaged 13 greens in regulation per round to rank T21 and converted a higher percentage into par breakers (55.77%; 29-for-52) than everyone else. He used the same formula to prevail at Corales in 2020, and he acknowledged his timely knack for finding the hole that week. Putting isn’t necessarily a strength, but it’s not a liability, either, so we need him to put it on display in consecutive starts. At Torrey Pines, he’s cashed only once (T13, 2016) in five trips, so we can play the role as spectator this week. Mackenzie Hughes … Off to a blazing start this season with a T4 (ZOZO) and a solo second (RSM) baked into a 5-for-5 record. He’s also signed for a pair of 62s and a 63. I’m inclined to go all-in or abstain completely because he hasn’t made much noise at the Farmers (2-for-5, no top 25s), but he did finish T15 here at the 2021 U.S. Open. This typically means that he’d be a gamechanger in DFS. Mito Pereira … Given how he seemed to be everywhere last summer – because he was – it’s been odd not to follow him for over two months now. After opening his rookie season with a solo third at Silverado, he lowered his sails by comparison, so use the deep field at Torrey Pines as an opportunity to see how he fares in his debut. Cameron Champ Jason Day Rickie Fowler Emiliano Grillo Keith Mitchell Patrick Rodgers Jhonattan Vegas Gary Woodland RETURNING TO COMPETITION Bryson DeChambeau (+180 for a Top 10) … He’s in the Power Rankings, but it’s relevant to add here that this is his first start since citing a sore left wrist that precluded his appearance at Waialae two weeks ago. It shouldn’t be surprising given how he tests the limits of his body, but we also shouldn’t be concerned given his intelligence in resolving challenges. In other words, trust him. NOTABLE WDs Charley Hoffman … This stinks as it would have been his 25th appearance at the Farmers. The San Diego native hasn’t competed since missing the cut at Mayakoba in early November. He withdrew early from Houston with a sore back, and he was an early exit from last week’s Amex. Lucas Herbert … He’s committed to the DP WORLD Tour’s Slync.io Dubai Desert Classic. The recent winner of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship is juggling the welcome problem of calculating when to honor obligations on multiple circuits. We watch it happen every year with dual-tour members. K.H. Lee … Connected for his sixth consecutive payday last week, but closed with a 76 and a three-way share of 63rd place. Whatever. He’s rapidly become a favorite among hardcore gamers and he’s 74th in the FedExCup. Nate Lashley … After opening this season with three paydays in as many starts, he’s gone just 1-for-5 with a T51 at Sea Island. The 39-year-old deserves consideration only in the deepest of full-season formats. Ryan Moore … After missing the cut at The American Express, he’s down to three starts on his Major Medical Extension to earn 94.203 FedExCup points and retain status. His safety net is conditional status, but the 39-year-old is too close to the primary target to settle for that. 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