It’s the big 5-0! The 50-event super season concludes with this week’s TOUR Championship. If the playoff between Patrick Cantlay and Bryson DeChambeau at the BMW Championship was the pregame for the final celebration of 2020-21, then we’re in store for quite a show at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. After surviving six holes of sudden death to prevail on Sunday, Cantlay rose to No. 1 in the FedExCup standings, so he will start atop the leaderboard on Thursday. You’ll find the explanation for that, how Starting Strokes influenced the first two editions of the Playoffs finale and much more beneath the ranking. NOTE: This full-field Power Rankings includes starting score for every golfer in the field. POWER RANKINGS: TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP Tabulation of FedExCup points ended at the BMW Championship, so only scores matters now. Starting Strokes was introduced at the TOUR Championship in 2019. It’s the compromise between rewarding bodies of work in the long- and short-term, and the promise to crown the winner of the tournament as the FedExCup champion. Unlike all other stroke-play competitions, the golfer with the lowest 72-hole aggregate at the TOUR Championship isn’t necessarily going to be the winner, but that’s how it worked out when Rory McIlroy captured the title in 2019. As the 5-seed, he opened at 5-under, and then scored 13-under (267). His 72-hole aggregate was three better than the second-lowest, but all that mattered was that his final score in relation to par of 18-under (5-under + 13-under) was the best in the field. In fact, the winner is determined on score in relation to par with Starting Strokes contributing, and that did matter in the second spin. Starting Strokes aided Dustin Johnson in emerging with his first FedExCup title last year. He opened at 10-under, shot 11-under during the tournament and posted 21-under for a three-stroke victory. However, his 72-hole aggregate was 269 was good for just T3 without Starting Strokes contributing. Xander Schauffele was lowest at 15-under 265 but opened at just 3-under as the 14-seed, so he settled for co-runner-up (with Justin Thomas) at 18-under. Unlike trends based on FedExCup points and positions, which are unique to every season, Starting Strokes has laid the foundation for an apples-to-apples comparison between TOUR Championships. Consider that in each of the first two editions, exactly six golfers seeded 12th or worse upon arrival finished inside the top 10 in relation to par at the conclusion of their respective events. (That’s a total of 12 among the combined 21 top 10s.) The highest climb to date belongs to 25-seed Chez Reavie in 2019. He opened at 1-under, shot 5-under and finished eighth at 6-under. Last year’s biggest riser was Tyrrell Hatton, who opened at 2-under as the 19-seed, and then shot 10-under for a combined 12-under and seventh place. Of course, movement occurs in the other direction as well. Coincidentally given Sunday’s duel, the top drops of the first two TOUR Championships with Starting Strokes were Cantlay (2019) and DeChambeau (2020). Cantlay opened as the 2-seed and finished T21. DeChambeau finished 22nd last year as the 8-seed. After the unknown of Caves Valley, the familiar backdrop of East Lake awaits. It remains a stock par 70 at 7,346 yards with bermudagrass greens ready to roll up to 13 feet on the Stimpmeter. Primary rough again is 2½ inches high. Essentially, for the 28 who have given it a go here before, it’s an open-book examination. Yes, that means that debutants 10-seed Sam Burns and 27-seed Erik van Rooyen are cramming, but they aced the first two tests, anyway. After East Lake held up for a historically average 70.033 in 2019, it proved to be vulnerable last year at 68.917. It was its lowest scoring average since 2007, the last edition before Rees Jones’ second of three renovations to the course. (Course scoring averages are not influenced by Starting Strokes.) Despite that dip, because the course is the same, the objective is the same – hit greens and sink putts. However, setting up scoring opportunities also remains the primary challenge. East Lake held firm in allowing a customary 11.6 GIR per round last year, 12th-lowest among all courses last season. Getting the ball onto the putting surfaces is harder than getting it into the hole. Last year’s field converted one-third of GIR into par breakers. That also aligns with recent history, but it connected in salvaging par 60.81 percent of the time, a record high at East Lake. The pair of par 5s – Nos. 6 and 18 – are most vulnerable and always have been. En route to his victory, DJ recorded six birdies and two pars on the set to rank T5 in par-5 scoring for the week. He also supported the theme of how the long game trumps the accurate at East Lake. He was T2 in distance of all drives but 28th in fairways split, yet still finished T5 in GIR, T11 in proximity to the hole and third in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. His putting was good enough to total 20 birdies against nine bogeys. What’s left on the backside of Hurricane Ida that will skirt northern Georgia will be long gone by the time the turf on the first tee box is pierced on Thursday. Outstanding conditions throughout the tournament will allow for East Lake to present as planned. Daytime temperatures will climb into the 80s and winds will be light. A few pillows passing in the sky won’t develop into anything. In addition to forever being known as the 15th FedExCup champion, the winner also will record an official victory and a five-year PGA TOUR membership exemption. By qualifying for the Playoffs finale, all 30 in the field receive exemptions into the 2022 editions of the Masters, U.S. Open and The Open Championship if not already eligible. All prize money distributed is unofficial but very real. The winner pockets $15 million. ROB BOLTON’S SCHEDULE PGATOUR.COM’s Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton recaps and previews every tournament from numerous angles. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. MONDAY: Power Rankings TUESDAY*: Fantasy Insider, Expert Picks SUNDAY: Qualifiers, Rookie Watch * – Rob is a member of the panel for PGATOUR.COM’s Expert Picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, which also publishes on Tuesday.
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2nd Round Match-Ups - B. Hossler vs H. Norlander | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Beau Hossler | -110 |
Henrik Norlander | -110 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - J. Lower vs N. Hojgaard | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Nicolai Hojgaard | -120 |
Justin Lower | +100 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - B. Hossler / H. Norlander / R. Sloan | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Henrik Norlander | +135 |
Beau Hossler | +165 |
Roger Sloan | +240 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Lower / N. Hojgaard / D. Wu | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Justin Lower | +165 |
Nicolai Hojgaard | +165 |
Dylan Wu | +200 |
Virginia | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +400 |
Jon Rahm | +550 |
Joaquin Niemann | +700 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
Patrick Reed | +1800 |
Carlos Ortiz | +2200 |
Lucas Herbert | +2200 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
David Puig | +2500 |
Sergio Garcia | +2500 |
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Tournament Match-Ups - P. Casey v T. McKibbin | |
Type: Requests - Status: OPEN | |
Paul Casey | -115 |
Tom McKibbin | -115 |
1st Round 3-Balls - D. Burmester / B. Grace / C. Schwartzel | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | +120 |
Charl Schwartzel | +170 |
Branden Grace | +275 |
1st Round 3-Balls - S. Garcia / L. Oosthuizen / M. Kaymer | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sergio Garcia | +105 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +145 |
Martin Kaymer | +400 |
1st Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / T. McKibbin / C. Surratt | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Tyrrell Hatton | +105 |
Tom McKibbin | +200 |
Caleb Surratt | +260 |
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Herbert / M. Leishman / M. Jones | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Lucas Herbert | +100 |
Marc Leishman | +170 |
Matt Jones | +350 |
1st Round 3-Balls - B. Koepka / D. Johnson / C. Smith | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | +150 |
Brooks Koepka | +175 |
Dustin Johnson | +200 |
1st Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / J. Rahm / J. Niemann | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +150 |
Jon Rahm | +170 |
Joaquin Niemann | +210 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group A - B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton / J. Rahm / P. Reed / J. Niemann / C. Ortiz | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +280 |
Jon Rahm | +320 |
Joaquin Niemann | +375 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +500 |
Patrick Reed | +600 |
Carlos Ortiz | +700 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group B - C. Smith / S. Garcia / L. Herbert / D. Burmester / S. Munoz / B. Koepka | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | +375 |
Lucas Herbert | +375 |
Sebastian Munoz | +425 |
Brooks Koepka | +450 |
Dean Burmester | +450 |
Sergio Garcia | +450 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group C - T. Gooch / P. Casey / C. Tringale / M. Leishman / D. Johnson / R. Bland | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Talor Gooch | +350 |
Cameron Tringale | +400 |
Dustin Johnson | +400 |
Marc Leishman | +450 |
Paul Casey | +450 |
Richard Bland | +475 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Tom McKibbin | +400 |
Bubba Watson | +425 |
Charl Schwartzel | +425 |
Thomas Pieters | +425 |
Harold Varner III | +450 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +450 |
Bryson DeChambeau | |
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | -135 |
Top 10 Finish | -350 |
Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
Jon Rahm | |
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | -115 |
Top 10 Finish | -300 |
Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
Joaquin Niemann | |
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +100 |
Top 10 Finish | -250 |
Top 20 Finish | -900 |
Tyrrell Hatton | |
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +180 |
Top 10 Finish | -150 |
Top 20 Finish | -600 |
Patrick Reed | |
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +290 |
Top 10 Finish | +105 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Ramey / A. Putnam / R. Hoey | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Rico Hoey | +125 |
Andrew Putnam | +175 |
Chad Ramey | +250 |
Carlos Ortiz | |
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +310 |
Top 10 Finish | +115 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Lucas Herbert | |
Type: Lucas Herbert - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +310 |
Top 10 Finish | +115 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Cameron Smith | |
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
David Puig | |
Type: David Puig - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
Sergio Garcia | |
Type: Sergio Garcia - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
Brooks Koepka | |
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +400 |
Top 10 Finish | +140 |
Top 20 Finish | -300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Weir / C. Kim / B. Silverman | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Ben Silverman | +125 |
Chan Kim | +130 |
Mike Weir | +375 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Ghim / H. Buckley / M. Meissner | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Doug Ghim | +125 |
Mac Meissner | +190 |
Hayden Buckley | +225 |
2nd Round Six Shooter - R. McIlroy / L. Aberg / S. Burns / SJ Im / L. Clanton / M. Homa | |
Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +240 |
Ludvig Aberg | +350 |
Sam Burns | +400 |
Sungjae Im | +550 |
Luke Clanton | +600 |
Max Homa | +700 |
2nd Round Six Shooter - T. Pendrith / N. Taylor / M. Hughes / D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland | |
Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Pendrith | +275 |
Nick Taylor | +350 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +400 |
Davis Riley | +475 |
Lee Hodges | +550 |
Gary Woodland | +700 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - S. Burns vs T. Pendrith | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | -110 |
Taylor Pendrith | -110 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - H. Hall vs D. Riley | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Harry Hall | -125 |
Davis Riley | +105 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Homa vs S. Im | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sungjae Im | -125 |
Max Homa | +105 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - S. Burns / M. Homa / S. Im | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | +120 |
Sungjae Im | +210 |
Max Homa | +220 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Davis Riley | +150 |
Lee Hodges | +175 |
Gary Woodland | +200 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Hughes vs N. Taylor | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Nick Taylor | -120 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +100 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Taylor / T. Pendrith / M. Hughes | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Pendrith | +130 |
Nick Taylor | +180 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +230 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Pavon / A. Svensson / A. Wise | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Matthieu Pavon | +125 |
Adam Svensson | +135 |
Aaron Wise | +350 |
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jin Young Ko | +135 |
Rio Takeda | +160 |
Lauren Coughlin | +240 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - L. Aberg vs R. McIIroy | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -130 |
Ludvig Aberg | +110 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - K. Mitchell vs T. Detry | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell | -120 |
Thomas Detry | +100 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - R. McIIroy / L. Aberg / L. Clanton | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +125 |
Ludvig Aberg | +165 |
Luke Clanton | +275 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Detry / K. Mitchell / B. Hun An | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell | +145 |
Thomas Detry | +170 |
Byeong Hun An | +225 |
1st Round 3-Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | -110 |
Mao Saigo | +200 |
Maja Stark | +320 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - H. Hall / T. Moore / K. Kitayama | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Harry Hall | +145 |
Kurt Kitayama | +180 |
Taylor Moore | +200 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Villegas / E. Grillo / N. Hardy | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Emiliano Grillo | +105 |
Nick Hardy | +180 |
Camilo Villegas | +300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Lashley / A. Smalley / V. Perez | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Alex Smalley | +120 |
Victor Perez | +165 |
Nate Lashley | +300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Dahmen / P. Rodgers / C. Young | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Rodgers | +135 |
Carson Young | +180 |
Joel Dahmen | +220 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Onishi / M. Creighton / M. Anderson | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Matthew Anderson | +140 |
Myles Creighton | +185 |
Kaito Onishi | +210 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Rosenmueller / M. Andersen / J. Goldenberg | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Rosenmueller | +100 |
Matthew Anderson | +170 |
Josh Goldenberg | +340 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Velo / B. Thornberry / W. Heffernan | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Kevin Velo | +110 |
Braden Thornberry | +145 |
Wes Heffernan | +375 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Peterson / P. Knowles / H. Thomson | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Hunter Thomson | +135 |
Paul Peterson | +140 |
Philip Knowles | +300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Norgaard / G. Sargent / J. Keefer | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Johnny Keefer | +110 |
Niklas Norgaard | +120 |
Gordon Sargent | +550 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Rozner / V. Covello / W. Wang | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Antoine Rozner | -230 |
Vince Covello | +400 |
Wei-Hsuan Wang | +425 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / T. Cone / A.J. Ewart | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Takumi Kanaya | -110 |
A J Ewart | +250 |
Trevor Cone | +250 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Goodwin / Y. Cao / B. Botha | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Noah Goodwin | +110 |
Barend Botha | +200 |
Yi Cao | +250 |
Major Specials 2025 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +750 |
Collin Morikawa | +900 |
Xander Schauffele | +900 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1000 |
Justin Thomas | +1100 |
Joaquin Niemann | +1400 |
Shane Lowry | +1600 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1800 |
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US Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +275 |
Rory McIlroy | +650 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +700 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2200 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Justin Thomas | +3000 |
Joaquin Niemann | +3500 |
Shane Lowry | +3500 |
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The Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Jon Rahm | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Shane Lowry | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -150 |
Europe | +140 |
Tie | +1200 |