Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Playing for second pays off for Justin Rose

Playing for second pays off for Justin Rose

A victorious Justin Rose started Sunday at the World Golf Championships – HSBC Champions playing for second place. While he hadn’t given up at Sheshan International he was realistic… he trailed the world No. 1 golfer Dustin Johnson by eight shots and Johnson had a six-shot buffer on his nearest rival. Rose had been here before – chasing down a supremely talented and in form golfer – and always set himself mini challenges. This time he pitted himself in a fictional match play battle on the back nine when he made the turn still six back of the lead. “I played a game with myself where I said, okay, I’m 4-down to the golf course: Can I win my match. Or I was thinking: Can I tie my match. 13-under par was by goal, and I exceeded that in the end,â€� Rose said. Exceeded he did. Rose – who had three bogeys in his last four holes during a front-nine even-par 36 – found five birdies between 11 and 17 to shoot 5-under 31 and finish at 14 under for the tournament. Recently he was seven behind Marc Leishman with a round to go at the BMW Championship but just two behind second place. In January last year he was eight behind leader Justin Thomas at the Sony Open, but just one back of second. On both occasions, he played his mini games and targeted second place and succeeded. He knew to win he would need help from the leader so why not just focus on what he could control just in case it eventuated. Thomas and Leishman closed but this time Johnson spectacularly collapsed. And as such Rose was ready. Johnson, who had steadied after back-to-back bogeys to open his round in blustery and tough windy conditions, dropped shots on the 12th, 15th and 16th and the breakdown was complete after a 5-over 77. An incredible 10 shots worse than Rose. “It was the perfect type of weather conditions to make a comeback,â€� Rose said. “This is the type of day when you are playing with a lead, every hole seems difficult. Obviously, someone is still capable of playing a special round of golf. And my back nine was just amazing today.â€� And so Johnson, who was poised to hold three of the four WGC trophies at one time, instead gave up the biggest 54-hole lead in WGC history. The last time the best player in the world gave up a lead like that was the 1996 Masters where Greg Norman collapsed from six ahead to give nick Faldo a third green jacket. The eight-shot deficit was the equal third biggest comeback in PGA TOUR history behind only Paul Lawrie (10 shots 1999 Open Championship) and Stewart Cink (nine shots 2004 RBC Heritage). “It’s the kind of day you certainly don’t expect,â€� Rose said. “It’s the kind of day you hope for, dream for, but a lot of things need to go your way in order for a day like today to happen… especially going against a player like DJ.â€� The win is Rose’s eighth triumph on the PGA TOUR and second WGC title. Having tasted five runner-up finishes since his last TOUR win in 2015 at the Zurich Classic it was a sweet one. The 550 FedExCup points rocket him to third on the points list early in the season – last year’s HSBC Champions winner Hideki Matsuyama rode the win all the way to the top seed entering the Playoffs. Of course Rose broke up his win “droughtâ€� with an Olympic Gold medal in 2016 so he has won somewhere in the world in each calendar year since 2010. “Whenever you beat the top players in the world, that gives a tournament victory so much more meaning, and obviously with a leaderboard like we had today with Dustin, Brooks (Koepka), (Henrik) Stenson, I take a lot of pride in winning this tournament,â€� he said. “And winning in China, to travel, to take your game internationally I think is something that’s very important to do.â€� Winning is always important – but so it seems is playing for second.

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Colonial is a perfect fit for SpiethColonial is a perfect fit for Spieth

It’s a star-studded field this week at the Charles Schwab Challenge, but one of the most interesting players to watch will be a player whose recent struggles stand in stark contrast to his past performances at Colonial Country Club. It can be argued that no one has had more success at Colonial over the past few years than Jordan Spieth. In seven starts, he has a win (2016), two runner-up finishes and a pair of other top-10s. Twenty-one of his 28 rounds at Colonial have been in the 60s. Of players with at least a dozen rounds in the Charles Schwab Challenge over the last 30 years, Spieth’s scoring average leads all players (67.8). RELATED LINKS: 15th Club But before competition halted in March, Spieth’s ball-striking numbers were far from his peak. Spieth is 195th on the TOUR this season in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green and 198th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. For the fourth consecutive season, his greens in regulation rank has dropped – from fourth in 2017, all the way down to 221st so far in 2019-20. Spieth has hit less than 48% of his fairways this season – only four of 231 qualified players on the PGA TOUR currently have a lower percentage. Comparing Spieth’s career Strokes Gained statistics at Colonial with what he’s done the last two seasons on TOUR provides an even starker contrast. Spieth is 195th on the TOUR this season in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green and 198th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. For the fourth consecutive season, his greens in regulation rank has dropped – from fourth in 2017, all the way down to 221st so far in 2019-2020. Spieth has hit less than 48% of his fairways this season – only four of 231 qualified players on the PGA TOUR currently have a lower percentage. Comparing Spieth’s career Strokes Gained statistics at Colonial with what he’s done the last two seasons on TOUR provides an even starker contrast. Over the last 15 years, no player has averaged more Strokes Gained: Total (+2.41) and Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green (+1.83) per round at Colonial than Spieth. Spieth is ranked 82nd and 166th (of 205 players) in those two statistics since the beginning of last season. He has gained 1.28 strokes per round at Colonial in ‘long game’ – a statistic that combines Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and Strokes Gained: Approach. That’s fifth-best among players with 12 or more rounds at Colonial since 2005. Over the last two seasons, he’s losing -0.69 strokes per round in that stat, ranking 187th. Colonial could provide a great opportunity for Spieth to rediscover his best self on the golf course. Statistically speaking, the venue plays to Spieth’s strengths and masks the less glittering aspects of his performance. For one, missing fairways at Colonial is not as penalizing at other PGA TOUR events. ‘Missed fairway penalty’ is the difference in the field’s average when hitting the fairway versus missing it. Last year at Colonial, only one hole (the fifth) had a penalty of a half-stroke or more. Spieth is the all-time leader in scoring average at this tournament despite hitting just over 50% of his fairways at Colonial. Driving distance does not reap huge rewards at Colonial, either. Not that Spieth has ever been a short hitter off the tee – he’s always ranked among the top half of PGA TOUR players in driving distance – but the typical benefits reaped by the longest players just aren’t present at Colonial. A player outdriving the field average by 25 yards will gain one stroke less throughout the course of a tournament compared to the average PGA TOUR event. Throughout his career, Spieth has struck his approach shots better at Colonial than anywhere else on TOUR. Jordan’s average proximity to the hole in 28 career rounds at Colonial is 31 feet, 10 inches. To put that into perspective, that is about two feet closer, on average, than his proximity for the entirety of his FedExCup-winning 2015 season. Spieth has averaged +0.88 strokes gained approach per round at Colonial – fifth-best among all players over the last 15 years. Fans seemingly remember Spieth making every putt he looked at when he played his best – from the famous ‘Go Get That’ at The Open Championship, to the putts he made all over East Lake in his 2015 TOUR Championship win. But narratives, often punctuated by highlights, can mask the statistical reality behind performance. Such has often been the case with Spieth in his career. When Spieth was playing his best golf, it wasn’t because he was making every putt in sight. It was because he was outperforming the field with his irons. Consider his aforementioned halcyon season of 2015. That year, Spieth actually ranked better on the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green (fourth) than he did in Strokes Gained: Putting (ninth). Colonial, a place where Spieth has had immense success, reflects that, too. Spieth is ranked 20th among all players at Colonial since 2005 in Strokes Gained: Putting per round – a worse ranking than any of his ball striking metrics in that span. Spieth has been putting better in regular PGA TOUR events the last two seasons (+0.73 strokes gained per round) than he has at Colonial in his career (+0.58 per round). It’s been Spieth’s exceptional performance tee-to-green at Colonial that has set him apart. Over the last decade, no player has averaged more strokes gained tee-to-green per round than the Texan has (1.83). If there’s one place best suited for Spieth’s on-course revival, Colonial just might be it.

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