It’s not the only way to secure a spot in the Tour Championship, but having early success can result in a big payoff at the end of the season.
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2022 AT&T Byron Nelson, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Sebastian Munoz (T1, -15, 19.8%) 2. Ryan Palmer (T1, -15, 13.2%) 3. Joaquin Niemann (T6, -12, 7.1%) 4. Jordan Spieth (T6, -12, 7.1%) 5. Justin Lower (4, -14, 5.8%) 6. David Skinns (T1, -15, 5.1%) 7. Hideki Matsuyama (T9, -11, 4.9%) 8. Kyounghoon Lee (T6, -12, 4.1%) 9. Alex Noren (T9, -11, 3.9%) 10. Justin Thomas (T15, -10, 3.8%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Emiliano Grillo +3.4 Around the Green: Emiliano Grillo +2.6 Approach the Green: Rory Sabbatini +3.0 Off-the-tee: Joaquin Niemann +2.6 Total: Ryan Palmer +7.1 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the AT&T Byron Nelson, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Justin Thomas finished Day 1 right where he started, in the lead. But now there are two other players tied at the top.
Justin Thomas faces Bubba Watson in one semifinal in Austin. If Thomas wins the match, he will become the seventh American to claim the top world ranking.
