PGA Tour Power Rankings: Cameron rises, Rory surges and LIV players exit

"It was crazy. It was nuts. It was unbelievable." That was Rory McIlroy's reaction when he played with Bryson DeChambeau in the first event after the PGA TOUR season resumed. McIlroy got a front-row seat to see the transformed DeChambeau in the final round of the Charles Schwab Challenge. McIlroy doesn't lack for length, but several of DeChambeau's tee shots caused McIlroy's jaw to drop. "He hit a couple drives on Sunday that Harry (Diamond, McIlroy's caddie) and I just looked at each other, and we're like, ‘Holy (expletive), that was unbelievable,'" McIlroy said that day. DeChambeau's driving will be on full display at this week's Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Not only is this his first start since he became a major champion, but it was at last year's Shriners that DeChambeau announced his intention to bulk up in search of bigger drives. DeChambeau will be paired in the first two rounds with two of the TOUR's biggest hitters, as well. He will play Thursday and Friday with Cameron Champ and Matthew Wolff. The numbers say that DeChambeau is the longest hitter on TOUR. This week provides the opportunity to produce some eyewitness testimony. Champ is the man DeChambeau supplanted atop the PGA TOUR's driving distance ranking. Champ led that statistic in 2019 with an average measured drive of 317.9 yards before DeChambeau nipped him by one-tenth of a yard in 2020 (322.1 yards to 322.0). This is the first time DeChambeau and Champ have been paired in a PGA TOUR event. Champ and Wolff have never been paired together, either. DeChambeau and Wolff have faced each other on a pair of Sundays since the season resumed. They finished 1-2 in the Rocket Mortgage Classic - DeChambeau's first win after bulking up — and were in the final group of the recent U.S. Open. That Sunday at Winged Foot is the only time DeChambeau and Wolff have played together on the PGA TOUR. Though DeChambeau has the advantage in most driving statistics, Wolff showed that he is capable of getting it past the TOUR’s driving-distance leader. The most notable occurence came on Winged Foot’s ninth hole, where both players made eagle. DeChambeau’s tee shot went 375 yards but Wolff hit it 13 yards past him. Their contrasting styles and the friendship between their coaches that was formed on a short, scruffy public course in Southern California has created an interesting storyline. DeChambeau is a devotee of physics. Wolff creates speed with a unique, athletic move that is a carry-over from his baseball days. Their coaches, Chris Como and George Gankas, have become two of the game's hottest coaches after getting their start at the 5,000-yard Westlake Golf Course. Wolff, who last year became the first player since Tiger Woods to win the NCAA individual title and a PGA TOUR event in the same year, has finished in the top four in the last two majors as he's shown an increased consistency to go along with his incredible length. Before this trio slugs it out at TPC Summerlin, let's take a look at the tale of the tape. You’ll see that DeChambeau leads almost every distance-related stat, but now he gets to go toe-to-toe with two of his closest competitors and prove it on the course. First, let’s start with the traditional stats. Because this new season is so young, we used the final stats from the 2020 season to compare their performance off the tee. Average driving distance is calculated from the tee shots on two pre-determined holes per round; the two driving-distance holes often run in opposite directions, to mitigate the effect of wind, and are longer holes where players are expected to hit driver. Driving distance (all) measures every tee shot a player hits on a par-4 or par-5. Next, let’s look at what the launch monitors reveal about these players’ long drives. Despite using a 5-degree driver, DeChambeau hit the highest tee shots on TOUR last year. So, it should be no surprise that he also led the TOUR in carry distance. His average carry distance of 314.1 yards is 9.5 yards longer than the No. 2 player in that statistic, Ryan Brehm. Champ, meanwhile, hits low lasers that roll out. The average apex of his drives is 42 feet lower than DeChambeau’s. Champ could have the advantage if conditions are firm and fast this week, while DeChambeau’s high-flying tee shots could benefit from the dry desert air and the fact that TPC Summerlin is nearly 1,900 feet above sea level. Champ led the TOUR in both average clubhead speed and ball speed last season, but DeChambeau’s max effort in both stats was the highest on TOUR. For reference, the TOUR’s average clubhead speed was 114 mph last season and the average ball speed was 169.7 mph. ShotLink data also allows us to look at the percentage of tee shots that are hit a certain length. ‘Measured’ means tee shots that are hit on the two holes used to measure driving distance (see above) and ‘all’ means tee shots on every par-4 and par-5. ‘Percentage covered by tee shots’ measures what percentage of the length on par-4s and par-5s a player covered off the tee. For example, a player who hits a 300-yard tee shot on a 400-yard hole has covered 75% of the hole with his tee shot.

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Brendan Steele (+450 for a Top 20) … Although he currently lives in Irvine, California, he’s always been a focus of elevated expectations in La Quinta because this has been a home game. He’s from Idyllwild, which isn’t far, and he hasn’t missed an edition since debuting as a rookie in 2011. He’s cashed in each of the last seven editions, four of which for a top 25. Currently 25th in this season’s FedExCup on the strength of a co-runner-up at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP, but he’s totaled five cuts made with 17 red numbers. Vince Whaley (+400 for a Top 20) … The 26-year-old is enjoying a natural progression on his career trajectory. After a substandard rookie season of 2019-20, he sharpened his game to record five top 25s among 17 paydays in the bonus season of membership triggered by the pandemic. However, he still needed the Korn Ferry Tour Finals in 2021 to regain fully exempt status on which he is capitalizing. He arrived at PGA WEST having connected six cuts made, three going for a top 20, including a T17 at Waialae last week where he co-led the field in par-5 scoring and didn’t miss on 58 looks inside eight feet, 19 of which were longer than three feet. Rory Sabbatini (+500 for a Top 20) … How can a guy ranked 17th in Strokes Gained: Total be just 1-for-5 on the season with 10 completed rounds contributing? Well, his lone payday was a T3 at the Shriners and he didn’t register an official score at the RSM because he was disqualified after the first round. In his other three starts, he completed six rounds in 10-under and missed those cuts by an aggregate four strokes. PGA WEST is a logical site for the pendulum to swing back into his favor and where anything can happen given that the champion likely will go lower than 20-under for the week. Since returning in earnest in 2011, he hasn’t missed an edition and he’s perfect since 2017 with a T12 a year ago. Sebastián Muñoz (+275 for a Top 20) … On firepower alone, it stands to reason that he’ll threaten this prop. He concluded the fall with a pair of top fives in three starts and totaled four in his last six months of competition, and that doesn’t include the T4 at the Olympics. In his last appearance at PGA WEST in 2020, he sat T20 at the 54-hole conclusion of the course rotation and landed at T21. Also led the field in scrambling. J.T. Poston (+700 for a Top 20) … You’d have had a tough time finding a touring professional who couldn’t wait for 2021 to end faster. He crawled into the holiday hiatus having missed eight consecutive cuts. Now, reset and recharged, the 28-year-old opened 2022 with a 6-under 64 at Waialae. It was his lowest score in relation to par since a 7-under 65 in the first round of the Barbasol Championship where he lost in a playoff last July, and his lowest aggregate since an 8-under 64 at the Sanderson Farms Championship in September of 2019. Naturally, because of Monday’s holiday, the direct deposit was delayed a day, and it was for but a T42, but it still has to feel good after the drought. This is his sixth consecutive trip to PGA WEST. On three occasions, he connected four red numbers, the best set yielding a T7 in 2019. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Jan. 18, 2022. For live odds, visit betmgm.

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