When my man (and colleague), Mike Glasscott, writes The Confidence Factor in advance of tournaments and the daily Emergency 9 during competition, succumbs to the temptation to preemptively surrender, I don’t know where else to turn for a warm embrace. Glass launched the erstwhile #TTA (for “The Thursday Army”) on Twitter years ago. It’s a tag for all of gamers who lament about an early double bogey or birdie-free opening round in a competitive format in which there is a multitude of opportunities to reverse course and contribute to our cause. With the world connected electronically as it is, why remain patient in sharing dissatisfaction? Like so many others, Glass circled Dustin Johnson as his One & Done for the Genesis Open. After opening the tournament with a 3-over 74 and sitting birdie-free 1-over through eight holes of the second round, DJ seemed to be on a sauntering beeline to slam his trunk. So, at 9:42 a.m. PT on Friday, Glass tweeted, “First, [Hideki] Matsuyama at WMPO. Now, DJ at Genesis. Fantasy golf, bloody [expletive].” Lo and behold, Johnson came home in bogey-free 3-under to survive the cut by two strokes. A bogey-free 64 on Saturday thrust the defending champion to within striking distance of 54-hole leader Bubba Watson. Alas, DJ squandered the four-shot deficit, closed with 73 and landed in a four-way share of 16th place, eight swings adrift of Watson’s championship pace. The last golfer to prevail after opening any tournament with as high as a 74 was Justin Rose at the 2014 Quicken Loans National contested at Congressional, which is a par 71 like Riviera. The last 75 by a champion was carded by Mark Calcavecchia on par-71 Copperhead at the 2007 Valspar Championship. Since 1970, there have been five winners who opened with 76. So, hang in there, Glass, er, gamers, especially when Johnson is in control. If your pick for The Honda Classic signs for an over-par score after his first loop of PGA National’s Champion Course, you’ll have reason to whine. The average score in the opening round among the 11 winners on the par 70 is 67.64. The last six champs averaged 66.67 in laying the foundation. Defending champion Rickie Fowler carded a pair of 66s before opening a four-stroke cushion with a third-round 65. If you’re not angling at him in a major this season (as I am), you think no further while plugging him in. Of the eight golfers among the 29 featured in Future Possibilities below for whom Honda is bolded, Graeme McDowell is the only other with a “1” beside this stop. Given where G-Mac is on his career arc, he presents better as the tail of the tandem in two-man games. Of the foursome with a “2” beside their names, only Sergio Garcia serves as a smart option right now, but he’s always the go-to at THE PLAYERS or The Open Championship because he’s the most reliable at both tournaments devoid of constants. Save Luke Donald for the RBC Heritage, Billy Horschel for the FedEx St. Jude Classic and Adam Scott until he regains form. Rory McIlroy is tempting every time he laces up the spikes, but the Honda doesn’t even appear on his relative long short list. Same goes for Justin Thomas and Jason Dufner. Abstain. Tyrrell Hatton is a timely option and he’d be my choice if Gary Woodland wasn’t available. The Englishman serves as a bridge in a field full of them. Fellow international PGA TOUR members Alex Noren, Tommy Fleetwood and Rafa Cabrera Bello line up similarly. If you’re in a two-man format and McDowell isn’t your pint of Guinness, consider Patton Kizzire, Russell Knox or Dylan Frittelli. Now all you need to do is hold your breath for a red number on Thursday. FUTURE POSSIBILITIES NOTE: Select golfers committed to the tournament are listed alphabetically. Future tournaments are sorted chronologically and reflect previous success on the courses on which the tournaments will be held in 2017-18. The numerical values in parentheses represent the order of relative confidence of where to use each golfer if multiple sites are listed (e.g. 1 for strongest, 2 for next-strongest and so on). To present weighted confidence in real time, numerical values will not change all season no matter how many tournament remain listed for each golfer. All are pending golfer commitment. Daniel Berger … Houston (3); St. Jude (1; two-time defending); Travelers (2) Keegan Bradley … Houston (3); Memorial (5); WGC-Bridgestone (2) Luke Donald … Honda (2); Valspar (3); Heritage (1) Jason Dufner … Valspar (1); DEAN & DELUCA (2); Memorial (3; defending); U.S. Open (4); Wyndham (6); TOUR Championship (7) Rickie Fowler … Honda (1; defending); Houston (4); Masters (8); Wells Fargo (7); PLAYERS (9); WGC-Bridgestone (3); THE NORTHERN TRUST (10); Dell Technologies (6) Jim Furyk … Valspar (5); Heritage (1); Memorial (7); U.S. Open (8); Canadian (3); WGC-Bridgestone (2); THE NORTHERN TRUST (9); TOUR Championship (4) Sergio Garcia … Honda (2); Masters (3; defending); PLAYERS (5); Open Championship (1); TOUR Championship (4) Brian Harman … Arnold Palmer (5); DEAN & DELUCA (4); John Deere (3) Russell Henley … Houston (1; defending); Greenbrier (3) J.B. Holmes … Houston (2); Wells Fargo (7); Greenbrier (5) Billy Horschel … Honda (2); Arnold Palmer (5); Valero (3); St. Jude (1); TOUR Championship (4) Charles Howell III … Valspar (4); Houston (7) Chris Kirk … Valero (4); PLAYERS (3); DEAN & DELUCA (2) Kevin Kisner … Heritage (4); DEAN & DELUCA (1; defending); Memorial (5); Wyndham (6) Russell Knox … Honda (6); Heritage (2); PLAYERS (8); Dell Technologies (7) Jamie Lovemark … Arnold Palmer (3) Graeme McDowell … Honda (1); Heritage (4); WGC-Bridgestone (3) William McGirt … Heritage (1); Memorial (4) Rory McIlroy … Arnold Palmer (10); WGC-Match Play (11); Masters (2); Wells Fargo (1); PLAYERS (8); Memorial (9); Open Championship (4); WGC-Bridgestone (7); Dell Technologies (5); TOUR Championship (3) Ryan Moore … Valspar (5); Masters (8); Travelers (2); John Deere (3); TOUR Championship (6) Ryan Palmer … Valero (1); DEAN & DELUCA (2); St. Jude (6) Scott Piercy … Houston (5); John Deere (6) Patrick Reed … Valspar (6); Travelers (5); PGA Championship (8); Wyndham (7); THE NORTHERN TRUST (9); Dell Technologies (2) Adam Scott … Honda (2); Arnold Palmer (11); Masters (4); PLAYERS (5); U.S. Open (10); Open Championship (8); WGC-Bridgestone (3); Dell Technologies (9); TOUR Championship (6) Webb Simpson … Wells Fargo (7); DEAN & DELUCA (4); Travelers (8); Greenbrier (5); Wyndham (1) Brandt Snedeker … WGC-Mexico (13); Arnold Palmer (12); Masters (7); Heritage (10); DEAN & DELUCA (11); U.S. Open (5); Travelers (6); Canadian (3); Wyndham (4) Justin Thomas … WGC-Mexico (7); Valspar (8); Wells Fargo (9); Dell Technologies (6; defending); TOUR Championship (3) Jimmy Walker … Valero (6); Greenbrier (8); Dell Technologies (7) Gary Woodland … Honda (6); Wells Fargo (5); Barracuda (1); Dell Technologies (3)
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2nd Round Match-Ups - B. Hossler vs H. Norlander | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Beau Hossler | -110 |
Henrik Norlander | -110 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - J. Lower vs N. Hojgaard | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Nicolai Hojgaard | -120 |
Justin Lower | +100 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - B. Hossler / H. Norlander / R. Sloan | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Henrik Norlander | +135 |
Beau Hossler | +165 |
Roger Sloan | +240 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Lower / N. Hojgaard / D. Wu | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Justin Lower | +165 |
Nicolai Hojgaard | +165 |
Dylan Wu | +200 |
Virginia | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +400 |
Jon Rahm | +550 |
Joaquin Niemann | +700 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
Patrick Reed | +1800 |
Carlos Ortiz | +2200 |
Lucas Herbert | +2200 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
David Puig | +2500 |
Sergio Garcia | +2500 |
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Tournament Match-Ups - P. Casey v T. McKibbin | |
Type: Requests - Status: OPEN | |
Paul Casey | -115 |
Tom McKibbin | -115 |
1st Round 3-Balls - D. Burmester / B. Grace / C. Schwartzel | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | +120 |
Charl Schwartzel | +170 |
Branden Grace | +275 |
1st Round 3-Balls - S. Garcia / L. Oosthuizen / M. Kaymer | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sergio Garcia | +105 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +145 |
Martin Kaymer | +400 |
1st Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / T. McKibbin / C. Surratt | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Tyrrell Hatton | +105 |
Tom McKibbin | +200 |
Caleb Surratt | +260 |
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Herbert / M. Leishman / M. Jones | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Lucas Herbert | +100 |
Marc Leishman | +170 |
Matt Jones | +350 |
1st Round 3-Balls - B. Koepka / D. Johnson / C. Smith | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | +150 |
Brooks Koepka | +175 |
Dustin Johnson | +200 |
1st Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / J. Rahm / J. Niemann | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +150 |
Jon Rahm | +170 |
Joaquin Niemann | +210 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group A - B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton / J. Rahm / P. Reed / J. Niemann / C. Ortiz | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +280 |
Jon Rahm | +320 |
Joaquin Niemann | +375 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +500 |
Patrick Reed | +600 |
Carlos Ortiz | +700 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group B - C. Smith / S. Garcia / L. Herbert / D. Burmester / S. Munoz / B. Koepka | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | +375 |
Lucas Herbert | +375 |
Sebastian Munoz | +425 |
Brooks Koepka | +450 |
Dean Burmester | +450 |
Sergio Garcia | +450 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group C - T. Gooch / P. Casey / C. Tringale / M. Leishman / D. Johnson / R. Bland | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Talor Gooch | +350 |
Cameron Tringale | +400 |
Dustin Johnson | +400 |
Marc Leishman | +450 |
Paul Casey | +450 |
Richard Bland | +475 |
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Tom McKibbin | +400 |
Bubba Watson | +425 |
Charl Schwartzel | +425 |
Thomas Pieters | +425 |
Harold Varner III | +450 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +450 |
Bryson DeChambeau | |
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | -135 |
Top 10 Finish | -350 |
Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
Jon Rahm | |
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | -115 |
Top 10 Finish | -300 |
Top 20 Finish | -1200 |
Joaquin Niemann | |
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +100 |
Top 10 Finish | -250 |
Top 20 Finish | -900 |
Tyrrell Hatton | |
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +180 |
Top 10 Finish | -150 |
Top 20 Finish | -600 |
Patrick Reed | |
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +290 |
Top 10 Finish | +105 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Ramey / A. Putnam / R. Hoey | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Rico Hoey | +125 |
Andrew Putnam | +175 |
Chad Ramey | +250 |
Carlos Ortiz | |
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +310 |
Top 10 Finish | +115 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Lucas Herbert | |
Type: Lucas Herbert - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +310 |
Top 10 Finish | +115 |
Top 20 Finish | -400 |
Cameron Smith | |
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
David Puig | |
Type: David Puig - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
Sergio Garcia | |
Type: Sergio Garcia - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +350 |
Top 10 Finish | +125 |
Top 20 Finish | -350 |
Brooks Koepka | |
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN | |
Top 5 Finish | +400 |
Top 10 Finish | +140 |
Top 20 Finish | -300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Weir / C. Kim / B. Silverman | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Ben Silverman | +125 |
Chan Kim | +130 |
Mike Weir | +375 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Ghim / H. Buckley / M. Meissner | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Doug Ghim | +125 |
Mac Meissner | +190 |
Hayden Buckley | +225 |
2nd Round Six Shooter - R. McIlroy / L. Aberg / S. Burns / SJ Im / L. Clanton / M. Homa | |
Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +240 |
Ludvig Aberg | +350 |
Sam Burns | +400 |
Sungjae Im | +550 |
Luke Clanton | +600 |
Max Homa | +700 |
2nd Round Six Shooter - T. Pendrith / N. Taylor / M. Hughes / D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland | |
Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Pendrith | +275 |
Nick Taylor | +350 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +400 |
Davis Riley | +475 |
Lee Hodges | +550 |
Gary Woodland | +700 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - S. Burns vs T. Pendrith | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | -110 |
Taylor Pendrith | -110 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - H. Hall vs D. Riley | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Harry Hall | -125 |
Davis Riley | +105 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Homa vs S. Im | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sungjae Im | -125 |
Max Homa | +105 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - S. Burns / M. Homa / S. Im | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | +120 |
Sungjae Im | +210 |
Max Homa | +220 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Davis Riley | +150 |
Lee Hodges | +175 |
Gary Woodland | +200 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Hughes vs N. Taylor | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Nick Taylor | -120 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +100 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Taylor / T. Pendrith / M. Hughes | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Pendrith | +130 |
Nick Taylor | +180 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +230 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Pavon / A. Svensson / A. Wise | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Matthieu Pavon | +125 |
Adam Svensson | +135 |
Aaron Wise | +350 |
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jin Young Ko | +135 |
Rio Takeda | +160 |
Lauren Coughlin | +240 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - L. Aberg vs R. McIIroy | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -130 |
Ludvig Aberg | +110 |
2nd Round Match-Ups - K. Mitchell vs T. Detry | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell | -120 |
Thomas Detry | +100 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - R. McIIroy / L. Aberg / L. Clanton | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +125 |
Ludvig Aberg | +165 |
Luke Clanton | +275 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Detry / K. Mitchell / B. Hun An | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell | +145 |
Thomas Detry | +170 |
Byeong Hun An | +225 |
1st Round 3-Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | -110 |
Mao Saigo | +200 |
Maja Stark | +320 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - H. Hall / T. Moore / K. Kitayama | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Harry Hall | +145 |
Kurt Kitayama | +180 |
Taylor Moore | +200 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Villegas / E. Grillo / N. Hardy | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Emiliano Grillo | +105 |
Nick Hardy | +180 |
Camilo Villegas | +300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Lashley / A. Smalley / V. Perez | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Alex Smalley | +120 |
Victor Perez | +165 |
Nate Lashley | +300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Dahmen / P. Rodgers / C. Young | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Rodgers | +135 |
Carson Young | +180 |
Joel Dahmen | +220 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Onishi / M. Creighton / M. Anderson | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Matthew Anderson | +140 |
Myles Creighton | +185 |
Kaito Onishi | +210 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Rosenmueller / M. Andersen / J. Goldenberg | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Rosenmueller | +100 |
Matthew Anderson | +170 |
Josh Goldenberg | +340 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Velo / B. Thornberry / W. Heffernan | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Kevin Velo | +110 |
Braden Thornberry | +145 |
Wes Heffernan | +375 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Peterson / P. Knowles / H. Thomson | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Hunter Thomson | +135 |
Paul Peterson | +140 |
Philip Knowles | +300 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Norgaard / G. Sargent / J. Keefer | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Johnny Keefer | +110 |
Niklas Norgaard | +120 |
Gordon Sargent | +550 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Rozner / V. Covello / W. Wang | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Antoine Rozner | -230 |
Vince Covello | +400 |
Wei-Hsuan Wang | +425 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / T. Cone / A.J. Ewart | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Takumi Kanaya | -110 |
A J Ewart | +250 |
Trevor Cone | +250 |
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Goodwin / Y. Cao / B. Botha | |
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Noah Goodwin | +110 |
Barend Botha | +200 |
Yi Cao | +250 |
Major Specials 2025 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +750 |
Collin Morikawa | +900 |
Xander Schauffele | +900 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1000 |
Justin Thomas | +1100 |
Joaquin Niemann | +1400 |
Shane Lowry | +1600 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1800 |
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US Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +275 |
Rory McIlroy | +650 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +700 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2200 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Justin Thomas | +3000 |
Joaquin Niemann | +3500 |
Shane Lowry | +3500 |
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The Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Jon Rahm | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Shane Lowry | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -150 |
Europe | +140 |
Tie | +1200 |