Masters rankings: From potential winners to just happy to be here

So much for putting the drama behind him. Reed found more in Hawaii, plus Tiger’s Olympic hopes, a possible Brooks Koepka sighting and the possibility that Justin Thomas is headed for a huge year.

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2022 Masters Tournament, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +1.83 strokes per round Morning wave: +2.22 Afternoon wave: +1.43 Current cutline (top 50 and ties): 59 players at +2 or better (T43) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 3 over par: 35.9% 2. 4 over par: 34.7% 3. 2 over par: 13.5% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Cameron Smith (2, -4, 14.2%) 2. Sungjae Im (1, -5, 11.6%) 3. Scottie Scheffler (T3, -3, 11.6%) 4. Dustin Johnson (T3, -3, 8.6%) 5. Patrick Cantlay (T7, -2, 8.1%) 6. Joaquin Niemann (T3, -3, 5.9%) 7. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T10, -1, 3.1%) 8. Corey Conners (T7, -2, 2.8%) 9. Will Zalatoris (T10, -1, 2.7%) 10. Rory McIlroy (T31, +1, 2.6%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Masters Tournament, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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RIDGELAND, S.C. – Brooks Koepka shot a second-round 73 and at 3 over will almost certainly miss the cut at the Palmetto Championship at Congaree. RELATED: Full leaderboard | Hadley surprises, opens with rounds of 65-66 Still, he was hardly despondent. After missing significant time this season with a right knee injury that required surgery, he said he was happy to get the “reps” in going into the U.S. Open. “I’m playing really good,” he said. “I like the way I’m striking the ball. I like the way I’m putting the ball too. Just seemed to be a little bit of speed control.” His playing partners, Congaree ambassadors Keith Mitchell (74, 3 over) and Lucas Glover (73, 7 over), also will most likely fail to advance to the weekend rounds. For the second day, Koepka was in negative numbers in Strokes Gained: Putting. He was 129th in that stat with the afternoon wave still out on the course, and faulted his failure to figure out the speed of the greens. As for the rest of it, Koepka, who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open shortly before his knee operation earlier this season, played well enough. He hit nine of 14 fairways for the second straight day but hit just 10 greens in regulation. He was six of eight scrambling. More importantly, the two-time U.S. Open champion said the knee is feeling fine. “It’s good,” he said. “It’s in a really good spot. I like where it’s at. I’ve done enough rehab, strength’s coming around. I mean, I can almost squat down to read a putt like normal. Didn’t do it too much this week just because I don’t want to screw it up for next week.”

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