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Justin Rose finally starting to solve TPC Boston

NORTON, Mass. – The first time Justin Rose played a competitive round at TPC Boston, he shot 63. That was 15 years ago and he was not yet a TOUR member. He was playing on a sponsor’s exemption extended by then-tournament director Jay Monahan, now the PGA TOUR Commissioner. Rose, then 23-years old, eventually finished solo third and earned his TOUR card without having to go through Q-school. Since then, he’s played more than 300 TOUR events, won nine times – including a major and two WGC events – and also won an Olympic gold medal. It’s been a stellar career. But he’s never been able to match that 63 – although he came close Friday with a bogey-free 6-under 65 to take the first-round lead at the Dell Technologies Championship. “This golf course has been changed and manipulated a lot through the years,â€� said Rose after his 45th career round at TPC Boston. “I think the first couple of years I played really well and enjoyed it. Then obviously significant changes through the years. I guess the last few years things have settled a little bit again. “So I played better when it was pre-redesign. I probably had more success.â€� Indeed. Besides his solo third in 2003, he tied for fourth in 2006. But since the debut of the FedExCup Playoffs the following year and the course’s redesign by Gil Hanse, Rose’s only top-10 finish came last year with a tie for 10th. Perhaps he’s finally starting to solve it. He certainly solved the tricky wind conditions better than anybody else, and his bogey-free round was one of just two on the day (Abraham Ancer had the other in shooting 66). Of course, it helps that he’s an established world-class golfer, ranked sixth in FedExCup points and fourth in the world. Even so, TPC Boston – at least the latest version — may always seem liked a mystery to him. “I’ve had some mixed results here,â€� said Rose, who turned his first missed cut of the season at last week’s FedExCup Playoffs opener into a six-day visit back home. “I’ve had some great weeks and I’ve had some poor weeks here. It’s a course I never really know exactly what to expect. “But it’s a fun golf course.â€� It was fun 15 years ago when he first saw it. Maybe it will be even more fun for him the rest of this week. KEEGAN HANDLING HOMETOWN PRESSURE Keegan Bradley desperately wants to give his New England fans a winning performance. Unfortunately, he’s never really come close at TPC Boston. In six previous appearances at the Dell Technologies Championship, his best finish is a tie for 13th in 2012. That was the year he shot 63 in the third round. Alas, that only moved him within 13 shots of the leader. Two years later, he opened with a 65, leaving him in solo second … and then he gradually dropped down the leaderboard to finish tied for 16th. Yes, the Vermont native – who’s also an unabashed Boston sports fan — gets tons of support here. That also comes with tons of pressure. Now, though, he thinks he can properly channel that pressure. An opening 4-under 67, which leaves him just two shots behind leader Justin Rose, suggests this might be the year. “I’ve learned to love coming here,â€� Bradley said. “It used to be a very tough week for me. I put so much pressure on myself. But I’ve learned to go with it.â€� He’s also learning how to let go of disappointment. A week ago, his third-round 62 at THE NORTHERN TRUST moved him into solo second after 54 holes. A day later, in the final group with eventual winner Bryson DeChambeau, he suffered a free-fall, his 7-over 78 leaving him tied for 34th. Considering he hasn’t won a PGA TOUR event in six years and has just one top-3 finish in his last 119 starts, it was a bitter finish. But by the middle of this week, he was over it. “It was tough, because I felt like that was my day to kind of tell everybody that maybe I was back here and I was here to stay,â€� Bradley said. “I may have put too much pressure on myself. But it’s nice to come right back out and play quickly.â€� Will he keep riding the momentum – and successfully manage the expectations – for the final three rounds this week? Bradley certainly hopes so, but it’ll be difficult not to let his mind wander. “I would love to give the fans and my family who don’t get to come to a lot of tournaments see me compete and do well, maybe win,â€� he said. “That would be incredible. So always in the back of my mind, I think how amazing that would be. How cool that would be. “And that’s something that I’ll have to be aware of this week.â€� NOTABLES DJ’S GUARANTEE … In eight career starts at TPC Boston, Dustin Johnson has three top-10 finishes. He’s only held the lead once in 32 rounds here, and has only been inside the top-5 once entering the final round. His promise: That all changes this year. “I don’t understand why I haven’t had more success here because I like the golf course,â€� he said after an opening 68. “I feel like it sets up well for me. And I’m going to have success this year.â€� OFF THE BOTTOM OF THE SHOE … Marc Leishman’s approach into the par-4 sixth was sailing long right and heading into trouble – until it bounced off the bottom of the shoe of a fan who had stumbled and fallen backwards while trying to get out of the way. The ball ricocheted onto the green, and Leishman capitalized on the break by rolling in the birdie putt from 56 feet, 11 inches. “First time that’s ever happened to me,â€� said Leishman, who shot a 68. “It’s nice when it does happen … Hopefully I don’t need those kind of breaks later in the week.â€� Click here for the video of the shoe shot. TURF TALK … A week ago, Chris Kirk tied for last among all players who made the cut at THE NORTHERN TRUST. This week, he’s off to a great start with a 4-under 67. The difference, he said, is his ability to read the greens at TPC Boston after struggling last week at Ridgewood. And why is that? “I suck on poa annua,â€� Kirk said. He said other than a solo second in the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, his track record is horrible on poa annua greens. “I wish I somehow had any clue what I did that week,â€� he said. “I’m still using the same putter right now that I used that week.â€� Bentgrass greens, like at TPC Boston, and bermudagrass greens are no problem. “At least I feel good on two out of the three surfaces we play,â€� Kirk said. FEELING FRESH … Beau Hossler played six straight weeks earlier this season. He had another stretch of five straight weeks. But this week is just his third start in the last six weeks. “I feel really fresh, where a lot of players probably don’t right now,â€� Hossler said after his 67. “I would say my game isn’t exactly where I want it to be. But as far as mentally, I feel totally rested and prepared to compete.â€� Hossler’s fast start is no surprise – the rookie is fifth on TOUR in first-round scoring average. BANG-BANG FINISHES … Russell Knox was plodding along and coming off an unfortunate bogey on the 12th hole after finding the middle of the fairway. After that? Three birdies and an eagle hole-out at the par-4 15th to shoot 66 and share second place. “The round was just good in four holes,â€� Knox said. “It was nice. I haven’t hd one of those bang-bang runs in a while.â€� … Abraham Ancer also had one of those runs to finish his bogey-free 66, making four birdies in his last six holes. “Some putts didn’t go in on the front nine and I just stayed patient and made some coming in,â€� Ancer said. QUOTABLES They might be taking an early weekend. Should be in school studying.I’ve learned more about my game this year than any other season, no doubt. SHOT OF THE DAY

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3rd Round 2 Ball - A. Hadwin v P. Fishburn
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Adam Hadwin+100
Patrick Fishburn+110
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3rd Round Six Shooter - M. Hughes / C. Young / R. Hojgaard / R. Fox / W. Clark / BH An
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Cameron Young+400
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Wyndham Clark-115
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3rd Round Match Up - P. Malnati v J. Suber
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Jackson Suber-180
Peter Malnati+150
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Wyndham Clark-150
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3rd Round 2 Ball - K. Mitchell v BH An
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Keith Mitchell-110
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Jesper Svensson+105
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Trey Mullinax-130
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3rd Round 2 Ball - D. Skinns v T. Mullinax
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Trey Mullinax-115
David Skinns+125
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3rd Round Match Up - S. Burns v N. Taylor
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2nd Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / P. Mickelson / M. Kaymer
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FedExCup Update: ‘Weird pressure’ no problem for bubble bustersFedExCup Update: ‘Weird pressure’ no problem for bubble busters

GREENSBORO, N.C. – Harris English called it a “weird kind of pressure.� Nick Taylor described it as “just a stressful week.� Both players handled it successfully. Entering this week’s Wyndham Championship in danger of missing the FedExCup Playoffs, English and Taylor played their way inside the top 125 who will advance to next week’s Playoffs opener, THE NORTHERN TRUST. English did it with four solid rounds, including a 2-under 68 on Sunday afternoon that left him at 14 under and in a tie for 11th. That was good enough to move him from 132 to 124 in the FedExCup standings – and continue his string of Playoffs appearances, now at seven consecutive seasons. “I don’t want to be on the bubble again,� said English, who secured his spot with a two-putt par from 60 feet on the final hole. “… Nobody wants to be put on the bench and not play the Playoffs and having a chance to win the FedExCup.� Taylor, meanwhile, merely produced his lowest round of the season, a 7-under 63 that left him at 15 under and a tie for eight. That moved him from 129 to 119 in the FedExCup standings. This will be his third Playoffs appearance in his four years on TOUR. His only miss came in 2016 when he finished 129th in points. “It’s been a long year,� said the Canadian, who had to fight back from an early-morning triple bogey in the continuation of his third round. He finished with an even-par 70, then produced four consecutive birdies early in his final round. “I really felt like I was playing well the last couple of months and nothing’s really been going my way, so it’s really satisfying to finish it off.� With two players moving inside the top 125, that meant two others moved out. Martin Piller dropped from 124 to 126, while Tyrone Van Aswegen dropped from 125 to 127. Both players missed the cut on Friday. Having to make a big move in the final week of the regular season is something English would rather avoid in the future. “I haven’t been in this position, on the outside looking in,� he said. “It’s not a lot of fun. Hopefully it’s going to light a fire in me this fall and get off to a better start and get up pretty high in the FedEx and be in better position.� SNEDS NOW A CONTENDER: Brandt Snedeker now believes he has a chance to win his second FedExCup title. A week ago, he didn’t think so. By winning the Wyndham Championship, Snedeker moved from 80th to 30th in the standings. Only the top 30 reach the TOUR Championship with a shot to win the FedExCup, so now Snedeker only needs to maintain to ensure his spot at East Lake. “Your position going into the Playoffs dictates a lot of your chances of winning the FedExCup Playoffs, dictates how you can think and play, your realistic chances of winning or not winning,� said Snedeker, the 2012 FedExCup champ. “As somebody who’s been fortunate enough to win before, I realize how important it is to be in a good position going into the Playoffs and also to play well when you’re there. “To be perfectly frank, I didn’t have any chance at all of winning the FedExCup Playoffs when I showed up here this week and there’s just no way, as far back as I was, I didn’t see it happening. After this week, I feel like I have a chance. I feel like I kind of put myself in position where three good weeks going into East Lake, you never know what’s going to happen. Plus, as Snedeker said, he’s a guy “who always gets hot. When I get hot playing golf, it’s a lot of fun because I can kind of stay there for a little while … So I’m getting hot at the right time.� FIRST TIME FOR SAM: Sam Saunders entered the week ranked 120th. After he made the cut, he felt confident that he would not drop outside the top 125. “I don’t want to say 100 percent certain, but I know the system,� he said. “Of course, if it could ever happen to someone, it was going to happen to me.� Fortunately for Saunders, he played well enough on the weekend (a tie for 45th at 8 under) to keep his spot and make the FedExCup Playoffs for the first time in his career. “It’s great,� said Saunders, whose tie for seventh two weeks ago at the Barracuda Championship gave him some breathing room. “A lot of hard work that finally paid off. “I’ve been so fortunate to be out there. This is my fourth year in a row now [on TOUR]. To know that my fifth year out here is going to be the first time I’ll be in THE PLAYERS. I’m in pretty much every tournament. I can pick my schedule. I’m not worried about which week I’m going to get in, which week I’m not. It’s pretty exciting.� “A lot of people, they watch on TV and they think if you’re not winning, you’re not successful out here. Obviously, that is the goal. You want to win golf tournaments. But very rarely do the Jordan Spieths and the Rickie Fowlers of the world come along. Those are one in a million guys. For the rest of us, this is the norm, how we build our careers.� FURYK COMES CLOSE: Jim Furyk, the 2010 FedExCup champ, needed a solo second or a win to climb inside the top 125. He came close – a tie for fourth after his final-round 63 on Sunday – but his season is now over. He’ll still be active, though. As the U.S. captain for the Ryder Cup, Furyk said he’ll probably attend a couple of FedExCup events to monitor the progress of U.S. players, particularly those who may need a captain’s pick to make the team (including the new Wyndham champ, especially if Snedeker maintains his hot streak). If Furyk’s not on-site, he’ll be watching the action on TV. “I’ve watched more golf this year than I’ve probably have in the last 10 years combined,� Furyk said. “I’ve enjoyed it. “It’s a little disappointing not playing next week but I have plenty of stuff to keep me busy.� GARCIA, HAAS STREAKS OVER: Sergio Garcia and Bill Haas were not able to climb inside the top 125 in points, thus ending their streaks of having qualified for the FedExCup Playoffs every year since its inception in 2007. Garcia, who started the week ranked 131st in points, was projected inside the top 125 at one point Sunday. But he suffered three bogeys in five holes after making the turn and finished with an even-par 70, leaving him in a tie for 24th and in 128th in the final FedExCup standings. Haas entered the week ranked 150th and finished at 8 under and a tie for 45th. That left him dropping two spots to 152nd. Luke Donald, out for an extended time with an injury, also officially saw his streak in. That leaves 10 players who have made the FedExCup Playoffs every year. RODGERS OUT NEXT WEEK: Patrick Rodgers confirmed Sunday that he will not play in next week’s THE NORTHERN TRUST. Rodgers plans to attend a family wedding in Scotland. Ranked 93rd in the FedExCup standings, Rodgers’ absence could put him in danger of being eliminated from the Playoffs if enough players bust the bubble. Only the top 100 players advance to the second Playoffs event, the Dell Technologies Championship. In 2015, eight players busted the bubble at THE NORTHERN TRUST.

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Cut prediction: John Deere ClassicCut prediction: John Deere Classic

2021 John Deere Classic, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: -1.17 strokes per round Morning wave: -1.37 Afternoon wave: -0.97 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 74 players at -2 or better (T52) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 4 under par: 42.0% 2. 3 under par: 30.5% 3. 5 under par: 17.6% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Sebastian Munoz (T1, -8, 12.5%) 2. Chez Reavie (T3, -7, 6.9%) 3. Hank Lebioda (T3, -7, 6.7%) 4. Chesson Hadley (T1, -8, 6.0%) 5. Ryan Moore (6, -6, 5.5%) 6. Camilo Villegas (T3, -7, 4.8%) 7. Doug Ghim (T7, -5, 4.0%) 8. Russell Henley (T12, -4, 3.6%) 9. Daniel Berger (T52, -2, 2.9%) 10. Sungjae Im (T29, -3, 2.4%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the John Deere Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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