Jon Rahm is on an absolute tear heading into The Open Championship. He’s 44 under par in his last 12 worldwide rounds. He is making birdie-or-better on more than 30% of his holes in that stretch. He’s never been worse than T11 after any round in that span. He not only won his first major championship at the U.S. Open but was one stroke of bad fortune from running away with the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday, as well. RELATED LINKS: Twenty First Group | Nine Things to Know: Royal St. George’s Couple that with his past success at links-style golf courses in Europe, and you justifiably have a player who will be at the top of virtually everyone’s lists heading into the 149th Open Championship. Rahm is a two-time winner of the Dubai Duty Free Irish Open, with high finishes dotting his resume on similar courses throughout his young career. “It’s very refreshing when we come to this part of the world and play,” Rahm said last week at the Scottish Open, where he finished seventh. “And I think that’s why I’ve had success.” Twenty First Group analyzed every European Tour event (including The Open Championship) played on coastal courses of the British Isles since 2010, a collection of more than 25,000 rounds. Digging through the results not only articulated how great Rahm has been on links-style courses, but pinpointed some other key performers. Some names were expected. Some might be a bit surprising. Jon Rahm In his career, Rahm has averaged +1.8 Strokes Gained: Total per round on links-style golf courses (as defined in our classification), the best of any player over the last decade with 30 or more rounds played. Rahm’s iron play has been exceptional: in 33 rounds, he’s hit 72.6% of his greens in regulation – 6.6% more than the combined field averages in that span. Rahm has been able to capitalize on his length everywhere in his career, and these types of courses are no different. On links courses, the World No. 2 averages more than 10 yards farther than the field off the tee. It’s led to a direct benefit on par-5s – he’s gained an average of +0.28 strokes per par-5 played, second-best of any player since 2010 with 30 or more rounds under his belt. Since the first Masters was held in 1934, only three players have won their first two professional majors in back-to-back major starts: Craig Wood (1941 Masters, U.S. Open); Bobby Locke (1949 and 1950 Open Championships); and Jordan Speith (2015 Masters, U.S. Open). Rahm will try to join that list this week, as well as become the first player since Tiger Woods in 2000 to win the U.S. Open and The Open Championship in the same season. Rahm also is trying to finish in the top 10 in all four of this year’s majors. In addition to his win at Torrey Pines, he has finished fifth at this year’s Masters and T8 at the PGA Championship. Jordan Spieth He finished one shot out of a playoff at St. Andrews in 2015, then won The Open Championship two years later. Jordan Spieth’s links acumen is obvious, but the numbers paint a fuller picture of how good he’s been after crossing the Atlantic. In 28 rounds, he’s averaged a whopping +2.0 Strokes Gained: Total per round, the best of any player since 2010 with 20 or more rounds played. Spieth’s short game has been especially brilliant: he has scrambled, on average, 10.4% better than his opposition when playing links courses in his career. He’s also averaged more than half-a-putt fewer per round than the competition. This has led to him gaining strokes on the opposition regardless of hole type, doing so on par-3s, par-4s and par-5s. Since 2015, Spieth leads all players at The Open Championship in scoring average (69.6), rounds in the 60s (12) and one-putts (145). Tony Finau Quick. Who was the low American at the 2019 Open at Royal Portrush? It wasn’t Brooks Koepka (T4). It was Finau, who finished alone in third place. Finau is the only player to finish in the top 10 at both the 2018 and 2019 Open Championship. Finau has been good-to-great at virtually everything on links-style golf courses in his career. His driving distance, always a weapon, has given him a 12.6 yard average head start on the field. He’s hit more than 71% of his greens in regulation, a 7.2% increase over the field average. He also scrambles at a clip 8.5% higher than the field and has fewer putts per round than the average player, too. Finau has averaged 1.5 strokes under par per round on links courses, an exceptional clip considering more than half of his sample is coming from The Open Championship. Adam Scott With seven top-25 finishes since 2011, Adam Scott has been one of the most consistent performers this decade at The Open Championship. On links-style courses since 2010, Scott has averaged +1.7 Strokes Gained: Total per round, third-best among players with 40 or more rounds played in that span. Scott has been able to take great advantage of par-5s throughout his career on these courses: on average, Scott gains 0.3 strokes on the field per par-5 played, the highest average of any player in this study with more than 20 rounds. Outdriving the field average by more than 16 yards goes a long way, in turns out. Xander Schauffele Since 2010, there are just six players who have hit at least 5% more greens than the field and scrambled at a clip that is at least 5% better than the competition on European links courses. Two of those players have already been mentioned: Finau and Scott. Another one on that short list is Schauffele, who was the 54-hole co-leader at Carnoustie three years ago before ultimately finishing T2. It’s not an enormous sample size, but Schauffele has been terrific on these types of courses, gaining +1.8 strokes on the field per round. In addition to the scrambling and G.I.R. prowess we mentioned, he also averages more than six-tenths of a putt fewer per round, a number that puts him in the upper-15th percentile in that statistic. Schauffele has played in 17 major championships in his young career, finishing in the top 10 in more than half of them (nine). Since 2017, he is ranked fourth or better in the majors in scoring (70.6), birdies-or-better per round (3.8) and percentage of rounds in the 60s (39.1%). Could Royal St George’s be the site of his breakthrough major win?
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Final Round 2-Balls - D. Thompson / N. Taylor | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Davis Thompson | -130 |
Nick Taylor | +110 |
Final Round Match-Ups - J. Day vs D. Thompson | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Jason Day | -115 |
Davis Thompson | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - K. Vilips / R. Gerard | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Ryan Gerard | -155 |
Karl Vilips | +130 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Day / S. Valimaki | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jason Day | -165 |
Sami Valimaki | +140 |
Final Round 2-Balls - C. Kirk / T. Detry | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Detry | -120 |
Chris Kirk | +100 |
Final Round 2-Balls - A. Scott / S. Burns | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | -125 |
Adam Scott | +105 |
Final Round Match-Ups - J. Rose vs S. Burns | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Justin Rose | -115 |
Sam Burns | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Straka / J. Rose | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | -135 |
Justin Rose | +115 |
Final Round Six-Shooter - Group D - D. Berger / W. Clark / J. Spieth / J.T. Poston / S. Straka / M. Greyserman | |
Type: Final Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Berger | +350 |
Jordan Spieth | +375 |
Sepp Straka | +375 |
J.T. Poston | +450 |
Wyndham Clark | +450 |
Max Greyserman | +650 |
Final Round Match-Ups - S. Straka vs M. Greyserman | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | -180 |
Max Greyserman | +150 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J.T. Poston / E. Cole | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
J.T. Poston | -145 |
Eric Cole | +120 |
Final Round Match-Ups - J.T. Poston vs J. Spieth | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Spieth | -115 |
J.T. Poston | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - B. Horschel / S. Jaeger | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Billy Horschel | -115 |
Stephan Jaeger | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Spieth / M. Greyserman | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Spieth | -155 |
Max Greyserman | +130 |
Final Round 2-Balls - A. Tosti / D. Wu | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Alejandro Tosti | -135 |
Dylan Wu | +145 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Im / R. Hisatsune | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Sungjae Im | -155 |
Ryo Hisatsune | +130 |
Final Round Six-Shooter - Group B - S. Lowry / B. Harman / V. Hovland / K. Bradley / S. Im / S.W. Kim | |
Type: Final Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Shane Lowry | +350 |
Viktor Hovland | +350 |
Sungjae Im | +375 |
Brian Harman | +500 |
Keegan Bradley | +500 |
Si Woo Kim | +550 |
Final Round Six-Shooter - Group C - M. Fitzpatrick / R. Hisatsune / A. Novak / B. Campbell / M. Hughes / C. Davis | |
Type: Final Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +320 |
Andrew Novak | +400 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +400 |
Ryo Hisatsune | +425 |
Brian Campbell | +500 |
Cam Davis | +550 |
Final Round Match-Ups - S. Lowry vs S. Im | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Shane Lowry | -110 |
Sungjae Im | -110 |
Final Round 2-Balls - A. Putnam / R. Hoey | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Rico Hoey | -120 |
Andrew Putnam | +130 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - V. Hovland / T. Hoge | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Viktor Hovland | -150 |
Tom Hoge | +125 |
Final Round Score - Viktor Hovland | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -155 |
Under 68.5 | +120 |
Final Round Match-Ups - D. Berger vs V. Hovland | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Berger | -115 |
Viktor Hovland | -105 |
Final Round Match-Ups - C. Davis vs T. Hoge | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Tom Hoge | -145 |
Cam Davis | +120 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Choi / T. Rosenmuller | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Rosenmuller | -160 |
Sam Choi | +175 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Lowry / D. Berger | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Shane Lowry | -115 |
Daniel Berger | -105 |
Final Round Score - Daniel Berger | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -155 |
Under 68.5 | +120 |
Final Round Score - Shane Lowry | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -155 |
Under 68.5 | +120 |
Final Round 2-Balls - Z. Blair / C. Hoffman | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Charley Hoffman | -125 |
Zac Blair | +135 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - W. Clark / B. Hun An | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Wyndham Clark | -115 |
Byeong Hun An | -105 |
Final Round Score - Byeong Hun An | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +115 |
Under 69.5 | -150 |
Final Round Score - Wyndham Clark | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +125 |
Under 69.5 | -165 |
Final Round Match-Ups - K. Bradley vs W. Clark | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Keegan Bradley | -110 |
Wyndham Clark | -110 |
Final Round Match-Ups - M. Fitzpatrick vs B. Hun An | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Byeong Hun An | -110 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | -110 |
Final Round 2-Balls - A. Baddeley / S. Power | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Seamus Power | -190 |
Aaron Baddeley | +210 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Fitzpatrick / B. Campbell | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Matt Fitzpatrick | -135 |
Brian Campbell | +115 |
Final Round Score - Matt Fitzpatrick | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +115 |
Under 69.5 | -150 |
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Wallace / M. NeSmith | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Matt Wallace | -150 |
Matt NeSmith | +165 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - C. Davis / M. Hughes | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Mackenzie Hughes | -135 |
Cam Davis | +115 |
Final Round Match-Ups - A. Novak vs M. Hughes | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Andrew Novak | -115 |
Mackenzie Hughes | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - B. Martin / K. Mitchell | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell | -150 |
Ben Martin | +165 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - P. Cantlay / K. Bradley | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay | -155 |
Keegan Bradley | +130 |
Final Round Six-Shooter - Group A - S. Scheffler / R. Henley / P. Cantlay / T. Fleetwood / J. Thomas / M. McNealy | |
Type: Final Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +225 |
Patrick Cantlay | +425 |
Justin Thomas | +450 |
Russell Henley | +475 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +550 |
Maverick McNealy | +600 |
Final Round Score - Keegan Bradley | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +125 |
Under 69.5 | -165 |
Final Round Score - Patrick Cantlay | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -120 |
Under 68.5 | -110 |
Final Round Match-Ups - S. Scheffler vs P. Cantlay | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -165 |
Patrick Cantlay | +140 |
Final Round 2-Balls - V. Whaley / J. Paul | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Vince Whaley | +100 |
Jeremy Paul | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Scheffler / R. Henley | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -185 |
Russell Henley | +150 |
Final Round Score - Russell Henley | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -155 |
Under 68.5 | +120 |
Final Round Score - Scottie Scheffler | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -105 |
Under 67.5 | -125 |
Final Round Match-Ups - R. Henley vs B. Harman | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Russell Henley | -155 |
Brian Harman | +130 |
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Thorbjornsen / G. Higgo | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Michael Thorbjornsen | +100 |
Garrick Higgo | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - B. Harman / T. Fleetwood | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Tommy Fleetwood | -135 |
Brian Harman | +115 |
Final Round Score - Brian Harman | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +125 |
Under 69.5 | -165 |
Final Round Score - Tommy Fleetwood | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -130 |
Under 68.5 | +100 |
Final Round Match-Ups - J. Thomas vs T. Fleetwood | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Justin Thomas | -115 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Dahmen / C. Kim | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Chan Kim | +100 |
Joel Dahmen | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Thomas / M. McNealy | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Justin Thomas | -145 |
Maverick McNealy | +120 |
Final Round Score - Justin Thomas | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -120 |
Under 68.5 | -110 |
Final Round Score - Maverick McNealy | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -145 |
Under 68.5 | +110 |
Final Round Match-Ups - S.W. Kim vs M. McNealy | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Maverick McNealy | -125 |
Si Woo Kim | +105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S.W. Kim / A. Novak | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Si Woo Kim | -115 |
Andrew Novak | -105 |
Final Round Score - Si Woo Kim | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +115 |
Under 69.5 | -150 |
Final Round Score - Andrew Novak | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | -130 |
Under 69.5 | +100 |
JM Eagle LA Championship | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Akie Iwai | +275 |
Lauren Coughlin | +275 |
Ingrid Lindblad | +375 |
Nelly Korda | +900 |
Ina Yoon | +1000 |
Jeeno Thitikul | +1600 |
Minjee Lee | +1600 |
Rio Takeda | +1800 |
Miyu Yamashita | +4000 |
Chisato Iwai | +17500 |
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Final Round 2 Balls - E. Pedersen v M. Yamashita | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Miyu Yamashita | -170 |
Emily Pedersen | +185 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls - J. Thitikul v M. Lee | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Jeeno Thitikul | -145 |
Minjee Lee | +160 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls - N. Korda v R. Takeda | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | -145 |
Rio Takeda | +160 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls - I. Yoon v I. Lindblad | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Ina Yoon | -115 |
Ingrid Lindblad | +125 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls - A. Iwai v L. Coughlin | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN | |
Lauren Coughlin | +100 |
Akie Iwai | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Major Specials 2025 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +160 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +350 |
Xander Schauffele | +350 |
Ludvig Aberg | +400 |
Collin Morikawa | +450 |
Jon Rahm | +450 |
Brooks Koepka | +700 |
Justin Thomas | +700 |
Viktor Hovland | +700 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +800 |
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PGA Championship 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1400 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Xander Schauffele | +1400 |
Jon Rahm | +1800 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Justin Thomas | +2500 |
Viktor Hovland | +2500 |
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US Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1200 |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
Jon Rahm | +1400 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Justin Thomas | +2500 |
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The Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +550 |
Xander Schauffele | +1100 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Jon Rahm | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Shane Lowry | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -150 |
Europe | +140 |
Tie | +1200 |