Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Fowler, Scheffler share 36-hole lead The American Express

Fowler, Scheffler share 36-hole lead The American Express

LA QUINTA, Calif. – Rickie Fowler came to The American Express for the first time in six years to prepare for the next two weeks at Torrey Pines and TPC Scottsdale. He’s ahead of schedule, shooting an 8-under 64 on Friday at PGA West’s Jack Nicklaus Tournament Course for a share of the second-round lead with Scottie Scheffler. Related: Leaderboard | Amateur with one arm makes hole-in-one | How Phil became a social media star  In position to make the trip over the hill to San Diego and Torrey Pines with his sixth PGA TOUR title and first since Phoenix a year ago, Fowler set up shop last week at the nearby Madison Club after tying for fifth at Kapalua in the Sentry Tournament of Champions. “It was nice to get a little work in, get some good practice and play out here in the desert to get used to being back in the desert,” said Fowler, who grew up about an hour away in Murrieta. “It’s been very beneficial. I looked at that as something that was going to be the best opportunity for me to go into this West Coast swing to get the game where I want to and to play well.” He opened with a 65 on Thursday at La Quinta Country Club. “These courses are scorable, but I feel like it’s a fine line between playing well out here and kind of scraping by,” Fowler said. “If you drive it well and hit good approach shots, you can make a lot of birdies, but if you’re a little off you’re kind of scrambling for par. I feel like I’ve done a good job of just kind of picking my way around the two golf courses so far.” He played his final nine in 6-under 30, making a 6-foot eagle putt on the par-5 fourth, four birdies and two big par saves on Nos. 6 and 7. “It’s always nice when you don’t give shots back, especially in a tournament like this where typically the scores are going to be on the lower side,” Fowler said. “Bogey almost feels like you’re giving two shots back.” At 15-under 129, he had the lowest 36-hole score of his PGA TOUR career. Playing in the same third of the field as Fowler in the pro-am event, Scheffler also opened with rounds of 65 and 64. He birdied the first four holes and six of the first seven Friday, then rebounded from a double bogey on the par-4 18th with an eagle and two birdies in his second nine. “Wish the double wasn’t in there, but it was still a very good score,” Scheffler said. “I feel like I’ve been playing pretty well, just doing a good job managing my game, giving myself a lot of looks. I got off to a pretty hot start today and kept playing pretty solid, even after that double on 18, just staying in a good place mentally and was able to hit some good shots.” The 23-year-old former University of Texas star is in his first season on the PGA TOUR after winning twice and topping the Korn Ferry Tour Finals and overall points lists. Fowler and Scheffler will play PGA West’s Stadium Course — also the site of the final round — on Saturday. Tournament host Phil Mickelson needed a low round Saturday at the Stadium Course to make the cut after rounds of 70 and 72 in his first start of the year. Andrew Landry was a stroke out of the lead after a 64 at La Quinta. Tony Finau, made a big move with a 62 on the Nicklaus layout. Playing alongside Mickelson, Finau was two strokes back at 13 under after the best round of the first two days. He played his finakl nine in 7-under 29. “The putter got hot for me on that back nine,” Finau said. “I hit it really nicely yesterday. I didn’t feel like I got what I wanted out of the round and I wanted to change that today. I hit it well again and I was able to make some putts and just get some momentum.” Defending champion Adam Long was 5 under after a 70 on the Nicklaus Course.

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+850
Justin Thomas+1800
Jon Rahm+2000
Xander Schauffele+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Patrick Cantlay+4000
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Rory McIlroy
Type: Rory McIlroy - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-105
Top 10 Finish-200
Top 20 Finish-450
Top 30 Finish-650
Top 40 Finish-900
Scottie Scheffler
Type: Scottie Scheffler - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+100
Top 10 Finish-190
Top 20 Finish-425
Top 30 Finish-600
Top 40 Finish-850
Bryson DeChambeau
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+175
Top 10 Finish-120
Top 20 Finish-275
Top 30 Finish-375
Top 40 Finish-550
Justin Thomas
Type: Justin Thomas - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+300
Top 10 Finish+140
Top 20 Finish-170
Top 30 Finish-210
Top 40 Finish-320
Collin Morikawa
Type: Collin Morikawa - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+375
Top 10 Finish+170
Top 20 Finish-140
Top 30 Finish-175
Top 40 Finish-250
Jon Rahm
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+375
Top 10 Finish+170
Top 20 Finish-140
Top 30 Finish-190
Top 40 Finish-280
Xander Schauffele
Type: Xander Schauffele - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+375
Top 10 Finish+170
Top 20 Finish-140
Top 30 Finish-190
Top 40 Finish-280
Ludvig Aberg
Type: Ludvig Aberg - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+190
Top 20 Finish-130
Top 30 Finish-175
Top 40 Finish-250
Joaquin Niemann
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+500
Top 10 Finish+225
Top 20 Finish+100
Top 30 Finish-130
Top 40 Finish-200
Brooks Koepka
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+120
Top 30 Finish+100
Top 40 Finish-150
Hideki Matsuyama
Type: Hideki Matsuyama - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+120
Top 30 Finish-120
Top 40 Finish-175
Patrick Cantlay
Type: Patrick Cantlay - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+120
Top 30 Finish-120
Top 40 Finish-180
Tommy Fleetwood
Type: Tommy Fleetwood - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+650
Top 10 Finish+280
Top 20 Finish+115
Top 30 Finish-120
Top 40 Finish-180
Jordan Spieth
Type: Jordan Spieth - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+700
Top 10 Finish+325
Top 20 Finish+125
Top 30 Finish+100
Top 40 Finish-150
Tyrrell Hatton
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+700
Top 10 Finish+300
Top 20 Finish+125
Top 30 Finish-110
Top 40 Finish-165
Sepp Straka
Type: Sepp Straka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+350
Top 20 Finish+140
Top 30 Finish+100
Top 40 Finish-140
Shane Lowry
Type: Shane Lowry - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+350
Top 20 Finish+140
Top 30 Finish-110
Top 40 Finish-165
Viktor Hovland
Type: Viktor Hovland - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+800
Top 10 Finish+350
Top 20 Finish+140
Top 30 Finish-110
Top 40 Finish-165
Corey Conners
Type: Corey Conners - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1000
Top 10 Finish+425
Top 20 Finish+170
Top 30 Finish+115
Top 40 Finish-130
Patrick Reed
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+500
Top 20 Finish+190
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-115
Russell Henley
Type: Russell Henley - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+500
Top 20 Finish+190
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-120
Daniel Berger
Type: Daniel Berger - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+210
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-115
Jason Day
Type: Jason Day - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+210
Top 30 Finish+130
Top 40 Finish-110
Sungjae Im
Type: Sungjae Im - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1200
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+210
Top 30 Finish+135
Top 40 Finish-110
Akshay Bhatia
Type: Akshay Bhatia - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Justin Rose
Type: Justin Rose - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1400
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+230
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Keith Mitchell
Type: Keith Mitchell - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+160
Top 40 Finish+110
Min Woo Lee
Type: Min Woo Lee - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1400
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+230
Top 30 Finish+140
Top 40 Finish-110
Wyndham Clark
Type: Wyndham Clark - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1400
Top 10 Finish+550
Top 20 Finish+230
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Cameron Smith
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Keegan Bradley
Type: Keegan Bradley - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+200
Top 40 Finish+130
Maverick McNealy
Type: Maverick McNealy - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Max Homa
Type: Max Homa - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Rickie Fowler
Type: Rickie Fowler - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+220
Top 40 Finish+140
AdventHealth Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Kensei Hirata+1800
Mitchell Meissner+2200
SH Kim+2200
Neal Shipley+2500
Seungtaek Lee+2800
Hank Lebioda+3000
Adrien Dumont De Chassart+3500
Chandler Blanchet+3500
Pierceson Coody+3500
Rick Lamb+3500
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Robert MacIntyre
Type: Robert MacIntyre - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Sam Burns
Type: Sam Burns - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+110
Si Woo Kim
Type: Si Woo Kim - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Tony Finau
Type: Tony Finau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1600
Top 10 Finish+650
Top 20 Finish+250
Top 30 Finish+175
Top 40 Finish+115
Aaron Rai
Type: Aaron Rai - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+2200
Top 10 Finish+900
Top 20 Finish+340
Top 30 Finish+200
Top 40 Finish+130
Andrew Novak
Type: Andrew Novak - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+1800
Top 10 Finish+800
Top 20 Finish+300
Top 30 Finish+170
Top 40 Finish+125
Regions Tradition
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Stewart Cink+550
Ernie Els+700
Steve Stricker+700
Steven Alker+750
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1100
Jerry Kelly+1400
Bernhard Langer+1600
Alex Cejka+1800
Retief Goosen+2500
Richard Green+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Statistical predictions for the FedExCup PlayoffsStatistical predictions for the FedExCup Playoffs

This month, we are providing predictions for the 2017 FedExCup Playoffs, the four-tournament run that begins this week at THE NORTHERN TRUST. The predictions are probabilistic; using 30,000 simulations from our statistical model, for each player in this week’s field, we calculate their probability of advancing to the Dell Technologies Championship, the BMW Championship, the TOUR Championship, and finally, of being crowned the 2017 FedExCup Champion. Additionally, we provide predictions for this week’s event at Glen Oaks Club. Let’s get right to the predictions. (For those interested, details on our model are provided after the tables). We have taken into account those players who have publicly stated their intentions to not play in certain Playoff events. Here are the relevant probabilities for the 30 players with the highest probability of winning the 2017 FedExCup: The results are pretty interesting. First, the top 3 players (Hideki Matsuyama, Dustin Johnson, and Jordan Spieth) capture the lion’s share of the win probability for the FedExCup (52.1 percent!). This is really high; for context, at a major championship, the top 3 win probabilities would typically add up to about 14-17 percent. Second, while a player’s starting rank is clearly important, there are some players who are further down in the rankings that have fairly high win probabilities (Jason Day, Roryt McIlroy). This is mainly due to the fact that to win the FedExCup, you likely have to win an event along the way (and a player like McIlroy is more likely to do this than some of the players currently ranked above him in the FedExCup). Third, notice that the top 10 players in the current FedExCup rankings are guaranteed a spot in the TOUR Championship. Next, we highlight the players who are near the bubble for advancing to next week’s Dell Technologies Championship. Specifically, here are numbers 83 to 118 in the current FedExCup standings, ordered according to a player’s probability of advancing to next week: Notice that all players ranked 83rd or better in the current standings are guaranteed to advance to next week. According to our model, there are 10-12 spots that are really up for grabs (depending how much of a sure thing you feel 90 percent is). Finally, we have also predicted each player’s probability of winning, finishing in the top 5, finishing in the top 20, and making the cut at THE NORTHERN TRUST. Here are the 25 players with the highest win probabilities this week: To view the full interactive tables for the FedExCup Playoffs predictions, click here and for THE NORTHERN TRUST, click here. Now, a bit about our model and how we simulate a round of golf. If you understand how to simulate a single round, then it’s not a big step to understanding how we simulate the FedExCup. Keeping things as simple as possible, our statistical model can be thought of as proceeding in two steps. First, we assign each player an expected score, based off of various characteristics of the player. For example, two-year scoring average is one input, as is the player’s performance at his previous event (although the former is much more important than the latter). Second, to simulate a round of golf with our model, we add a mean-zero random term to each player’s expected score. So, while Rory McIlroy has a better expected score than most other players, in some simulations he will lose to players who have worse expected scores than him because he got a bad draw of his random term (or the other golfers got very good draws). Additionally, players who are more consistent are given less variation in their random term. We perform many simulations, and from these we can calculate the desired probabilities (ex: McIlroy’s win probability is defined as the fraction of simulations where he was the winner). The full details on our statistical model for predicting PGA TOUR events can be found here. Brothers Matt and Will Courchene grew up in a Canadian household full of golf fanatics. In 2016, they launched a DataGolf blog in hopes of contributing fresh and unbiased insights to the sport. Matt, a PhD student at the Vancouver School of Economics, focuses on applied econometrics and causal inference, while Will, who has a Masters of Economics from the University of Toronto, focuses on statistical modeling and data visualization.

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