Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Five stats to consider for the Masters Tournament

Five stats to consider for the Masters Tournament

AUGUSTA, Ga. – Statistics have an ever-expanding role on the PGA TOUR, but the Masters is one week when artistry and elegance are emphasized over analytics. The flora and fauna of this former nursery provide an unmatched beauty, while the slick putting surfaces and severe slopes of Alister Mackenzie’s design require players to exhibit a delicate touch. RELATED: Tee times | How to Watch | Expert Picks | Power Rankings | Pros talk hole-by-hole | Tiger’s equipment “I think one of the great things about this course is it forces you to be creative,â€� Rory McIlroy said in his pre-tournament press conference. “The massive, tall pines, the contrast between green grass and the white bunkers, the yellow flagsticks, there’s so many things to look at and be aware of. It paints a picture for you.â€� That doesn’t mean that the numbers should be ignored, though. So, on the eve of the Masters, here are five interesting statistics to consider. 1. Augusta National is known as a course that can produce large swings in scoring, especially on Sunday. The par-5s offer eagle opportunities while penalizing missteps. The sloping greens have swales that can funnel well-played shots toward hole locations while leaving difficult putts and chips for those on the wrong side of the ridges. To get a better look at where Masters champions distance themselves from the field, I looked at the Strokes Gained in the last 10 years by the players who have led the Masters after 72 holes (winners and playoff participants. That’s a total of 15 players and 60 rounds. The leaders were two holes – Nos. 3 and 14 — that are often overshadowed by some of their more famous brethren. “I wouldn’t have guessed 3 and 14, but it makes a lot of sense because those holes can be a tap-in 3 or a quick 5 or 6 if you hit it in the wrong spot,â€� said one longtime TOUR caddie. The third hole is the shortest par-4 on the course. One player, Tommy Fleetwood, even drove it last year. But large fairway bunkers protect the left side of the fairway and the left side of the green is protected by a deep swale. Many players use nothing more than a long-iron off the tee and have a wedge into the green, but the penalties can be severe if they don’t execute either shot. No. 14 is often overlooked because it sits between the second nine’s two famous par-5s. The 14th also is the only hole on the course without a bunker. There are multiple hole locations where players can use slopes to funnel their ball toward the hole, though. Players are left with a difficult putt or chip if they’re on the wrong side of the swale, though. As expected, the players who led the Masters after 72 holes did most of their damage on the second nine. Their play on those famous holes accounted for 55% of their Strokes Gained on the field. 2. Justin Rose is a popular pre-tournament pick, and for good reason. He’s finished second in two of the past four Masters. His worst finish in the last five Masters is T14. Rose’s strong iron play is one reason for his success. Good approach play is important at Augusta National, where trying to two-putt from certain portions of the putting surface is nearly impossible. Rose has finished second in greens hit in each of the past four Masters. He’s hit 213 of 288 greens hit in that span (75.7%). That’s 15 more than the second-best player on that list, Jordan Spieth. The field has hit 61% of greens during that span, which would equate to 176 greens hit over the last four years. That’s nearly 40 fewer than Rose. 3.  Rory McIlroy has played in 10 Masters. There’s been a stark contrast between the two halves of his Masters career. He didn’t have a top-10 in his first five starts at Augusta National, though he did hold the 54-hole lead in 2011. He was 8 over par in his first five Masters. He’s 23 under in the past five Masters and has finished in the top 10 all five times. The biggest difference has been his performance on Augusta National’s famed second nine. In his first five Masters, McIlroy gained a cumulative 0.4 strokes on the field. Of course, that includes his 43 on the second nine in 2011, when he lost 7.4 shots to the field. Even without that performance, his performance on the second nine in his first five Masters pales in comparison to his play there over the past five years. He’s gained 31.8 strokes on the second nine in the last five Masters. That’s accounted for 65% of his Strokes Gained over the previous five Masters. He’s 19 under par on the second nine in that span, compared to 4 under on the front. 4. The Official World Golf Ranking debuted right before the 1986 Masters. Jack Nicklaus was ranked 33rd in the world when he completed his historic victory at age 46. The average world ranking of Masters champions has been 15.3. Tony Finau, who finished 10th in his Masters debut last year after dislocating his ankle during the Par-3 Contest, is 15th in this week’s world ranking. The last three Masters champions have all ranked outside the top 10 in the world ranking. There have never been four consecutive Masters champions from outside the top 10. That may not be a good omen for Tiger Woods, who’s ranked 12th. That’s actually a higher position than when he arrived at Augusta National for the 1997 Masters. Despite winning three times in his first nine PGA TOUR starts as a pro, Woods was ranked 13th heading into his first Masters as a professional reason. 5. Francesco Molinari arrives at Augusta National after winning last month’s Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard and a third-place finish at the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play. He needed just 73 holes to win his first five matches at Austin Country Club. He’s one of the hottest players in the game. Molinari picked up his first major at last year’s Open Championship, then finished sixth at the PGA Championship. Molinari’s career year was spurred by improvement in two areas that are important at Augusta National, driving distance and putting. Molinari shot a career-best 286 at last year’s Masters en route to a T20 finish, just one off his highest finish at Augusta National. Molinari, long known as a short and straight hitter, gained about 20 yards last season. Molinari used Augusta National’s eighth hole to illustrate how his distance gain has paid off. Long hitters can carry the hazard to reach the green in two. Molinari had to aim away from the bunker, then lay up. “A couple days it was warm and a little down-breeze. I carried the bunker and I was able to hit 5-wood or 4-iron into the green,â€� he said. Molinari’s Strokes Gained: Putting has improved by more than a stroke last year. He was losing nearly a half-stroke per round on the greens last year. Now he’s picking up a little more than a half-stroke. He’s jumped from 182nd to 23rd in that statistic. Molinari’s improvement (+1.05 strokes per round) in that statistic is the largest this season. A former Masters champion, Adam Scott, has the second-largest jump (+0.97).

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Fantasy Insider: Vivint Houston OpenFantasy Insider: Vivint Houston Open

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This edition of the FI is as topical as ever to alert you that the email address for fantasy has changed since the last time I've mentioned it in any space. Should you ever have any issues with anything concerning FantasyGolf.PGATOUR.com, or wish to submit a comment, a complaint or ask a question about the game and/or the pages associated with it, please email [email protected]. PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf My roster for the Vivint Houston Open (in alphabetical order): Tony Finau Russell Henley Tyrrell Hatton Viktor Hovland Dustin Johnson Scottie Scheffler You'll find my starters in Expert Picks Others to consider for each category (in alphabetical order): Scoring: Wyndham Clark; Cameron Davis; Lanto Griffin; James Hahn; Sungjae Im; Denny McCarthy; Ollie Schniederjans; Adam Scott; Kevin Streelman Driving: Corey Conners; Cameron Davis; Dylan Frittelli; Sergio Garcia; Talor Gooch; James Hahn; Sungjae Im; Martin Laird; Doc Redman; Sepp Straka POWER RANKINGS WILD CARD Brooks Koepka ... Of course, right? His influence on Tom Doak and the redesign of Memorial Park is documented, but he's also wildly inconsistent. Part of that has been due to an attitude in non-majors, while another component has been the combination of injuries to his left knee and hip. The attention to all of that has pushed old concerns about a torn ligament in his right ankle and a partially torn tendon in his left wrist off the page. (You don't remember those maladies, do you?) Assuming he's healthy and focused, he should be in every Power Rankings, and there's nothing quantifiable that can dispute either consideration, but his relative value in DFS and the threat of a missed cut in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf are too high to warrant a sweeping endorsement. Therefore, he's a contrarian. DRAWS Ollie Schniederjans ... To say that he fulfilled his projection as a Draw in Bermuda would be understating the obvious. We all know that he'll be back on the PGA TOUR in due time, but now he's banked enough non-member FedExCup points (190) to consider a realistic pursuit of the non-member top 125 category in 2021-22 instead of a spot in the Korn Ferry Tour reshuffle. He'll remain a spot-starter in our world in the meantime, so DFSers are encouraged to make room fractionally in Houston. Corey Conners ... DFS special. The tee-to-green surgeon has rested since a T8 at Sherwood where he was a surprising 14th in Strokes Gained: Putting and T4 in par-5 scoring. (Reminder: Like Memorial Park, Sherwood has five par 5s.) Scott Piercy ... The sharpshooter has connected top 20s for the first time since play resumed. He's been a top-20 machine for years, so it wouldn't have been misleading to have made room for him in the Power Rankings. Alex Noren ... He comes as us like a reverse-splits reliever in Major League Baseball. The Swede does his best work around and on greens - I know, shocking considering his heritage - but he's so good that even an average week tee to green is enough to lift him into contention. With ball-striking the ticket at Memorial Park, and given that he arrives having cashed in eight consecutive starts, six of which for a top 25, he's poised to make noise. Brian Harman ... His blend of finding fairways and sinking putts has yielded 10 consecutive cuts made, six of which top 30s. Dylan Frittelli Sergio Garcia Sungjae Im Hideki Matsuyama Kevin Streelman FADES Brian Gay ... A good friend of mine told me that because my Fade for Gay at the Bermuda Championship was, in his word, "tepid," he played Gay fractionally in DFS. I didn't specify that the Fade was relative, but the acknowledgment that Gay was on my original short list for the Power Rankings was all he needed to benefit while ignoring everything else I shared. All of that is to say that there's nothing relative about this week's Fade. It's evident that Gay has a love affair for Port Royal - he placed T3 in its debut last year - and that he still has the game to prevail at this level, but sustaining it for more than one week no longer is reasonable. What's more, he's facing a deeper field on a longer track in Houston. Jason Day ... If it isn't already, your cue for when to plug him in is when Ben Everill rosters his fellow countryman in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Ben has twice this season - at the U.S. Open and the Shriners - but Day never got off the bench. Jordan Spieth ... Same old, same old until he presents a reason to reinvest. The value of ball-striking at Memorial Park is too great to roll the dice. This dynamic changes next week where he'll be able to spray it off the tee (within reason, of course) and lean on his putter and experience on the greens. Stay tuned. Francesco Molinari ... In his heyday, he'd be setting the tone for how to tackle a track like Memorial Park what with the value of ball-striking this week. However, this is just his second start of the last eight months due to a time-consuming relocation to California, and he's still reconnecting with his land legs. As he celebrates his 38th birthday this Sunday, he threads the rare needle of it being only and already 20 months since his last victory (Bay Hill). Hudson Swafford ... Had just the one good score in Bermuda - an opening-round 67 - and finished T63 due to continued struggles on the greens. Winning never is fluky, but his performance at Corales looks more and more like an anomaly over time. Justin Harding Adam Long Phil Mickelson Brandt Snedeker Jimmy Walker Danny Willett RETURNING TO COMPETITION Adam Scott ... Back in action since testing positive for COVID-19 ahead of the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP @ SHERWOOD. 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Greg Chalmers ... The 47-year-old lefty was a late scratch from the Shriners due to a sore neck and he hasn't competed since. He needs to be 100 percent, or as close to it as possible, because his next start is his last via a Major Medical Extension. To fulfill its terms, he needs no worse than a two-way T2 in Houston. Short of that, a solo fourth would secure conditional status for the remainder of the season. NOTABLE WDs Ian Poulter ... Opting for rest ahead of the Masters. He'll make the trip to Augusta National in outstanding form with a T5 in Scotland, a solo fifth at Wentworth and a T12 at Shadow Creek. K.J. Choi ... Remains committed to the Charles Schwab Championship. The 50-year-old who lives outside Houston remains fully exempt on the PGA TOUR via a career earnings exemption, but he doesn't carry any fantasy value at this level. POWER RANKINGS RECAP - BERMUDA CHAMPIONSHIP Power Ranking Golfer Result 1 Will Zalatoris T16 2 Kristoffer Ventura MC 3 Peter Malnati T21 4 Denny McCarthy T4 5 Emiliano Grillo T34 6 Harold Varner III MC 7 Charley Hoffman MC 8 Stewart Cink T4 9 Doc Redman T4 10 Henrik Norlander MC 11 Justin Suh MC 12 Wesley Bryan MC 13 Brendon Todd MC 14 Tyler McCumber MC 15 Aaron Wise T26 Wild Card Henrik Stenson WD SLEEPERS RECAP - BERMUDA CHAMPIONSHIP Golfer Result Rafael Campos MC David Hearn T8 Kramer Hickok T8 Rasmus Højgaard T37 Adam Schenk T26 BIRTHDAYS AMONG ACTIVE GOLFERS ON THE PGA TOUR November 3 ... none November 4 ... Kevin Streelman (42) November 5 ... Jim Herman (43); Bubba Watson (42) November 6 ... Scott Piercy (42) November 7 ... Maverick McNealy (25); Joaquin Niemann (22) November 8 ... Francesco Molinari (38) November 9 ... David Duval (49); Ted Potter, Jr. (37)

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