Featured Groups: BMW Championship

2019 3M Open, End of Round 2. Top 10 win probabilities: Bryson DeChambeau (1, -14, 42.4%) Adam Hadwin (2, -12, 12.2%) Scott Piercy (T3, -10, 5.7%) Hideki Matsuyama (T11, -8, 4.8%) Kevin Streelman (T7, -9, 3.7%) Sam Burns (T3, -10, 3.2%) Brian Harman (T3, -10, 2.9%) Tony Finau (T11, -8, 2.3%) Collin Morikawa (T11, -8, 1.8%) Charles Howell III (T11, -8, 1.7%) Strokes-gained leaders from Round 2: Putting: Joaquin Niemann + 3.21 Around-the-green: Daniel Berger +2.96 Approach: Stephan Jaeger +5.48 Off-the-tee: Sam Burns +2.24 Total: Bryson DeChambeau +7.44 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the 3M Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

Click here to read the full article…

Click here to read the full article…

Carlos Ortiz … Only he and Abraham Ancer represent Mexico with status on the PGA TOUR, but a total of seven natives of the host country for the Mayakoba Golf Classic are in this week’s field of 132. It includes Ortiz’ younger brother, Alvaro. Carlos is rested since a T4 at the Houston Open where he thrived on a fantastic short game. Three starts prior, he also finished T4 at the Sanderson Farms Championship where he excelled tee to green. This is his sixth appearance at El Camaleón. He debuted with a T9 in 2014 and owns a scoring average of 69.56 in 16 rounds. Ryan Armour … As a 43-year-old who never will be mistaken as a long hitter, it’d be a shame if he didn’t commit to the Mayakoba Golf Classic. He’s one of the most accurate off the tee on the PGA TOUR. Consider that in each of the last three completed seasons, he’s ranked either first or second in fairways hit and/or shortest distance from the edge of the fairway on drives that don’t find the shortest grass. A solo fourth as a rookie in the inaugural edition in 2007 was his first of four career top fives on TOUR. It was love at first sight. He also placed T21 last year and arrives for his fifth appearance with a T23 in Houston and a T8 in Bermuda in his most recent competitions. Brice Garnett … Sometimes, you want to be cliché. The 36-year-old not only does his best work tee to green, but he’s also proven how this formula works at Mayakoba time, and time, and time again. Since 2014, he’s 4-for-4 with three top 10s, a T25 and a scoring average of 67.81. After enduring a quiet first half of 2019, he found his gear in Detroit at the end of June. Since a T17 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, he’s gone for five top 25s among eight cuts made in 10 starts. It also cannot be ignored that he prevailed on paspalum at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship in 2018. Harold Varner III … The non-winner isn’t a veteran ball-striker, but neither were John Huh (2012) and Patton Kizzire (2017) when they prevailed for the first time on the PGA TOUR at El Camaleón Golf Club. Proper courses reward those who are willing and can adapt to the test. In three appearances, HV3 has a T5 (2015) and a T6 (2018). His scoring average in 10 rounds is 68.20. It’s a trend that’s expected to continue as he arrives in form. Since mid-July, he’s 9-for-9 with a trio of top-20s finishes. J.J. Spaun … Course-history buffs will label his inclusion on this page as lazy, while devotees of recent form will call their bluff. See, since his first appearance with a T28 as a rookie in 2016, he’s added a T14 and a T3, respectively. His scoring average in those 12 rounds is a sporty 67.75. However, he arrives having gone nine consecutive starts without posting a top 35 and only one top-45 finish (T36, Sanderson Farms). When he plays to his strength as a ball-striker, it’s rewarded here, but he’s yet to find the grip on the toolbox this season. So, however you come at him, he’s compelling. NOTE: Sleeper is a relative term, so Rob uses unofficial criteria to determine who qualifies. Each of the following usually is determined to be ineligible for this weekly staple: Winners of the tournament on the current host course; winners in the same season; recent major champions; top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking; recent participants of team competitions.

Click here to read the full article…