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Fantasy golf: What you need to know as golf resumes

Because there are numerous fantasy formats for short- and long-range investments, the implications of the rescheduled 2019-20 PGA TOUR season stretch far and wide. This primer focuses on everything that could impact your gaming. It’s a one-stop shop covering what’s happened since THE PLAYERS Championship was canceled in March. Every component is labeled, but don’t skim over any section because some attention crosses over. Links are provided throughout. Bookmark what you need if you already haven’t. If you have any questions, connect with me on Twitter and/or use the discussion space at the bottom of this page. MEMBERSHIP ELIGIBILITY In our world, this is the most important matter in the wake of the hiatus. A fair amount of what’s organized in this primer is broken down in further depth here, but that wasn’t written specifically with gamers in mind. Since non-DFS formats rely on playing time for extended planning, it’s imperative to understand how membership status has been affected. This is to say that it hasn’t. All current PGA TOUR members are guaranteed to retain membership for the entirety of 2020-21. Golfers not on medical extensions cannot be demoted. Furthermore, because the 2020 Korn Ferry Tour Finals was canceled, the only two ways that current non-members can become members in 2020-21 is by winning a PGA TOUR event or by finishing with at least as many equivalent FedExCup points as the golfer who finishes 125th in the 2020 FedExCup. The membership minimum of 15 starts has been eliminated in 2019-20 for internationals who qualify for the home-circuit exemption. In short, don’t sweat consideration of an international either as a keeper for 2020-21 or on Draft Day based on how many starts he totals this season. MEDICAL EXTENSIONS Golfers who had made at least one start in 2019-20 and hadn’t fulfilled their terms when the hiatus started were given the option to reset their medical extension. Of the 17 eligible, only Charl Schwartzel and Morgan Hoffmann elected not to reset. The full explanation of the options and terms for all golfers on medicals can be found here. With decisions made, golfers on medical extensions will be treated as usual. It’s possible that any can be demoted or lose PGA TOUR status entirely. RESCHEDULED REMAINDER OF 2019-20 Fourteen tournaments remain, the last three of which comprise the FedExCup Playoffs. The first seven (through the 3M Open on July 23-26) make up Segment 3 in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Although Segment 4 consists of only six events (sans the Barracuda Championship opposite the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational), strategy during that stretch still requires pause so that you can defend as a front-runner and zag as a chaser, particularly in the last two without a cut. The John Deere Classic has been canceled this year. It will return in 2021. In its place will be a new tournament sponsored by Workday with a field of 156 at Muirfield Village Golf Club on July 9-12. Muirfield Village will then host the 120-man Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide as originally scheduled the following week. FIELD SIZES In an effort to facilitate as much playing time as possible, three tournaments have increased their fields. Both the Charles Schwab Challenge (June 11-14) and the RBC Heritage (June 18-21) have reserved space for 144 golfers. That’s up from 120 and 132, respectively, and each retained its status as an invitational. Also, the Barracuda Championship (July 30-August 2) has expanded by 12 to accommodate 132 golfers. It’s a familiar size for that tournament, but all additional events were contracted to 120 golfers entering the 2019-20 season. OPEN QUALIFIERS Beginning with the Travelers Championship on June 25-28, six open qualifiers remain. The lineup includes the Workday event that has replaced the John Deere Classic, which annually also is an open. Refrain from referring to the open qualifiers as four-spotters, however. Only two openings in each of the tournaments proper will be reserved for the open qualifiers. Should any be considered not playable due to the pandemic, both spots will go to the next two TOUR members eligible for the field. PLAYOFFS Other than the one-week shift of all three events that includes the TOUR Championship starting on Friday, Sept. 4, and ending on Labor Day Monday, Sept. 7, the only change concerns FedExCup points awarded during the Playoffs. Instead of the customary quadrupling, points earned in the Playoffs will be tripled. Consider this when mapping out who you want where and when in One & Done situations. Fantasy.PGATOUR.COM no longer hosts One & Done gaming, but my solutions on how to address the new format for the TOUR Championship still apply. If however you modified your game in 2019 didn’t fulfill its intent or if you’ve yet to tackle it, you’ll find my ideas here. KORN FERRY TOUR GRADUATE RESHUFFLE At the start of the hiatus, three reorders hadn’t yet occurred. That has been trimmed to two for a total of four on the season. The third reorder is scheduled at the conclusion of the RBC Heritage on June 21. The last will take place at the conclusion of the new Workday event on July 12. For all things connected to this category, click here. How this category is prioritized at the beginning of the 2020-21 season is TBD as of this primer. ROOKIES One of the 21 rookies will win the Arnold Palmer Award as voted upon by eligible TOUR members. However, because there are no new members planned for 2020-21, it’s possible that next season will begin with zero rookies. At the conclusion of the hiatus, only Tom Lewis (five starts) hadn’t played more than seven times to exhaust his rookie eligibility and no non-members had achieved Special Temporary Membership [STM] en route to potentially qualifying as a rookie during the 2019-20 season. (With the equivalent of 188.133 FedExCup points, Erik van Rooyen has the most of all non-members.) The target for STM during the 2019-20 season remains the equivalent of 288.035 FedExCup points. The same target has been determined for the 2020-21 season. While the top 10 in Korn Ferry Tour points at the conclusion of the Korn Ferry Tour Championship presented by United Leasing & Finance on Aug. 27-30 will be granted exemptions into all additional events on the PGA TOUR in 2020-21, none will be a PGA TOUR member unless he’s already a former winner on the TOUR or if he wins three times on the KFT in the interim. QUALIFIERS The page dedicated to qualifiers into THE PLAYERS, the majors and the World Golf Championships has been updated for the resumption of the 2019-20 season. It’s also organized in a unique, temporary fashion to avoid confusion. Only the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open and the Masters remain in calendar-year 2020, but because the last two majors apply to the 2020-21 season with criteria that has carried over from 2019-20, all tournaments for which the qualifiers are eligible are listed in chronological order. Traditional formatting will return at the beginning of next season. OFFICIAL WORLD GOLF RANKING The last update on March 15 was used to trigger exemptions for the top 50 into the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and the 2020 Masters. Revised dates for additional entries this summer were determined for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude and the PGA Championship. The OWGR issued a release on June 3 stating that it would restart the ranking with the Charles Schwab Challenge. Because other tours will not resume at the same time, the fantasy value of international non-members who play abroad regularly and will appear on the PGA TOUR is a little higher for all gamers, especially for those in formats with eyes on non-members hovering around the top 50 in the OWGR and with seven majors, five WGCs and THE PLAYERS scheduled through the summer of 2021.

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Jeeno Thitikul+900
Nelly Korda+1000
Lydia Ko+1400
Jin Young Ko+2000
A Lim Kim+2200
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Haeran Ryu+2500
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Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry+350
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama+1100
J.T. Poston / Keith Mitchell+1800
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre+1800
Billy Horschel / Tom Hoge+2000
Aaron Rai / Sahith Theegala+2200
Ben Griffin / Andrew Novak+2200
Wyndham Clark / Taylor Moore+2200
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman+2500
Nicolai Hojgaard / Rasmus Hojgaard+2500
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Mitsubishi Electric Classic
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Steven Alker+700
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Padraig Harrington+800
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The Open 2025
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Monday Qualifiers: John Deere ClassicMonday Qualifiers: John Deere Classic

Kurt Slattery has dreamt for years about playing in the John Deere Classic. He realized his goal Monday in a manner that he likely never could have imagined. Slattery eagled the par-5 18th at Pinnacle Country Club to shoot 67 in Monday’s qualifier and get in a seven-man playoff for the final spot in his hometown TOUR event, which he earned by holing out from 44 yards to eagle the first extra hole. WATCH- The @JDCLASSIC “Magic” strikes early at the JDC Qualifier! Kurt Slatery’s story is simply awesome @clairp53 @andrewjlehman pic.twitter.com/ZGE7XCNjHG— Matt Randazzo (@MattRandazzo) July 11, 2017 “It’s a dream come true,â€� Slattery told WQAD. “When I was a kid, I would always picture myself getting in the John Deere Classic and trying to play against the best players in the world.â€� Slattery went to Rockridge High School, which is about 35 minutes from TPC Deere Run. He played college golf at Western Illinois and is now an assistant pro at the site of Monday’s qualifier, Pinnacle Country Club in Milan, Illinois. Slattery also gives lessons at TPC Deere Run. This was Slattery’s eighth consecutive trip to the tournament’s qualifier. “Standing on the 18th tee when I was 3 under par, I knew I had to make eagle to do it,â€� he told the Quad City Times. “And I did it. And to cap it off by holing out on the playoff was truly a dream come true. I’m in complete shockâ€� Three players shot 66 to share medalist honors in Monday’s qualifier, including former PGA TOUR member Cliff Kresge and new pro Sam Horsfield. Matt Lee, of Cave Creek, Arizona, also fired 66. Kresge, who posted two third-place finishes in seven PGA TOUR seasons, has made just one start since the end of the 2010 season. The 48-year-old made his last start on the Web.com Tour, where he is a three-time winner, in 2014. Horsfield, who turned pro this year after his sophomore season at the University of Florida, has missed the cut in two TOUR starts as a pro. The 20-year-old won the 2016 Phil Mickelson Award as the NCAA freshman of the year. Lee, 23, has missed the cut in three starts on PGA TOUR Latinoamerica in 2017. He completed his career at the University of Pacific in 2016. Former PGA TOUR winner Matt Bettencourt was among the seven players to take part in Monday’s playoff with Slattery, along with Justin Bryant, Steven Ihm, Sean McCarty, Jack Newman and Aron Price. 2016-17 Monday qualifiers Qualifiers: 75 Made cut: 22 (29.3%) Top-25s: 4 (5.3%) Top-10s: 0 Top finishes this season T11. Keith Mitchell, Valspar Championship T17. Oscar Fraustro, OHL Classic at Mayakoba T17. J.T. Poston, Genesis Open T23. Andres Gonzales, Shell Houston Open The Greenbrier Classic qualifiers T64. Dan Obremski, 69-70-71-71 MC. Y.E. Yang, 69-75 MC. Clayton Portz, 78-73 MC. Ryan Zylstra, 80-73

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Cut prediction: THE NORTHERN TRUSTCut prediction: THE NORTHERN TRUST

2021 THE NORTHERN TRUST, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +0.22 strokes per round Morning wave: +0.21 Afternoon wave: +0.23 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 71 players at 0 or better (T52) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. E: 40.6% 2. 1 under par: 32.4% 3. 1 over par: 15.7% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Jon Rahm (T1, -8, 45.6%) 2. Justin Thomas (T1, -8, 22.0%) 3. Patrick Cantlay (T10, -3, 2.6%) 4. Viktor Hovland (T10, -3, 2.6%) 5. Tony Finau (T4, -4, 2.4%) 6. Adam Scott (T4, -4, 2.2%) 7. Cameron Tringale (T4, -4, 1.4%) 8. Harold Varner III (3, -5, 1.3%) 9. Hideki Matsuyama (T15, -2, 1.2%) 10. Kevin Na (T4, -4, 1.1%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of THE NORTHERN TRUST, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Five stats to consider for the Masters TournamentFive stats to consider for the Masters Tournament

AUGUSTA, Ga. – Statistics have an ever-expanding role on the PGA TOUR, but the Masters is one week when artistry and elegance are emphasized over analytics. The flora and fauna of this former nursery provide an unmatched beauty, while the slick putting surfaces and severe slopes of Alister Mackenzie’s design require players to exhibit a delicate touch. RELATED: Tee times | How to Watch | Expert Picks | Power Rankings | Pros talk hole-by-hole | Tiger’s equipment “I think one of the great things about this course is it forces you to be creative,â€� Rory McIlroy said in his pre-tournament press conference. “The massive, tall pines, the contrast between green grass and the white bunkers, the yellow flagsticks, there’s so many things to look at and be aware of. It paints a picture for you.â€� That doesn’t mean that the numbers should be ignored, though. So, on the eve of the Masters, here are five interesting statistics to consider. 1. Augusta National is known as a course that can produce large swings in scoring, especially on Sunday. The par-5s offer eagle opportunities while penalizing missteps. The sloping greens have swales that can funnel well-played shots toward hole locations while leaving difficult putts and chips for those on the wrong side of the ridges. To get a better look at where Masters champions distance themselves from the field, I looked at the Strokes Gained in the last 10 years by the players who have led the Masters after 72 holes (winners and playoff participants. That’s a total of 15 players and 60 rounds. The leaders were two holes – Nos. 3 and 14 — that are often overshadowed by some of their more famous brethren. “I wouldn’t have guessed 3 and 14, but it makes a lot of sense because those holes can be a tap-in 3 or a quick 5 or 6 if you hit it in the wrong spot,â€� said one longtime TOUR caddie. The third hole is the shortest par-4 on the course. One player, Tommy Fleetwood, even drove it last year. But large fairway bunkers protect the left side of the fairway and the left side of the green is protected by a deep swale. Many players use nothing more than a long-iron off the tee and have a wedge into the green, but the penalties can be severe if they don’t execute either shot. No. 14 is often overlooked because it sits between the second nine’s two famous par-5s. The 14th also is the only hole on the course without a bunker. There are multiple hole locations where players can use slopes to funnel their ball toward the hole, though. Players are left with a difficult putt or chip if they’re on the wrong side of the swale, though. As expected, the players who led the Masters after 72 holes did most of their damage on the second nine. Their play on those famous holes accounted for 55% of their Strokes Gained on the field. 2. Justin Rose is a popular pre-tournament pick, and for good reason. He’s finished second in two of the past four Masters. His worst finish in the last five Masters is T14. Rose’s strong iron play is one reason for his success. Good approach play is important at Augusta National, where trying to two-putt from certain portions of the putting surface is nearly impossible. Rose has finished second in greens hit in each of the past four Masters. He’s hit 213 of 288 greens hit in that span (75.7%). That’s 15 more than the second-best player on that list, Jordan Spieth. The field has hit 61% of greens during that span, which would equate to 176 greens hit over the last four years. That’s nearly 40 fewer than Rose. 3.  Rory McIlroy has played in 10 Masters. There’s been a stark contrast between the two halves of his Masters career. He didn’t have a top-10 in his first five starts at Augusta National, though he did hold the 54-hole lead in 2011. He was 8 over par in his first five Masters. He’s 23 under in the past five Masters and has finished in the top 10 all five times. The biggest difference has been his performance on Augusta National’s famed second nine. In his first five Masters, McIlroy gained a cumulative 0.4 strokes on the field. Of course, that includes his 43 on the second nine in 2011, when he lost 7.4 shots to the field. Even without that performance, his performance on the second nine in his first five Masters pales in comparison to his play there over the past five years. He’s gained 31.8 strokes on the second nine in the last five Masters. That’s accounted for 65% of his Strokes Gained over the previous five Masters. He’s 19 under par on the second nine in that span, compared to 4 under on the front. 4. The Official World Golf Ranking debuted right before the 1986 Masters. Jack Nicklaus was ranked 33rd in the world when he completed his historic victory at age 46. The average world ranking of Masters champions has been 15.3. Tony Finau, who finished 10th in his Masters debut last year after dislocating his ankle during the Par-3 Contest, is 15th in this week’s world ranking. The last three Masters champions have all ranked outside the top 10 in the world ranking. There have never been four consecutive Masters champions from outside the top 10. That may not be a good omen for Tiger Woods, who’s ranked 12th. That’s actually a higher position than when he arrived at Augusta National for the 1997 Masters. Despite winning three times in his first nine PGA TOUR starts as a pro, Woods was ranked 13th heading into his first Masters as a professional reason. 5. Francesco Molinari arrives at Augusta National after winning last month’s Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard and a third-place finish at the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play. He needed just 73 holes to win his first five matches at Austin Country Club. He’s one of the hottest players in the game. Molinari picked up his first major at last year’s Open Championship, then finished sixth at the PGA Championship. Molinari’s career year was spurred by improvement in two areas that are important at Augusta National, driving distance and putting. Molinari shot a career-best 286 at last year’s Masters en route to a T20 finish, just one off his highest finish at Augusta National. Molinari, long known as a short and straight hitter, gained about 20 yards last season. Molinari used Augusta National’s eighth hole to illustrate how his distance gain has paid off. Long hitters can carry the hazard to reach the green in two. Molinari had to aim away from the bunker, then lay up. “A couple days it was warm and a little down-breeze. I carried the bunker and I was able to hit 5-wood or 4-iron into the green,â€� he said. Molinari’s Strokes Gained: Putting has improved by more than a stroke last year. He was losing nearly a half-stroke per round on the greens last year. Now he’s picking up a little more than a half-stroke. He’s jumped from 182nd to 23rd in that statistic. Molinari’s improvement (+1.05 strokes per round) in that statistic is the largest this season. A former Masters champion, Adam Scott, has the second-largest jump (+0.97).

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