Expert Picks: WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

OVERVIEW Normally it might be hard to summon an encore performance in the season after winning a major, but reigning Masters champion Patrick Reed has never had a problem with motivation and will likely have no trouble pinpointing where he can improve in 2019. Reed’s tee-to-green play, so good as he copped his first major at Augusta National Golf Club, is still a work in progress. That’s a strange thing to say for a guy who has won in every season but one since he joined the PGA TOUR in 2013, but Reed, 28, is a player whose otherworldly short game, much more than his long game, has made him a star. Just check his Strokes Gained stats from last season: 107th in Off-the-Tee, 84th in Approach-the-Green, and 2nd in Around-the-Green. Far from an aberration, those numbers are emblematic of his whole career, and explain why he is occasionally prone to wild fluctuations from one round to the next. In late October, Reed finished T7 at the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions, with a 64-72-70-77 scoring line. It was his only start so far in the 2018-19 season, so don’t read too much into it, but it wasn’t the first time he’s gone so cold, so fast. He struggled on a tight Ryder Cup course, and the week before that finished near the bottom at the TOUR Championship. Should Reed find a way to eliminate those stretches of bad golf in 2019, look out. — By Cameron Morfit Click here to see who else made the Top 30 list. BY THE NUMBERS FEDEXCUP UPDATE Current 2018-19 position: 82nd Playoff appearances: 6 TOUR Championship appearances: 5 Best result: 3rd in the 2015-16 season SHOTLINK FUN FACT Patrick Reed ranked second on the PGA TOUR in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green last season and ranked 11th in Scrambling — career-best performances in both categories. INSIDER INSIGHTS PGATOUR.COM’s Insiders offer their expert views on what to expect from Patrick Reed in 2019. TOUR INSIDER: From the Presidents Cup (one appearance, 2017) to the Ryder Cup (three appearances), Reed is one of the most exciting, and excitable, players in the game. Other than perhaps the most recent Ryder Cup, when he returned to form only for his singles win over Tyrrell Hatton (3 and 2), he’s the catalyst U.S. teams had been missing for years. How ironic, then, that the thing that would help him most is playing more boring golf. Fairways. Greens. — By Cameron Morfit FANTASY INSIDER: It doesn’t seem like it’s been already seven seasons since he was identified only as a prodigious open qualifier. Yet, the 2018 Master champ already is 54th in all-time earnings on the PGA TOUR. If there’s a rub, it’s that he should be even higher as he’s been even odds either to record a top 25 or to finish outside that bubble since 2016-17. The thing is, he loves to travel and compete, so that resonates in our world. While we do share some of him with the European Tour (where he finished No. 2 in the 2018 Race to Dubai), it’s a formula that works for him and us. Won’t turn 29 until the 2019 FedExCup Playoffs, during which he’ll be chasing his sixth consecutive trip to the TOUR Championship. — By Rob Bolton EQUIPMENT INSIDER: Reed started the sweeping trend of 2018 major championship winners to play without equipment contracts. The former Nike staffer actually still has a remnant of his former sponsor by way of a Nike VR Pro Limited Edition 3 wood. In the beginning of 2018, Reed was testing a number of different drivers, eventually settling in with a Ping G400 LST driver that he used to win the Masters, and he’s still currently gaming it. In the equipment world, Reed is also known for his USA-flag-inspired Odyssey White Hot Pro 3 putter, but he’s since switched into a custom Scotty Cameron… with red-white-and-blue dots, obviously, because he’s “Captain America.â€� — By Andrew Tursky STYLE INSIDER: Reed’s move to Nike has resulted in better fits and more adventurous looks. Case in point, he ditched the traditional Sunday red at the Masters in favor of an energetic azalea pink as he slipped on the Green Jacket. Recently, he has been sporting trendy tonal camos in a variety of colors. Hopefully, he will continue to push his style comfort and continue to sharpen the fit of his clothing in 2019. — By Greg Monteforte

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Both of this week’s tournaments are treated with stand-alone columns for PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO. Look for the edition for the Barracuda Championship on the FANTASY page. Also, if you play PGA TOUR Champions One & Done presented by SERVPRO, the 3M Championship begins Friday. Review the notables at the bottom of the page to assist you in determining your pick. With the conclusion of the season on the horizon, it’s that time of the year when gamers express gratitude for how my insight and analysis have assisted in success to date. You’re always welcome, but hang on for just a minute. Before we hug it out, there’s a not-so-insignificant task of actually breaking the tape. Many in pursuit of you are exactly where they expected to be entering the PGA Championship. Playing from behind can be a better mental motivator in reality because all fantasy gamers should prefer front-running, but in a One & Done, all that matters is the aggregate result. Too many of you who have reached out citing a contending position in earnings-based formats are essentially out of chalk. You’re hoping to hang on, but you know you’re gasping for air despite whatever margin you’re maintaining. Meanwhile, many of us plugged into PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO have end-weighted our master plan with powerhouses in the FedExCup Playoffs, myself included. The only problem with it is that Jason Day, who I have penciled in for the BMW Championship, isn’t guaranteed to get to Conway Farms. At least not yet. He’s 52nd in the FedExCup standings entering the PGA Championship; the top 70 after the Dell Technologies Championship advance. And even if he does, the Aussie hasn’t been performing well enough consistently to warrant selection for contending gamers. J-Wall has already burned Rory McIlroy, who I have slotted for TPC Boston. It’s tempting to exhaust the surging 28-year-old from Northern Ireland, but since FedExCup points are basically quadrupled in the Playoffs, I’m within striking distance right now and I can wait him out unchallenged, patience is the play at the PGA. The winner at Quail Hollow will earn 600 points. Compare that to a three-way T3 in the Playoffs worth 580 and the decision is easy. However, if you use earnings, consider yourself hurtled into McIlroy. Hideki Matsuyama, who J-Wall selected, is No. 1 in my Power Rankings, but McIlroy is really a 1a instead of No. 2. Both are premium picks this late. As I consider potential relief for Day, the 2015 BMW champion at Conway Farms, which also hosted in 2013, Zach Johnson (2013 champ) and Daniel Berger (2015 runner-up) are in my crosshairs. Both are still on my board and both are worthy of consideration at Quail Hollow. In fact, ZJ is No. 4 in my Power Rankings, but because Conway Farms is some 400 yards shorter, and Quail Hollow boasts Bermudagrass greens, I’m going to attempt to strike while Berger’s irons are hot. Since every gamer’s situation is unique, my perfect world would involve tackling yours one-on-one as I often do on Twitter, email and in discussion threads, but we settle for broad-stroke endorsements at worst. This is to say that if any of these additional options are still available to you in either method of measuring performance, give him a long look for the PGA: Paul Casey, Kevin Chappell, Tony Finau, Rickie Fowler, Charley Hoffman, Brooks Koepka, Charl Schwartzel, Adam Scott, Webb Simpson, Henrik Stenson. Non-members aren’t eligible for the Playoffs, so this is probably your last opportunity to use Thomas Pieters, who is No. 6 in the Power Rankings. If you’re currently contending, here are the guys I’d advise holstering for usage in the Playoffs: Dustin Johnson, Zach Johnson, Matt Kuchar, Jordan Spieth. I’ve omitted advice for two-man gamers the last two weeks because of the depth of the fields at Firestone at Quail Hollow, but that subsection will return for next week’s Wyndham Championship. FUTURE POSSIBILITIES NOTE: Select golfers committed to the tournament are listed alphabetically. Future tournaments are sorted chronologically and reflect previous success on the courses on which the tournaments will be held in 2016-17. All are pending golfer commitment. Daniel Berger … BMW Keegan Bradley … Dell Technologies Paul Casey … TOUR Championship Kevin Chappell … Dell Technologies Jason Day … PGA Championship; Dell Technologies; BMW; TOUR Championship Luke Donald … Wyndham; BMW; TOUR Championship Jason Dufner … TOUR Championship Rickie Fowler … BMW Jim Furyk … BMW; TOUR Championship Sergio Garcia … TOUR Championship Branden Grace … PGA Championship Bill Haas … Wyndham J.B. Holmes … BMW Billy Horschel … TOUR Championship Dustin Johnson … BMW; TOUR Championship Zach Johnson … BMW; TOUR Championship Kevin Kisner … Wyndham Russell Knox … Dell Technologies Brooks Koepka … PGA Championship Hideki Matsuyama … PGA Championship; BMW Graeme McDowell … Wyndham William McGirt … Wyndham Rory McIlroy … PGA Championship; Dell Technologies (defending); BMW; TOUR Championship (defending) Phil Mickelson … PGA Championship Ryan Moore … TOUR Championship Kevin Na … Wyndham Louis Oosthuizen … Dell Technologies Patrick Reed … Wyndham; Dell Technologies Justin Rose … PGA Championship; TOUR Championship Charl Schwartzel … BMW Adam Scott … Dell Technologies; TOUR Championship Webb Simpson … Wyndham Jordan Spieth … PGA Championship; TOUR Championship Henrik Stenson … PGA Championship; Dell Technologies; TOUR Championship Jimmy Walker … PGA Championship (defending); Dell Technologies Bubba Watson … TOUR Championship Gary Woodland … PGA Championship; Dell Technologies; TOUR Championship

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