Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Expert Picks: U.S. Open

Expert Picks: U.S. Open

How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated after each round. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. The first fantasy golf game to utilize live ShotLink data, PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf allows you to see scores update live during competition. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year’s U.S. Open in this week’s edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Watch, Qualifiers and Reshuffle. THINK YOU’RE BETTER THAN OUR EXPERTS? The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. Joining the league is simple. Just click here to sign up or log in. Once you create your team, click the “Leagues” tab and search for “PGA TOUR Experts.” After that? Pick your players and start talking smack. Want to represent the fans against our experts? SEASON SEGMENT

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Brooks Koepka+700
Justin Thomas+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Justin Thomas+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
Click here for more...
US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Viktor Hovland+2000
Justin Thomas+2500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Quick look at THE NORTHERN TRUSTQuick look at THE NORTHERN TRUST

THE OVERVIEW PARAMUS, N.J. – Justin Thomas hoped to be asleep by 8:15 p.m. Wednesday night in advance of the start of THE NORTHERN TRUST at Ridgewood Country Club, which kicks off the PGA TOUR’s postseason. With an unprecedented second straight FedExCup title well within his grasp going into the TOUR’s four-tournament, five-week Playoffs, he won’t lack for something to dream about. Hint: It’s shiny, silver, and has two handles. “I understand how important these Playoffs are,â€� said Thomas, who is just 83 points behind FedExCup No. 1 Dustin Johnson and vying to become the first player to successfully defend the FedExCup since its 2007 inception. How important are they? Perhaps historically so, in his case. “It would be an honor,â€� he said of the prospect of going back-to-back. “And anytime you can do something that nobody else has done before, it’s huge. But there’s a lot of great players and a lot of players that are playing really well that have just as good a chance as I do. “I just need to worry about myself and try to get myself in position come Atlanta,â€� he added, “and from there we’ll see what we can do.â€� For Thomas and others, the Playoffs come down to keeping momentum and conserving energy. With high-pressure tournaments on tap in the New York area, Boston (Dell Technologies Championship), Philadelphia (BMW Championship) and Atlanta (TOUR Championship), which player comes out on top will depend on who positions himself to peak at just the right time. To that end, Thomas is all about early bedtimes and other energy-saving techniques. Last week he flew to Chicago to spend time with his girlfriend and go to a Cubs game, then went to New York and appeared on the Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon. He didn’t want to play golf, and so he didn’t touch the clubs until last Friday, when he played 27 holes.   “At this point in the year,â€� he said, “it’s so important to be rested.â€� When we last saw Thomas in competition, he was making a title defense of another sort at the PGA Championship in St. Louis. He ran out of magic on the back nine, bogeying two of his last five holes to finish T6. Since then, he has been marshalling his energy for a big Playoffs push, and he is well aware of how nicely the stars have aligned. First and most crucially, he’s hot. He won the World Golf Championships-Bridgestone Invitational on Aug. 5, his first TOUR win in the presence of his paternal grandparents, who had driven from nearby Columbus, Ohio. And he was one of four players (Thomas, Adam Scott, Tiger Woods, winner Brooks Koepka) who had a realistic shot at winning the PGA at Bellerive. This week brings some uncertainty, as THE NORTHERN TRUST moves back to Ridgewood for the first time since 2014, which was before Thomas had established himself on TOUR. He didn’t play; Hunter Mahan won. Now 25, Thomas is a draw on late-night TV and a legitimate threat to win anywhere. His first week of the 2018 FedExCup Playoffs began Monday with a golf day for a sponsor in which, Thomas said, “I hit 145-yard 9-irons for 24 groups.â€� He smiled. “Hopefully I’ll have that yardage dialed in this week.â€� He spent a lot of time on Ridgewood’s practice green and in the short-game area Tuesday, working with his father/coach, Mike, and coach Matt Killen. “It’s been low-key and just trying to get rest, more than anything,â€� Thomas said. The FedExCup top five consist of Dustin Johnson, for whom winning the whole thing is still on his to-do list; Thomas; Koepka; Justin Rose; and Bubba Watson. “Yeah, 83 points in the Playoffs is not a big lead,â€� Johnson said. And yeah, Thomas is taking it seriously. He said Wednesday that it still irks him that he didn’t win the PGA two weeks ago, that he barely missed out on advancing to the TOUR Championship at East Lake in 2015, and that he “totally choked the U.S. Kids when I was 8 years old.â€� Several people laughed; Thomas did not. “I’m dead serious,â€� he said. “I lost in a playoff.â€� Thomas, whose father, Mike, was caddying for him, even remembered the name of the kid who beat him that day at Jekyll Island (although he couldn’t pronounce it). It was a big moment. Unforgettable. So is this. The Playoffs are here, and for Thomas, especially, history hangs in the balance. THREE PLAYERS TO PONDER Dustin Johnson Just three of the 11 FedExCup champs entered the Playoffs ranked No. 1 – and Tiger did it twice (Spieth the other time). Brooks Koepka Lots of discussion on whether he’s already wrapped up Player of the Year honors. A FedExCup title would make it clear-cut. Tiger Woods Wasn’t sure if anybody noticed, but he’s making his first Playoffs appearance in five years. THE FLYOVER The par-3 15th is 155 yards, the shortest hole at Ridgewood and one of the shortest on the PGA TOUR. In fact, of the 188 par 3s previously played this season, just nine are of shortest distance. Four years ago, it played to a stroke average of 2.819, but it’s not necessarily a pushover. Bunkers surround almost all of the green, and players will be hard-pressed to scramble for par on the undulating putting surface. LANDING ZONE When Ridgewood last hosted a PGA TOUR event in 2014, this 291-yard drivable par 4 was on the front side (specifically, the fifth hole). But with the re-routing, it will now provide some fireworks on the back nine as the 12th hole, giving players another eagle opportunity down the stretch (along with the par-5 13th and 17th holes). It doesn’t sound like FedExCup points leader Dustin Johnson will try to drive the green, though. “Today I went for it but probably during the tournament I’m not going to,â€� he said after his Wednesday practice round. “There’s nowhere good to hit it except on the green. And it’s not very easy — that green’s not very big. So I’ll probably lay up most of the day.â€� In 2014, it played to a stroke average of 3.778, with five eagles and 133 birdies. Here’s a look at where all tee shots landed in 2014 when it was the fifth hole. WEATHER CHECK From PGA TOUR meteorologist Stewart Williams: “Showers and thunderstorms will be likely Wednesday around daybreak before lifting north. A lull in the precipitation will be likely for several hours before additional showers and isolated t-storms redevelop just ahead of the cold front Wednesday afternoon. Finally, drier conditions return late in the day as the front moves away to the east. High pressure will provide dry and less humid conditions Friday and Saturday with before warmer temperatures return on the weekend.â€� For the latest weather news from Paramus, New Jersey, check out PGATOUR.COM’s Weather Hub. SOUND CHECK I think the FedExCup has become a really big part of the PGA TOUR and it’s going to continue to just get bigger. It’s something that I really want to win. BY THE NUMBERS 2,000 – FedExCup points awarded to the winner of each Playoffs event. That’s four times more than the standard regular-season event. 22 – First-time participants in the FedExCup Playoffs this season. Tommy Fleetwood is the highest-ranked first-timer at No. 23 in FedExCup points. 8 – Rookies who made the FedExCup Playoffs this season – Aaron Wise, Austin Cook, Keith Mitchell, Satoshi Kodaira, Peter Uihlein, Brandon Harkins, Tyler Duncan and Sam Ryder. 529 – The projected number of FedExCup points needed to advance to next week’s Dell Technologies Championship. Currently, 93 players are above that total, with the top 100 in points advancing to TPC Boston. Click here for this week’s Scenarios. SCATTERSHOTS The average age of the FedExCup field is significantly younger than when the Playoffs format first started in 2007. That year, the average age of the participants was 34.67. This year, the average age is 32.22, with 47 of the 125 qualifiers in their 20s (61 are in their 30s; 17 are in their 40s). Ten players have qualified for the Playoffs in each of the first 12 seasons: Justin Rose, Bubba Watson, Phil Mickelson, Brandt Snedeker, Charles Howell III, Zach Johnson, Ryan Moore, Matt Kuchar, Adam Scott and Charley Hoffman. Rose is the highest-ranked player among the 10, currently residing at No. 4 in FedExCup points. Dustin Johnson has been the FedExCup points leader for the last 10 weeks. Since the start of the 2016-17 season, he has led for a total of 28 weeks, most of any player. Justin Thomas ranks second with 23 weeks at the top – including, of course, the final week of last season when he won the FedExCup. Justin Rose is the only player on the PGA TOUR who has made more than 80 percent of his attempted putts from 4-8 feet (109 of 136 for 80.15 percent). This season, Rose ranks sixth in Strokes Gained: Putting after ranking 123rd in that category last season. Bubba Watson has played 38 career rounds in THE NORTHERN TRUST, and 33 of those rounds have been at par or better. All 12 of his rounds at Ridgewood Country Club have been at par or better. Watson, who has won three times this season, is looking for his first tournament win in the FedExCup Playoffs. WHERE TO PLAY For those visiting the area, must-play courses include Pelham Bay GC (Bronx, N.Y.), The Golf Club at Mansion Ridge (Monroe, N.Y.) and Galloping Hill GC (Kenilworth, N.J.). Book your reservations via www.teeoff.com. United Airlines’ shared purpose is to help unite the world by connecting people to moments that matter most. The company’s partnership with Special Olympics helps corporate partners connect people with intellectual disabilities to the broader communities they serve. For more information, click here.

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FedExCup update: Will Flores do it again?FedExCup update: Will Flores do it again?

GREENSBORO, N.C. – Martin Flores would prefer not having his back against the wall. But it seems to bring out the best of him, especially at the Wyndham Championship. A year ago, he entered Wyndham ranked 139th in FedExCup points but made the Playoffs thanks to an ace and a birdie down the stretch on Sunday. He began this week in even more of a precarious spot, ranked 162nd in points, which means he’ll likely need a solo third place or better in order to again bust the Top 125 bubble and retain his TOUR card for another season. FEDEXCUP: Latest projected standings | This week’s scenarios He took a big step Thursday with a 6-under 64, his lowest score in 83 rounds this season. It’s the same score he shot in last year’s opening round at Sedgefield and has left him tied for fourth. Asked if he feels comfortable in these do-or-die situations, Flores said: “I don’t really like it, but I seem to perform well when that is the case. I definitely have unfortunately made a small habit of it of late. I would like to change that, for sure.â€� Flores needed to finish inside the top 10 a year ago. That opening 64 left him tied for 10th but he had fallen to T-23 entering the last round. He was still outside the Playoff cutline going into the final three holes. He then aced the par-3 16th and birdied the 18th to finish with a 63, moving him into a tie for seventh and 118th in the FedExCup standings – good enough to make the Playoffs for the fourth time in his career. “I can draw a lot of positives from last year,â€� Flores said. “This is definitely not the situation you want to be in. You cannot come here and expect to do that every time.â€� It hasn’t been a productive season for the Texan, whose best finish is a T-13 in March at the Corales Puntacana Championship. But he started working last week with Dallas-based coach Josh Gregory, who altered his putting grip and set-up. Flores also changed putters. On Thursday, he rolled in 160 feet of putts, ranking first in the field in strokes gained: putting. He had entered the week ranked T-184 in that category. “I really felt like I couldn’t putt any worse, to be honest,â€� Flores said. “It was time for something different.â€� PROJECTION AFTER 59: Brandt Snedeker’s 59 on Thursday not only gave him a four-shot lead after the first round, it moved him up significantly in the projected FedExCup standings. The 2012 FedExCup champ is projected to finish 30th in points after starting the week in 80th. Only the top 30 after the third Playoffs event, the BMW Championship, will have a shot to win the FedExCup at the TOUR Championship. PERFECT STREAKERS: Sergio Garcia and Bill Haas entered this week outside the top 125 and in danger of missing the Playoffs for the first time in the FedExCup era. Garcia (131st) opened with a 66 while Haas (150th) shot a 69. Both remain projected outside the 125. Garcia said he wasn’t aware of his perfect attendance record in the Playoffs. “I’ve never been a big fan of records,â€� he said. Garcia’s playing for the fifth straight week and has missed the cut in three of his previous four starts. “We’ll see what happens,â€� he said. “If I play well, great. If I don’t, it’s also good because I’ll get to rest. … It’s a lot of golf – and at the age that I am, even more.â€� BUBBLE BOY UPDATE: Tyrone Van Aswegen is No. 125 in points and likely needs to finish 45th or better to make the Playoffs. He opened Thursday with a 2-under 68 that included a double bogey and is currently projected to fall outside the 125. “I’ve got to do something fairly well this week in order to keep my card,â€� the South African said. “I can’t just coast and I can’t miss the cut.â€� PROJECTED IN/OUT Here are the players who are projected to move in and out of the top 125 after Thursday’s first round at Sedgefield. PROJECTED IN Corey Conners (128 to projected 122) – The rookie shot a 5-under 65, with four birdies in his last six holes. Nick Taylor (129 to projected 123) – Taylor – who, like Conners, is Canadian – also shot a 5-under 65, fueled by a string of four straight birdies on his back nine. PROJECTED OUT Martin Piller (124 to projected 126) – Piller shot an even-par 70. Tyrone Van Aswegen (125 to projected 127) – The South African shot a 2-under 68.

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Win probabilities: Farmers Insurance OpenWin probabilities: Farmers Insurance Open

2020 Farmers Insurance Open, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: Ryan Palmer (1, -10, 21.8%) Jon Rahm (T12, -5, 10.0%) Brandt Snedeker (2, -8, 9.2%) Rory McIlroy (T17, -4, 8.1%) Patrick Reed (T7, -6, 7.3%) Jhonattan Vegas (T3, -7, 3.8%) Hideki Matsuyama (T17, -4, 3.5%) Tiger Woods (T17, -4, 3.2%) Collin Morikawa (T12, -5, 2.7%) J.B. Holmes (T3, -7, 2.2%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2 (South Course only): Putting: Kyle Stanley +4.0 Around the Green: Billy Horschel +2.6 Approach the Green: Harry Higgs +3.4 Off-the-tee: Cameron Champ +2.7 Total: Brandt Snedeker / Lucas Glover +5.9 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Sony Open in Hawaii, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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