2019 Farmers Insurance Open, end of Round 2: Round 2 course scoring averages: South Course (SC): +0.3 strokes per round North Course (NC): -1.7 Top 5 win probabilities: Justin Rose (1, -15): 58.3% Hideki Matsuyama (2, -12) : 11.7% Jon Rahm (T3, -10): 9.2% Billy Horschel (T3, -10): 3.4% Rory McIlroy (T9, -8): 2.3% Top 5 biggest movers on Friday (in terms of win probability): Justin Rose (+36.6%) Jon Rahm (-16.8%) Hideki Matsuyama (+8.8%) Tony Finau (-4.0%) Charles Howell III (-3.5%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Farmers Insurance Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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