Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Draws and Fades: Rocket Mortgage Classic

Draws and Fades: Rocket Mortgage Classic

The big news of the week is what we’ve been waiting for – an official adjustment. The release on June 9 stated how the PGA TOUR would respond to golfers who resigned (and will resign) membership and to those who were (and will be) suspended. On Tuesday of this week, the Eligibility Points List was released. It confirms that the top 125 who haven’t resigned membership and who haven’t been suspended will determine the fields for the FedExCup Playoffs and Korn Ferry Tour Finals. The list consists of all 235 golfers with greater than zero FedExCup Points through the 3M Open. It can be deduced that non-members are chasing the same targets for the non-member top 125 category (for fully exempt status in 2022-23) and the top 200 (to qualify for the KFT Finals). RELATED: Horses for Courses, Sleeper picks At times, for golfers who are on the bubbles, it will be important to cite both rankings. For example, PGA TOUR rookie Callum Tarren is 126th in the FedExCup, but he’s 118th on the Eligibility Points List and just under 25 points clear of Austin Smotherman, who is 126th (but 134th in the FedExCup). Please bear with the references as they will exist only until the fields are set in two weeks. They are intended to provide clarity and reliability for your considerations. POWER RANKINGS WILD CARD Denny McCarthy (+150 for a Top 20) … Shocked that I fielded zero complaints that he was omitted from the Power Rankings. With three top 10s in his last four starts, he presented as a no-brainer. It’d be a fair gripe. The primary reason I’m relatively cool is that his game always plays up on harder courses because his short game and putting are so strong. He landed as the Wild Card for the Travelers Championship when he projected for a personal-best finish. Alas, he missed that cut, thus fulfilling the tacit nod to how he usually don’t make noise on gettable tracks. Naturally, he then responded with a personal-best T6 at the John Deere Classic despite an even-par 71 in the finale. The narrative is that his game is evolving in front of our eyes and with success most of the time, but conservative investors would like another sample of it when scores are low before dipping more than one toe in. DRAWS Adam Scott (+140 for a Top 20) and (+200 for Top Australian) … With Cam Davis defending his title, and even though he’s No. 7 in the Power Rankings, investing in Scott as Top Australian for twice the kickback has merit. Quite a bit of what Davis is experiencing this week is fresh, so we can’t rule out that as a distraction regardless of his sturdy form upon arrival. Meanwhile, Scott recorded top 15s in his last two starts, both of which majors. He has six worldwide this year, and he’ll find Detroit GC to his liking in his debut. Matt Kuchar (+240 for a Top 20) … Another household name who is making his tournament debut, the 44-year-old is promised another deep run in the Playoffs. All told, it’s been a rock-solid season set up by hot starts. Currently second on TOUR in R1 scoring and first in fewest putts per round in R1. Also tops in one-putt percentage, Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and scrambling. He makes sense in every format. Joohyung Kim (+220 for a Top 20) … Nothing not to love about the 20-year-old from South Korea. Even though he qualified for an accepted Special Temporary Membership [STM], this default endorsement would be incomplete if it didn’t serve as a reminder that he’s ineligible for the FedExCup Playoffs unless he wins this week or next. For a comprehensive review of what STM yields, please read this. Wyndham Clark Mackenzie Hughes Alex Smalley Scott Stallings Callum Tarren Cameron Tringale Jhonattan Vegas Odds sourced on Tuesday, July 26th at 7 p.m. ET. For live odds visit betmgm FADES Webb Simpson … With only one top 15 in eight months(!), it shouldn’t have been a surprise to notice that he was excluded from the Power Rankings. That he’s 125th in the FedExCup and 117th in Eligibility Points is telling. Yes, the injured neck robbed him of a few starts early in 2022, but he hasn’t responded strongly. He presents solely as a contrarian this week. Regardless of the result, the best test will be next week’s Wyndham Championship where he’s the all-time earnings leader. Gary Woodland … When he cashes, that momentum tends to carry forward, so he’s a terrific candidate for live odds, but he’s traded too many missed cuts for too long to retain even average trust. He’s also 0-for-2 at the RMC. Brian Stuard … When we think of him, the very next thought often is this tournament. The Michigan native is a product of nearby Oakland University and he finished T5 in the inaugural edition in 2019, but he’s missed 10 consecutive cuts upon arrival. He also missed the cut here last year with a pair of 1-under 71s. Nothing beats home cookin’, but it doesn’t guarantee anything, either. Jason Day Harris English Russell Henley Charley Hoffman Si Woo Kim Patton Kizzire Luke List RETURNING TO COMPETITION Danny Lee … Third time’s a charm? Since withdrawing during the first round of the Travelers a month ago with an injured hip, he pulled out early from the Scottish and 3M. But he can afford not to push it. At 84th in the FedExCup, he’s been set for the Playoffs pretty much since early November after a T2-T7 surge. Because of his propensity to WD during tournaments and the uncertainty of his health in general, you’re advised to abstain in every format. NOTABLE WDs Emiliano Grillo … With a pair of co-runner-up finishes in July, he’s climbed from the top-150 bubble to 53rd in the FedExCup. Brendon Todd … The timing of his decision presents a good moment to reflect on his career resurgence. Currently 67th in the FedExCup and headed to his third consecutive Playoffs after a four-year downslide. The 37-year-old has remained a reliable contributor once again. RECAP – 3M OPEN POWER RANKINGS Power Ranking Golfer Result 1 Adam Svensson MC 2 Davis Riley MC 3 Cam Davis T16 4 Adam Hadwin T38 5 Maverick McNealy T49 6 Tony Finau Win 7 J.T. Poston T11 8 Sahith Theegala MC 9 Sungjae Im T2 10 Cameron Tringale MC 11 Chez Reavie T49 12 Joohyung Kim T26 13 Michael Thompson T26 14 Adam Long T16 15 Brendan Steele MC Wild Card Hideki Matsuyama WD SLEEPERS Golfer (Bet, if applicable) Result Dylan Frittelli (+260 for a Top 20) MC Nate Lashley (+333 for a Top 20) MC Michael Gligic T16 Cole Hammer MC Justin Lower MC GOLFBET Bet: Maverick McNealy (Top 10) – +280 Result: T49 BIRTHDAYS AMONG ACTIVE MEMBERS OF THE PGA TOUR July 26 … Tim Wilkinson (44) July 27 … Jordan Spieth (29) July 28 … Taylor Moore (29) July 29 … none July 30 … Justin Rose (42) July 31 … none August 1 … none

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The final round of the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational begins Sunday at TPC Southwind. Here’s everything you need to know to follow the action. Round 4 leaderboard Round 4 tee times HOW TO FOLLOW Television: Sunday, 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (CBS). PGA TOUR LIVE: Sunday, 9 a.m.-3 p.m. (Featured Groups), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (Featured Holes). Radio: Sunday, 2 p.m.-7 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.com/liveaudio). FEATURED GROUPS Jon Rahm, Matt Wallace Sunday: 9:25 a.m. ET Viktor Hovland, Victor Perez Sunday: 9:55 a.m. ET Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood Sunday: 10:45 a.m. ET MUST READS Todd’s incredible comeback could reach new heights at WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Koepka charges into contention Mickelson: ‘I’m starting to play well again’ Win probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Power Rankings Expert Picks CALL OF THE DAY

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Monday Finish: Five things from the MastersMonday Finish: Five things from the Masters

From an idol to an immortal. Hideki Matsuyama became the first male player from Japan to win a golf major championship, making him the toast of more than 126 million people – at least. You see, he’s not just big in Japan. Matsuyama has been a fixture on the PGA TOUR for nearly a decade as one of the “most talented to not win a major player”. Now he’s out of that conversation and into the history books thanks to his one-shot win at Augusta National. He moved to seventh in the FedExCup and 14th in the world rankings. Here are five stories you may have missed from a historic Masters. 1. Matsuyama the pride of a nation Hideki Matsuyama’s life will never be the same. He was already an absolute idol in Japan and now he will be inked in the annals of their sporting history for all time as the first male player to win a golf major. “He’s a bit like a Tiger Woods is to the rest of the world, Hideki in Japan. The crowds in Japan are fanatical,” Presidents Cup teammate Adam Scott said of his mate who now joins him in the exclusive champion’s club. “They love the game, and they love the superstars going over there. I remember I took the Green Jacket over there in ’13 when I went, and it was an incredible response I got, so I can only imagine what Hideki will experience.” We could go on and on here about how Matsuyama saw his lead of four shrink to one, get back to five, and then ultimately won by one again but it’s likely you’ve seen that. But what we have at PGATOUR.COM is a writer who has been on the Matsuyama beat since Matsuyama was a teenager playing amateur golf. Please, if you haven’t already, do yourself a favor and read Sean Martin’s account of a boy becoming a man, a man becoming a hero, and a hero becoming an immortal, all while staying his shy and reserved self. Hideki Matsuyama had finally won the tournament he’d dreamed about since he was a boy, the one that proved to him a decade ago that he could compete against the best players in the world. His victory speech from Augusta National’s practice green didn’t last much longer than his famously methodical backswing, though. Read the full story here. 2. You can’t forget the name Zalatoris TOUR fans are well aware of Will Zalatoris by now. The skinny California kid who seemingly just yesterday had no status anywhere and was ranked outside the top 2,000 has been wowing us for more than a year from the Korn Ferry Tour to his jump to Special Temporary Member status on the PGA TOUR. He gained some mainstream traction with a top-10 finish at the U.S. Open back in 2020, but on Sunday he entered the consciousness of many more sports fans with his runner-up finish at Augusta National. On debut. Remember the last guy to do that? Jordan Spieth. The following year he was a runaway winner. At the time we said it wouldn’t happen again for a generation. We can’t make that promise now. Sure Zalatoris hasn’t won on the TOUR yet, but that’s surely just a matter of time. He showed no signs of frayed nerves Sunday and you could make an argument that he didn’t lose the Masters, he just got beat. And that happens. From the start of 2020 he now has 16 top-10s on the KFT and TOUR (one a win on KFT) and has jumped to 27th in the world. Read a detailed account of his efforts here. 3. Spieth’s resurrection continues Jordan Spieth was unable to back up his drought-breaking Valero Texas Open win with a Masters triumph, but he sure looked like the player who went 2-1-2 in his first three starts there for most of the week. Ultimately Spieth was tied third at Augusta National after a few too many mistakes made a charge at the lead impossible, but from where he’s been the progression is beyond heartening. He hit more greens in regulation than anyone else in the field and made a small piece of history by being the first player in 85 Masters to birdie the tough 10th hole in all four rounds. “I wish that I had the control of my swing that I hope is coming or I think is coming soon because it would have made things a little easier this week, and I did strike the ball really well,” he said. “I hit a lot of fairways. I put myself in position to hit a lot of greens, and distance control is a strength of mine with iron play, and I did a good job of that. “So all in all, I’ve made a lot of good progress, but I feel like that road ahead is still significant for me.” Get the low down on the Texan here. 4. Another close call for Xander leaves question marks You won’t find many bigger fans of Xander Schauffele then yours truly. The guy can flat out play and early in his career had seemingly been as mentally strong as anyone I can recall at such a young age. When the fight came to Schauffele he was always ready for it. He hungered for it. And he was driven by the underdog status. The small man syndrome of proving he can cut it with the taller, stronger and even more recognized players. It saw him win the TOUR Championship in 2017 at 23, having already won The Greenbrier, and since add two more victories including a World Golf Championships. But since his last win at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2019, it’s been all about the near wins. Before Sunday I saw his three runner-up finishes this season with glass-half-full eyes. Yes, he was unable to close for a win but there was enough evidence to throw an argument against those trying to cut him down. But on Sunday at the Masters, after showing the trademark tenacity to make three birdies in a row, hustling Matsuyama into a critical error, he stood on the 16th tee with the tournament now swinging his way. He still trailed by two but had the tee box to the infamous Sunday pin where aces are not uncommon. He no doubt saw Marc Leishman come within a whisker of an ace in the group in front. A great shot and Matsuyama would have felt the weight of more than 100 million Japanese golf fans crushing him. A shot anyone on the green still might the same affect and have Matsuyama feel like he needed to take aim at the pin But Schauffele’s step-on-throat moment induced a shot that would come up short and end in a watery grave. A wild few minutes later and he was making the first triple bogey of his major championship career and his chance was gone. He went on to say he and his caddie Austin misjudged the wind. That happens. But it just felt like he was presented the moment and the moment got him. “I hit a perfect shot. I told Austin I flushed it, which makes it even worse. We can share the misery together. I’m chasing. If I had a lead, I would have bailed out right or tried to hit some sort of high left to right ball to the right,” he said. “That’s the hard part about winning out here. I think maybe I could try and hit a different shot there, maybe left to right instead of right to left, which I’m more comfortable with, and that’s definitely going to go in the memory bank.” But enough of the gloom talk. Us X fans and the man himself are no doubt feeling the hit this morning. But take heart in his positive words about moving forward. Remember Jordan Spieth was apparently done a few weeks ago and now he’s back. Xander was never gone. He’s here it’s just the door he’s knocking on has a few solid deadbolts on it. “If you look at my career, you could call it a big ball of scar tissue with a bunch of second places. I don’t look at it that way. I don’t think my team looks at it that way,” he said. “So I’ll sleep on it. I hit a good shot. I committed to it. It turned out bad. I’ll be able to sleep tonight. I might be tossing and turning, but I’ll be ok.” 5. DJ missed the cut but Jose Maria Olazabal made it and made us cry Jose Maria Olazabal, now 55 and a PGA TOUR Champions player, was full of emotion Friday when he made the weekend. It was the two-time Masters winner’s first cut made at Augusta National since 2014, coming 10 years after his friend and fellow champion Seve Ballesteros had passed on. He was wearing Seve’s blue and white colors, and the occasion certainly hit him, and all who saw him, hard. “It’s like winning the event,” he said with a laugh. “I think Seve would be happy. I miss not having him here for a big hug. I’m a little emotional. I have to say wholeheartedly that making the cut has been a primary goal in recent years. When you see the years going by and you don’t get it, it gets tough. “I know that making the cut is not such an extraordinary thing,” Olazabal added, “but I want to dedicate this accomplishment to him and all those people who have left us over the last year.” That list included Olazabal’s longtime manager, Sergio Gomez, who had been with him at Augusta National since 1985 but died last year. He tried to continue but began to cry. He wasn’t alone. For defending champion Dustin Johnson it was a week to forget as he missed the cut. So too did Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka in his return from knee surgery. “The three-putts killed me. You take all the three-putts away, I’m 1-under,” Johnson lamented after needing 64 putts through two rounds. Only four others managed more. “That was kind of the difference. My speed was awful. I just left it short from 10 feet there on the last hole. I just didn’t have a good beat on the speed the last two days.” COMCAST BUSINESS TOUR TOP 10

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