Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Dissecting the FedExCup chances of Rickie Fowler, Tommy Fleetwood and others

Dissecting the FedExCup chances of Rickie Fowler, Tommy Fleetwood and others

With the season’s final major championship right around the corner, only seven PGA TOUR events remain before the beginning of the lucrative FedExCup Playoffs. Several postseason stalwarts find themselves in precarious spots with less than two months to go in the Regular Season. As marquee names jockey for position down the stretch, Twenty First Group ran more than 10,000 simulations of how the rest of the PGA TOUR regular season would play out to project the likelihood of different points scenarios unfolding. The projection gives newly-minted major winner Jon Rahm the best chance at leading the FedExCup race entering THE NORTHERN TRUST (36.3%), with current FedExCup leader Patrick Cantlay right behind him (32.8%). RELATED LINKS: Twenty First Group | FedExCup standings The math says that currently, 100 of 125 spots in the standings are projected to be taken. The most intrigue lies with the remaining 20 percent of the spots still up for grabs. Here are some of the more interesting probabilities the mathematical projections unearthed: Rickie Fowler Current FedExCup position: 114 Probability of reaching Playoffs: 73.3% Strong finishes at the PGA Championship (T8) and the Memorial Tournament (T11) moved Fowler from outside the playoff picture to firmly inside the top 125. Twenty First Group probability models now have Fowler at a better than 73 percent chance to reach the FedExCup Playoffs. Fowler’s marked recent improvement can’t just be tied to one particular statistic. Entering the PGA Championship, he was averaging +0.22 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round, and -0.39 Strokes Gained: Putting per round. In his last four starts, he’s gaining more than half-a-stroke per round in both statistics. Fowler has qualified for the FedExCup Playoffs every full season he’s been on TOUR (since 2010). Chesson Hadley Current FedExCup position: 116 Probability of reaching Playoffs: 55.8% Hadley’s season is a perfect example of how one week can change the narrative of an entire season. The lanky TOUR veteran has missed 13 cuts in 21 starts entering this week’s John Deere Classic, but a runner-up finish at the Palmetto Championship in June has him in a great position to make the FedExCup Playoffs for the fifth time in his career. More than 42% of Hadley’s FedExCup points for the 2020-2021 PGA TOUR season came that week in South Carolina. With just a few events left, can he turn an up-and-down campaign into a spot in the Playoffs? Tommy Fleetwood Current FedExCup position: 125 Probability of reaching Playoffs: 71.1% The man currently in the final qualifying spot in the standings, Tommy Fleetwood, is not in that spot due to the nature of his global schedule. On the contrary, his 15 starts this season are his most entering the month of July in his PGA TOUR career. Currently, Twenty First Group has Fleetwood at about a 71% chance to reach the Playoffs. Fleetwood has just a single top-10 finish in a stroke play event this season, a far cry from the previous three PGA TOUR seasons, when he was tenth or better in 38% of his starts. Fleetwood has not been as proficient with his driver in 2021, ranking outside the top 150 in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Still, The Open Championship – where Fleetwood finished runner-up in 2019 – presents a great opportunity to accrue the points needed to lock up a playoff spot. Dylan Frittelli Current FedExCup position: 130 Probability of reaching Playoffs: 43.8% Sitting just outside the top 125 is this week’s defending champion, Dylan Frittelli. In his 2019 John Deere Classic victory, Frittelli was lights out on and around the greens, leading the field in scrambling percentage and ranking second in Strokes Gained: Putting. Those are two statistics Frittelli has struggled with in 2021, as he’s ranked 114th in scrambling percentage and 186th in putting. After seven missed cuts in his last nine starts, the friendly confines of Sylvis, Illinois, might be just what the South African needs to right the ship. Charles Howell III Current FedExCup position: 131 Probability of reaching Playoffs: 55.1% He is one of just nine players to qualify for the FedExCup Playoffs every season since its inception in 2007, but Charles Howell III has some work to do in the coming weeks if he wants to make it 15-for-15. This week’s John Deere Classic would be a good place to start a resurgence – he finished tied for sixth here in 2019 and has eight top-25 finishes in twelve previous career starts. Howell’s approach play, in particular, has betrayed him a bit this season, as he is on pace for a career-low finish in Strokes Gained: Approach (currently ranks 194th on TOUR). TPC Deere Run could be a place that turns around, through: In his last 16 rounds played at the John Deere Classic, he’s gained a strong four-tenths of a stroke on approach shots per round.

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Turkish Airlines Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Brandon Robinson-Thompson+140
Haotong Li+450
Jorge Campillo+750
Jordan Smith+1100
Robin Williams+1200
Martin Couvra+1400
Matthew Jordan+1400
Joost Luiten+2500
Ewen Ferguson+3500
Mikael Lindberg+3500
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Final Round 2-Balls - J. Guerrier / O. Lindell
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Julien Guerrier-110
Oliver Lindell+120
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - W. Nienaber / Y. Paul
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Yannik Paul+100
Wilco Nienaber+110
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - E. Molinari / R. Langasque
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Romain Langasque-105
Edoardo Molinari+115
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Southgate / M. Kinhult
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Marcus Kinhult+100
Matthew Southgate+110
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - T. Clements / T. Christensen
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Todd Clements-175
Tiger Christensen+190
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - E. Ferguson / J. Luiten
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Joost Luiten-110
Ewen Ferguson+120
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Couvra / M. Lindberg
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Martin Couvra-135
Mikael Lindberg+150
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - M. Jordan / J. Smith
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jordan Smith-110
Matthew Jordan+120
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - H. Li / R. Williams
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Haotong Li-175
Robin Williams+190
Tie+750
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Campillo / B. Robinson
Type: Final Round 2-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jorge Campillo+100
Brandon Robinson-Thompson+110
Tie+750
Mizuho Americas Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul+100
Nelly Korda+335
Celine Boutier+400
Andrea Lee+850
Yealimi Noh+1400
Carlota Ciganda+3000
Rio Takeda+7000
Lydia Ko+17500
Kristen Gillman+30000
Somi Lee+35000
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Myrtle Beach Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Carson Young+275
Mackenzie Hughes+425
Harry Higgs+600
Ryan Fox+1200
Danny Walker+1400
Victor Perez+1400
Alex Smalley+2500
Norman Xiong+2500
Davis Shore+2800
Ben Silverman+4500
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Final Round 3-Balls - J. Svensson / A. Svensson / M. Manassero
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jesper Svensson+150
Adam Svensson+180
Matteo Manassero+200
Final Round 3-Balls - S. Fisk / J. Bramlett / A. Rozner
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Antoine Rozner+175
Joseph Bramlett+175
Steven Fisk+175
Final Round 3-Balls - T. Humphrey / M. McGreevy / H. Springer
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Max McGreevy+130
Hayden Springer+145
Theo Humphrey+300
Final Round 3-Balls - C. Hadley / B. Silverman / W. Chandler
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ben Silverman+130
Chesson Hadley+200
Will Chandler+210
Final Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / B. Haas / A. Albertson
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Takumi Kanaya+100
Anders Albertson+230
Bill Haas+240
Final Round 3-Balls - F. Molinari / G. Duangmanee / L. List
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Luke List+130
Francesco Molinari+170
George Duangmanee+250
Final Round 3-Balls - N. Xiong / D. Walker / A. Smalley
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alex Smalley+125
Danny Walker+185
Norman Xiong+230
Final Round 3-Balls - V. Perez / R. Fox / D. Shore
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Victor Perez+135
Ryan Fox+145
Davis Shore+280
Final Round 3-Balls - A. Putnam / A. Tosti / M. Feuerstein
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alejandro Tosti+120
Andrew Putnam+140
Michael Feuerstein+350
Final Round 3-Balls - C. Young / H. Higgs / M. Hughes
Type: Final Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes+110
Carson Young+190
Harry Higgs+260
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+450
Bryson DeChambeau+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Collin Morikawa+2200
Jon Rahm+2200
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Brooks Koepka+4000
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Tiger Woods doesn’t expect a return to competition ‘anytime soon’Tiger Woods doesn’t expect a return to competition ‘anytime soon’

LOS ANGELES – Two months after nearly winning the PNC Championship alongside his son, Tiger Woods is still unable to give a timetable for his return to the PGA TOUR. Woods’ play at the PNC was better than many expected after his horrific car crash last February, but he said any progress made since December was not significant enough to forecast a return to competition. “I wish I could tell you when I’m playing again,” Woods said Wednesday from The Riviera Country Club, where he is hosting The Genesis Invitational. “I want to know, but I don’t. My golf activity has been very limited. I can chip and putt really well and hit short irons very well, but I haven’t done any long stuff seriously. I’m still working. “I’m still working on the walking part. My foot was a little messed up there about a year ago, so the walking part is something that I’m still working on, working on strength and development in that. It takes time.” Woods suffered multiple fractures in his right leg and shattered his ankle last February in Los Angeles in the days following The Genesis Invitational when his vehicle jumped a median and rolled over into a ditch. There were serious concerns at the time that the 82-time TOUR winner might lose the limb. “To be able to have my right leg still here, it’s huge,” said Woods, who turned 46 in December. “I still have a lot of issues with it, but it’s mine and I’m very thankful for that. “What’s frustrating is it’s not at my timetable. I want to be at a certain place, but I’m not. I’ve just got to continue working. I’m getting better, yes, but not at the speed and rate that I would like. You add in the age factor, too. You just don’t quite heal as fast, which is frustrating.” His play at the PNC boosted hope of a larger comeback, perhaps even for the Masters in April. But Woods pointed out he had the benefit of riding in a golf cart on his way to a runner-up finish with Charlie behind John Daly and his son, John II. Woods was also recovering from a fifth back surgery prior to the accident. The combination of ailments makes hitting longer shots more difficult. “I have seen progress. I’m a lot stronger than I was then, I’m able to hit more shots… I can play weekend warrior golf, that’s easy. But to be able to be out here and play six rounds of golf, a practice round, pro-am, four competitive days, it’s the cumulative effect of all that. I’m not able to do that yet. I’m still working on getting to that point,” Woods said. “Don’t forget when my back was bad, when we had rain delays and had to reactivate everything and go back out there again. I’ve still got that issue, too. I’ve got a long way to go. … (Playing) gave me hope to be able to play with my son again and to be able to have fun with him and have those moments, … but that doesn’t mean that I’m going to be back out on TOUR playing anytime soon.” Woods did remain committed to making a comeback at some point. He needs just one more TOUR win to take sole possession of the PGA TOUR wins record he currently shares with Sam Snead. “It’s been tough, but I’ve gotten here, I’ve gotten this far and I still have a long way to go. Each and every day’s a fight and I welcome that fight. Get up in the morning, let’s go a few more rounds,” Woods said. “I wish I could spend more time on the range digging out of the dirt. … But that’s not realistic at this point. Will I come back? Yes. Will I come back and play a full schedule? No. … I can play certain events here and there, but on a full-time level, no, that will never happen again.”

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Ryan Brehm takes three-shot lead at Puerto Rico OpenRyan Brehm takes three-shot lead at Puerto Rico Open

RIO GRANDE, Puerto Rico — Fighting to keep PGA TOUR status, Ryan Brehm shot a 4-under 68 in rainy conditions Saturday to open a three-stroke lead in the Puerto Rico Open. Brehm, with wife Chelsey at his side as his caddie, is making his final start on a minor medical extension and needs to win or finish second alone to retain status. He had a 15-under 201 total at Grand Reserve. “Obviously, if you would have given me that at the start of the week I’d have taken it,” Brehm said. “There’s just so much golf left. I mean, honestly, all Chelsey and I are trying to do is make one good swing after another and march along. That’s really all we’re trying to do.” The 35-year-old Brehm is winless on the PGA TOUR. He’s ranked 773rd in the world. “I know that somebody’s going to play well, probably more than one person, so it’s up to me to go out and do my job and play my game,” Brehm said. “We’re probably not going to change much strategically. We’ll hit irons off some tees and drivers off others.” Michael Kim was second after a 70. Since winning the John Deere Classic in 2018, Kim has made only 16 cuts in 76 starts on the PGA TOUR, including one stretch of 25 consecutive events without making it to the weekend. He was No. 75 in the world when he won and now No. 1,030. “It’s been a while since I’ve been in contention, but felt really comfortable out there, comfortable with my game and really looking forward to tomorrow,” Lee said. Chad Ramey (68), Andrew Novak (69), Tommy Gainey (69) and Max McGreevy (71) were 11 under. University of Oklahoma senior Chris Gotterup was 10 under after a 70. Making his PGA TOUR debut, he won the Puerto Rico Classic collegiate event two weeks ago at Grand Reserve. Puerto Rico native Rafa Campos shot a 73 to drop to 5 under. The event is being played opposite the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando, Florida. The winner will receive a two-year exemption and gets in the PGA Championship.

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Ernie Gonzalez passes away at the age of 59Ernie Gonzalez passes away at the age of 59

When the 1986 Pensacola Open began, Ernie Gonzalez’s claim to PGA TOUR fame was his 10th-place finish at the Bank of Boston Classic a month earlier. That was his career-best performance. After rain delayed play both Thursday and Friday at the October tournament in Florida’s Panhandle, Gonzalez moved to the top of the leaderboard—thanks to an eagle and five birdies over his final nine holes of the second round Saturday at Perdido Bay Country Club. Gonzalez led Joey Sindelar by a shot, with a Sunday 36-hole finale looming. Those 36 holes never came as the rain that fell as Gonzalez finished his second round only intensified, becoming torrential at times. Unplayable course conditions left officials no choice but to cancel the final two rounds and declare Gonzalez the winner. That victory, Gonzalez’s lone PGA TOUR title, remained the highlight of his PGA TOUR career. The California native of Mexican and Puerto Rican descent died in a Chicago hospital of causes due to Alzheimer’s disease. He was 59. Gonzalez, the third lefthander to win a PGA TOUR event—behind Sam Adams and Bob Charles—was born February 19, 1961 in the San Diego suburb of Chula Vista. He attended nearby U.S. International University, where he was a member of the golf team, and he turned pro in 1983. Gonzalez joined the TOUR in 1985. Following a 171st-place money-list finish in 1985, Gonzalez regained his playing privileges at that season’s Qualifying Tournament. His second year on TOUR was his high-water mark, making 25 appearances and getting to the weekend 13 times. Besides the win and the top-10 in Boston, he added a tie for third at the weather-shortened, 54-hole Vantage Championship in San Antonio, sharing third place with Ronnie Black, Phil Blackmar and Bobby Clampett, five shots behind winner Ben Crenshaw. Gonzalez finished the 1986 season 68th on the final money list. His $48,000 payday in San Antonio was a career-best, $7,500 more than his haul from Pensacola as officials reduced the Pensacola Open purse by 25 percent due to the two lost rounds. Following his victory, Gonzalez met with assembled reporters and talked about the long and productive week. “I was pretty nervous when I came out this morning. All we’ve been doing is sitting back and waiting. The waiting is tougher than the playing. I don’t know how to react.� He then paused, deciding on his words, before continuing. “It’s a win, and I’m happy. Realistically, my goal was to keep my card. Getting the win is a surprise and a big break.� Of his lone TOUR win, Gonzalez always contended, his opening-round 63 “was probably the best I’ve ever played.� Gonzalez’s victory did not lead to additional success on TOUR. By 1988, he had fallen to 207th on the money list and began playing sparingly after that, relying on his past-champion status to get into events. Between 1990 and 1998, he saw action in 38 tournaments but did play in at least one tournament every year from 1999 to 2010. His last made cut came at the 2009 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, a week where he showed he still had a little game remaining. After opening with a disappointing, 4-over 75 in the first round at TPC Summerlin, Gonzalez shaved 12 strokes off his score in the second round, firing a 63 that included a wild stretch of four birdies, a double bogey and an eagle on the back nine that moved him inside the cutline. He went on to shoot weekend rounds of 69-68 to tie for 47th. Gonzalez continued to play sporadic pro golf events while working for a beverage distributorship in Las Vegas. He played in 44 Korn Ferry Tour tournaments between the Tour’s inaugural year of 1990 and 2002. He tied for 14th at the 1990 New Haven Open in Connecticut for his top showing. After turning 50, he only played in one PGA TOUR Champions tournament, the 2011 Senior Open Championship, in Surrey, England, where he missed the cut. Funeral services are pending.

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