Cut prediction: Vivint Houston Open

THE OVERVIEW OAKVILLE, Ontario — Although Glen Abbey Golf Club is hosting this week’s RBC Canadian Open for the 29th time — and for the fourth time in five years – PGA TOUR pros think the venerable Jack Nicklaus design will offer a different challenge this time. “It’s a completely different golf course this year,â€� Canada native Graham DeLaet said. “The rough is thick, it’s not super long, but around the greens there’s kind of dodgy lies here and there.â€� The Greater Toronto Area experienced a drought a year ago, causing Glen Abbey to burn out in some places. That forced the players to adjust for how far their balls were running out on the fairways. This year, the Oakville area has experienced near-record rainfall totals in 2017, forcing the players to make a 180-degree adjustment. A year ago, DeLaet had a 346-yard drive on the par-4 10th in the second round, leaving him less than 100 yards to the pin. He doesn’t anticipate getting that close this week. During practice on Tuesday, he hit driver and then a full wedge with his second shot. Although the course is playing differently this year, fellow Canadian Nick Taylor says it’s in the best shape he’s ever seen it. Jhonattan Vegas, who won here in 2016 on the heels of an 8-under 64 on Sunday, acknowledged that the course is a lot softer than last year but is excited to get going again. He said Glen Abbey is a course where he feels comfortable. He also said golfers will have to adapt to the course conditions this week. “You’re going to have to fly things right next to the hole,â€� Vegas said. “Especially some of these holes around here, where some of those pin positions are so protected from bunkers and water … you’re going to have to hit your irons really well to score. But obviously that opens up a lot of opportunities, as well. So I think you’re going to see low scores again.â€�  THREE PLAYERS TO PONDER THE FLYOVER Last week, Royal Birkdale had two par 5s in its last four holes. This week, Glen Abbey offers two par 5s among its last three holes, including the finishing hole. The 524-yard 18th played to a stroke average of 4.585, just a shade tougher than the 516-yard 16th. Here’s a closer look at the 18th. THE LANDING ZONE The 457-yard par-4 14th was the most difficult hole on the course last year, playing to a stroke average of 4.422. That made it the ninth toughest par 4 on the PGA TOUR last season. Players have to navigate Sixteen Mile Creek that runs alongside the dogleg-right fairway, as well as try to avoid the bunkers on the far side, making it an especially tight landing zone. Check out where all tee shots landed last year. WEATHER CHECK It’s been a very wet year in the Oakville area, part of the Greater Toronto Area. No surprise that rain is in the forecast for at least one day this week. TEMPS: In the high 60s/low 70s, so expect pleasant temperatures this week. Humidity will be highest in the opening round RAIN: Expected to rain on Thursday, but the other three days might be relatively dry. WINDS: Shouldn’t be much of a factor, with the middle two rounds creeping over 10 mph speeds. For the latest weather news from Oakville, Ontario, check out PGATOUR.COM’s Weather Hub. SOUND CHECK If I’m ever going to win one of these, it better be soon, because obviously the times that I’m going to play are running out. But there’s obviously a lot of other great Canadians coming up. ODDS AND ENDS 1. CANADIAN HOPEFULS. There are 17 Canadians in the field this week – Adam Hadwin, Nick Taylor, Graham DeLaet, Mackenzie Hughes, Mike Weir, David Hearn, Daniel Kim, Jared du Toit, Brad Fritsch, Riley Wheeldon, Matt Hill, Bryn Parry, Ryan Williams, Drew Nesbitt, and amateurs Garrett Rank, Hugo Bernard and Austin James. These are the guys who hope to become the first Canadian winner of their national Open since Pat Fletcher in 1954. Hadwin and Hughes have already won on TOUR this season. 2. MACKENZIE TOUR EXEMPTIONS. The top-three players in the Mackenzie Tour-PGA TOUR Canada Order of Merit earned exemptions into this week’s event – Americans Robby Shelton ($55,473), Johnny Ruiz ($54,413) and Kramer Hickock ($47,719). Each has won on the Mackenzie Tour this season. Incidentally, Hickok is a roommate of Open Championship winner Jordan Spieth in Dallas. With Spieth not in the field, Hickok will represent the house. 3. 20-SOMETHINGS ON A ROLL. With Spieth and Grayson Murray (Barbasol Championship) winning last week, that means the last eight tournaments have been won by players in their 20s. That’s the longest streak by the 20-somethings ever on the PGA TOUR. 4. FURYK LOVES CANADA. Jim Furyk has played 31 of his last 34 rounds at the RBC Canadian Open in par or better, including his last 19 rounds. No player has won more money in this event that Furyk at $3,129,703 in 14 appearances. WATCH THE PREVIEW

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As the FedExCup Playoffs is concerned, the 11th edition isn’t presenting anything we haven’t seen before, but the combination of unusual facts is unprecedented all the while adhering to the chalk. Jordan Spieth is just the second golfer in Playoffs history to enter the TOUR Championship atop the FedExCup standings without a victory in the Playoffs. Tiger Woods was the first in 2013. Meanwhile, only five golfers who started the series outside the top 30 in points qualified for this week’s 30-man field at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. At least seven climbed in all but once since the first version of the current structure was introduced in 2009. That occurred in 2015 when only four converted. Points have been reset and each of the top five is guaranteed the FedExCup’s $10-million bonus with victory in the finale. So, Spieth, who won the FedExCup in 2015, controls his own destiny to become the second in history to capture multiple titles (Woods, 2007 and 2009). POWER RANKINGS: TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP RANK PLAYER COMMENT Top seed leads the Playoffs in adjusted scoring and strokes gained: tee-to-green. He’s manufactured a season similar to 2014-15, which he concluded with victory at East Lake. Opened 2017 with solo second at Waialae. T2 last week at Conway Farms. Nine top 15s in between. Two seconds and no worse than solo sixth in last four starts at East Lake. THE NORTHERN TRUST champ is third in points. Shared or led outright after all three rounds en route to T6 at East Lake in 2016. Fifth-place finishes in previous two trips. Co-runner-up at the BMW Championship was his eighth top-five finish since February. T5 in the Playoffs in adjusted scoring. One top 10 at East Lake in three appearances. Commanding performance at Conway Farms followed a solo third at TPC Boston. Hasn’t seen East Lake since a T28 in his debut in 2009, but it doesn’t matter. Able to absorb a T47 at Conway Farms as he’s second in FedExCup points. Shared sixth place in TOUR Championship debut last year (after T32 at BMW at Crooked Stick). Horse for the course, but that’s a narrative that could apply almost everywhere in 2017. Four top fives in the last three months alone. Top fives in all three tries at East Lake, too. Fair to label him as a mild surprise to get this far. Opened as the 49-seed and is now 15th. Top 10s in three of last four starts. Three top 10s at East Lake (2011, 2014, 2015). At No. 5 in points, he’s the first debutant since Chris Kirk in 2014 to begin TOUR Championship inside the top 5. The Spaniard has gone a respective T3-T4-T5 in the Playoffs. A T12 at the BMW Championship was his fourth top 15 in his last six starts. Co-led in his debut at East Lake last year before losing in a playoff. Phenomenal story post-anchoring ban and ranks ninth in the Playoffs in strokes gained: putting. Top 10s in three of last four starts. Two top fives at East Lake in four trips. Top 20s in seven of last eight starts dating back to U.S. Open breakthrough. T18 at TPC Boston; T12 at Conway Farms. Second in the Playoffs in birdie-or-better percentage. Remained slump-proof with a T5 at the BMW Championship, his eighth top 10 of 2017. Eighth appearance at East Lake where his only two top 10s are T10s (2012, 2015). In his field-high 10th appearance (ninth at East Lake) but first since a T9 in 2014. Sat out THE NORTHERN TRUST, but wiggled in on a T12 at the BMW Championship. First appearance and the lowest opening seed (78th) to qualify. He’s gone T10-T13-T9, respectively. T2 in the Playoffs in greens in regulation and first in scrambling. Solid not spectacular Playoffs run secured his fifth appearance at East Lake. Top 10s in his last two (2014, 2016). Ranks fourth in these Playoffs in greens in regulation. Making TOUR Championship debut at 41 years young. Enters in spirited form with T6 at TPC Boston and T12 at Conway Farms. Seventh in the Playoffs in strokes gained: putting. First FedExCup points leader at the start of the Playoffs to sit outside the top 5 at East Lake since Nick Watney in 2011. Matsuyama (No. 7) has gone MC-T23-T47 since. Last man inside the bubble dropped 10 slots during the Playoffs despite a T20 at Glen Oaks. Top 10s in his last two appearances at East Lake (2013, 2016). T12 (2015) and T15 (2016) at East Lake, but stumbles in this year without a top 30 in his last four starts. He’s given away nearly two shots in putting per event in the Playoffs. Inside favorite for Rookie of the Year has enjoyed a strong three months since U.S. Open. Includes a pair of top 20s in the Playoffs in which he’s No. 1 in par-5 scoring. Always a threat as a terrific putter, but he’s making his first appearance at East Lake and has just two top-35 finishes in the last four months. After falling outside top 30, got back in with a T7 at the BMW where he ranked third in strokes gained: putting. Fair to wonder how he’ll fare in first go on East Lake’s greens. Scuffling in advance of his debut, surrendering strokes in every facet of the game in the Playoffs. Chased MC at Glen Oaks with T65 at TPC Boston and T40 at Conway Farms. He’s 12th in the Playoffs in strokes gained: tee-to-green, but he may have peaked too soon. Only one top 25 in his last four starts (T17, THE NORTHERN TRUST). Fourth appearance buoyed by late surge, but he’s yet to solve East Lake where his scoring average is 71.75 and he hasn’t broken par in his last eight rounds. One of the quieter qualifiers with only one top 10 in over five months and only one top-35 finish in the last two. Solo 12th in only previous look at East Lake in 2014. Zero top 50s in these Playoffs and no top 25s in last nine Playoffs starts, including both of the last two TOUR Championships, a shocker given East Lake’s Bermuda greens. Tournament debut. Form upon arrival is just OK for the 29-year-old ball-striker. Opened the Playoffs with a pair of T25s before a T47 at the BMW. Capitalized on the format with timely form. Win at Glen Abbey and T3 at Glen Oaks yielded his second trip to East Lake (T24, 2016), but he’s made little noise elsewhere. Returning to the TOUR Championship isn’t easy, but 14 in this week’s field were here last year. However, defending champion Rory McIlroy didn’t qualify. In fact, of all former champions, only Spieth (2015) is in the field. Eight are making their debuts. Aside from the voids left when many mature trees were felled over the winter, East Lake’s changes were minimal, but it will look and set up just as it did last year as a par 70, this time measuring 7,362 yards. That reflects a reduction of 23 yards. The MiniVerde Ultradwarf Bermudagrass greens may run as fast as 12-and-a-half on the Stimpmeter and the Bermudagrass rough has been trimmed to two-and-a-half inches. The 2016 edition of the TOUR Championship was the first in which the nines were reversed for competition. The old par-3 finisher became No. 9. In its place, a par 5 tipping at 590 yards served as the stage for potential heroics. Alas, McIlroy scored a respective 5-5-4-4 on the hole in regulation, while eventual playoff victims Kevin Chappell and Ryan Moore settled for pars in every round. The playoff went four holes, the first two of which at the 18th where McIlroy and Moore pushed with 4-5. Chappell was eliminated with an opening par. Despite the absence of fireworks, the hole averaged 4.581, lowest in history. Among the 117 scores recorded (Jason Day withdrew after one round), three eagles were recorded. Overall, East Lake yielded a scoring average of 69.615 last year. That was a typical split in benign weather conditions. This week’s forecast includes the threat for rain and storms, the greatest landing on Friday. Otherwise favorable elements will serve merely as a backdrop in which the FedExCup champion will be crowned. Tuesday’s Confidence Factor will examine the skills rewarded at East Lake to help identify the latest to join the club. ROB BOLTON’S WRITING SCHEDULE PGATOUR.COM’s Fantasy Columnist Rob Bolton will be filing his usual staples leading up to this week’s event. Look for the following columns this week. MONDAY: Rookie Ranking, Reshuffle, Power Rankings TUESDAY*: The Confidence Factor, Fantasy Insider WEDNESDAY: One & Done THURSDAY: Ownership Percentages in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf and One & Done presented by SERVPRO * – Rob is a member of the panel for PGATOUR.COM’s Expert Picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO, which also publishes on Tuesdays.

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Some major changes are coming to the golf calendar. Which tournaments won? Which lost?

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