Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Cut prediction: U.S. Open

Cut prediction: U.S. Open

2022 U.S. Open, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +2.76 strokes per round Morning wave: +2.5 Afternoon wave: +3.03 Current cutline (top 60 and ties): 78 players at +2 or better (T57) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 4 over par: 38.5% 2. 3 over par: 34.8% 3. 5 over par: 14.0% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Rory McIlroy (T2, -3, 16.6%) 2. Justin Thomas (T14, -1, 7.7%) 3. Jon Rahm (T14, -1, 6.4%) 4. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T7, -2, 6.4%) 5. Scottie Scheffler (T26, E, 5.6%) 6. Adam Hadwin (1, -4, 4.3%) 7. Dustin Johnson (T7, -2, 4.1%) 8. Will Zalatoris (T14, -1, 3.3%) 9. Aaron Wise (T7, -2, 3.2%) 10. Max Homa (T14, -1, 2.3%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the U.S. Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Brooks Koepka+700
Justin Thomas+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Justin Thomas+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Viktor Hovland+2000
Justin Thomas+2500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Viktor Hovland’s unconventional method tames tough 15th at RivieraViktor Hovland’s unconventional method tames tough 15th at Riviera

LOS ANGELES – The fans laughed and pointed as they walked past Viktor Hovland in the early hours of Friday’s second round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club. The Norwegian superstar was sizing up his approach shot at the notoriously difficult par-4 15th, but doing so from the 17th fairway, which to the untrained eye appeared to be significantly off target. But Hovland was over there for the second consecutive round having devised a strategy to play down the wrong fairway to minimize the danger of the tough dogleg right hole. It was a strategy years in the making having first attempted it as an amateur. And with some lost trees in recent times thanks to a few big storms, the method became even more tempting for Hovland. In the lead up to the tournament he and caddie Shay Knight talked about the strategy but didn’t unveil it until Thursday. “We were obviously talking about it in the practice rounds and trying to be as stealthy as we could,” Hovland laughed during his explanation after making a stress-free par for the second day running. The 14th traditionally demands an extremely accurate tee shot down a narrow shoot with tall trees down the right and a significant bunker complex protecting the same side. The dogleg shortens the space on the left side with rough ready to catch errant shots. Even an accurate drive creates a demanding and long second shot to a V-shaped green of significant slope. Over the past five editions of The Genesis Invitational, it has averaged well over par at 4.247, 4.306, 4.272, 4.257 and 4.177 and in Thursday’s opening round the field averaged 4.378 with just eight birdies. But with the space to aim through Hovland punished his drives backwards down the par-5 17th – careful to be aware of fellow competitors and fans of course – and attacked the green from there. “I did that at the U.S. Amateur here in 2017. Actually, got to give my buddy Zach Bauchou some credit. He was the guy that first mentioned it,” Hovland continued. “I did it there and I did it once last year, I believe it was the third day and it was humming downwind. I think I hit a driver and a sand wedge in there. And there’s not too much trouble there I thought. “Obviously that bunker on the left side (of 17) is no good, but at the same time the bunker down 15 on the right is no good either. (This way) just fits my eye.” With rounds of 71-64 Hovland sits 7-under heading to the weekend and inside the top-10, albeit well back of leader Joaquin Niemann (16-under). The strategy will continue as he looks to reel in the Chilean over the weekend. “Regardless of how the other guys play, I know my game plan and I’ve just got to go and execute,” he said. “If I play more like I did today the next couple of days, it could be interesting.”

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