Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Cut prediction: The RSM Classic

Cut prediction: The RSM Classic

2023 The RSM Classic, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Seaside Course: +0.44 strokes per round Plantation Course: -1.78 strokes per round Current cutline (top 65 and ties) 85 players at -1 or better (T65) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 3 under par: 37.1% 2. 2 under par: 33.1% 3. 4 under par: 15.6% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Brian Harman (T6, -5, 7.3%) 2. Andrew Putnam (T6, -5, 7.0%) 3. Seamus Power (T17, -4, 5.7%) 4. Denny McCarthy (T17, -4, 5.4%) 5. Beau Hossler (T3, -6, 5.0%) 6. Keith Mitchell (T6, -5, 4.9%) 7. Callum Tarren (T3, -6, 4.4%) 8. Ben Griffin (2, -7, 3.3%) 9. Justin Suh (T3, -6, 3.0%) 10. Chris Gotterup (T6, -5, 2.9%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Cadence Bank Houston Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Brooks Koepka+700
Justin Thomas+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Justin Thomas+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Viktor Hovland+2000
Justin Thomas+2500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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No doubt about it, even the best players struggle with self-beliefNo doubt about it, even the best players struggle with self-belief

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. – Even the best can doubt themselves. Often, we see our golf heroes as herculean. We see them strut down the fairways with bravado, smash the ball so hard you feel the cover will come off, and make putts from everywhere. They have enviable bank balances and fly on private planes. Everything seems to be good and rosy. But at the end of the day, just like you and me, they’re human. Golf is a great equalizer when it comes to the mental battles. We’ve seen many a rollercoaster career. And even the most confident humans can lack self-belief at times. Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Jason Day and Adam Scott have all been the best in the world – but it doesn’t absolve them of self-doubt. “I face self-doubt on a daily basis in tournament rounds,” Spieth admits. “I feel the longer I’ve played, the more my self-belief’s sort of wavered a little bit,” McIlroy adds. “When you lose it you have to dig deep and start asking yourself some pretty blunt questions and give yourself some honest answers,” Scott says. McIlroy, the reigning FedExCup champion, began believing he was the best when he was just 10, but now he speaks of how the depth of competition increases the difficulty of maintaining a dominant mindset. I feel the longer I’ve played, the more my self-belief has wavered a little bit. “I think you would be somewhat of a machine if you said every week that I’m the best and I believe in myself 100 percent,” McIlroy says. According to Day, the defending champion at THE PLAYERS, self-belief is the biggest plague on his game right now. That’s right. The same man who dominated THE PLAYERS Stadium Course a year ago to win by four shots in wire-to-wire fashion. The one who won seven times in 17 starts. That guy struggles to believe in himself. “That’s one thing that I probably struggle with the most out of my whole game is the actual self-belief,” Day confirms. “When it’s there, I usually play some very, very good golf. I, like everyone else, will kind of struggle with certain things out here, but that’s one thing that I’ve always constantly been trying to get better at each and every year.” Day’s current struggles center around not having a specific goal to strive hard toward. He spent his early career chasing the dream of being world No. 1 and winning a major championship. He’s done both. And he has admitted his 51 weeks at the top added stress to his existence, so now he must find the motivation to put in the extra work to get back there. “When I think about Tiger Woods and how he dominated for over 13 years at No. 1, I always think, why was he so motivated?” Day recently told PGATOUR.COM. “He was literally trying to break Jack’s major record. He wanted to be the best ever, hands down, without a question, the best. “I’ve wanted to become No. 1 in the world and I’ve wanted to win major championships, but I’ve never wanted to break Jack’s record. I’ve never wanted to be better than Tiger Woods. I never wanted to chase anyone.” So now Day is trying to find the new target in his heart. He is trying to find the belief that he does belong at the top. That he can strive to the same levels reached by the greats before him. “I haven’t determined that benchmark yet. I need to find that motivating factor that will push me to work harder than anyone in the world,” he says. Neale Smith, a former TOUR pro who is now a sports psychologist for a handful of players, says the key is to return to what has worked in the past. “Golf is designed to get you negative and tournament golf is another layer of that. No one hits it perfect or is good every day,” Smith says. “In a perfect world, you’d want high belief on every shot, but we know that’s not going to happen. So, it is doing the best you can. “Everyone goes through cycles and with the right awareness every player has a recipe for how they’ve played well. Unless the context in their lives has changed a lot, it’s about respecting what helps them play well and part of the journey of tournament golf is learning your own recipe for success. “When you’re struggling, often what happens is a lot of searching outside that recipe, which generally, is not that helpful. If you can search within what you’ve done well at in the past you are likely to play well again.” And so the mental battle continues. McIlroy says Woods and Nicklaus might be the only guys in history who may have mastered it for long periods. Spieth’s methods of finding his happy place are to simply say, “Who cares?” In the grand scheme of things, it is just golf. It is not life and death. “So what if I hit it in the water on this shot. I make a bogey; is that going to change my life? No. If I think about it that way, I’m more freed up,” the Texan says. “And then if it goes in the water, I need to stick with that. That’s the toughest thing for me is being carefree and then not reacting if something doesn’t go well. I’m working on it and your mental game is something that we should be working on as much as we work on the physical components of our game. “It’s always a work in progress, and the bigger the tournament, the more work that’s required.” And it doesn’t get much bigger than THE PLAYERS Championship. Where TPC Sawgrass can throw multiple situations at you to doubt yourself. May the most confident man win.

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‘Concentrate on getting better and getting healthy’‘Concentrate on getting better and getting healthy’

HILTON HEAD, S.C. – Vaughn Taylor and Luke List got the news as they were making the turn on Friday. Nick Watney, who had played with them during the first round of the RBC Heritage, had tested positive for the coronavirus. He is the first PGA TOUR player to test positive since competition resumed last week at the Charles Schwab Challenge after a three-month break due to COVID-19. Clay Neely, a PGA TOUR rules official, stopped the twosome to explain that was why Watney had withdrawn prior to their 12:21 p.m. tee time. The 39-year-old had tested negative upon arrival in Hilton Head but felt minor symptoms on Friday morning and after consulting with a doctor, Watney was tested for a second time which resulted in the positive test. According to protocols put in place by the TOUR, Watney – who was allowed on the grounds at Harbour Town until receiving his test results — will self-isolate and recover as per CDC guidelines and there will be contact tracing to make sure the virus is contained. Jordan Spieth, who is on the PGA TOUR Policy Board, was part of the extensive planning for just such an eventuality. “The whole plan put in place was, not if, but when somebody tests positive, what’s the protocol, and what are the next steps?” Spieth said. “So, I feel confident, just in being on those phone calls, in what the PGA TOUR’s going to do going forward here, and hopefully contact tracing doesn’t lead to anybody else testing positive within the bubble.” Taylor and List said that they would be tested again, as would their caddies. A total of 369 people – players, caddies and other essential personnel – were tested prior to the start of the tournament and all were negative. There were also no positive tests at the Charles Schwab Challenge last week. “I was a little shocked, to be honest,” Taylor said. “Heart started racing, got a little nervous. Just hope Nick’s doing well and we get through this.” Taylor and List, who won the Korn Ferry Challenge at TPC Sawgrass on Sunday, said it was hard not to think about Watney and the positive test as the round wore on. Both are in the field for the Travelers Championship – as long as both test negative. After finishing his round of 69 that left him 6 under for the tournament, Taylor said he was “little nervous” but he does not feel ill. He did not recall being in close proximity to Watney on Thursday. “We kept our space,” he said. “We didn’t shake hands. Right after the round, I washed my hands. Nick never coughed or sneezed. So, I feel comfortable.” Watney, who missed the cut last week and did not fly on the PGA TOUR charter to Hilton Head from Dallas, was on the property at Harbour Town Friday morning. Rory McIlroy talked to him on the putting green before the Northern Irishman teed off – and had a text from Watney when he finished his round. “But we were at a distance,” McIlroy said. “He was just saying, look, I hope I didn’t get too close to you. He feels badly that he was here today at the golf course. I said, look, it’s fine. You never know. “So, I said to him, if I was in your position, I probably would have been here too. Look, at this point, you just have to concentrate on getting better and getting healthy.” McIlroy said he appreciated the text and feels badly for Watney, who obviously is concerned about who he might have exposed. “Look, we’re still in the middle of a pandemic,” McIlroy said. “Until this thing’s over, we all just have to stay vigilant and keep your distance and wear our masks if we’re going out in public and keep washing our hands.” The No. 1 player in the world said he still feels “very safe” and comfortable with the protocols the PGA TOUR has put in place that include frequent testing and the charter flights between tournament sites. “I read a thing today that — look, by the end of the year, there’s going to be 200,000 deaths in the U.S. alone from COVID-19,” McIlroy said. “So, to think that us on the PGA TOUR, none of us were going to get it was very — I don’t think anyone thought that. “I think the consensus was someone is going to get it at some point, and Nick’s the one that’s got it, and he’s self-isolating and doing what he has to do.” Brooks Koepka, who found out about Watney’s positive test on the 17th hole, has traveled with a chef and essentially a private gym while staying in a private residence each of the last two weeks. He said he’s “got everybody on lockdown” and hasn’t had to leave either house since he got to Fort Worth, Texas, last week. “We’re doing what we can as far as players, the TOUR — everybody’s doing what they can to make it safe for us, for everybody,” said Koepka, who saw Watney in the parking lot on Friday morning. “We’ll see what happens. Obviously, testing us every week, and we’re filling out surveys every day. “We’ve got to see what happens. Hopefully — it’s unfortunate Nick got it, but at the same time, hopefully, it stays with just him and doesn’t spread because I think we’ll have a big issue on our hands if it keeps going as the weeks continue.”

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