Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Cut prediction: THE PLAYERS Championship

Cut prediction: THE PLAYERS Championship

There was plenty of starpower on display Thursday at TPC Sawgrass for the first round of THE PLAYERS. The afternoon pairing of Tiger Woods, Rickie Fowler, and Phil Mickelson drew the biggest crowds, but they didn’t provide them with much to cheer about. All three players have work to do tomorrow if they would like to secure a tee time on the weekend: Woods (Even par, 71 percent made cut probability), Fowler (2 over par, 42 percent), and Mickelson (7 over par, 2 percent). Here is how their respective cut probabilities evolved throughout the day: TPC Sawgrass is best known for its water-filled finishing three holes. It is a great stretch of golf in part due to the wide variance in outcomes it can produce. This variance (or, at least one side of it) was on full display today during the finish to Hideki Matsuyama’s round. Matsuyama arrived at the 16th tee 1 over par and, according to our model, with about a 50 percent chance of making the cut. Three holes later he was 7 over par, and now has just a 2 percent chance of making it to the weekend. In a single hole (the par-3 17th), Matsuyama’s cut probability fell from 33 percent to just 1 percent thanks to a quintuple bogey 8. Heading into Friday’s play, there are 85 players at Even par or better (T69th position). Our model is projecting tomorrow’s cutline as follows (as usual, assuming that the course plays to a scoring average similar to Thursday’s): Even par: 61 percent 1 under par: 38 percent 1 over par: 1 percent A final note from Thursday’s play: TPC Sawgrass played decidedly more difficult for the afternoon group of players than it did for the morning wave. This final graphic details the hole-specific differences in scoring averages between the morning and afternoon. Perhaps not surprisingly, the island green 17th hole played the most different between the two waves, playing 0.4 strokes more difficult in the afternoon. NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the THE PLAYERS Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

Click here to read the full article

Did you win, but don't know how to collect your winnings? Our partner site Hypercasinos.com will explain how online casinos pay out winnings.

Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
Click here for more...
PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+450
Bryson DeChambeau+800
Justin Thomas+1600
Collin Morikawa+2200
Jon Rahm+2200
Xander Schauffele+2200
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Joaquin Niemann+3000
Brooks Koepka+4000
Click here for more...
AdventHealth Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Kensei Hirata+2000
Mitchell Meissner+2200
SH Kim+2200
Neal Shipley+2500
Seungtaek Lee+2800
Hank Lebioda+3000
Chandler Blanchet+3500
Pierceson Coody+3500
Rick Lamb+3500
Trey Winstead+3500
Click here for more...
Regions Tradition
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Stewart Cink+550
Steve Stricker+650
Ernie Els+700
Steven Alker+750
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1200
Bernhard Langer+1400
Jerry Kelly+1600
Alex Cejka+1800
Retief Goosen+2500
Richard Green+2500
Click here for more...
US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Click here for more...
The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
Click here for more...
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

Related Post

Technology, analytics help explain this fast-rising threesomeTechnology, analytics help explain this fast-rising threesome

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. – It was an opportunity to reflect, and these days that means checking the Snapchat archives. When Collin Morikawa learned that he was playing the first two rounds of THE PLAYERS Championship with two peers who also turned pro last year, he consulted the social media app to see what he was doing this week last year. He saw his posts from a practice session at the Metropolitan Golf Links in Oakland, California. That’s where the training facility for the University of California men’s golf team is housed. Morikawa was having short-game contests with his teammates as they prepared for a tournament. Now he’s preparing for another event, but he won’t be carrying his own bag or eating a box lunch in the middle of a 36-hole day. He’ll be playing for one of the most prestigious titles on the PGA TOUR. A lot has changed in the last year. The same can be said for playing partners Viktor Hovland and Matthew Wolff. In June, those three players shared a stage at the Travelers Championship. They were declared as the next stars on the PGA TOUR. They’d all had impressive college careers, but similar declarations are made on an annual basis. All three have lived up to the hype. As a result, they’ll share the Stadium Course’s first tee at 1:18 p.m. Thursday. They earned their spots in the year’s strongest field by winning shortly after turning pro. “I know we’re going to have a bunch of smiles on our face, we’re going to go have fun and hopefully shoot some low scores,â€� Morikawa said. They’ve done plenty of that already. Wolff won the 3M Open in his third pro start. Morikawa was runner-up but won three weeks later at the Barracuda Championship. And Hovland recently earned his TPC Sawgrass tee time by winning the Puerto Rico Open. Add Joaquin Niemann and Sungjae Im to the list, and we’ve seen five players under the age of 23 win on TOUR since July. Seven players from that demographic won on TOUR in the preceding five seasons – and just four won from 1985-2000. No one can remember a time when three players won so quickly after turning pro. Perhaps in the days of hickory shafts. So, the obvious question is whether this is a trend or just a coincidence, a confluence of talent that all turned pro at the same time.  “There’s hardly any need for an apprenticeship anymore. They hit the ground like veterans,â€� said Golf Channel commentator Brandel Chamblee. “I think having (a smartphone) is like having Butch Harmon or Harvey Penick in your pocket. You have access to the best teaching and a library of video. And I think social media is working as peer review for teachers. Now, if their ideas fail, they get called out on social media. It’s making instruction better. Now teaching is much more information-based. They know exactly how you create power. They guessed about it before.â€� Today’s young players are following in the footsteps of not just Tiger Woods, but also Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth. Morikawa, Hovland and Wolff were all born after Woods turned pro. He showed the importance of physical fitness and made young players reconsider what’s possible. They also saw Spieth win on TOUR as a teenager, then watched Spieth and Thomas win majors and FedExCups before turning 25. Their development has undoubtedly been aided by technology, and not just titanium drivers and solid-core golf balls, but also analytics that help players receive in-depth analysis of their own games and the courses they play. Training aids such as Trackman, force plates and 3D motion analysis have revolutionized instruction. Swing coaches are no longer emphasizing static positions. The focus is on creating the proper forces. That’s why you see unique swings like Wolff’s and Niemann’s and Hovland’s. “What you had to figure out on your own took so much longer,â€� said 2018 PLAYERS champion Webb Simpson, who’s 34. “Now we have so much at our fingertips on our phone or on TrackMan. That’s one of the main reasons guys are improving a lot faster and they come out here and they’re ready to win. They understand their games more than I did even out of college. If you would have asked me out of college what are the strengths of my game, I probably would have fumbled over that question. But now guys can tell you, based on statistics, what makes them great. “Even in the fitting world, you can have a golf shaft that feels great and looks great, but your numbers on TrackMan are saying otherwise, so you quickly eliminate that one and go to the next one. It’s helping guys across the board.â€� Unlike the Class of 2011 – which includes Spieth and Thomas, as well as Xander Schauffele, C.T. Pan and others – this current trio all graduated high school at different times. Morikawa spent four years at Cal. Hovland played three years at Oklahoma State, while Wolff made the leap after a record-setting sophomore season at Oklahoma State, where he won the NCAA Championship and swept the national player of the year honors. He’s the third player to win an NCAA individual title and PGA TOUR event in the same year, joining Tiger Woods and Ben Crenshaw. “The fact that those three guys have won already is unbelievable,â€� Thomas said. “They probably don’t even realize how impressive it is. But they also understand how talented they are and we do too.â€� They’ve all done it with impressive ball-striking. Hovland ranks seventh in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, while Wolff is 11th and Morikawa is 36th. Morikawa’s iron play has already earned acclaim from his peers on TOUR, and it’s supported by the fact that he’s fourth in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green. Hovland is 51st in that statistic. The trio has an average ranking of 18th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and 73rd in Strokes Gained: Approach. That average drops to 190th in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and 119th in Strokes Gained: Putting. Golf Channel commentator Arron Oberholser believes they are a product of their times. Mark Broadie’s Strokes Gained statistics came to the PGA TOUR when Wolff, Hovland and Morikawa were still in elementary school. “When I grew up, it was, ‘Drive for show and putt for dough,’â€� Oberholser said. “These guys grew up after Strokes Gained and Mark Broadie came on the scene and showed the importance of driving distance and approach play.â€� Analysts like Scott Fawcett and Richie Huntare use ShotLink to optimize players’ course management. Morikawa said he gets such stats from TaylorMade. Wolff also is a TaylorMade staffer. Fawcett has taught seminars to many of the top college programs, including Oklahoma State. That data gives young players knowledge about all the new courses they’ll face. “ShotLink data allows us to impart the knowledge to a 22-year-old that guys used to wait 10 years to accrue,â€� Fawcett said. All of these advancements can only take players so far, though. At the end of the day, it comes down to talent. “I think the technology part has helped in training, but when you’re standing out there on the 18th fairway with a 7-iron in your hand and a one-shot lead and you need par to win, TrackMan is not really helping you too much at that moment,â€� said Jim Furyk, the 17-time TOUR winner who becomes eligible for PGA TOUR Champions in two months. “You still have to be mentally prepared and ready and believing in yourself. There’s still a mental side to the game, and it’s still an art in some respects.â€� Perhaps, but more players are painting masterpieces at a young age.

Click here to read the full article

WiretoWire: Sepp Straka’s breakthrough win at The Honda ClassicWiretoWire: Sepp Straka’s breakthrough win at The Honda Classic

STRAKA EARNS FIRST TOUR TITLE AT THE HONDA CLASSIC Austria native Sepp Straka has demonstrated a propensity for resilience in his professional golf career. In summer 2018, shortly after signing up for Q-School, he won the Korn Ferry Tour’s AdventHealth Championship to rescue his status and proceeded to earn his first PGA TOUR card that fall. The next season, he recorded two top-12s in his final four starts to qualify for the FedExCup Playoffs as a rookie and maintain full TOUR status. Straka followed a similar script Sunday at The Honda Classic. Beginning the day five back of Daniel Berger at always-demanding PGA National (Champion), Straka methodically plotted his way into contention with 1-under play through the first 13 holes, and he rose atop the board with three birdies in the final five holes. As rain began to descend in south Florida, Straka signed for 10-under total and waited out the final pairing, ultimately finishing one clear of Shane Lowry for his first TOUR title. Straka’s University of Georgia teammate Keith Mitchell earned his first TOUR victory at The Honda Classic in 2019, and Mitchell was on hand – despite the rain – to congratulate Straka late Sunday afternoon. Straka earns 500 FedExCup points for his efforts, moves to No. 14 on the season-long FedExCup standings and becomes the latest Georgia Bulldog to conquer the Bear Trap. TOUR HEADS TO BAY HILL AND PUERTO RICO Bryson DeChambeau last week announced his plans to enter the field at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. It was big news from the defending champion, who has battled injuries for much of the season. “It’s important to Bryson to try and defend at an event that has Arnold Palmer’s name on it, so he’s doing everything in his power to play,” DeChambeau’s agent Brett Falkoff said. DeChambeau is one of the many stars slated to compete at one of the TOUR’s most prestigious events. Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and current FedExCup leader Hideki Matsuyama are among the game’s best who will tee it up at Bay Hill. Due to the event’s elevated status, the winner will receive a three-year TOUR exemption (instead of the usual two years) and 550 FedExCup points (instead of the usual 500). The Puerto Rico Open will also take place this week from Grand Reserve Country Club. There will be plenty of international up-and-comers, PGA TOUR winners – including former world No. 1 Luke Donald – and many of the top 2020-21 Korn Ferry Tour graduates heading to Puerto Rico for the 14th playing of the event. VIDEO OF THE WEEK MIC CHECK “I didn’t tell anybody in my family that I was going to play that Monday qualifier because I wanted to give them a surprise, and I could give them that, so it was like magical. – Martin Contini, who finished T-16 at The Honda Classic BY THE NUMBERS 2006 – With his victory at the Cologuard Classic, Miguel Angel Jimenez became the first player since Loren Roberts in 2006 to win two of the first three events in a season on PGA TOUR Champions. 5 – The number of shots Daniel Berger led by entering the final round at PGA National. It was the largest 54-hole lead on TOUR since Jon Rahm led by six shots after Round 3 of the 2021 Memorial Tournament presented by Workday. Rahm was forced to withdraw before Round 4 during that event due to a positive COVID-19 test. Berger lost Sunday after a 4-over 74 and finished solo fourth. COMCAST BUSINESS TOUR TOP 10 The Comcast Business TOUR TOP 10 highlights and rewards the extraordinary level of play required to earn a spot in the TOP 10 at the conclusion of the FedExCup Regular Season as determined by the FedExCup standings. The competition recognizes and awards the most elite in golf.

Click here to read the full article