2019 Desert Classic, End of Round 1: Course scoring averages: LaQuinta CC (LQ): -2.58 strokes per round Nicklaus Tournament Course (NT): -2.29 Stadium Course (SC): -1.12 Current cutline: 69 players at -3 or better (T53rd position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines (3 round cut): 7 under par: 17.4% 8 under par: 16.1% 6 under par: 16.0% Top 5 win probabilities: Phil Mickelson (1, -12, LQ) : 19.7% Jon Rahm (T8, -6, LQ) : 11.0% Adam Hadwin (T4, -7, SC) : 7.5% Justin Rose (T31, -4, LQ) : 7.4% Patrick Cantlay (T18, -5, NT) : 6.3% NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Desert Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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