2021 3M Open, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: -0.6 strokes per round Morning wave: -1.16 Afternoon wave: -0.04 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 82 players at -1 or better (T64) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 2 under par: 37.6% 2. 3 under par: 36.6% 3. 1 under par: 12.2% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Jhonattan Vegas (T1, -7, 10.4%) 2. Rickie Fowler (T1, -7, 8.3%) 3. Troy Merritt (T1, -7, 6.8%) 4. Louis Oosthuizen (T21, -3, 6.6%) 5. Chez Reavie (T7, -5, 4.8%) 6. Roger Sloan (T4, -6, 3.8%) 7. Cameron Tringale (T10, -4, 3.6%) 8. Scott Stallings (T4, -6, 3.6%) 9. Adam Schenk (T4, -6, 3.3%) 10. Keegan Bradley (T21, -3, 2.7%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the 3M Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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Final Round Score - Corey Conners | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -145 |
Under 67.5 | +110 |
Final Round Score - Patrick Cantlay | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | +105 |
Under 67.5 | -135 |
Final Round 2-Balls - P. Cantlay / C. Conners | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners | +115 |
Patrick Cantlay | -105 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups - T. Fleetwood v P. Cantlay | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay | -110 |
Tommy Fleetwod | -110 |
Final Round Score - Harris English | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +115 |
Under 68.5 | -150 |
Final Round Score - Rickie Fowler | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -105 |
Under 68.5 | -125 |
Final Round 2-Balls - H. English / R. Fowler | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Harris English | -105 |
Rickie Fowler | +115 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups - K. Mitchell / H. English | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Harris English | -110 |
Keith Mitchell | -110 |
Final Round Score - Tommy Fleetwood | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -110 |
Under 67.5 | -120 |
Final Round Score - Jacob Bridgeman | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +105 |
Under 68.5 | -135 |
Final Round Six Shooter - R. McIlroy / J. Thomas / T. Fleetwood / S. Straka / H. Matsuyama / S. Lowry | |
Type: Final Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +260 |
Justin Thomas | +400 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +475 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +500 |
Sepp Straka | +500 |
Shane Lowry | +500 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Bridgeman / T. Fleetwood | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Jacob Bridgeman | +145 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -130 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups - N. Taylor / J. Bridgeman | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Jacob Bridgeman | -110 |
Nick Taylor | -110 |
Final Round Score - Rory McIlroy | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | -110 |
Under 66.5 | -120 |
Final Round Score - Tony Finau | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -135 |
Under 67.5 | +105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - T. Finau / R. McIIroy | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -180 |
Tony Finau | +200 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups - S. Burns / T. Finau | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | -115 |
Tony Finau | -105 |
Final Round Match-Ups - J. Thomas / R. McIIroy | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -135 |
Justin Thomas | +115 |
Final Round Score - Sungjae Im | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -155 |
Under 67.5 | +120 |
Final Round Score - Sam Burns | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -135 |
Under 67.5 | +105 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Burns / S. Im | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | +110 |
Sungjae Im | +100 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups - S. Straka / S. Im | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | -120 |
Sungjae Im | +100 |
Final Round Score - Hideki Matsuyama | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -110 |
Under 67.5 | -120 |
Final Round Score - Nick Taylor | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +115 |
Under 68.5 | -150 |
Final Round 2-Balls - H. Matsuyama / N. Taylor | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Hideki Matsuyama | -135 |
Nick Taylor | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups - H. Matsuyama / S. Lowry | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN | |
Hideki Matsuyama | -110 |
Shane Lowry | -110 |
Final Round Score - Justin Thomas | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | +135 |
Under 67.5 | -175 |
Final Round Score - Keith Mitchell | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +100 |
Under 68.5 | -130 |
Final Round 2-Balls - J. Thomas / K. Mitchell | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Justin Thomas | -150 |
Keith Mitchell | +165 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Score - Sepp Straka | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -120 |
Under 67.5 | -110 |
Final Round Score - Shane Lowry | |
Type: Final Round Score - Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -110 |
Under 67.5 | -120 |
Final Round 2-Balls - S. Straka / S. Lowry | |
Type: Including Tie - Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | +105 |
Shane Lowry | +105 |
Tie | +750 |
Major Specials 2025 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +160 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +350 |
Xander Schauffele | +350 |
Ludvig Aberg | +400 |
Collin Morikawa | +450 |
Jon Rahm | +450 |
Justin Thomas | +550 |
Brooks Koepka | +700 |
Viktor Hovland | +700 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +800 |
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PGA Championship 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +450 |
Scottie Scheffler | +450 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1100 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2200 |
Jon Rahm | +2200 |
Joaquin Niemann | +3500 |
Brooks Koepka | +4000 |
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US Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1200 |
Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
Jon Rahm | +1400 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
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The Open 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +500 |
Scottie Scheffler | +550 |
Xander Schauffele | +1100 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
Collin Morikawa | +1600 |
Jon Rahm | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Shane Lowry | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +2500 |
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Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -150 |
Europe | +140 |
Tie | +1200 |