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Confidence Factor: Fantasy advice for the Memorial Tournament

For the 43rd-consecutive season, the PGA TOUR heads to Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, for the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide. Jack Nicklaus plays gracious host this week as the invitational field of 120 players will battle for a purse of $8.9 million, a winner’s check of $1.602 million 500 FedExCup Points and a three-year exemption on TOUR. Nicklaus first had the vision for this tournament in the mid-60’s, and it became a reality with the first edition, won by Roger Maltbie, in 1976. MVGC has a proud history as it’s hosted the Ryder Cup, U.S. Amateur, Solheim Cup and Presidents Cup. Jason Dufner rolled to a three-shot victory last year and is back to defend his title. He’ll be looking to join the list of one as Tiger Woods, who won this event three years in a row from 1999-2001, is the only player to defend the title. Stretched to almost 7,400 yards (7,392) and playing to Par-72, MVGC will test the leaders to the end. Since 2005 there have only been two winners who won by more than two shots. Interestingly enough, Rickie Fowler was second to Jason Dufner by three shots last year and couldn’t close his 54-hole lead in 2010 as Justin Rose also won by three shots. Tiger Woods has won there five times, and Kenny Perry is second with three titles. It’s interesting to point out that four of the last eight winners broke their TOUR maiden at this event. It’s also interesting to point out that 25-of-42 tournaments have been delayed by the weather. Just as in life, sometimes we have to go backwards to move forward — and that was Dufner’s story last year. He opened with 65 to share the lead with David Lingmerth but his second round 65 saw him set the 36-hole scoring record. He sat five clear of the field entering Round 3 and looked to be in cruise control before a 77 knocked him out of the final pairing. Life comes at you pretty fast at MVGC and the train can get off the track quickly if shots start leaking off the tee and into greens. Dufner demonstrated his class and toughness as he rode the windy conditions on Sunday plus a weather delay to fire the second-best round of the day 68 to win by three shots on 13-under-par 275. Just six of 76 players posted scores in the 60’s on Sunday and only Anirban Lahiri went lower (65). Daniel Summerhays, the 54-hole leader by three shots, bested Dufner’s 77 by shooting 78 from the lead on Sunday. There was no mystery to Dufner’s success as he dominated tee-to-green but it is interesting to note his best finish prior to last year in five previous starts was just T19. He also MC at Colonial the week before. There are always exceptions to the rules, and the 2016 edition was exactly that as MVGC was run over. That week the absence of sunshine and wind turned MVGC into target practice. The pros set the cut at 142 (-2), the lowest in tournament history and MVGC had three rounds average less than 71. To put that in perspective, there were only nine tournament rounds in the history of the event to average less than 71. William McGirt took advantage and picked up his first and only TOUR win defeating Jon Curran in a two-hole playoff after both players posted 15-under 273. The top 19 players posted four over-par rounds for the week and they were all on Sunday while the top 26 were double-digits under-par. When it’s soft and windless, MVGC opens its doors to all comers. Dustin Johnson made 10 birdies in Round 1 to shoot 64 but finished third. Rory McIlroy was second in shots gained: putting as he finished T4. Curran had never played this event before. As we look back, we see more interesting angles and trends during David Lingmerth’s playoff victory over Justin Rose in 2015. It was the second year in a row with a playoff after Hideki Matsuyama defeated Kevin Na in 2014. Matsuyama won in his first time at MVGC and won for the first time on TOUR as well. Rose, similarly to Summerhays last year, couldn’t hold a three-shot lead. With perfect scoring conditions similar to 2016, Lingmerth made up those three shots to force and win the playoff. Jordan Spieth closed with 65 but missed out on the fun by two shots as Lingmerth and Rose both signed for 15-under 273. The cut fell at 143 (-1) to tie the record. Jason Dufner sat one shot off Lingmerth’s 36-hole lead of 12-under but played the weekend 74-75 for T24. Lingmerth’s win was the ninth by international players while Rose fell short of joining the multiple winners’ club. He would have been their seventh member. The only player to do the Colonial-MVGC is of course Kenny Perry. Buy yourself a beer if you knew that one! The forecast this week will be as important as the depth of the field as eight of the top 10 OWGR and 32 of the top 50 are in the field this week. NOTE: Golfers inside the top 25 in each statistic on the 2017-18 PGA TOUR are listed only if they are scheduled to compete this week. * – Finished inside the top 10 since 2013 or is a former winner. Greens in Regulation Rank  Golfer 1  Henrik Stenson 2  *Jordan Spieth 3  *Adam Scott 4  *Kyle Stanley 5  *Kevin Streelman 6  *Gary Woodland 8  *Bubba Watson 11 Russell Knox 16 *Dustin Johnson 18 *Justin Rose 19 Emiliano Grillo 20 *Pat Perez 21 *Rickie Fowler 22 Bryson DeChambeau 25 *Keegan Bradley 26 *Justin Thomas SG: Approach the Green Rank  Golfer 1  Henrik Stenson 3  Keegan Bradley 4  Chesson Hadley 7  *Justin Thomas 8  *Jordan Spieth 10 Stewart Cink 11 Phil Mickelson 11 J.J. Spaun 14 *Tiger Woods 15 *Adam Scott 17 Emiliano Grillo 18 Bryson DeChambeau 19 *Chris Kirk 21 *Kevin Chappell 23 *Justin Rose 24 Zach Johnson 26 Marc Leishman Scrambling Rank  Golfer 1  Henrik Stenson 4  Jason Day 5  Louis Oosthuizen 6  *Jordan Spieth 7  *Rickie Fowler 8  *Justin Thomas 9  *Kevin Na 10 *Chris Kirk 11 Alex Cejka 14 *Kevin Streelman 17 *Jim Furyk 17 *Hideki Matsuyama 19 Brian Gay 20 *William McGirt 21 *Patrick Reed 23 *Justin Rose 24 *Ryan Moore 26 *Tiger Woods Par-4 Scoring Rank  Golfer 1  Henrik Stenson 2  *Justin Rose 4  *Dustin Johnson 4  *Justin Thomas 6  Jason Day 6  *Rickie Fowler 6  *Jordan Spieth 9  *Marc Leishman 9  *Hideki Matsuyama 12 Emiliano Grillo 12 *Patrick Reed 12 *Kevin Streelman 12 Chesson Hadley 12 Phil Mickelson 19 *Bubba Watson 19 Bryson DeChambeau 19 Rory Sabbatini 19 *Pat Perez 19 *Matt Kuchar Par-5 Scoring Rank  Golfer 1  *Dustin Johnson 3  *Justin Thomas 4  Tony Finau 5  Bryson DeChambeau 6  *Jordan Spieth 9  *Justin Rose 11 Phil Mickelson 14 *Rory McIlroy 14 Kevin Tway 14 *Kevin Na 17 Jason Day 17 Luke List 20 Cameron Smith 20 Billy Horschel 23 *Ryan Moore 23 Byeong-Hun An 23 Martin Laird 23 *Kevin Kisner 23 Zach Johnson 23 *Kevin Chappell 23 Patrick Cantlay After playing an American-style links course two weeks ago, followed by a tight-American classic at Colonial last week, the TOUR arrives outside of Columbus to a classic parkland design. Jack Nicklaus wanted MVGC to be known as the “Augusta of the North” so we should have some serious clues from that phrase alone. Only the greens at Augusta National are faster than the ones in Columbus (13 feet) according to Woods and Spieth. There is plenty of room to land it off the tee but errant shots, unlike Augusta National, will be penalized by rough off the fairway and plenty of trees. The defense of the course is the greens. The speed is there but so is the undulation and back-to-front slope design. Oh, and don’t forget about the three-plus inches of rough that players will have to navigate if they don’t arrive in regulation. Keeping the ball on the proper tier and putting uphill will be the way to go. Those who miss the green altogether and keep the ball above the hole will bring bogey or worse into play. Nobody has ever taken less than 100 putts in this event The good news is that the big stick will have plenty of usage this week after a week of careful navigation at Colonial. A look at the winners over the last 10 years suggests a multitude of styles can be successful. For every Woods, Rose and Matsuyama, there’s Matt Kuchar, Steve Stricker and McGirt who have also claimed the trophy. Dufner isn’t notoriously long, but he’s a wonderful iron player. The sign of a great event is a track that accommodates multiple styles and this week qualifies. My preference will be guys who can get it down the fairway and have lofted clubs in their hands to attack the greens. More loft usually means more accuracy. With slick, tiered greens and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens, there will be bogeys this week. In a “normal” weather year last year there were just six bogey-free rounds for the week. This isn’t the spot to be wild off the tee as the rough is penal and recovery shots into smallish greens are never easy. Those who don’t compound their errors and take their medicine will be just fine. Bogeys happen here, so those who are mentally tough and accept them will have an advantage. The streak of three straight first-time TOUR winners by the veteran Dufner last year suggests that winning experience isn’t needed around here. I’ll point out in 42 previous events here there have been seven first-time winners. If the forecast is the normal “crazy” weather, I’ll argue the exact opposite. Rob Bolton’s Power Rankings will give you more juice for the week so make sure you stop by. It’s also who I trust with the weather each week, so pay attention! NOTE: The groups below are comprehensive to assist in data mining. Inclusion doesn’t imply automatic endorsement in every fantasy game as all decisions are specific to your situation.    

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The Chevron Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul+900
Nelly Korda+1000
Lydia Ko+1400
A Lim Kim+2000
Jin Young Ko+2000
Angel Yin+2500
Ayaka Furue+2500
Charley Hull+2500
Haeran Ryu+2500
Lauren Coughlin+2500
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Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry+350
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama+1200
J.T. Poston / Keith Mitchell+1800
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre+1800
Billy Horschel / Tom Hoge+2000
Aaron Rai / Sahith Theegala+2200
Wyndham Clark / Taylor Moore+2200
Ben Griffin / Andrew Novak+2500
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman+2500
Nicolai Hojgaard / Rasmus Hojgaard+2500
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Mitsubishi Electric Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Steven Alker+700
Stewart Cink+700
Padraig Harrington+800
Ernie Els+1000
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1200
Alex Cejka+2000
Bernhard Langer+2000
K J Choi+2000
Retief Goosen+2000
Stephen Ames+2000
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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Xander Schauffele+1400
Jon Rahm+1800
Justin Thomas+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Brooks Koepka shares the lead … and his thoughts about getting nakedBrooks Koepka shares the lead … and his thoughts about getting naked

ATLANTA – It was fun. It was rewarding. And yes …  “Getting naked’s a bit weird, the first time you actually pull that robe off in front of 30, 40 people,â€� said Brooks Koepka, the world’s top-ranked golfer and the latest one to appear in ESPN’s Body Issue. On his Instagram account Wednesday, Koepka posted a photo revealing the fact he’ll be in the magazine’s annual feature of athletes without uniforms – or any other kind of clothing for that matter. (The issue is available in early September.)  On Thursday, after shooting a 3-under 67 that moved him into a three-way tie for the lead at the TOUR Championship – he’s now 10 under in the new Starting Strokes format, sharing the score with Xander Schauffele (64) and Justin Thomas (70) – Koepka revealed his thoughts. RELATED: Tee times | Big names tied atop leaderboard | How new format works  “It was something I enjoyed,â€� he said. “I was looking forward to it for months. It’s something I definitely don’t regret doing. It’s been enjoyable to see the pictures over the last couple of months and see, I guess, all the hard work I put into it and see the results.â€� Of course, anybody who follows Koepka or his girlfriend Jena Sims on social media already has received an eyeful, with Koepka wearing a thong in a few photos. “I’ve basically given everybody a preview in a thong,â€� he said, “so … just a little strip of clothing left I had to pull off.â€� The photo shoot took place this spring, after some intense two-a-day training in the gym along with a strict, calorie-counting diet. Koepka weighed 187 pounds for the shoot; he’s now about 210 pounds. “I’ve got a great dad bod right now,â€� he said. Koepka becomes the fourth male golfer to appear in the Body Issue, which made its debut in 2009. Camilo Villegas appeared in 2010, Gary Player in 2013 and Greg Norman last year. In addition, several female golfers also have appeared. Some of Koepka’s photos were shot outdoors at the Floridian National Golf Club. Koepka said there were people on the course. Koepka’s coach Claude Harmon also was giving a lesson at the time to a junior player. “I’ll never forget this one shot,â€� Koepka said. “They were trying to get this shot, and I’m up on the tee box. They had all their camera stuff set up in front of me, like face-on, but around the corner I see Claude teaching this maybe 12-year-old kid, and his mom is just over here. I’m like, this is awkward. And Claude’s peaking around the corner laughing. … “I’m pretty sure everybody that was at the golf course saw me that day.â€� And now everybody else is about to see him – especially his fellow PGA TOUR pros, including Rickie Fowler, who was once asked to be in the Body Issue but declined the offer.  “I figured there would be some sort of hazing in the locker room afterwards,â€� he said. So has he given Koepka any grief? “I haven’t, no,â€� Fowler replied. “But he’s bigger than me.â€� Rory McIlroy was asked in 2015 to pose. He also declined. “It’s just a little strange,â€� he said. “… You have to have a bit of confidence to get up there and do it in the first place, so good on him.â€� Koepka said he hasn’t received any jabs from his fellow pros. Nor, he added, should they be shocked by anything they see in the photos. “I’ve walked around naked in the locker room before,â€� Koepka said. One pro, however, did manage to share a bit of the spotlight. A photo of a shirtless Phil Mickelson in the ocean was posted on his sister Tina’s Twitter account , showing off the weight loss – and defined abs – for the 49-year-old World Golf Hall of Famer. “Was there a coincidence that Phil released his pictures at the same time,â€� cracked fellow pro Paul Casey, who then added, “Has he let that breath out? … Is he a breather?â€� Koepka took it all in stride. “Laid one on me again,â€� Koepka said of the Mickelson photo. “Leave it to Phil. He’s good at it. He knows what he’s doing. He looked good, though.â€�

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Chelsea Stewart’s letter to her dadChelsea Stewart’s letter to her dad

Dear Dad, It’s hard to believe it’s been 20 years … People say time heals all wounds, but I don’t believe that. Sure, as the years have gone by, I’ve learned how to manage my sadness in losing you. But the pain never really goes away. I think about you every day, miss you every day. Even as I write this, the waterworks are starting. I still remember the last time I saw you. I remember what I was wearing that day; I remember what I had for breakfast (as usual, you made us banana pancakes). Mom then took us to school, and as we were pulling out of the garage, you were standing there on the stairs, blowing us kisses. I cling to that last memory, comforted in knowing how much you loved us. A few hours later, I was in the school cafeteria. I couldn’t hear the intercom but, apparently, they were calling my name, and some friends told me I was wanted in the principal’s office. I didn’t think much of it, but when I got there, Aaron was there too. We were told something was going on with your plane and that we were being sent home early. Aaron said, “Why don’t we just call his cell phone?” And I thought to myself, “I’m sure they’ve already tried that,” but I didn’t want to scare him, so I didn’t say anything. So Aaron tried calling, but you didn’t answer; it went straight to voicemail, and I got more anxious. Johnny Brendle picked us up and took us home, and as we were driving, he wouldn’t turn on the car radio – another inkling that something was wrong. Then when we rounded the corner to go down our street, I saw a news truck. I remember that taking my breath away, that’s when I knew that it was something bad, but I tried to keep control of my emotions, mainly for Aaron’s sake. Or maybe because I didn’t want to let myself think the worst just yet. There were lots of people at the house. Mom met us at the door and we went upstairs, to yours and Mom’s bedroom. We sat on the bed and that’s when she told us what happened. I fell backwards onto the bed, screaming. And I kept screaming for what seemed like forever. Finally, the three of us hugged each other as tight as possible, and the rest of the day is a bit of a blur. That night, we all slept together in yours and mom’s bed. I fell asleep with the pillow you used for your sore neck. It smelled like you, and that smell helped me fall asleep that night and for many nights to come. I clung to that pillow and the smell of you for as long as I could. And Mom … she was hurting so much that day, but she stayed strong for us. You would’ve been so proud of her. I think it’s the milestone events when I’ve missed you the most these last 20 years. Graduating from high school, graduating from college – that was always a big thing for you. I know you’d be pleased that I got a degree from Clemson, but you’d be super-pumped that Aaron played golf at SMU, where he was the team captain. He’s done a better job than I have at following in your footsteps. I got three extra years with you, and he was robbed of that, but he’s an amazing person. Aaron’s still involved in golf. He just got named tournament director for the season-opening event on the LPGA Tour. That’s a big promotion, and I’m so excited for him! He’s so much like you — he’s the life of the party, has never met a stranger. Everybody is his best friend. Sometimes when Mom sees Aaron walking, or sees some of his mannerisms, she’ll just say out loud, “Oh, that’s so Payne.â€� He and his wife Naiara got married a couple of years ago, and they’re living in Orlando, close to Mom. Sometimes I’ll text him and ask if he’s checked on her lately – not that she needs anybody to do that. But I’m happy he’s close by. Speaking of … I’m also married, to a wonderful man named Patrick. That was on Oct. 10, 2015 – and it was another day that I really missed you. I will always remember the time we watched “Father of the Brideâ€� and we talked about you walking me down the aisle. I always dreamed of that day – with you in it. When the day finally arrived, I knew you were there in spirit. After all the bridesmaids had gone into the church, I was waiting behind the closed doors in the back. Mom was standing next to me, holding my hand when Aaron came to get us to walk down the aisle. We all looked at each other and started to tear up, all thinking that you should have been there. But Aaron — just like you would’ve done — cracked a little joke to make me laugh so that I wouldn’t cry all the way to the altar. We then looked at each other and said, “It’s going to be a wonderful day.” And it was. The doors opened and the three of us walked together down the aisle. But the joy of that day will always have a tinge of sadness. That’s just how it is now. You would love Patrick. He’s patient and kind. He’s a lot like Robert, so smart and he can command a room. He gets things done and he’s handy — every time we go home to visit Mom, she has a list of things for him to help her fix, and he does it with a smile. He’s also my partner in parenting, just like you were with Mom. And when he’s at home, he focuses on being a dad, wanting to spend time with William and me. We’re his priority. I’m sure you’re happy to know that I’ve found my soulmate, just like you and Mom did. That’s another milestone I want to tell you about – my little boy. He just turned 14 months old. We named him William Robert, after you and Robert. William has your beautiful blue eyes. He also has your mischievousness. Oh, and not surprising – he loves to entertain, just like you did. Right now, his big thing is playing hide-and-seek; he thinks it’s hilarious. When I make pancakes for him, I’ll sometimes sing him the pancake song that you used to sing to us … “Aunt Jemima pancakes, without the syrup, is like the spring, without the fall …â€� I inherited your singing voice and can’t carry a tune in a bucket … but he lights up anyway, just like Aaron and I used to. I told Mom recently that I’ve never appreciated her more than in these last 14 months since I’ve been a mother. If I was put in the same situation that she faced, well, I hope I would make the same choices and be able to raise my child the way she did. She pulled off a miracle with me and Aaron in that we’re not 100 percent messed up. She stepped up and was our rock, even though her world was falling apart. She filled that dual role. The sacrificial love that she gave us, basically putting her life on hold so she could focus on the two of us … it’s incredible. When you have a tragedy that early in life, there are a lot of different paths you can go down, and she was intent on making sure we lived up to your legacy. She came to every one of my volleyball games, and she watched Aaron play golf and other sports. She was always there to support us. She’s an amazing mom — and now she’s an amazing grandmother. We try to talk every day, and she gets bent out of shape if she doesn’t get her daily FaceTime. Of course, I think I’ve been replaced by William on those calls, but that’s OK. It’s wonderful to see her in that role. But at the same time, I know her heart hurts. She realizes this is a season of life you would’ve both enjoyed, being grandparents together. She pours everything into William and she puts on a wonderful face, but sometimes I sense a little sadness there. It’s bittersweet, as many things are. Fortunately, we’ve been comforted by all the things that keep your memory alive, and all the lives that have been positively impacted since you died. We’ve received so many letters from people telling us how much you meant to them, and how they re-evaluated their lives after your accident. People have been brought to Christ through your death. I know you’d want to hear that. Then there’s the World Golf Hall of Fame and the Payne Stewart Award and all the other things to keep your memory alive, with people realizing why your life was so significant — not only that you were a great golfer but that you strived to be a great person. That’s incredibly important in our society right now. Not sure if you can see it from up there, but we need more people like you. We need to know and believe in people who do the right thing. One of my best friends from Clemson sent me a message on Instagram — that’s an app on social media, you would have loved it! – after this year’s Payne Stewart Award presentation. The sister of one of her friends was part of Kids Across America, which is supported by our family foundation and Southern Company’s Payne Stewart Award Grant, and now she’s a teaching professional! Such a small world, to see how this person’s life was impacted by you. That connection is one of many “winks from God” I get on a regular basis to let me know you’re watching over me. People still ask me, even 20 years later, how I’m doing. I tell them we’re OK. A lot of people lose a father, and they don’t have the backbone of support from their mother like we did. We were very fortunate that way. But the holidays are coming up, and those always bring back memories. I remember how much you loved Christmas; the music on full-blast as soon as Thanksgiving arrived, and you wearing your Santa hat and putting up the huge tree with all the lights. You made it such a joy. After the accident … well, to be honest, that joy was missing for a few years. But as our family has expanded, we’ve done a better job at celebrating together. As much as we love and miss you, I’m so grateful for being your daughter. Although I only had you for 13 years, I wouldn’t trade those years for anything. You showed me more love than a lot of kids get their entire lives from their dad, and I feel incredibly blessed to have been given that amount of time. I’ve often described myself as Daddy’s little girl. It’s a label I wear proudly, and it’s your legacy that I look forward to sharing with William one day. He needs to hear about his granddad. He’ll never get to meet you, but he will keep you alive in his heart, just as the rest of us have been doing for 20 years … and will continue to do, forever. I love you, Daddy. Payne Stewart died at the age of 42 on Oct. 25, 1999, in an airplane accident that also killed five others, including Chelsea’s godfather, Robert Fraley, whom she refers to in the letter. (Johnny Brendle, also referenced, is a retired PGA TOUR rules official and was the Stewarts’ next-door neighbor). Chelsea Stewart O’Brien, her brother Aaron Stewart and their mother Tracey Stewart have kept Payne Stewart’s memory alive with their involvement in many charitable activities, including the Payne Stewart Award, given annually by the PGA TOUR and presented by the Southern Company to the PGA TOUR player who best embodies character, charity and sportsmanship. For more information on the Payne Stewart Award, click here.  MORE ON PAYNE STEWART LISTEN: In a special, emotional episode of the PGA TOUR’s Up & Down podcast, Chelsea Stewart O’Brien and her brother Aaron Stewart discuss the day they lost their father and the impact his presence has – and continues to make – on their lives and the lives of fans around the world, two decades later. Download Up & Down everywhere you can listen to podcasts (Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, Google Play, Spotify, RSS or TuneIn). FAMILY ALBUM WATCH: Looking back at Payne Stewart’s legendary life and career.

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