Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Chase for top 125 in the FedExCup heats up at 3M Open

Chase for top 125 in the FedExCup heats up at 3M Open

With the sands to the 2020-21 PGA TOUR season quickly tumbling downward in the hourglass, this is crunch time for those on the bubble in the FedExCup standings. At the 3M Open this week outside Minneapolis, the race to finish in the top 125 to qualify for next month’s FedExCup Playoffs opener at Liberty National (THE NORTHERN TRUST) is very much front and center. RELATED: Leaderboard | Dustin Johnson looks to find form at 3M Open A handful of players on both sides the bubble have arrived at 3M and responded with some of their best golf of the season. With only three weeks remaining in the regular season – which includes next week’s break for The Olympics – count Chez Reavie (119th in the FedExCup standings) among those shining when he most needs to shine. Despite a sloppy bogey-6 at the par-5 18th – a hole he had eagled in the opening round – Reavie followed his opening 66 with a second-round, 4-under 67 to move into contention for the weekend at 3M. He is at 9-under 133. At one point this season, Reavie, who turns 40 in November, missed 10 cuts in 12 starts. In fact, you have to travel back to 2009 to find a season in which he has had as many weekends off as this one (14). Luckily for him, Reavie, eighth in the FedExCup final standings only two years ago, is experienced enough to know that if he kept his head down and kept working hard, eventually his game would turn for the better. It has. He arrived at 3M having missed only one cut in his last six starts, with top-20 finishes at Congaree and John Deere. “It was just more annoying than anything else,” Reavie said of his poor play to start the year. “Wasn’t playing bad, missed a lot of cuts by a shot and golf seemed really tough at the time. You know, I just kind of fought through it, and here we are playing well. I’ve played well the last few weeks, and that’s what I’m going to focus on.” Reavie was flawless through 17 holes on Friday, making five birdies and no bogeys. At the par-5 18th, he drove the ball into the native area down the left side and was only able to advance his second shot about 70 yards. He reached the green with his fourth shot and barely missed his 13-footer for par. Through two rounds, Reavie has been very encouraged by his quality of putting, which bodes well for a solid weekend. “Even like on the last hole, didn’t go in but I hit a great putt and it had every opportunity to go in, so that’s just what I want to focus on for the weekend,” Reavie said. Every player from Nos. 114 through 127 in the FedExCup standings ventured to Minneapolis to try to improve his positioning for the stretch run, trying to find some late-season magic. On a day with temperatures in the 90s and the heat index soaring near 100, the early scoring was proving just as sizzling. Bo Hoag (125th) came through with a 66 Friday, and names on the bubble such as Scott Stallings (117th), Brice Garnett (121st) and Rickie Fowler (124th) were responding well to the pressure of their situations as the second wave of players teed off on Friday afternoon. Fowler, 32, never has missed the Playoffs in his 11 seasons on the PGA TOUR. Hoag, 32 and in his third PGA TOUR season, shot 67 on Thursday and said it was important to keep the pedal down on Friday. He made six birdies, and like Reavie, encountered his lone bogey on his final hole, with Hoag settling for 5 at the challenging 511-yard ninth, where he drove his ball into left-side native area and had to chop out to get back into play. As for the torrid pace of scoring at TPC Twin Cities, which was softened by rains on Thursday? Hoag said he embraces it. “You only have one option,” said Hoag, who has been lifted by recent solid showings at the Memorial (his hometown event in Ohio), where he was T13, and last week’s Barbasol Championship (T11). “You know you’re going to have to shoot a good round or else you’re going to get left behind. There’s no real guessing game. Just got to be pretty aggressive with the scoring clubs in your hands and try to make some birdies out there.” With Friday’s afternoon wave still on the golf course, four players shared the lead at 9-under 133: Roger Sloan (69); Reavie; Hoag; and Jhonnattan Vegas (69). Others on the bubble who finished in the early wave on Friday and made needed moves: No. 118 Camilo Villegas, who played his last seven holes in 4 under (including an eagle at 18) to shoot 69; No. 123 Chesson Hadley (at 3-under 139 after shooting 72); No. 126 Chase Seiffert, who rallied with a bogey-free 67 after shooting 73 Thursday; and No. 131 Michael Thompson, the tournament’s defending champion, who shot 67 to move inside the cutline at 3 under. “There’s a lot to play for this week,” Thompson said.

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THE PLAYERS Championship officials ready for wild weatherTHE PLAYERS Championship officials ready for wild weather

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. – PGA TOUR officials are confident they’re prepared for what is shaping up as a potentially tricky stretch of weather at THE PLAYERS Championship. On the eve of the opening round at TPC Sawgrass the extended forecast calls for a high likelihood of thunderstorms over the opening three days. Perhaps more ominously, there could be four different wind directions throughout the tournament. As an ominous precursor, the Stadium Course was evacuated early Wednesday afternoon as storms approached the area. Saturday could prove especially challenging with 20-30 mph sustained winds, and even heavier gusts, expected out of the west/northwest. Thursday brings an 80% chance of storms and winds of 10-18 mph out of the west/southwest. The forecast for Friday sits at 90% chance of storms with an east/southeast wind of 6-12 mph. “Rain and thunderstorms are likely both Thursday and Friday as a frontal boundary drops into northern Florida and stalls,” TOUR meteorologist Wade Stettner said in his forecast Wednesday. “This front is forecast to bring periods of rain with embedded thunderstorms over the two-day period.” Temperatures are also expected to drop significantly on Sunday with a high of just 54 degrees. The wind will switch to a 12-22 mph challenge out of the north/northeast in what, weather depending, would be the final round. “By Saturday morning a strong cold front is forecast to arrive and bring additional thunderstorms,” Stettner’s forecast continued. “This front should clear Ponte Vedra Beach by noon Saturday with dry conditions for the remainder of the weekend. Gusty winds will develop behind the front on Saturday with peak gusts over 30mph at times. Much colder temperatures are forecast this weekend.” In anticipation of the high weekend winds, and the potential for weather delays over the opening two days, officials will pay especially close attention to green speeds and pin locations during the set-up process. With the natural drainage on and around the greens only a few pin locations would be severely affected by rain, but high winds could render some spots unusable. For example, it’s unlikely there would be a hole close to the water at the par-4 fourth and island 17th holes. “We will once again meet this afternoon with the agronomy staff with the latest information at our disposal and obviously adjust our plans accordingly,” Chief Referee Gary Young said. “We are confident we will be as prepared as possible for what lies ahead. We are meticulous in every aspect but it is certainly fair to say Saturday’s winds are a point of focus for us, particularly as we could be finishing up Friday’s round on Saturday, so that affects Friday’s set up as well. “We need to keep in mind we could have a good amount of Friday’s round playing in that Saturday wind,” Young continued, “and they are opposite winds, so we need to find something that works well for both and that’s a challenge.” While in perfect weather officials would prepare and maintain firm and fast greens, the current forecast calls for a gradual decrease from top speed – as the tournament begins Thursday – to as much as an inch or an inch and a half slower speeds by Saturday. That would presumably eliminate the possibility of balls oscillating and even rolling away on the putting surfaces. Officials will take care to make it a gradual change rather than a big overnight shift so players don’t have to make significant adjustments. “Thankfully we’ve got time to make adjustments because we know what’s coming, so that helps in the planning,” Young said. “We have our target speeds for the high winds and we just need to get to that as slowly as possible.” Defending champion Justin Thomas was hoping for the best but also preparing himself for the worst. “I’ve heard horror stories from Tiger and Freddy and some guys about having to hit 5- or 6-iron into 17 on those cold north wind days, and I haven’t experienced that,” Thomas said. “When you get wind and cold temperatures like that, it’s just a different animal, and it’s really just a survival-type thing. “It’s not like I’m going into this week preparing any differently… I don’t get too wrapped up in the draw or what’s the weather going to be like Friday or what’s the wind going to be, because at the end of the day, weather people are wrong all the time.” Adam Scott, the 2004 champion, has experienced tough weather at TPC Sawgrass before. THE PLAYERS the year prior to his victory here, and the tournament the year after it, were played in tricky weather. “It’s a long time ago, but I was around for Davis Love’s win in 2003 when it was horrible, and Fred Funk’s win in 2005, that wasn’t good weather either,” Scott said ahead of his 20th PLAYERS start. “I think we played almost 36 holes on Monday that year because of all the weather delays. When this sort of weather happens the guy who really has his game in shape comes to the top. He can make those adjustments on the fly when he stands on the tee and it is a different wind than the day before, but you just easily pick the shot you need to compensate. Those in control of their swings will be the ones to watch.”

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DraftKings preview: THE PLAYERS ChampionshipDraftKings preview: THE PLAYERS Championship

The third tournament on the Florida swing is THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. The tournament will play as a par 72, measuring 7,256 yards, and be putt on TifEagle Bermuda overseeded with Poa trivialis/velvet bentgrass greens. This tournament had usually been played in May, but with the move to March (in 2019), the playing surface is the overseed. Set your DraftKings fantasy golf lineups here: $2.5M Fantasy Golf Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Semifinal Entry] (PGA TOUR) STRATEGY The Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass is a Pete Dye design and probably his most notable. The course isn’t too challenging; it’s not even Dye’s most formidable track. Still, TPC Sawgrass can play tough when the wind picks up, especially if the golfers’ irons aren’t precise. With 88 bunkers and 17 water hazards that come into play on 17 holes, it’s easy to make big numbers. In 2019, the tournament recorded the ninth-most bogeys and fourth-most double-bogeys. Some of the difficulties are how Dye makes sure golfers don’t get “used” to the course. The layout doesn’t have back-to-back holes featuring similarities of any kind. They’ll dogleg in opposite directions, either into or against the wind, and vary substantially in distance. Par 5s follow par 3s, which precedes a par 4, and some of these par 4s are behemoths, with four measuring over 460 yards. There are also three under 400 yards, so golfers will need to adapt at every turn. Like last week, scoring on the par 5s is a must with the difficulty and uniqueness of the par 4s. TPC Sawgrass recorded the second-most eagles on TOUR in 2019 and the third-most in 2018. The greens will be small and fast, which means overall proximity and Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green will be a priority. Last season, the tournament was back in March after moving back from May in 2019. The course usually plays fast and firm in May, but the golfers have mentioned it playing softer the last couple of years and using more drivers Off-the-Tee. Winds are more troublesome in March, and temperatures are cooler, so golf shots will not roll out as much. The forecast looks like we’re going to have inclement weather, so keep an eye on it as we get closer to Thursday. Like other Florida courses, golfers with course history at TPC Sawgrass have done relatively better than those who haven’t spent much time here. The past five winners have an average of four starts before their win, with Si Woo Kim ($7,300) winning in his second start and Justin Thomas ($10,400) winning in his sixth. Pricing is generous this week, and lineups could skew more balanced. Contrarian lineups should consider pairing expensive golfers with players priced in the bottom half. In 2018, the top seven golfers in DraftKings scoring were below $7,300, with two below $7,000. In 2019, three of the top six golfers in DraftKings scoring were in the $6,000 range, with Jhonathan Vegas finishing third place in the tournament priced at $6,100. Last season, the average salary from the top six in DraftKings scoring was $8,266, and the total salary was $49,600, so a balanced lineup can work as well. GOLFERS TO CONSIDER Hideki Matsuyama ($9,600) Paying up for Collin Morikawa ($10,700) or the aforementioned Thomas is fine, but let’s deploy some strategy and roster Matsuyama, who’s projected to be lower-rostered than both golfers above as of now. Last week, Hideki finished inside the top 20 in tough conditions at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, gaining 6.29 strokes Tee-to-Green for the tournament. His golf was stellar over the weekend, but especially on Sunday, shooting 2-under and gaining 4.9 strokes Tee-to-Green, which ranked second to only Corey Conners ($7,300). It’s been feast or famine with Hideki here, finishing inside the top 10 in 2019 and 2016 but missing the cut in 2018 and 2021. Last season, his early departure came thanks to a poor front nine on Thursday, shooting 5-over, although he rallied back on the inward nine and on Friday to only miss the cut by one stroke. Let’s also not forget he led after the first round in 2020, shooting 9-under while hitting 15 of 18 greens and not missing a putt inside 10 feet. The tournament eventually got canceled due to COVID-19, so we weren’t able to see how he or any other golfer would have finished. Over the previous 24 rounds at TPC Sawgrass, Matsuyama ranks 10th in DraftKings points gained over the field. Daniel Berger ($8,800) Berger was nearly perfect at PGA National for three rounds, gaining six strokes with his irons and 6.1 on the greens. On Sunday, he hit a wall and struggled with his ball-striking, eventually finishing fourth after losing a five-shot lead coming into Round 4 of The Honda Classic. Still, it was Berger’s second top-5 finish of the year, and he remains inside the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green over the previous 24 rounds. A top 10 here in his second start was due to a hot putter, and Berger was fourth in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green last year, which also led to a top-10. If/when Berger’s roster percentage increases, Brooks Koepka ($8,600) should be in consideration. A top-3 finish at the WM Phoenix Open and a 16th at the Honda Classic where he was 12th in Tee-to-Green are a couple of indications he’s playing well and maybe healthy for the first time. He’s immaculate on these greens and hasn’t missed the cut in his past four tournaments at TPC Sawgrass. Max Homa ($7,500) Fourth in approach last week (+5.7) and gaining with his irons in four-straight events, Homa has now finished inside the top 17 in four of his previous five starts. He missed the cut on debut here but gained just under three strokes with his irons on his first appearance at TPC Sawgrass. He’s also playing well on par 5s, ranking fourth over the previous 12 rounds. Kyoung-Hoon (KH) Lee ($6,300) It wasn’t pretty for Lee other than Round 1 last week, where he gained 3.05 stokes Tee-to-Green, 1.9 through approach. He ended up in 42nd place, but finished 22nd in DraftKings scoring, proving he can score. He’s flashed in solid fields already this season, leading after Round 1 at TPC Scottsdale, shooting 65 and gaining 5.6 strokes Tee-to-Green. He’s also done exceptionally well on TPC courses, finishing runner up at the 2021 WM Phoneix Open (TPC Scottsdale), sixth at the 3M Open (TPC Twin Cities) last season, 13th at the 2019 Travelers Championship (TPC River Highlands) and 14th at the 2021 Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin. Even though he’s struggling with his irons, it’s getting better each tournament, losing less than the one prior. Set your DraftKings fantasy golf lineups here: $2.5M Fantasy Golf Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Semifinal Entry] (PGA TOUR) Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game. Place your golf bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app. All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. 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