Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Big week for small ball at RBC Heritage

Big week for small ball at RBC Heritage

Strength matters in sports, golf is a sport, ergo strength (distance) matters in golf. But at courses like Harbour Town Golf Links, home of this week’s RBC Heritage, it just doesn’t matter as much as it normally does on the PGA TOUR. Quirky but good—that’s what Xander Schauffele calls the course, a par 71 of only 7,099 yards and with greens that average just 3,700 square feet. Others call it a throwback to old-school, target golf. “This property historically suits sort of a shorter hitter that’s very precise, putts well and wedges it pretty well,â€� said Schauffele, who is coming off a T2 finish at the Masters Tournament last week. “You can sneak a few extra drivers off the tee, but you don’t really have to.â€� Schauffele is no one’s idea of a shorter hitter, but neither was five-time champion Davis Love III, and he did OK here. “I wouldn’t show up if I didn’t think I could win,â€� Schauffele said. RELATED: Power Rankings | Expert Picks | Tee times | Featured Groups Neither would RBC ambassador Dustin Johnson, who is in the field this week and looked comfortable in finishing T16 here last season. This, despite the fact that the roster of champions at the RBC Heritage is full of highly skilled but not particularly long players. Loren Roberts (1996), Brian Gay (2009), Jim Furyk (2010, ’15) and Graeme McDowell (2013) are among those who are average- or even below-average in driving distance but have worn the plaid coat. “Just need more golf courses like this on the TOUR,â€� said Kevin Kisner, who lost a playoff to Furyk here in ’15. Precision players love cozy courses. Then again, if the wind blows, it helps to have the strength to power through it. “The golf course is really good,â€� said Johnson, who finished a career-best T2 at the Masters, his fourth straight top-10 there and sixth top-10 (including a win at the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship) in nine TOUR starts this season. “It’s tight. It’s tree-lined. It’s kind of position golf. If you’re playing well, or if I’m playing well, I enjoy any golf course.â€� Harbour Town, with the second smallest greens on TOUR, featured the shortest average driving distance (273 yards, behind only Pebble Beach) last season. Accuracy off the tee and pinpoint iron play are more important that brawn. Witness defending champ Satoshi Kodaira, who led in Strokes Gained: Proximity-to-the-Hole as he averaged nearly six feet closer than the field average of 35 feet, 5 inches last year. Or the success here of 2014 RBC Heritage champion Matt Kuchar, the FedExCup leader, who is seventh in SG: Approach-the-Green this season. The type of player who thrives at Harbour Town also tends to do well at El Camaleon Golf Club (Mayakoba Golf Classic) and Waialae Country Club (Sony Open in Hawaii), which is why you have players like Kuchar, who has won on all three courses. All told, he’s made 197 total birdies at RBC Heritage since 2003, second only to Stewart Cink (217). Then there’s McDowell, who like Kuchar has won Mayakoba and RBC Heritage but also at Pebble Beach (2010 U.S. Open), the only course with greens smaller than Harbour Town. He’s not a bad pick this week, either, having just ended his win drought at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship three weeks ago. That leaves the bombers to remind themselves about the success of Love, one of the longest hitters of his era but also a pinpoint iron player who twice won THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass, another Pete Dye design that largely negates the usual advantages of length. Luke List and Bryson DeChambeau, who tied for third at the RBC Heritage last year, aren’t short, either. “If I’m hitting the ball where I want to,â€� Johnson said, “it doesn’t matter what kind of course it is; I like it. And this is the kind of golf I grew up playing. It’s something I’m used to.â€� He even likened Harbour Town to Augusta National, one of the TOUR’s most wide-open and bomber-friendly tracks. “It’s actually a good preparation for this week as far as because you’ve got to hit your numbers,â€� Johnson said. “These greens are really small. Last week the greens were big, but very small quadrants. There’s a lot of similarities, even though the golf course may not look anything alike.â€�

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Congaree Global Golf Initiative helps pave way from high school to next levelCongaree Global Golf Initiative helps pave way from high school to next level

Anthony Ford had made history in high school but was unsure about the specifics of college golf. Kharynton Beggs was coming off a back injury and wondered if her dream had already died. Maeve Cummins stood out in Northern Ireland but was apprehensive about coming to America. All three are playing collegiately thanks in no small part to the Congaree Global Golf Initiative (CGGI), an immersive golf and life skills program at an 18th-century estate in the middle of South Carolina. CGGI transforms lives via equal parts education and game-improvement, with the aim of getting kids college golf scholarships. There’s instruction, club-fitting, and yoga, but also SAT prep, time-management, and college placement. The program fits nicely into the philanthropic mission of Congaree, a world-class golf club set amid 2,000 acres of Lowcountry longleaf pines and lakes. “My mom didn’t believe it was real,” says Cummins, who was among the first wave of CGGI campers in 2017 and now plays for Div. II Carson-Newman University in Tennessee. “She was like, ‘This has to be a scam.’ I was all in, straightaway.” Cummins, who as a freshman would win Women’s Golfer of the Year for the South Atlantic Conference, had received a gem of a letter. It read, in part: You have been recommended by a member of Congaree’s global network of ambassadors based on your interest in golf and for your dedication and desire to pursue higher education and a collegiate golf career. She would get coaching from PGA professionals, on a Tom Fazio-designed course, with input from education and testing experts – including a seasoned college-placement professional. She and her mother, who had just picked her up from school to go play golf, were flabbergasted. “I shot under par that day,” Cummins says. “I was on cloud nine. It was pretty cool.” This week’s Palmetto Championship at Congaree will change the life of the player who wins it, but just as impactful will be CGGI, an all-expenses-paid golf immersive that prepares promising high schoolers to tee it up in college. The fifth season of the program will start when 15 new campers roll into Congaree on the Monday after the tournament. “What I like about it is we’re helping kids make a decision to commit to education,” says CGGI Executive Program Director Bruce Davidson. “Education is the key. Going to university to play a sport gets you in the door, and if you can manage an athletic timetable as well as studies, it teaches you so much about time management, discipline, and all that goes along with that.” Cummins flew from Belfast to Heathrow – where she met up with other campers and two Congaree ambassadors – and then flew the rest of the way to South Carolina. She reports an almost mystical quality about being driven through the gates – like rolling up Augusta National’s Magnolia Lane. (Not bad for a first visit to America.) She showed up with a set of hand-me-down men’s clubs with extra-stiff shafts and was promptly fitted for a new set of PINGs – a fantasy-camp-like experience that is very real at CGGI. Kayleigh Franklin of the Titleist Performance Institute (TPI) gives each camper an assessment and personalized exercises. Davidson, who worked under Dick Harmon at Houston’s River Oaks Country Club, and John McNeely, who learned from Claude Harmon at Winged Foot, handle instruction along with fellow world-class teachers Katherine Doyle and Jason Baile. Matt Cuccaro, Director of Performance at Georgia’s Sea Island Resort, offers guidance on the mental aspect. Kids work on test-taking and college-admissions essays, and consult with Lorne Kelly, a Walker Cup player for Great Britain & Ireland who ran a business that helped place European kids in American universities. “He has like 2,200 college coaches on speed dial,” Davidson says. “It made me decide that going to America to play golf was something I’d like to do, if it was possible,” Cummins says. “We went through SATs and stuff, what it takes to get into college in America, which was good because our exams back home aren’t multiple choice. Lorne told me that a DII size school might be the best fit and put us in touch. From the first call I knew.” Ford, who led Atlanta’s Drew Charter to its historic state title in 2019 and now plays for North Carolina A&T, a historically Black college and university, describes the week as unlike any golf camp he’d ever seen. His full fitting, driver to wedges, was a first for him, and the course and accommodations were spectacular. The atmosphere gave him a taste of what playing college golf would be like. “They didn’t treat us like kids,” he says. “They treated like we were already student-athletes. They gave us that responsibility. Workouts and yoga every morning. They expected us to be on time, be punctual, give it our all when we practiced or played.” Some but not all of the Congaree kids come from the First Tee. That goes for Ford, who played with partner Billy Andrade in the 2019 PURE Insurance Championship at Pebble Beach. Beggs, who is an alumnus of First Tee chapters in Baltimore, Maryland, and Charleston, South Carolina, once considered quitting golf. Her father, Chris, died in a motorcycle accident in Baltimore five years ago. Kharynton, who had been living with her mother, Teia, in South Carolina, and had just gotten home from a First Tee leadership academy in Minnesota, was shattered. “I was doing really well before the accident,” she says. “I was at that leadership academy, which I was so excited about. I had just finished freshman year of high school. After the accident I went into a state of denial, kept doing everything I was doing before, went right back into it. “In hindsight it wasn’t the best idea. When school started, I was like, I don’t know if I’m OK.” She didn’t play high school golf that year. “I thought, maybe this is a good time to take some time off,” she says. “Then I really removed myself from the game.” Her coach at the First Tee of Charleston kept checking in on her. “He kept calling to ask, ‘Hey, am I going to see you later today?’” she says. “And I would say no, and he would keep calling. He didn’t make me feel weird for missing it, but he also didn’t give up. That’s what got me back into it. Eventually one day I just said OK.” Beggs played No. 1 for all-girls Ashley Hall in Charleston but suffered another setback when she hurt her back hitting a shot during her junior year. College coaches stopped writing. She was, however, nominated to go to Congaree, which was when things began to turn around. She got stronger, worked on her game, wrote a five-year plan. She recently happened upon it, marveling at how many of her intentions had become a reality. Soon after leaving Congaree, she played the 2018 PURE Insurance at Pebble Beach with partner Jay Haas – a fellow Palmetto State resident. Teia, who’d gotten Kharynton into golf, formed a friendship with Haas’ wife, Jan. Today, Kharynton plays for Division III Oglethorpe University, where she will be a junior in the fall. Without the helping hand of CGGI, she says, it’s unclear where she would have ended up. “Going to Congaree helped,” she says. “Getting that instruction, seeing how much I loved the sport, I knew how much I wanted to play college golf and make that a reality.” Davidson says there are plans to take CGGI on the road, although thus far that’s only happened virtually, owing to the pandemic. The U.K. version of CGGI was limited to distance-learning last summer and will be again this year. Still, it accomplished its goal of connecting kids to colleges. “We’ve had discussions with a golf course in Brazil,” Davidson says. “We’re looking at the Middle East. We want to have as many Congaree kids as we can get into college.” And after that? “The cool thing about Congaree,” he adds, “is our ambassadors are standing by and ready to help them get employment after graduation. If they play the PGA TOUR or LPGA, that’s terrific, but we all know that less than one percent of NCAA graduates go on to play any professional tour.” Cummins, whose father works in the window manufacturing industry and mother works part time resolving disputes in the workplace, never had much money to travel throughout Europe for tournaments. But by getting involved with CGGI, and now being a member of the Carson-Newman Eagles women’s team, she has put those issues behind her. She plans to graduate a semester early this December with a major in sports management and a minor in accounting, and then begin work on her MBA. She is doing an internship at The Preserve Resort in Tennessee this summer to get a taste of normal life in the States. It was arranged, as so many things have been, through Congaree. “It’s one of those things in life, I don’t know where I would be in life if I didn’t get that letter in the mail,” she says. “I’ve made so many good friends in America; I’m definitely very grateful.”

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Who's most likely to get their first TOUR win in 2021?Who's most likely to get their first TOUR win in 2021?

Winning on the PGA TOUR is no small feat. Over the last five seasons, 1,181 different players have teed it up in at least one tournament. Only 103 of them - less than 9% – have a victory during that span. Since the pandemic hiatus ended last May at the Charles Schwab Challenge, only three players have picked up their first win: Richy Werenski (Barracuda Championship), Jason Kokrak (CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK) and Carlos Ortiz (Vivint Houston Open). Over the last five seasons, 24% of PGA TOUR victories are attributed to first-time champions. The other three-quarters of the time, the winning player has already been to the mountaintop at least once in his career. Which young star will burst into our golf consciousness this season? Will a veteran take the next step in his career, getting that elusive win? Using the 15th Club Performance Index and several other player and course trends, we dug through the numbers to find out who was most likely to get his first PGA TOUR win next. Here are some of the most interesting projections our 15,000 simulations revealed. Tommy Fleetwood Chance of winning on PGA TOUR this season: 24.0% Our predictive model is operating under the assumption that Fleetwood will split his time between the PGA TOUR and European Tour for the remainder of 2021, as he has in the past. That factors in significantly to his probability of winning this season. 15th Club projects that Fleetwood's baseline chance to win any PGA TOUR event is higher than some of the other names higher on this list. Fleetwood, a five-time winner on the European Tour, seems like a slam dunk to win at least once in the next two PGA TOUR seasons. He already has four runner-up finishes on TOUR, including two in major championships. Two seasons ago, he ranked in the top 15 on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee, Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Strokes Gained: Total. Matthew Fitzpatrick Chance of winning on PGA TOUR this season: 28.4% Fitzpatrick, the 2013 U.S. Amateur champion, fits into the Fleetwood mold from a scheduling standpoint. The 26-year-old Englishman has six victories on the European Tour, including the final event of last year, the DP World Tour Championship. Fitzpatrick was among the best on the greens on the PGA TOUR last season, ranking second in Strokes Gained: Putting. He also was among the top 10 in putting from 4-8 feet, putting outside 25 feet, and average distance of putts made per round. It seems like a matter of time before he gets hot enough to pick up his first PGA TOUR win. Sam Burns Chance of winning on PGA TOUR this season: 36.8% The Jack Nicklaus Award winner as college golf's top player in 2017, Burns put together an impressive collection of statistics in the fall portion of the 2020-2021 PGA TOUR season. Burns ranks third on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee, fifth in driving distance and fifth in greens in regulation. He currently leads the TOUR in total driving and is up more than 100 spots from last season in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. Burns may not to have to wait long to get that first win. How does this week sound? At The American Express last year, he finished tied for sixth, capping off his week with a 63 at the Stadium Course (he needed just 20 putts in the final round, fewest of any player in the field). Burns has averaged 5.75 par-breakers per round in his eight career rounds at the event. Abraham Ancer Chance of winning on PGA TOUR this season: 37.3% Over the last four PGA TOUR seasons, Abraham Ancer has 14 top-10 finishes - third-most of any player without a win during that span. His scoring average ranking is climbing a promising ladder: from 70th in 2017-18, to 45th in 2018-19, to 16th last season. Prefer Strokes Gained: Total? It's the same trend - 79th, to 53rd, to 20th. Ancer has three runner-up finishes on the TOUR, including a year ago at this week's event. Ancer loved the Stadium Course in 2020 - at 15 under par, he had the best score for the week in the two rounds on that layout. He also led the field for the week in greens in regulation. Ancer's time to get win number one could be on the immediate horizon. Will Zalatoris Chance of winning on PGA TOUR this season: 37.3% Perhaps no player in the men's game, regardless of tour, played more consistent golf in 2020 than Will Zalatoris. Between the PGA TOUR and Korn Ferry Tour, Zalatoris had 13 top-10 finishes. That was the most top-10s in Official World Golf Ranking-sanctioned events last year, two ahead of Dustin Johnson (11), Bryson DeChambeau, Justin Thomas and Mikael Lindberg (a player who competes in the Nordic Golf League, a pro circuit based in Scandinavia). Zalatoris finished tied for sixth at the U.S. Open, then followed it up with two more top-10 finishes before fall ended. The former ACC Player of the Year is currently ranked in the top-10 on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, Strokes Gained: Approach, Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, driving distance and scoring average, just to name a few. Zalatoris should be all over golf fans' radars soon - if he isn't there already. Scottie Scheffler Chance of winning on PGA TOUR this season: 37.5% The reigning PGA TOUR Rookie of the Year, Scheffler currently holds a unique place in history: he is the only player who has a sub-60 round on TOUR, but no victories. I imagine he'd like to change that distinction, and quickly. 15th Club analytics say he's likely going to, and soon. Scheffler's current average baseline win probability - the odds he wins any average event he starts on the PGA TOUR - are more than 4%. That may not sound like much, but that leads to a nearly 38% chance he picks up win No. 1 before this year's TOUR Championship. Scheffler was an elite ball-striker on TOUR last season, ranking 10th in both Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. Scheffler ranked 161st in putting inside 10 feet, so a moderate improvement on shorter putts could yield big dividends for the former U.S. Junior Amateur champion.

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Charles Schwab Challenge, Round 1: Leaderboard, tee times, TV timesCharles Schwab Challenge, Round 1: Leaderboard, tee times, TV times

The first round of the Charles Schwab Challenge gets underway at Colonial Country Club. Here’s everything you need to know to follow Thursday’s action. Round 1 tee times Round 1 leaderboard HOW TO FOLLOW TELEVISION: Thursday-Friday, 4-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday, 1-2:45 p.m. (GC), 3-6 p.m. (CBS). PGA TOUR LIVE: Thursday-Friday, 8 a.m.-7 p.m. (featured groups). Saturday-Sunday, 9 a.m.-3 p.m. (featured groups), 3-6 p.m. (featured holes). International subscribers (via GOLF.tv): Thursday-Friday, 12:00 to 23:00 GMT. Saturday-Sunday, 13:00 to 22:00. RADIO: Thursday-Friday, 1-7 p.m.; Saturday-Sunday, 1-6 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.com). FEATURED GROUPS Bryson DeChambeau, Rickie Fowler, Max Homa: Round 1 tee time: 8:55 a.m. ET; Round 2 tee time: 12:55 p.m. ET Jordan Spieth. Kevin Kisner, Ryan Palmer: Round 1 tee time: 9:06 a.m. ET; Round 2 tee time: 1:06 p.m. ET Justin Rose, Francesco Molinari, Brandt Snedeker: Round 1 tee time: 1:06 p.m. ET; Round 2 tee time: 9:06 a.m. ET MUST READS Cancer scare gives Weekley big picture Power Rankings Expert Picks Burns quitting smokeless tobacco

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