Betting Stat Pack: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

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THE OVERVIEW FORT WORTH, Texas – Want to know how to play a golf course? It’s usually wise to ask a club member. Or a PGA TOUR pro. Ryan Palmer checks both those boxes at Colonial. Not only has he been a dues-paying member since 2010 with hundreds of rounds under his belt, Palmer also has three top-5 finishes in the DEAN & DELUCA Invitational. That includes last year when he was the tournament leader eight holes into the final round. He eventually tied for third, four strokes behind playing partner Jordan Spieth, who birdied his last three holes to claim the title. “It was awesome being in that atmosphere,â€� Palmer said. “… I just remember some of the putts Jordan would make. I still tell him today, some of the putts he made, you just don’t make. I play all the time with all the members and nobody makes ‘em.â€� In other words, executing shots remains the most important factor in winning. But having a little course knowledge doesn’t hurt. And no one in the field knows Colonial better than Palmer. Since 2009, Palmer has recorded 19 rounds in the 60s here – second most behind two-time winner Zach Johnson’s 26. “I know exactly what to do on each hole,â€� Palmer said. While Palmer doesn’t want to reveal all his secrets, he did provide a few this week that some of the Colonial newcomers – including rookie Jon Rahm and last week’s winner, Billy Horschel (who played Colonial as an amateur but is making his first start here as a pro) — will likely appreciate. Take the 408-yard par-4 10th and the 387-yard par-4 17th. “I know 10 and 17 play short in the second shots,â€� Palmer said. “Don’t tell anybody else that.â€� Too late. How about the 190-yard par-3 13th? “I know 13, the wind is never into you,â€� Palmer said. “It may feel like it, but it’s never into you.â€� Or the 389-yard par-4 second. “I know when you can’t carry the No. 2 bunker on the right,â€� Palmer said. “I know when you can’t get to the left bunker.â€� Or the 483-yard par-4 third. “I know when you can carry the three bunkers on 3 in certain winds.â€� How well does Palmer and his caddie James Edmondson (also a member and a multiple club champion) know Colonial? They rarely reference their yardage books. “We just get the number and we go,â€� Palmer said. “I know how to hit certain drives off this golf course. It helps me a little bit knowing I can kind of freewheel it and let go and hit driver everywhere.’’ “This course is a bonus knowing a lot of things because it’s such a shot-making golf course. You know, a lot of times players say this golf course takes the driver out of their hands. Well, it’s in my hands all day just because I’ve done it enough.â€� On Sunday night, he’s hoping something else will be in his hands – the giant Leonard Trophy inscribed with the names of all Colonial champions. THREE PLAYERS TO PONDER Jordan Spieth No surprise he’s already won once at Colonial. Will not be a surprise if he wins multiple times here. Billy Horschel No one has won the DFW Double in consecutive weeks, but Horschel has a habit of stringing wins together. Phil Mickelson Has won twice at Colonial but making his first start here since 2010.  Glad to see you back, Phil! THE FLYOVER A closer look at the Horrible Horseshoe – hole Nos. 3 (483-yard par 4), 4 (247-yard par 3) and 5 (481-yard par 4) – the toughest three-hole stretch on the course and one of the toughest on the PGA TOUR. Since 2003, the stroke average for those three holes is a cumulative 0.465 strokes over par. Last year, the three holes ranked among the toughest four holes on the course (along with the par-4 ninth).  THE LANDING ZONE The 445-yard par-4 12th is the most difficult hole on the back nine at Colonial. Last year, it yielded just 47 birdies while playing to a stroke average of 4.102. Along with having to navigate a dogleg left, players often face a headwind on their approach shots. Check out the scattershot chart of all the tee shots struck at the 12th hole last year. WEATHER CHECK It’s going to be hot (98 degrees on Friday!). It’s going to be windy (gusts of 30 mph!). And there’s a chance of thunderstorms at least one day. Seems like that’s usually the case at Colonial, although Sunday could feel slightly different than the other three days. TEMPS: Temperatures could soar into the high 90s for the first three rounds, with heat indexes possibly reaching the lower 100s. A cold front could make things slightly more tolerable on Sunday. RAIN: Scattered thunderstorms are in the forecast for the final two rounds, with an increased chance to 60 percent on Sunday. WINDS: One of Colonial’s primary defenses is wind, and there should be plenty this week, with gusts from the south reaching 30 mph. Could be interesting on Sunday if the cold front brings a shift in the wind direction from the north. For the latest weather news from Fort Worth, Texas, check out PGATOUR.COM’s Weather Hub. SOUND CHECK “They are everything you want in three holes of golf. We’re going to be very smart. We’re going to play conservative. We would love to make birdie on ‘em, but we’re going to make sure we put ourselves in position to make par.â€� – Billy Horschel on Colonial’s Horrible Horseshoe. ODDS AND ENDS 1. A LITTLE BIT OF SPAIN. Jon Rahm won the Ben Hogan Award in 2015 and 2016, so he’s been to Fort Worth. But he never was able to play Colonial during his visits. This week was the first time he’s seen the course, and he said it reminds him of some of the courses in his native Spain, particularly Valderrama. “Visually a little different, but it’s very similar,â€� Rahm said. “You have to hit a lot of irons off the tee in Valderrama and it’s precision golf. You have to keep it in the fairway and hit those tiny greens. In that sense, it does remind me of lot (like Colonial).â€� 2. MUSIC TO HIS EARS. Billy Horschel will be listening to rock band Kings of Leon this week. That’s what he was listening to last week in Irving, and his week ended with a win at the AT&T Byron Nelson. “Didn’t matter what song it was,â€� Horschel said. “Any song that stuck in my head that week.â€� Three years ago when Horschel won the final two Playoffs events of the season to claim the FedExCup, he was listening to British pop band Bastille, particularly one specific song (although he couldn’t recall the title). “It was funny because going to the course every day at the TOUR Championship, I was listing to Alt Nation on Sirius XM and that song came on every day when I was driving to the course, which was so ironic. “Driving to the course the final round and I’m like, ‘Oh man, the song is not coming on today.’ I pull in the parking lot and it came on and I sat in my car until it finished playing.â€� 3. BACK-DOOR KING. Last week, Matt Kuchar tied for ninth, having moved up the leaderboard on the weekend after making the cut in a tie for 17th. Since 2010, Kuchar has 32 “back-doorâ€� top-10 finishes in which he started the final 36 holes outside the top 10. That’s the most of any player in that span. One of those other “back-doorâ€� finishes came last year at Colonial, when Kuchar was tied for 44th after 36 holes but shot 63-68 on the weekend to tie for sixth. WATCH THE PREVIEW

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NORTON, Ma. – Put too much pressure on a bubble and it will burst. Keep that in mind if you’re at TPC Boston this week. There is always pressure on the PGA TOUR but the FedExCup Playoffs create a dynamic that allows the players to create their own mental narrative. If you’re at the top of the FedExCup standings you’ve given yourself a buffer. The TOUR Championship is secured. Do you try to conserve energy in the early weeks? Or do you try to create some sort of momentum? Is making it there enough or does the all-important top-5 position drive you harder? Does your desire in the critical moments subconsciously wain at all knowing you’ll still be there next week? If you’re at the bottom of the standings the equation is simple. It’s quite simply go hard or go home. Does this free you up? Does this allow you to play with devil-may-care abandon and see where the chips fall? And then there are the bubble boys… those sitting in the spot where just reasonable golf will “probablyâ€� be enough to advance. But then you never know. If you ask me, this is where the pressure lies. Stuck in between conservatism and aggression. “There really is only pressure on the guy on the bubble. If you are a competitor and you want to be competing and there is a chance that you won’t be there next week then you’ve got pressure on you,â€� Adam Scott says matter of factly. “The rest is an opportunity for everyone. And if you are a positive person then every week you’re out here is an opportunity.â€� Scott moved from 73rd to 40th on the points standings with his T5 finish at THE NORTHERN TRUST, and as a former champion at TPC Boston, he’s looking to surge into the top 30 this week at the Dell Technologies Championship so that he’s not a bubble boy at the BMW Championship. But a Presidents Cup teammate of his is now one of these bubble boys. Louis Oosthuizen sits 69th, leaving him in no man’s land in terms of his mental approach. The top 70 on the points list make it to the BMW Championship while the top 30 move on to the TOUR Championship after play at Aronimink. Of course the South African is looking to play well, knowing things would then take care of themselves, but if he finds himself being too aggressive he could shoot his way out of contention. “Where I am, basically I just have to have a solid week – not really start out going for everything, I don’t think that’s necessary – but what makes it difficult is you don’t really know what’s going on,â€� Oosthuizen says. “It would be nice to see every third hole to sort of know where you stand but you just kind of guess, really, and most of the time you think I need more birdies and to make something happen. “And you’re dealing with guys from the back making it as they freewheel it and they go for it … If things go their way they can get you.â€� One of those guys this week will be local boy Peter Uihlein. He sits 83rd in the FedExCup and knows it’s do or die. “Your mindset is you’ve pretty much got to have a good week. If not you have an extra week off in the offseason. So you pretty much give it your all for four days and see what happens,â€� Uihlein said. “Best case is you get to play one more week, hopefully two. But worst case is you just have an extra week off. “I’d say (the pressure lies with) the guys who are maybe 68, 67, those guys, just thinking in the back of their head, if I just make the cut I’m in kind of thing. I think when you start playing that way, at least I know that in the regular season, if you’re just trying to kind of make the cut you’re always going to be around that line, regardless. “So I think when you have that kind of mindset it definitely makes it a little more difficult. Guys that are in my position, around 80 or so, you’ve got to be a bit more aggressive, you’ve got really nothing to lose.â€� Last week six players played their way in from outside the top 100. Nick Watney, Bronson Burgoon, Jhonattan Vegas, Scott Stallings, Danny Lee and Brian Stuard gave their seasons a stay of execution. Burgoon and Vegas both talked of how they can play their best with their backs against the wall but yet without much expectation. And then what of the guys up top? Dustin Johnson was quizzed on why he doesn’t contemplate taking a playoff event off to rest despite being in position to do so. He saw no benefit in that concept. Justin Thomas sits third on the points list. “I understand how important these Playoffs are,â€� Thomas said. “I’ve kind of thought about it a couple times that you really have to win in the Playoffs. It’s pretty much just plain and simple. You have to win one of these four events.â€� He doesn’t feel freed up at the top because of the format awarding quadruple points. He’s already dropped a spot despite a decent T8 result in the opening week. “It’s never entered my mind to skip a playoff event. I just feel I could come here and play poorly and get 20 points and that’s better than staying at home and missing a cut and not getting any,â€� Thomas adds. “I learned the hard way my rookie year that every point matters and missing the TOUR Championship by whatever, two, three, four points. “These Playoffs are so important and the points are just so amplified that if I was to win one of these first three then I’m a lock to be in the top five going into Atlanta. So to me it’s 100-percent worth that risk.â€� The man who went past him was last week’s winner Bryson DeChambeau. He doesn’t plan to back down now that he’s taken top spot. “Pedal to the metal for me,â€� he said after his victory. “To be able to be No. 1 is fantastic. I think there’s a little bit of pressure, you want to hold that now, just like a four-shot lead.â€� If you’re looking for excitement, the last three holes at TPC Boston are sure to provide it this weekend. A par-3 with a water hazard (16th) into a short par-4 (17th) before a reachable par-5 finishing hole. Those on the bubble will be either looking to press or survive, setting up fascinating golf. Only time will tell if it will burst. BUBBLE BOYS AT DELL TECHNOLOGIES CHAMPIONSHIP 65. Stewart Cink 66. Jason Kokrak 67. Nick Watney 68. Jimmy Walker 69. Louis Oosthuizen 70. Kevin Streelman 71. Tyrrell Hatton 72. C.T. Pan 73. Bronson Burgoon 74. Matt Kuchar 75. Charley Hoffman

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