Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Ball-striker Tommy Fleetwood goes low without best stuff at The Open Championship

Ball-striker Tommy Fleetwood goes low without best stuff at The Open Championship

CARNOUSTIE, Scotland — Tommy Fleetwood brings to mind some of the best ball-strikers of yesteryear. The Englishman, with his long locks and aggressive hip turn through impact, looks like a brown-haired version of a young Johnny Miller. He harkens back to the days before space-age technology infiltrated the game, when players flushed unforgiving forged blades and hit wound balls that flew off-line after the slightest mis-hit. Fleetwood is such a good ballstriker, in fact, that he was able to shoot the best round of this Open Championship without his best stuff. Fleetwood’s 6-under 65 on Friday was the low score, and first bogey-free round, thus far at Carnoustie. He sits at 5-under 137 through 36 holes. Earlier this summer, England was two victories from winning its first World Cup since 1966. Now Fleetwood is two rounds from bringing the Claret Jug back to his homeland for the first time since Nick Faldo’s win at Muirfield in 1992. Fleetwood will have to find his swing first. “Normally, when you play great you know where the ball is going,â€� Fleetwood said. “A lot of the shots, I was just looking up, and I was really happy that they were going straight. I didn’t feel fully confident and fully comfortable with my swing.â€� Fleetwood has hit 27 of 36 greens this week, but he headed to the range for a late-afternoon practice session after finishing his first-round 72 with bogeys on 16 and 17. He signed his scorecard around 5:30 p.m., then spent an hour on the driving range with his coach and caddie to “neutralizeâ€� his swing. His swing was too short and under the plane, leading to shots pushed right of his target. “Sometimes … you’ve just got to hit balls and work your way into some good swings,â€� Fleetwood said. Even though it would help his competition, he was hopeful that the rain would cease so he could head to the range Friday for another post-round practice session. Normally, when you play great you know where the ball is going. A lot of the shots, I was just looking up, and I was really happy that they were going straight. I didn’t feel fully confident and fully comfortable with my swing. Thursday’s extra work set the stage for Fleetwood’s latest impressive performance in a major. He is coming off a second-place finish at Shinnecock Hills, where he barely missed a birdie putt for 62 and finished one shot behind Brooks Koepka. Shinnecock and Carnoustie are two of the toughest venues in their respective rotas, but Fleetwood is 12 under par over his past 54 holes on those courses. Fleetwood is in contention at Carnoustie despite playing in the tougher half of the draw, as well. The late-early players got Thursday’s strongest breezes and Friday’s heaviest rain. Only Zach Johnson (69-67) posted a lower score from their half of the field. “Our side of the draw, we had to sort of tough it out a little bit,â€� Rory McIlroy said after shooting consecutive 69s. Fleetwood is unprecedented territory at The Open. He may have grown up around the corner from Royal Birkdale, but he has found more success in the Open held across the Atlantic. He finished fourth at Erin Hills before this year’s runner-up. Last year’s T27 at Royal Birkdale was Fleetwood’s best finish in four Open Championships. He missed the cut in his first three starts in golf’s oldest championship. He owns the course record at Carnoustie, though, after shooting 63 in last year’s Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. That is the European Tour’s version of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The event is held on three courses and conditions are easier to ensure the amateurs can get around in a timely fashion. Friday’s round was just his fourth sub-par score in 10 rounds at The Open, and was his lowest ever at this championship. “It’s no course record, but it will do,â€� Fleetwood said. “It was a spirited effort today.â€�

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
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PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+450
Bryson DeChambeau+1000
Justin Thomas+1800
Collin Morikawa+2000
Jon Rahm+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Joaquin Niemann+3000
Patrick Cantlay+3500
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Jon Rahm leads the list of links specialistsJon Rahm leads the list of links specialists

Jon Rahm is on an absolute tear heading into The Open Championship. He’s 44 under par in his last 12 worldwide rounds. He is making birdie-or-better on more than 30% of his holes in that stretch. He’s never been worse than T11 after any round in that span. He not only won his first major championship at the U.S. Open but was one stroke of bad fortune from running away with the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday, as well. RELATED LINKS: Twenty First Group | Nine Things to Know: Royal St. George’s Couple that with his past success at links-style golf courses in Europe, and you justifiably have a player who will be at the top of virtually everyone’s lists heading into the 149th Open Championship. Rahm is a two-time winner of the Dubai Duty Free Irish Open, with high finishes dotting his resume on similar courses throughout his young career. “It’s very refreshing when we come to this part of the world and play,” Rahm said last week at the Scottish Open, where he finished seventh. “And I think that’s why I’ve had success.” Twenty First Group analyzed every European Tour event (including The Open Championship) played on coastal courses of the British Isles since 2010, a collection of more than 25,000 rounds. Digging through the results not only articulated how great Rahm has been on links-style courses, but pinpointed some other key performers. Some names were expected. Some might be a bit surprising. Jon Rahm In his career, Rahm has averaged +1.8 Strokes Gained: Total per round on links-style golf courses (as defined in our classification), the best of any player over the last decade with 30 or more rounds played. Rahm’s iron play has been exceptional: in 33 rounds, he’s hit 72.6% of his greens in regulation – 6.6% more than the combined field averages in that span. Rahm has been able to capitalize on his length everywhere in his career, and these types of courses are no different. On links courses, the World No. 2 averages more than 10 yards farther than the field off the tee. It’s led to a direct benefit on par-5s – he’s gained an average of +0.28 strokes per par-5 played, second-best of any player since 2010 with 30 or more rounds under his belt. Since the first Masters was held in 1934, only three players have won their first two professional majors in back-to-back major starts: Craig Wood (1941 Masters, U.S. Open); Bobby Locke (1949 and 1950 Open Championships); and Jordan Speith (2015 Masters, U.S. Open). Rahm will try to join that list this week, as well as become the first player since Tiger Woods in 2000 to win the U.S. Open and The Open Championship in the same season. Rahm also is trying to finish in the top 10 in all four of this year’s majors. In addition to his win at Torrey Pines, he has finished fifth at this year’s Masters and T8 at the PGA Championship. Jordan Spieth He finished one shot out of a playoff at St. Andrews in 2015, then won The Open Championship two years later. Jordan Spieth’s links acumen is obvious, but the numbers paint a fuller picture of how good he’s been after crossing the Atlantic. In 28 rounds, he’s averaged a whopping +2.0 Strokes Gained: Total per round, the best of any player since 2010 with 20 or more rounds played. Spieth’s short game has been especially brilliant: he has scrambled, on average, 10.4% better than his opposition when playing links courses in his career. He’s also averaged more than half-a-putt fewer per round than the competition. This has led to him gaining strokes on the opposition regardless of hole type, doing so on par-3s, par-4s and par-5s. Since 2015, Spieth leads all players at The Open Championship in scoring average (69.6), rounds in the 60s (12) and one-putts (145). Tony Finau Quick. Who was the low American at the 2019 Open at Royal Portrush? It wasn’t Brooks Koepka (T4). It was Finau, who finished alone in third place. Finau is the only player to finish in the top 10 at both the 2018 and 2019 Open Championship. Finau has been good-to-great at virtually everything on links-style golf courses in his career. His driving distance, always a weapon, has given him a 12.6 yard average head start on the field. He’s hit more than 71% of his greens in regulation, a 7.2% increase over the field average. He also scrambles at a clip 8.5% higher than the field and has fewer putts per round than the average player, too. Finau has averaged 1.5 strokes under par per round on links courses, an exceptional clip considering more than half of his sample is coming from The Open Championship. 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Collaboration fosters sustainability, circularity at Butterfield Bermuda ChampionshipCollaboration fosters sustainability, circularity at Butterfield Bermuda Championship

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One & Done: Houston OpenOne & Done: Houston Open

When sizing up the field at the Houston Open, we can’t help but loop in next week’s Masters into the strategy. In fact, you must. Experience at Augusta National matters more than on any other host track all season, so you don’t want to spend now what you need to consider saving for later. However, the rise of so many candidates for the Masters eases our challenge for Houston. Whether you’re pacing or chasing, Phil Mickelson will serve the purpose in either event. You know he’s a three-time winner of the Masters, but it might surprise you that he’s also the all-time earnings leader in the tournament. (Tiger Woods is No. 2.) Also in the field at both is the (relatively) scuffling Jordan Spieth. He’s third on the money list at Augusta National with a win, two seconds and a T11. I’d endorse a Mickelson-Spieth exacta over the next two weeks, but not the reverse. If anything, you can comfortably holster Spieth for another major or, frankly, anytime. His litany of Future Possibilities covers the gamut. I have Justin Rose penciled in at the Masters (sixth in all-time earnings), as he should be in that the tournament is his most logical site of any all season. He’s not on my short list for Houston, either. Suddenly, Mickelson is a the obvious choice. The only other inside the top 23 on the all-time money list and currently exempt at the Masters who also is committed to the Houston Open is Ernie Els (12th), but he hasn’t cracked our consciousness in a while. (Matt Kuchar is 24th on the money list at Augusta National, but he’s always been a top-shelf bridge for a regular event due to this busy schedule among the elite.) Others worth considering in Houston: Henrik Stenson has never had a top 10 at the Masters, so you might as well keep it simple and invest while he’s in form and comfortable with the course. If you’re like me, never mind the fade at Bay Hill and accept the top-five finish. You never can win them all. 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The problem with him is that gamers in pursuit will gobble him up, so league leaders can do the same, play defense and won’t miss him. (If you’re one of them, remember, you’ve earned it!) In addition to Spieth, Rose and Kuchar, I’m cool on Rafa Cabrera Bello (bridge), Jason Dufner, Tony Finau and Steve Stricker as primaries. Stricker would be fine to complement the lead in two-man formats, though. Looking ahead, the John Deere Classic will be contested opposite the Constellation SENIOR PLAYERS Championship again this summer. He played the JDC last year, but even though it’s tough to envision the possibility that he won’t return, we’ve never guaranteed these things. Two-man gamers are wise also to factor in Sean O’Hair, Bud Cauley, Lee Westwood and Byeong Hun An in Houston. FUTURE POSSIBILITIES NOTE: Select golfers committed to the tournament are listed alphabetically. Future tournaments are sorted chronologically and reflect previous success on the courses on which the tournaments will be held in 2017-18. The numerical values in parentheses represent the order of relative confidence of where to use each golfer if multiple sites are listed (e.g. 1 for strongest, 2 for next-strongest and so on). To present weighted confidence in real time, numerical values will not change all season no matter how many tournament remain listed for each golfer. All are pending golfer commitment. Daniel Berger … Houston (3); St. Jude (1; two-time defending); Travelers (2) Keegan Bradley … Houston (3); Memorial (5); WGC-Bridgestone (2) Jason Dufner … Fort Worth (2); Memorial (3; defending); U.S. Open (4); Wyndham (6); TOUR Championship (7) Tony Finau … Valero (5); Memorial (3); Greenbrier (2); Canadian (4) Rickie Fowler … Houston (4); Masters (8); Wells Fargo (7); PLAYERS (9); WGC-Bridgestone (3); THE NORTHERN TRUST (10); Dell Technologies (6) Bill Haas … Wyndham (2) Russell Henley … Houston (1; defending); Greenbrier (3) J.B. Holmes … Houston (2); Wells Fargo (7); Greenbrier (5) Charles Howell III … Houston (7) Chris Kirk … Valero (4); PLAYERS (3); Fort Worth (2) Russell Knox … Heritage (2); PLAYERS (8); Dell Technologies (7) Matt Kuchar … Masters (5); Heritage (1); Valero (10); PLAYERS (11); Fort Worth (6); Memorial (2); Canadian (3); WGC-Bridgestone (7); THE NORTHERN TRUST (9) William McGirt … Heritage (1); Memorial (4) Phil Mickelson … Houston (3); Masters (4); Wells Fargo (2); St. Jude (1); Open Championship (5) Ryan Palmer … Valero (1); Fort Worth (2); St. Jude (6) Scott Piercy … Houston (5); John Deere (6) Justin Rose … Masters (1); Wells Fargo (4); PLAYERS (9); Memorial (6); Open Championship (8); WGC-Bridgestone (7); TOUR Championship (2) Brandt Snedeker … Masters (7); Heritage (10); Fort Worth (11); U.S. Open (5); Travelers (6); Canadian (3); Wyndham (4) Jordan Spieth … Houston (11); Masters (1); Heritage (12); Fort Worth (2); Travelers (6; defending); John Deere (7); Open Championship (9; defending); WGC-Bridgestone (10); TOUR Championship (4) Henrik Stenson … Houston (10); Open Championship (6); WGC-Bridgestone (4); PGA Championship (7); Wyndham (8; defending); Dell Technologies (9); TOUR Championship (2) Kevin Streelman … Wells Fargo (3); Memorial (1); Travelers (2)

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