A step-by-step look at Tiger Woods’ 2018 season

The PGA TOUR heads to the Sunshine State this week for the first leg of its Florida swing. The venue in play this week is a classic as the players will be visiting PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, a Jack Nicklaus redesign that features “The Bear Trap,” one of the toughest and most famous three-hole stretches in pro golf. The course plays as a par 70, measuring at approximately 7,048 yards, and ranked as the third-toughest venue on the PGA TOUR in 2020-21. We’ll also be switching to Bermuda greens this week, a regular feature of the Florida venues. Set your DraftKings fantasy golf lineups here: PGA TOUR $1M Pitch + Putt [$250K to 1st] STRATEGY Those teeing up at The Honda Classic include Sungjae Im ($11,000), who is coming off a T33 finish at the Genesis. He’ll be joined by Louis Oosthuizen ($10,800), Brooks Koepka ($10,100) and Joaquin Niemann ($10,600), who is also coming off a win last week. The field at The Honda Classic maxes out at 144 golfers and will again feature a regular PGA TOUR cutline with the top 65 and ties making it to the weekend. We should expect lower totals though for our DraftKings daily fantasy golf lineups as PGA National typically plays as one of the hardest venues of the year. Last season, the scoring average at PGA National ballooned to 71.9, or +1.904 strokes over par, and we rarely see winners at this event get to double digits in scoring. The greens at PGA National are some of the hardest to hit on the PGA TOUR as we often see green in regulation rates trend 5-10% lower at this event than the PGA TOUR average. Scrambling around PGA National is also difficult, as saving par from off the green typically trends 5% lower than average for the field as well. Good approach games and around the green play are what to focus on this week as power at PGA National is de-emphasized for the most part—perhaps more than any other course on the PGA TOUR. Driver isn’t a club players need to hit regularly and that shows by the fact the average driving distance for this venue often comes in a full 10 yards less than the average Driving Distance on the PGA TOUR. Big hitters can still compete though, and the likes of Gary Woodland ($8,200) and Keith Mitchell ($9,100) are two players in the field this week who are good proof of that. Still, this event has been a friendly home to crafty veterans like Ian Poulter ($7,600) and Matt Jones ($9,000). GOLFERS TO CONSIDER Alex Noren ($9,300 on DraftKings) I mentioned above how this venue truly favors veteran players who can grind out pars with good iron play and around the green work. Alex Noren’s entire game is predicated on just such a formula and he comes into this week just two starts removed from a T6 finish at the Phoenix Open. Noren’s best assets are his around the green play and putting, but his approach game has popped in recent starts too and he gained +3.4 on Approach alone last week, his best week in that metric since exactly a year ago at the 2021 Genesis. Noren also has a history of producing for daily fantasy golf at The Honda Classic as he grabbed a solo third-place at this event back in 2018. His price this week is the most expensive it’s been for a while, but as a player with four top-10s in his last 13 starts, the low $9K-salary isn’t as outlandish as it seems. The weaker field and A+ setup for Noren make him a target in daily fantasy golf on DraftKings. Chris Kirk ($7,500 on DraftKings) You’ll see a trend forming quickly in these picks and that’s experience paired with solid recent form in approach and around the green play. Chris Kirk comes into this event having gained strokes around the green in each of his last eight starts. The American has been a little sluggish with his ball-striking to begin 2022 but he’s gained strokes on Approach in each of his last two starts and was hanging around the top-10 for much of the weekend at the WM Phoenix Open (T14). Kirk has played this event numerous times in the past as well, with this year marking his 11th appearance at PGA National for The Honda Classic. He’s clearly a fan of this setup (or he’d not show up this much) and has finished as high as T12 in 2014. The four-time winner looks underrated at this price on DraftKings, especially with similarly skilled players such as Brian Harman ($8,700) and Mackenzie Hughes ($8,300) priced far above him. Kirk is a good mid-tier value to target this week in daily fantasy golf. Lucas Glover ($7,400 on DraftKings) Almost all of the analysis I laid out above for Kirk can also apply to Glover. The 42-year-old grabbed his first win in over a decade last year at the John Deere Classic and has started 2022 nicely, already landing a top-10 finish at the Sony Open (T6). Glover has excelled at tough venues throughout his career so we shouldn’t be shocked to see that he’s found consistent success around PGA National. Glover has finished T21 or better at this event in four of the last five seasons and ranks 15th in SG: Approach stats over the last 50 rounds. The price on Glover also looks too low as he comes in $100 lower than Kirk, despite having out-performed him this season. Looking above him, we see out-of-form players like Ryan Palmer ($7,900) and Rickie Fowler ($7,600) available at much higher prices. It all makes Glover a great mid-tier target to build around for daily fantasy golf lineups this week. Set your DraftKings fantasy golf lineups here: PGA TOUR $1M Pitch + Putt [$250K to 1st] Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game. Place your golf bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app. All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ NH/WY). 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OLD WESTBURY, N.Y. – Louis Oosthuizen was just entertaining the kids. Instead, he ended up entertaining the world … well, at least those with Internet connections. Oosthuizen entered the media center at THE NORTHERN TRUST on Wednesday with Andra Day’s song, “Rise Up,� piped through the speakers. It’s the same song he lip-synced to his kids on the plane after his runner-up finish two weeks ago at the PGA Championship. His wife posted the video of Oosthuizen’s performance. Social media took care of the rest. “I was very surprised how much attention it got,� Oosthuizen said. “I was just more trying to entertain the kids to sit still in the plane. “The song came up and we had a little speaker there. My wife had the phone out and she asked me, ‘Should I put this out on Twitter?’ And I said, ‘Well, I never really do anything. So why not? Go ahead.’ It was just one of those moments that happened. Nothing planned really. “At least the kids sat still and listened to it.� Oosthuizen said it was a coincidence that “Rise Up� was the song he lip-synced to, although his wife thought it was appropriate given that second-place finish to Justin Thomas at Quail Hollow. A friend had texted Oosthuizen’s caddie, who was also on the plane, to offer congratulations on joining Jack Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer, Tom Watson, Phil Mickelson, Greg Norman and Craig Wood in that club. The caddie told Oosthuizen, who wasn’t sure how to react. “Really isn’t something I should be very proud of,� Oosthuizen said. “You wonder, where are the wins?� Oosthuizen already has one major win, and hopes to win a few more. As for his lip-syncing career? That appears to have concluded after one video. “Definitely not planning on doing that again,� he said. “It was a one-off thing.� That’s too bad. Some of his fellow PGA TOUR pros enjoyed it. When asked to review Oosthuizen’s performance, Thomas replied: “An A-plus for sure.�

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2019 3M Open, End of Round 1. Course scoring averages: Overall: -0.74 strokes per round Morning wave: -0.83 Afternoon wave: -0.64 Current cutline: 70 players at -2 or better (T49th position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines: 2 under par: 25.8% 3 under par: 24.8% 1 under par: 18.3% Top 10 win probabilities: Hideki Matsuyama (T2, -7, 17.7%) Scott Piercy (1, -9, 16.5%) Brooks Koepka (T18, -4, 6.8%) Adam Hadwin (T2, -7, 6.5%) Bryson DeChambeau (T9, -5, 6.2%) Tony Finau (T9, -5, 4.2%) Sungjae Im (T4, -6, 4.1%) Jason Day (T49, -2, 2.1%) Lucas Glover (T18, -4, 1.9%) Brian Harman (T4, -6, 1.8%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the 3M Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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