A major loss for Tiger that will lead to a major win

The 14th of 24 contributing events for PGA TOUR Champions One & Done presented by SERVPRO is this week’s U.S. Senior Open Championship. It begins on Thursday. Scroll for tournament notes, 25 notables and three wild cards from the field of 156 in Colorado Springs, Colorado. Most champions who return to the same course on which they prevailed automatically belong on our short list. That’s an obvious statement even for rookie gamers. But every once in a while, all of the arrows are pointing at the defending champion. This is one of those weeks. Kyle Stanley was my Don’t Take during the Facebook Live fantasy show for last week’s Travelers Championship. I cited the course’s prerequisite of being a good putter and his relatively poor record at TPC River Highlands. It’s not that he’s a bad putter, but he profiles as the tee-to-green specialist who can capture a victory when putting isn’t at a premium. Case in point, Stanley eked out a playoff victory at last year’s Quicken Loans National. In line with his projection, he lost strokes to the field on the greens, but unfamiliar surfaces benefit average-to-below average putters. What’s more, the targets are only 5,300 square feet, so fewer putts are totaled. TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm is a ball-striker’s paradise, which is also reflective in the fact that it was the hardest par 70 in all non-majors last season. Yet, what did Stanley do in Connecticut last week? He finished seventh in strokes gained: putting and tied for 15th with four red numbers. Boom. He’s a full bank of green lights as he defends the QLN. The only other no-brainer in the field worth your consideration is Francesco Molinari. He’s also a perfect foil for the ball-striking challenge at TPC Potomac, but he’s also a strategic dream given understood hesitation to burn the likes of Rickie Fowler or Marc Leishman. If the Italian was available to me, he’d be my pick. I could insert Stanley, who I would if I was front-running and who league leaders should play, but I need to force the action. Thus my pivot to Beau Hossler. It’s not overthinking – perhaps that’s what I should do given my position – but I’ve swayed so far from my once-upon-a-time philosophy to play aggressively (and even accept my role as a placebo for you) that it’s time to reset when it seems counterintuitive. I also dig that Hossler is still chasing an exemption into The Open Championship. (He’ll snag one easily for the PGA Championship later.) Jimmy Walker is tempting, but he’d look even better if he commits to next week’s stop at The Greenbrier. Don’t hesitate if you don’t want to play that waiting game. As he often is when he’s active, the elephant on this page is Tiger Woods. He’s No. 8 in my Power Rankings, and I prefer him hitting full shots over relying on what might be a new putter, but he’s never played TPC Potomac in competition. For the Shire among horses for courses, the land of the unknown isn’t desired territory for our purposes. Two-man gamers could nibble on Hossler, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Byeong Hun An and Jamie Lovemark. If 2017 QLN runner-up Charles Howell III is somehow still on your board, your season must have started late. FUTURE POSSIBILITIES NOTE: Select golfers committed to the tournament are listed alphabetically. Future tournaments are sorted chronologically and reflect previous success on the courses on which the tournaments will be held in 2017-18. The numerical values in parentheses represent the order of relative confidence of where to use each golfer if multiple sites are listed (e.g. 1 for strongest, 2 for next-strongest and so on). To present weighted confidence in real time, numerical values will not change all season no matter how many tournament remain listed for each golfer. All are pending golfer commitment. Rickie Fowler … WGC-Bridgestone (3); THE NORTHERN TRUST (10); Dell Technologies (6) Bill Haas … Wyndham (2) J.B. Holmes … Greenbrier (5) Billy Horschel … TOUR Championship (4) Martin Laird … Barracuda (1) Marc Leishman … Open Championship (1) Kevin Na … John Deere (9); Wyndham (3); THE NORTHERN TRUST (11) Jimmy Walker … Greenbrier (8); Dell Technologies (7) Tiger Woods … WGC-Bridgestone (3) CHAMPIONS ONE & DONE U.S. Senior Open Championship With total prize money of $4 million, the national open is the richest tournament on the PGA TOUR Champions. The winner will receive $720,000. Kenny Perry defends and goes for his third U.S. Senior Open title in the last six years. The Broadmoor Resort in Colorado Springs, Colorado, returns as host for the first time since its debut in this tournament in 2008. It’s 10 yarder longer at 7,264 yards, but it’s still a par 36-34=70 with two par 5s. Par is almost always a great score in this tournament, and at over 6,200 feet above sea level, it’s an equal-opportunity event regardless of power off the tee. Eduardo Romero prevailed by four strokes at just 6-under 274 in 2008. Fred Funk was the runner-up. This is the second of three tournaments with a cut. The low 60 plus ties at the conclusion of 36 holes are guaranteed another 36. FUTURE POSSIBILITIES NOTE: Select golfers committed to the tournament are listed alphabetically. Future tournaments are sorted chronologically and reflect previous success on the courses on which the tournaments will be held in 2018. The numerical values in parentheses represent the order of relative confidence of where to use each golfer if multiple sites are listed (e.g. 1 for strongest, 2 for next-strongest and so on). To present weighted confidence in real time, numerical values will not change all season no matter how many tournament remain listed for each golfer. All are pending golfer commitment. Stephen Ames … U.S. Senior Open (6); Boeing (2); Shaw (7) Fred Couples … Usable everywhere. Defending the Chubb and American Family. Joe Durant … U.S. Senior Open (7); SENIOR PLAYERS (1); 3M (6); DICK’S (12); Boeing (10); Shaw (11); PURE (3); SAS (13) David Frost … U.S. Senior Open (4); 3M (7); Boeing (5); Shaw (8); PURE (1) Fred Funk … Boeing (6); PURE (5) Doug Garwood … SAS (1) Paul Goydos … 3M (1; defending); DICK’S (3); SAS (5) Lee Janzen … U.S. Senior Open (2) Miguel Angel Jiménez … U.S. Senior Open (5); SENIOR PLAYERS (3); Senior Open Championship (4); 3M (9); Shaw (7); SAS (12) Brandt Jobe … U.S. Senior Open (4); SENIOR PLAYERS (1); 3M (5); Boeing (8) Jerry Kelly … Boeing (1; defending); Shaw (5); PURE (2); SAS (4) Bernhard Langer … Usable everywhere. Defending five titles. Tom Lehman … U.S. Senior Open (3); SAS (9) Jeff Maggert … Shaw (5) Billy Mayfair … Boeing (2); PURE (1) Scott McCarron … SENIOR PLAYERS (3; defending); Senior Open Championship (10); DICK’S (4; defending); Shaw (5; defending); PURE (8) Colin Montgomerie … U.S. Senior Open (6); SENIOR PLAYERS (2); Senior Open Championship (10); Shaw (4); PURE (7); SAS (3; defending) Tom Pernice, Jr. … Shaw (3); SAS (5) Kenny Perry … U.S. Senior Open (6); 3M (1); DICK’S (11); SAS (2) Gene Sauers … U.S. Senior Open (5); SENIOR PLAYERS (6); Boeing (1) Vijay Singh … U.S. Senior Open (2); Shaw (5); SAS (1) Kevin Sutherland … Usable everywhere. David Toms … Boeing (2); SAS (4) Kirk Triplett … SENIOR PLAYERS (1); Shaw (4) Duffy Waldorf … Shaw (5) WILD CARDS (short list of golfers not included above but on the rise or still building portfolios after recently turning 50): Steve Flesch; Rocco Mediate; Scott Parel.

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Tiger vs. Phil. Bubba vs. Rose. Scott vs. Spieth. JT vs. Hovland. Kisner vs. Woodland. These were among the juicy Round 1 matches in our Mythical World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play, the just-for-fun exercise we’re conducting this week in lieu of the real tournament, which was among the canceled events by the PGA TOUR in response to the coronavirus pandemic. The TOUR conducted a draw to produce a bracket, and now our 10 experts are voting for the winner of each match. We’ll release each day’s results as if the tournament is actually being played at Austin Country Club in Texas. The 16 Group Stage winners will be determined on Friday, then we’ll vote for single-elimination matches this weekend to crown the Mythical champion on Sunday. The voting rules are simple: Each expert was asked to pick a match winner, and the golfer with the majority of votes is the match winner. In the case of an equal split of votes, the match is considered tied. Our 10 expert voters include: GolfBet’s Jason Sobel from The Action Network; GolfTV’s Jamie Kennedy; Tom Alter and Jim McCabe from PGA TOUR Communications; Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton; PGATOUR.COM writers Ben Everill, Sean Martin, Mike McAllister and Cameron Morfit; and a combined vote from the TOUR’s ShotLink team. Here are the experts’ picks for the 32 Round 1 matches that would’ve been played Wednesday in Austin. Feel free to provide your own picks and commentary – and let us know if you agree or disagree with ours — in the comments section below. GROUP 1 Rory McIlroy (1) vs. Sung Kang (52): 10 votes for McIlroy, 0 votes for Kang. McILROY wins. Why I picked McIlroy: “Possibly the biggest David vs Goliath match-up of the group stage. Kang has shown form this year, but Rory’s on a different level.â€� – Jamie Kennedy Gary Woodland (18) vs. Kevin Kisner (36): 9 votes for Kisner, 1 vote for Woodland. KISNER wins. Why I picked Kisner: “A win last year, a runner-up in 2018, and 13-2-1 in his last 16 matches at Austin CC.â€� – Mike McAllister Group standings: McIlroy 1-0, Kisner 1-0, Woodland 0-1, Kang 0-1 GROUP 2 Jon Rahm (2) vs. Tom Lewis (59): 10 votes for Rahm, 0 votes for Lewis. RAHM wins. Why I picked Rahm: “From U.S. Open last year, his worldwide results include three wins and six other top 5s. That’s enough for me.â€� – Ben Everill Bernd Wiesberger (26) vs. Chez Reavie (37): 8 votes for Wiesberger, 2 votes for Reavie. WIESBERGER wins. Why I picked Wiesberger: “Unheralded talent deserves greater respect.â€� – Jim McCabe Group standings: Rahm 1-0, Wiesberger 1-0, Reavie 0-1, Lewis 0-1 GROUP 3 Brooks Koepka (3) vs. Shaun Norris (60): 9 votes for Koepka, 1 vote for Norris. KOEPKA wins. Why I picked Koepka: “I wish it was Chuck Norris. Dr. Anthony Fauci turns to him for advice.” – Rob Bolton Abraham Ancer (29) vs. Collin Morikawa (44): 7 votes for Morikawa, 3 votes for Ancer. MORIKAWA wins. Why I picked Morikawa: “Morikawa’s steady play, and strong ball-striking, will make him a tough beat. He just doesn’t make mistakes.â€� – Sean Martin Group standings: Koepka 1-0, Morikawa 1-0, Ancer 0-1, Norris 0-1 GROUP 4 Justin Thomas (4) vs. Viktor Hovland (57): 6 votes for Thomas, 4 votes for Hovland. THOMAS wins. Why we picked Thomas: “Thomas ranks fifth in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green compared to Hovland’s 130th on TOUR and both are about equal when it comes to performance on the greens.â€� – ShotLink team Paul Casey (24) vs. Erik van Rooyen (42): 8 votes for Casey, 2 votes for van Rooyen. CASEY wins. Why I picked Casey: “Match play aficionado gets at it again.â€� – Jim McCabe Group standings: Thomas 1-0, Casey 1-0, van Rooyen 0-1, Hovland 0-1 GROUP 5 Dustin Johnson (5) vs. Keegan Bradley (62): 9 votes for Johnson, 1 vote for Bradley. JOHNSON wins. Why I picked Johnson: “Johnson, who became the first to sweep the four World Golf Championships when he cruised to the title here in 2017, simply has too many good vibes in Austin.â€� – Cameron Morfit Hideki Matsuyama (22) vs. Cameron Smith (35): 6 votes for Matsuyama, 4 votes for Smith. MATSUYAMA wins. Why I picked Matsuyama: “Matsuyama hasn’t won in three years, but his game is trending upward. I’ll take the superior ball-striker in this match.â€� – Sean Martin Group standings: Johnson 1-0, Matsuyama 1-0, Smith 0-1, Bradley 0-1 GROUP 6 Adam Scott (6) vs. Jordan Spieth (56): 9 votes for Scott, 1 vote for Spieth. SCOTT wins. Why I picked Scott: “Scott is enjoying a career resurgence as he approaches 40 and can still make enough putts (most of the time) to allow his superior ball-striking to see him through.â€� – Cameron Morfit Lee Westwood (31) vs. Shugo Imahira (41): 9 votes for Westwood, 1 vote for Imahira. WESTWOOD wins. Why I picked Westwood: “Although this event hasn’t exactly been kind to him, he’s flashed enough form lately to get past Imahira.â€� – Mike McAllister “We’ve seen a mini-revival from Westy over the last few months that would have peaked around Augusta.” — Ben Everill Group standings: Scott 1-0, Westwood 1-0, Imahira 0-1, Spieth 0-1 GROUP 7 Patrick Reed (7) vs. Andrew Putnam (63): 10 votes for Reed, 0 votes for Putnam. REED wins. Why I picked Reed: “Put him in a one-on-one and he’s always tough to beat.â€� – Ben Everill Matthew Fitzpatrick (25) vs. Rafa Cabrera Bello (46): 6 votes for Cabrera Bello, 4 votes for Fitzpatrick. CABRERA BELLO wins. Why I picked Cabrera Bello: “The Spaniard has good feel for Austin CC.â€� – Jim McCabe Group standings: Reed 1-0, Cabrera Bello 1-0, Fitzpatrick 0-1, Putnam 0-1 GROUP 8 Patrick Cantlay (8) vs. Adam Hadwin (55): 10 votes for Cantlay, 0 votes for Hadwin. CANTLAY wins. Why I picked Cantlay: “If the Canuck had been showcasing benefits yielded by the Nappy Factor, this would set up as an upset.” – Rob Bolton Tyrrell Hatton (21) vs. Sergio Garcia (38): 8 votes for Hatton, 2 votes for Garcia. HATTON wins. Why I picked Hatton: “The mercurial Hatton’s self-confidence has never been higher after notching his first PGA TOUR victory at Bay Hill.â€� – Cameron Morfit Group standings: Cantlay 1-0, Hatton 1-0, Garcia 0-1, Hadwin 0-1 GROUP 9 Webb Simpson (9) vs. Lucas Herbert (64): 10 votes for Simpson, 0 votes for Herbert. SIMPSON wins. Why I picked Simpson: “Simpson has been one of the best players on TOUR this season, so there’s no reason to think an upset will happen here.â€� – Sean Martin Rickie Fowler (27) vs. Scottie Scheffler (45): 7 votes for Scheffler, 3 votes for Fowler. SCHEFFLER wins. Why I picked Scheffler: “Scheffler has been playing really well this season, and Fowler may not be the fan favorite against Texas Longhorn.â€� – Tom Alter Group standings: Simpson 1-0, Scheffler 1-0, Fowler 0-1, Herbert 0-1 GROUP 10 Tommy Fleetwood (10) vs. Byeong Hun An (50): 6 votes for Fleetwood, 4 votes for An. FLEETWOOD wins. Why I picked Fleetwood: “An is an underrated player who can ball-strike with the best of them. Sadly for him, Tommy ball-strikes better than almost all of them. Fleetwood is a man for an occasion and should easily handle the South Korean.â€� – Jamie Kennedy Francesco Molinari (28) vs. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (47): 8 votes for Bezuidenhout, 2 votes for Molinari. BEZUIDENHOUT wins. Why I picked Bezuidenhout: “Yes, Molinari was a semifinalist last year so this is definitely an upset pick. But it’s been nearly a year since his last top-10 finish, and he’s missed the cut in three of his last four starts. The South African is in better form right now.â€� – Mike McAllister Group standings: Fleetwood 1-0, Bezuidenhout 1-0, Molinari 0-1, An 0-1 GROUP 11 Tiger Woods (11) vs. Phil Mickelson (61): 9 votes for Woods, 1 vote for Mickelson. WOODS wins. Why I picked Woods: “If he’s healthy, Tiger seems more like Tiger while Phil seems more like a shell of himself lately. (And Tiger is a master at match play.)â€� – Tom Alter Kevin Na (30) vs. Victor Perez (40): 8 votes for Na, 2 votes for Perez. NA wins. Why I picked Na: “He’s more experienced and it assumes that he doesn’t withdraw early.” – Rob Bolton Group standings: Woods 1-0, Na 1-0, Perez 0-1, Mickelson 0-1 GROUP 12 Xander Schauffele (12) vs. Jason Day (51): 7 votes for Schauffele, 3 votes for Day. SCHAUFFELE wins. Why I picked Schauffele: “Day showed some promising signs on the West Coast, but he withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard and struggled in the only round at THE PLAYERS Championship, so if there were a tournament this week, you’d have to wonder about his health.â€� – Sean Martin Shane Lowry (20) vs. Danny Willett (33): 6 votes for Lowry, 4 votes for Willett. LOWRY wins. Why I picked Lowry: “Had gone eight straight matches at Austin CC without a win until Friday last year. I’m calling that win momentum.â€� – Ben Everill Group standings: Schauffele 1-0, Lowry 1-0, Willett 0-1, Day 0-1 GROUP 13 Bryson DeChambeau (13) vs. Ian Poulter (58): 6 votes for DeChambeau, 4 votes for Poulter. DeCHAMBEAU wins. Why I picked DeChambeau: “A match-play assassin, Poulter was fired up for this potential Ryder Cup preview, but DeChambeau has been trending in the right direction, his 40-yard average margin over Poulter off the tee proving to be a huge boost throughout the day.â€� – Jason Sobel Henrik Stenson (32) vs. Jazz Janewattananond (39): 8 votes for Stenson, 2 votes for Janewattananond. STENSON wins. Why I picked Stenson: “Ol’ Henrik has dirt in his wedges older than Jazz.â€� – Jim McCabe Group standings: DeChambeau 1-0, Stenson 1-0, Janewattananond 0-1, Poulter 0-1 GROUP 14 Justin Rose (14) vs. Bubba Watson (53): 6 votes for Watson, 4 votes for Rose. WATSON wins. Why I picked Watson: “A strange year for Rose — three MCs in four PGA TOUR starts since the calendar turned over — continues in this one, as Bubba’s aggressive nature and affinity for this course (he won here two years ago) proves too much to overcome.â€� – Jason Sobel Sungjae Im (23) vs. Matt Wallace (43): 10 votes for Im, 0 votes for Wallace. IM wins. Why I picked Im: “He’s lost to only two golfers in his last two starts; now he needs to beat only one per match.” – Rob Bolton Group standings: Im 1-0, Watson 1-0, Rose 0-1, Wallace 0-1 GROUP 15 Marc Leishman (15) vs. Graeme McDowell (49): 7 votes for Leishman, 3 votes for McDowell. LEISHMAN wins. Why I picked Leishman: “After struggling in the first three years in Austin, he found something last year and went undefeated in group play. Oh, and he’s got a win and a runner-up among his last four starts.â€� – Mike McAllister Matt Kuchar (17) vs. Billy Horschel (34): 7 votes for Kuchar, 3 votes for Horschel. KUCHAR wins. Why we picked Kuchar: “Kuchar is a past champion and has seven top-10s in his last nine starts at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play.â€� – ShotLink team Group standings: Leishman 1-0, Kuchar 1-0, Horschel 0-1, McDowell 0-1 GROUP 16 Tony Finau (16) vs. Brendon Todd (54): 9 votes for Finau, 1 vote for Todd. FINAU wins. Why I picked Finau: “With the exception of Kevin Kisner last year, the course favors longer hitters, and Finau has proven match-tough (Presidents Cup, Ryder Cup) on any type of layout.â€� – Cameron Morfit Louis Oosthuizen (19) vs. Brandt Snedeker (48): 5 votes for Oosthuizen, 5 votes for Snedeker. TIE. Why I picked Oosthuizen: “Has a 13-6 match play record since the tournament moved to Austin, including his run to the final in 2016. I think he likes the course.â€� – Mike McAllister Group standings: Finau 1-0, Oosthuizen 0-0-1, Snedeker 0-0-1, Todd 0-1

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DUBLIN, Ohio – A procession to victory just wouldn’t have been the Spanish way. Jon Rahm rode a final round rollercoaster to secure the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide at Muirfield Village in true Spanish style by surviving some tricky short game shots, a two-shot penalty, and the evaporation of a huge lead. RELATED: Final leaderboard | What’s in Rahm’s bag? His idol Seve Ballesteros would have been proud. And believe it or not, despite the heart palpitations, Rahm wouldn’t have it any other way. Sure he could have kept the incredible eight-shot lead he held over his Zurich Classic of New Orleans partner Ryan Palmer at the turn and ensured the last nine holes was a casual waltz to his golf destiny. But where’s the fun in that? Ballesteros was a maestro when things got tough, finding ways to escape from trouble. Rahm needed some of the same magic on Sunday at a brutal Muirfield Village that played hard and fast in swift winds. The 25-year-old had seen his eight shot lead drop to three shots when he and Palmer stood on the 15th tee. He was bleeding, momentum against him. Surely he couldn’t possibly let it slip … but then he had done so on the last two occasions he held the 54-hole lead. But despite the fact his accuracy on approach continued to desert him, Rahm focused in hard. He refused to surrender to the internal demons and got up and down for clutch pars on the 15th, 17th and 18th holes and chipped in for what was initially considered a birdie on the 16th hole only for a two-shot penalty to be added after the fact. Rahm had inadvertently made the ball move as he addressed the shot and hadn’t replaced it, turning his score into a bogey. Thankfully it mattered not. The magic had lasted long enough to stay three shots up and give Rahm a fourth PGA TOUR title, securing his ascension to world No. 1 on the way. He is just the second Spaniard, behind Ballesteros, to hold that status. “One of the best performances of my life,” Rahm said afterwards. “Yesterday was probably one of the best rounds of my life and finished today with some clutch up-and-downs. And as a Spaniard, I’m kind of glad it happened that way. Every shot counts, and I tried every shot and got those two last up-and-downs, as a true Spaniard would. “My short game has been unbelievable all week. It’s been so good, and I’ve gotten close to chipping in a couple times. You always hear about people saying champions make it happen, and at that point I made it happen.” In the past Rahm admits he would not have made it happen in similar circumstances. Emotion plays a huge role in his golf and in the past, on occasion, it has worked against him. But now, despite the fact he admitted he would celebrate by watching a children’s movie with his wife, Rahm says he has matured. He’s found ways to grow and channel his emotion into good. “I’m a person who unfortunately I’m fully aware I learn from mistakes. I act, foolishly or not. I’ll do my action, and I’ll learn from it, good or bad,” he explains. “Luckily I’ve been pretty good at learning from my mistakes and getting a little bit better each time and today was a clear example of it. I could have completely lost it many times. Maybe in the past I would have, but I didn’t. I just kept fighting. I knew it was a complete grind, and it’s a true honor to be now the Memorial Tournament champion presented by Nationwide and to be part of Jack’s legacy.” Rahm, who moved to eighth in the FedExCup with the win, was still in shock at his move to the top of the world. He’s never shied away from this being a huge goal despite the fact admitting in the past when the chance was right there in front of him, it affected his play. “I made that deal with myself very young, I believe at 13 or 14 I started working towards that goal, and everything I’ve done golf-wise has been to become No. 1 in the world and become the best player I can be,” Rahm said after taking top spot from Rory McIlroy. “It’s pretty surreal to think it’s happened this quickly, in less than 10 years. I mean, how many people get to achieve a lifelong dream in their mid-20s? It’s incredible. To be a Spaniard, the second Spaniard to ever do it, given there’s not many Europeans that have gotten to this spot, it’s a pretty unique feeling, so I’m going to enjoy it for a while.” Enjoying the achievement … now that is the Spanish way.

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