Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Cut prediction: Sanderson Farms Championship

Cut prediction: Sanderson Farms Championship

2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +0.03 strokes per round Morning wave: +0.42 Afternoon wave: -0.36 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 67 players at -1 or better (T43) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 2 under par: 39.0% 2. 1 under par: 35.3% 3. 3 under par: 13.0% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Davis Riley (T1, -6, 11.5%) 2. Will Gordon (T1, -6, 7.8%) 3. Thomas Detry (T3, -5, 6.8%) 4. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (T3, -5, 5.7%) 5. Sam Burns (T25, -2, 4.7%) 6. Mark Hubbard (T3, -5, 3.6%) 7. Andrew Putnam (T3, -5, 3.4%) 8. Scott Stallings (T14, -3, 3.3%) 9. Luke List (T14, -3, 3.0%) 10. Brandon Matthews (T3, -5, 2.9%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Sanderson Farms Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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RBC Canadian Open
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Corey Conners+2000
Robert MacIntyre+2500
Shane Lowry+2500
Sam Burns+3000
Sungjae Im+3000
Taylor Pendrith+3000
Harry Hall+3500
Luke Clanton+3500
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ShopRite LPGA Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda+450
Jeeno Thitikul+650
Jin Young Ko+900
Rio Takeda+1100
Chisato Iwai+1600
Mao Saigo+1600
Somi Lee+1800
Ayaka Furue+2200
Miyu Yamashita+2200
Jin Hee Im+2500
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Virginia
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+450
Jon Rahm+550
Joaquin Niemann+650
Tyrrell Hatton+1200
Patrick Reed+1600
Cameron Smith+2000
Carlos Ortiz+2000
Lucas Herbert+2200
Brooks Koepka+2500
David Puig+2500
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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+800
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Collin Morikawa+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Brooks Koepka+4000
Hideki Matsuyama+4000
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Power Rankings: Barracuda ChampionshipPower Rankings: Barracuda Championship

As the PGA TOUR season nears its conclusion, the annual pressure cooker is plugged in and turned on high. Everything from qualifying for the FedExCup Playoffs to return trips to qualifying school for Web.com Tour status will be determined this month, so those who have chosen this career path might as well mix it up every now and then. Just as variety is the spice of life, the Barracuda Championship is the TOUR’s version of a road less traveled; well, at least as it concerns measuring strokes taken. For the sixth consecutive edition, the Modified Stableford scoring system will be utilized. The points-based system that promotes aggressive play has yielded winning totals of at least 43 points at Montrêux Golf and Country Club in Reno, Nevada, in each. More on the scoring, the course and the weather beneath the ranking. Salvaged his season with a pair of top 10s in July, including a T6 at Grand National. Sat T2 here last year before fading to a T7. Placed T6 in only prior visit in 2011. A good bet to extend sizzling form (10th, Barbasol; T5, Canadian) as he’s 7-for-7 at Montrêux with three top 15s since 2009. Eight on TOUR in greens in regulation. Since a T3 at the Valero, he’s 10-for-11 with six top 20s. Montrêux feeds right into his distance and aggressive style. Placed T42 in only prior trip in 2014. Fifth on TOUR in fairways hit and first in proximity. At 63rd in FedExCup points, he could rest, but he continues to percolate. Riding a 9-for-10 run with three top 25s. Lost in a playoff here in 2015 after recording tournament-record 22 points in the final round. Returned for a T9 last year. Two of last three top 20s occurred in additional events. Five straight cuts made. Fresh off a career-best T5 in Canada where he locked up his card. Should now have a blast, literally, at altitude. Ranks T8 on TOUR in par-5 scoring. Chasing a third consecutive top 25 after going six starts without a top 35. Perfect in three trips with a T7 in 2013. With his card sewn up, he’s free to pile on. Surging at the perfect time. Ended an 0-for-7 drought with a 4-for-4 with three top 25s. T7 here in 2013 the first of three consecutive cuts made at Montrêux through 2016. Inching toward his first career Playoffs appearance at 136th in points. Two top 25s in last three starts; career-best six on the season. Tied for ninth here last year. T25-T18-T10 in last three weeks and 8-for-9 since May, all entirely wedged into 126-150 range in FedExCup points. Currently 126th. T11 in par-5 scoring, T13 in scrambling. POWER RANKINGS: Barracuda Championship RANK PLAYER COMMENT Montrêux G&CC is a par 72 with four par 5s. It measures 7,472 yards, but it can’t play that long due to its perch a mile above sea level. It also features almost 500 feet in elevation change across the layout. Winners since 2012 have included bomber Gary Woodland (2013) to defending champion Greg Chalmers, whose reputation is as a phenomenal putter. The gist is that the course doesn’t discriminate despite its length. The field of 132 can very much drive for show and putt for dough. Greens average 6,000 square feet and will run upwards of 12 feet on the Stimpmeter. Hot, breezy conditions are typical at this time of year and they will be again this week. After potentially touching triple digits on Thursday, a leveling toward the norm in the lower 90s will occur. The chance for rain is virtually nonexistent. Just as the first three additional events of the season rewarded their champions with 300 FedExCup points, this week’s winner will bank the same, but it may valuable to hit the ground running with the mindset that he’ll prevail after 54 holes. See, every 54-hole leader since 2011 has gone on to win the tournament. Chalmers slept on a six-point lead last year and won by the same margin thank to a walk-off eagle worth five points. The champ will also be fully exempt on the PGA TOUR through 2018-2019 and will receive exemptions into next week’s PGA Championship, the SBS Tournament of Champions and THE PLAYERS among other invitationals. ROB BOLTON’S WRITING SCHEDULE PGATOUR.COM’s Fantasy Columnist Rob Bolton will be filing his usual staples leading up to this week’s event. Look for the following columns this week. MONDAY: Rookie Ranking, Qualifiers, Reshuffle, Medical Extensions, Power Rankings (WGC-Bridgestone) TUESDAY*: Power Rankings (Barracuda), Sleepers (WGC-Bridgestone), The Confidence Factor (WGC-Bridgestone), Fantasy Insider WEDNESDAY: One & Done (WGC-Bridgestone), One & Done (Barracuda) THURSDAY: Ownership Percentages in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf and One & Done presented by SERVPRO * – Rob is a member of the panel for PGATOUR.COM’s Expert Picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO, which also publishes on Tuesdays.

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Tiger Woods winning the TOUR Championship would be a fitting end to the TOUR seasonTiger Woods winning the TOUR Championship would be a fitting end to the TOUR season

Tiger Woods is a lock to win the TOUR Championship at East Lake next week, breaking a win gap that goes back to the 2013 World Golf Championships-Bridgestone Invitational. Wait. What? Why? Yeah, Woods is playing well, his T6 at the BMW Championship at Aronimink marking his fourth top-10 finish since July. He’s 20th in the FedExCup, and has won at East Lake before, in 2007. But forget about all that. More importantly, a Woods win is the only result that would make sense at the end of a year in which so many people broke dry spells it was hard to keep track. “I didn’t know if I was going to be able to get back to this spot,� Keegan Bradley said after he beat Justin Rose in a playoff at the BMW Championship on Monday, when he notched a fourth PGA TOUR victory a scant six years and 160 starts after his third. “And today I did it.� I didn’t know if I was going to be able to get back to this spot, and today I did it. Maybe that wouldn’t fit on a bumper sticker or a T-shirt, but it nicely sums up the 2017-’18 season. Alternatively, if you imagine many of this season’s winners as the Tom Hanks character from Castaway, that’s a lot of guys who had time to grow a prodigious beard and learn how to spearfish in between victories. For a while the TOUR’s longest gap between wins was by Butch Baird, who triumphed at the 1961 Waco Turner Open and then, 15 years later, the ’76 San Antonio Texas Open. Long gap. Good for him. But Robert Gamez was winless for 15-plus years when he won the 2005 Valero Texas Open (since the 1990 Nestle Invitational at Bay Hill) to break it. Lesson: If you want to get your act together, go to San Antonio. Lesson II: It’s never too late.   If you imagine many of this season’s winners as the Tom Hanks character from Castaway, that’s a lot of guys who had time to grow a prodigious beard and learn how to spearfish in between victories. Jason Day went 33 starts between his win at THE PLAYERS Championship in 2016 and the Farmers Insurance Open in early 2018. Day later won the Wells Fargo Championship, going for a two-win season just a year after he enjoyed a no-win season. Speaking of THE PLAYERS Championship, when Webb Simpson waltzed to victory in May it was his fifth TOUR win but his first since the 2013 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Speaking of children, Gary Woodland’s wife, Gabby, and their son, Jaxson, surprised him on the 18th green at TPC Scottsdale after he shot 64 and won a playoff over Chez Reavie at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, his first victory since the 2013 Barracuda Championship.  On the subject of surprises, Phil Mickelson ended the longest drought of his career, which went all the way back to the 2013 Open Championship, a span of 96 starts, when he won the WGC-Mexico Championship in March. A week later, Paul Casey ended a gap of 150 starts between the 2009 Houston Open and his second TOUR win at the Valspar Championship, denying Woods. A week after that (trend alert!), Rory McIlroy shot a final-round 64 to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, breaking a dry spell of 19 TOUR starts that dated back to his victory at the TOUR Championship in 2016. He took just 100 putts, the fewest of his career for a four-round event, and was +10.027 in Strokes Gained: Putting. He also ended the talk about 2017 being the first year since 2008 when he didn’t win on any tour. While we’re talking Europeans, McIlroy’s Ryder Cup teammate Ian Poulter’s third TOUR victory, his first of the non-WGC variety, at the Houston Open broke a win drought that dated to the 2012 WGC-HSBC Champions and spanned 93 starts. That’s a long gap, even factoring in Poulter’s 2016 foot surgery. Having slipped all the way to 207th in the world after The Honda Classic last season, Poulter is now 34th and set to play on his sixth European Ryder Cup team. Speaking of players returning to Cup-worthy prominence, Bubba Watson went 43 starts between his win at THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2016 and the Genesis Open at Riviera earlier this season. Then the floodgates opened, as he notched his 11th TOUR win, at the WGC-Dell Technology Match Play, six weeks later, and kept on going at the Travelers Championship. Kevin Na, who in July won A Military Tribute at the Greenbrier, was making his 158th start since winning the Shriners Hospitals for Children in his hometown of Las Vegas in 2011. All of these stories should more than inspire Woods, to say nothing of Tony Finau, whose last win came at the 2016 Puerto Rico Open. Finau, of course, has nevertheless risen all the way to FedExCup No. 3 with 11 top-10 finishes this season, tied for the TOUR lead. Inspiration at East Lake could go a long way. And if not? Well, there’s always San Antonio.

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