Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Pick ‘Em Preview: John Deere Classic

Pick ‘Em Preview: John Deere Classic

If you’re new to PGA TOUR Pick ‘Em Live and wondered if you need to be invested in the winner of the tournament to cash as a top-five finisher, nope! At last week’s Travelers Championship, the only gamer in the prize money who connected with champion Xander Schauffele was the previously inaccurately named Didiwinyet. However, only 18 of that entry’s 6,294 coins were as a result of the victory because it didn’t snare Schauffele until he was at (-555). The highest finisher with Schauffele at plus-odds was Ggrich1951 in ninth place. It had Schauffele at +2200, but was worth just under 60 percent of its total of 3,702. The lesson is that, when a favorite wins, prizewinners likely will have hauled in their coins in the bets for Top 10s, Top 20s and round leaders. Ties in 2-balls also are valuable. As Rob has illustrated over time, there’s virtually no reason in not picking ties when available. You’d have to finish inside the top five for a winner of a 2- or 3-ball to make a difference, but first you need to be inside the top five. One hurdle before the other. Placing fifth just once is infinitely more lucrative than finishing sixth every week (unless, of course, when payouts are extended, as they were in the last two majors). Last week’s fifth-place finisher, Girazi, rode the rail with Michael Thorbjornsen in all three weeklong bets. Sure enough, the amateur finished fourth and yielded 4,000 coins for the Top 10 and 1,200 coins for the Top 20. The aggregate 5,200 comprised all of Girazi’s coins for $250. It that’s your kind of action, this week’s John Deere Classic is for you. As Glass and Rob demonstrate below, ownership dispersion will be vast, and rightly so. It’s wide-open. Exploit it. Register for PGA TOUR Pick ‘Em Live here and monitor Rob’s and Glass’ progress as Influencers. For a broader explanation of the format and FAQs, click here. TOURNAMENT TO WIN Glass … Scott Brown (+12500) The value on the board this week is interesting and perhaps even non-existent. It happens. The beauty of this game is the ability to shift, zag or zig on the fly, so let’s use this to our advantage. Brown’s worst payday here is T27 from seven weekends (nine starts), so the course angle is covered. T10 last week on the Korn Ferry Tour suggests he’s showing enough form. If not, we’ll move on. A shootout leaves more doors open to start big and work back as needed! Rob … Martin Laird (+6000) Hear me out here. Because I’m not in love with any of the longshots, I believe that the winner will open shorter than +10000. Of that subset, if Laird opens strong, his odds won’t be as favorable as they are pre-tournament, obviously, so the idea is to buy high on a former PGA TOUR winner with experience at TPC Deere Run. Shootouts demands accuracy on approach. It’s a strength he’s wielded throughout his career. His weakness is the putter, but – BUT! – as noted in my Power Rankings, it’s one of the easiest to avoid three-putting, and – AND! – he’s one of the best scramblers, so what bothers him most is given a week off. TOP 10 Glass … Chesson Hadley (+1000) If we’re gonna play with fire, let’s get that fuse lit! Hadley opened with 63 here last year and rolls in with a solo fifth last week. HEY, IT’S SOMETHING. The fireworks on the weekend stateside should wake you up early enough to adjust either Saturday or Sunday morning. Rob … Scott Brown (+1300) Don’t know why Glass didn’t double down on Brown given that his odds are longer than Hadley’s, but it’s not the first, second or 39th time that Glass has made a decision that’s baffled me. So what? I’m reaching here because the odds are shorter than the board for the outrights, of course. Let’s play Home Run Derby. TOP 20 Glass … Austin Cook (+800) OK, let’s gamble! Panning for gold to find a number here, but I’m trying to connect a couple of dots and catch a big fish. Cook posted 64 in Round 2 in Canada and 65 at TPC River Highlands last week so there’s something brewing until there isn’t. His last top 10 was P2 at TPC Summerlin. Those who have done the business there have shown fleeting success in the Quad Cities. Please keep all arms and legs inside the ride at all times! Rob … John Huh (+210) I’ve let Glass lead off in each bet because he’s mopped the floor with me for about a month. He’s earned the honor. However, unless he pivots at the midpoint, if necessary, he could be stuck with Cook. This bet hasn’t been open for me as late as 2:15 a.m. West Coast Time in recent weeks. I have no problem limping to the window with Huh at this value. Top 20s are hard but he’s hung up two in his last three starts. The other resulted in a T25. That’s good enough for me from a guy in form who shreds it tee to green. ROUND 1 LEADER Rob … Martin Laird (+8000) Since the finishing holes of both nines at TPC Deere Run are long, challenging par 4s, I like a guy who starts on the par-5 10th and cycles through all three par 5s in his first 11 holes. It eases him into the round and presents the opportunity to generate momentum. The flip trip is a heavier lift in the context of the flow. It’s a coincidence that Laird is my outright. Even if he wasn’t, he’d be this pick. He opened with 63 at TPC River Highlands last week and he averaged 68.375 with all red numbers across all four rounds of the last two editions of the JDC. He goes off No. 10 at 7:40 a.m. Coincidentally, one of his playing partners is my old FRL nemesis, Patton Kizzire. This is to say that I’m expecting to revise my selection sometime midday on Thursday. Glass … Scott Stallings (+5000) Played his final 54 holes at the Travelers Championship 64-68-63 in red-hot form, so I’m going to pay money and take my chances that it continues. He’s off on No. 10 at 7:07 a.m. (local), so if he isn’t a morning person, I’ll find a replacement as the day moves along. If you prefer a guy who opened with 62 and closed with 64 last week, J.T. Poston is off at 7:27 a.m. (local). NOTE: While Glass and Rob typically stick with their selections as detailed in Pick ‘Em Preview, they are allowed the right to make changes at any time.

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Final-round Foursomes can be a scary, scary placeFinal-round Foursomes can be a scary, scary place

AVONDALE, La. – Jon Rahm and his teammate Ryan Palmer have increased their candy intake this week. For every birdie they make, Rahm’s caddie Adam Hayes feeds them one Skittle – a fun little reward that also has helped keep their sugar level intact during some long days at TPC Louisiana. The Rahm-Palmer team has made 24 birdies this week, which explains why they share the 54-hole lead at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans with the team of Scott Stallings-Trey Mullinax. Of course, they may also want to avoid stepping on a scale anytime soon. “We’ve got to keep it going,� Rahm said. “It’s been working out pretty good.� “It’s only eight or nine Skittles a round,� added Palmer. The Skittles consumption, though, will likely be reduced Sunday, since the final round uses the Foursomes alternate-shot format. Unlike in Four-balls, in which birdies are plentiful and bogeys are rare, Foursomes produce fewer low rounds and more danger, as teams can easily go off the rails if both players are struggling. A year ago, the team of Kevin Kisner-Scott Brown entered the final round with the lead before stumbling to a 5-over 77. The two teams tied for second also shot over par. That opened the door for Billy Horschel-Scott Piercy, who carded a 67 – one of just seven rounds in the 60s that Sunday. In 2017, the first year of the team competition, Foursomes was played in the third round, with just five rounds posted in the 60s.Three of the teams near the top of the standings shot 74 or worse. “There’s a lot more opportunity for something disastrous to happen in Foursomes,� said Austin Cook, who is tied for sixth with teammate Andrew Landry. Indeed, while Four-balls is all about aggressiveness, Foursomes can leave players in a defensive posture, not wanting to make a mistake or an errant shot and leave his partner in a bind. “Stepping a little bit back, getting a little bit more defensive,� said Branden Grace, who is one shot off the pace with South African teammate Justin Harding after they posted 12 birdies in a third-round best 61. Grace-Harding have made 26 birdies this week. “I don’t think it’s defensive. I just think you’re playing more aware of the situation,� said Stallings. “The last thing you want to do is put your partner in a tough spot. “I don’t want to hear him be like, ‘Oh, man I didn’t want to hit a bad shot for you.’ We would rather be, ‘Man, I was trying to execute the shot and I didn’t do it.’ That’s a completely different mindset.� Related: Tee times | Rahm/Palmer an unusual partnership that works | Grace/Harding a potential International Team duo? | Day/Scott team misses cut at TPC Louisiana Several teams have no-apology agreements in order to avoid the guilt of a bad shot. One of those teams is Rahm-Palmer, whose second-round 65 is the lowest score in Foursomes in the three years of the Zurich Classic’s team format. “We were on fire at the right time, and that’s why the score was so low,� Palmer said. “Hopefully tomorrow we can do the same thing.� Of course, there is a strategic element with Foursomes, with teams having to alternate tee shots. Stallings, for instance, is determined to put driver in the hand of the longer-hitting Mullinax as many times as possible. The difference in their length was so evident on Saturday that Stallings noticed CBS on-course reporter Dottie Pepper laughing. Experience might also help out. Sergio Garcia and Tommy Fleetwood, who are tied for sixth, four shots back, were Ryder Cup teammates in Paris last year, with Fleetwood winning all of his matches with partner Francesco Molinari. Garcia, of course, has been a mainstay on the European team for years. Asked if they had the experience advantage, Garcia replied: “Maybe a little bit, but at the end of the day, it just comes down to playing. If you play well, (even) if you don’t have experience, if you keep hitting good shots, it’s going to work.� “It’s very, very different. The rhythm is different,� added Fleetwood. “If you’re not playing that great, it’s tougher to get back into a rhythm. … It’s a more difficult format. There’s less leeway. But I think that suits us.� Essentially, it’s about staying out of trouble. “The biggest thing tomorrow is just eliminating bogeys,� Landry said. “Tons of pars, tons of opportunity on every single hole to try to make a birdie. Just give ourselves good looks all day long.� Rahm-Palmer had seven birdies in Foursomes in the second round, so a low score could still be achieved. But the previous two years at the Zurich Classic have shown that weekend Foursomes can be nearly as eerie as the above-ground tombs that dot the local cemeteries. Best to step carefully and let others wade into the scary parts.

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Power Rankings: Presidents CupPower Rankings: Presidents Cup

It was only a month ago when we lost Pete Carril, arguably most notable as the men’s basketball coach at Princeton University for 30 years. Through his tenure into the mid-1990s, Carril deployed an offense that yielded low-scoring games and, therefore, more opportunities for victory. It demanded similar skill sets among the players and a higher floor of their weakest components to stay competitive. RELATED: Play Pick ‘Em Live | Schedule of Events | Nine Things to Know about Quail Hollow Club It also required commitment and discipline to play as a unit. Separate but connected. Chess, athletically. Depending on your perspective, it was either graceful and artistic or agonizing and boring to watch, but it was two things always – compelling and successful. Carril is enshrined in Halls of Fame, plural. The Presidents Cup has been a one-sided affair since it was introduced in 1994, so it might require the Internationals to steal pages out of Carril’s playbook. For how that can translates to golf, the format of the competition and more, continue reading below the full-field ranking of the participants. NOTE: In a match-play team competition consisting of five sessions over four days, only one of which is Singles on Sunday, and with matchups and momentum determined in real time, the ranking of the players below reflects projected impact on the event. INTERNATIONALS Rob’s prediction of the outcome will be included in a special Expert Picks on Tuesday. Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, hosts the 14th edition of the Presidents Cup. The U.S. leads the series all-time, 11-1-1. Given that record, it could be argued plainly that International team captain Trevor Immelman is in a position to lose, but it’s entirely the opposite. When history suggests that you have no chance, there’s nothing to lose and everything to gain. For example, when Carril’s Princeton squad squared off against the defending national champion, UCLA, in the first round of 1996 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, the Tigers were in the same position .., and they prevailed, 43-41. Forget style points, it’s all about the objective. For Immelman’s crew to join the 1998 team as Internationals to win the Presidents Cup, it will need to be a cohesive unit, plan meticulously in advance of every session, retain focus on every stroke and set whatever result aside to be ready for the next game. Play until the whistle blows because becoming legends of the competition is at the finish line. Regardless of par over time, Quail Hollow annually has been one of the most difficult courses on the PGA TOUR. It’s been a par 71 since the PGA Championship was contested there in 2017. It’s also among the longest tracks visited regularly. For the Presidents Cup, it will be able to stretch to 7,576 yards, but serious elasticity on a handful of holes will prevent that. Speaking of the flexible, the course has been rerouted to elevate the potential impact of The Green Mile. Traditionally holes 16, 17 and 18 for the Wells Fargo Championship, they have been shifted to play as Nos. 13, 14 and 15 for the Presidents Cup. It’s still a par-4-3-4 sequence, but now the signature stretch of the stage is all but promised to factor into the result of every match. Overall, holes 1-8 are the same as they are for the WFC, but Nos. 12-18 are Nos. 9-15 this week, so each is three sooner in the round than the familiar walk. Nos. 16, 17 and 18 for the Presidents Cup are Nos. 10, 11 and 9, respectively, for the WFC. Because of the challenge of the course proper, birdies will be good gets, even in Four-ball, so the Internationals should be encouraged to attempt to eliminate problems with safer and saner decisions. Elevate the floor of possibilities. Retain possession of the ball, work the clock, be more patient and let the hosts make mistakes. Of course, United States captain Davis Love III is no stranger to anything inside the ropes, so he’ll be opposing with a front line worthy of keeping the trophy for the ninth consecutive time. He also has the luxury of natural combinations for Foursomes and Four-ball, whereas Immelman is saddled with language barriers for even basic messaging. However, and this goes for all, golf is golf no matter the nationality. Like you, Mother Nature also wants to kick back and watch. Largely favorable conditions are forecast throughout the four-day competition. After a sweltering launch in mid-90s heat for Foursomes on Thursday, it will cool into the 70s for Friday’s Four-ball. Wind could be an influencer on either day. Gradual heating will occur on Saturday for Foursomes in the morning and Four-ball in the afternoon, with another bump into the mid-80s poised for Sunday’s Singles. Rain is not expected at any time. ROB BOLTON’S SCHEDULE PGATOUR.com’s Rob Bolton recaps and previews every tournament from numerous perspectives. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. MONDAY: Power Rankings TUESDAY*: Sleepers, Draws & Fades WEDNESDAY: Pick ’Em Preview SUNDAY: Medical Extensions, Qualifiers, Reshuffle

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